Service Plays Wednesday 5/4/11

[WINNERS_ONLY]

ATS WINNERS
Yesterday 1 – 3

MLB
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds - Our Play: Over 9 +105 (4 units)
Over is 12-5 in Houston\'s last 17 games following a win. Travis Wood has been getting beat up in his last 3 sporting an 11+ ERA. Rodriguez on the other side has a 6.75 ERA and getting a start here today against a good offensive team shouldn\'t help that any. You can get this line at 8.5 at several books, but we believe this game will hit double digits and took the +105 at 9. Let\'s cash this ticket!

Houston Astros vs. Cincinatti Reds -Our Play: Houston ML +180 (3 units)
We find good value in this one with Travis Wood getting lit up as of late for Cincy, and Houston on a 3 game winning streak while Cincy has dropped their last 2. We believe Houston will get to the non-confident Wood early and force Cincy to play catch up the rest of the game. At +180 we will risk 3 units and look to come away with over 5 units! Good value, lets cash this ticket.

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox - Our Play: Under 8.5 (5 units)
WRITTE UP PENDING

NY Yankees vs. Detriot Tigers - Our Play: NY Yankees ML +100 (5 units)
The Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings. Detriot Tiger\'s are 1-7 in their last 8 overall. Freddy Garcia has a 1.59 ERA in his last 3 starts. We will take the Yankees to win this one in a good value pick.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals- Our Play: Baltimore ML -110 (4 units)
Kansas City has won 4 straight, but that streak should end tonight when they send their biggest struggling pitcher on the mound Kyle Davies with a 7.98 ERA. We look for Baltimore to get Davies in to trouble early on in the game and KC\'s bullpen is not good enough to be part of the game early. Look for Davies to get into trouble early on and be yanked by the 5th or 6th inning.

 

[Yankees31]

justincover


Dallas Mavericks under

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball Wednesday

Play Cincinnati (-200) over Houston (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 12:30 PM EST

Houston has lost 9 of the last 11 games after scoring 10 runs or more in their last game and they have also lost 4 consecutive games as an underdog of +175 to +250. Cincinnati has won 18 of the last 26 games coming off a division loss as a home favorite and pitcher, Travis Wood has won 9 of the last 12 games vs. division opponents.

Play Boston (-180) over LA Angels (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST

Boston has won 6 consecutive games vs. Los Angeles and they have also won 70 of the last 95 games coming off four or more straight home games. Josh Beckett has won 8 of the last 9 home games as a favorite of -175 to -250 and he is 2-0 at home this season with an ERA of 0.60.

Play St. Louis (-180) over Florida (Bonus)

 

[jdsabre]

GILL ALEXANDER
1 UNIT* NBA* DORKY WINNER* Dallas Mavericks +7

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

ATS WINNERS
Yesterday 1 – 2

NBA
Atlanta Hawks vs. Chicago Bulls - Atlanta +9 (2 Units)
Sure the Bulls will step their game up tonight at home, but laying 9 points is a little much. Look for the Hawks to stay within the 9 tonight. Hawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up. win. Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog. Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Hawks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win. Hawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Hawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Hawks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Central.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Chicago Bulls - Over 179 (4 Units)
We played the under in the first matchup, expecting the Hawks to walk the ball up the court and not shoot 54%. Without Hinrich, the Hawks are playing a faster tempo. We know the Hawks won\'t shoot 54% again, but we believe that Chicago will omprove their shooting percentage and look to push the pace tonight. Look for this game to creep over 180 late in the game. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago. Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.Over is 8-3 in Bulls last 11 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Over is 5-2 in Hawks last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 5-2 in Hawks last 7 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Lakers - Dallas +7 (3 Units)

 

[jdsabre]

DAVID MALINSKY

4* HOUSTON/CINCINNATI OVER

3* HOUSTON over CINCINNATI

A team with a losing record, and trending downwards, and a starting pitcher with a 1-3/6.82 bottom line, and trending downwards, is sitting in a -200 range. The rarity of such a setting gets us into play, and this particular sequence gives us the best chance to take advantage – if the Astros get to four runs we are without jeopardy, and given the form of Travis Wood that is not asking much at all.

Wood jumped out to a 4-1/2.51 LY, which was beyond his abilities, but also what can happen to a small but crafty left-hander against hitters getting their first look at his delivery. But now he has been around the league and the scouting reports are out, and over his last 14 starts it has been a 2-6/6.00. That will have his confidence level at a low ebb, especially with his last two starts from this mound being disasters, outings vs. the Pirates and Marlins in which he could not finish the fourth inning either time. His fly-ball rates are among the highest of any starter in the Major Leagues, which makes the Great American Ball Park a bad fit, and with a 6.00 tally here so far in his career, there is jut no way to push him out to either this Side, or Total, projection.

The Astros are swinging the bats well enough to take advantage. They have scored 52 runs over their last 10 games, and there may not be anyone hotter right now than Brett Wallace, who has had multiple hits seven times in the last nine games, including a HR last night. We will put our focus on them getting the job done offensively, instead of having to trust Aneury Rodriguez, who has not thrown more than 36 pitches in any of his relief appearances, and may struggle after the first pass through the Cincinnati lineup. With the firm prospect that both bullpens will be in play from the middle of the game on there are plenty of chances for big innings, creating a game in which we have both a live underdog, and a Total that literally could be Over early.

 

[jdsabre]

SPORTS WAGERS

Houston +179 over CINCINNATI

Aneury Rodriguez makes the first start of his career after working out of the pen in nine games this year. He’s just 23 years old and was signed by the Rockies as a non-drafted free agent in 2005. He’s spent the past five years in the minors and last season went 7-5 with a 3.71 ERA in 19 starts and 10 relief appearances covering 123 frames. He struck out 100 batters and walked 51 and that’s where he gets into most of his trouble. Rodriguez has good stuff but he does not have good command and he might get his clock rung today. However, with a take-back of +179 against Travis Wood, it’s a risk worth taking. Wood failed to get out of the fourth inning in two of his last three. He has an extreme flyball profile and at this venue that’s a problem waiting to happen. The Astros came in here last night and scored 10 runs en route to a 10-4 win. They’ve won three in a row and they’re swinging the bats well right now. The Reds starters are getting whacked and as a result the pen has been used extensively. Cinci has lost three of four and they’ve allowed 35 runs against in their last five games and 19 in their last two. Both Wood and the Reds are overpriced. Play: Houston +179 (Risking 2 units).


Chicago +112 over LOS ANGELES

Ryan Dempster had been getting knocked around like a piñata all season until last night when the Dodgers made him look like Jon Lester. The Dodgers have scored just 22 runs over their last eight games and they’re hitting .238 over that span. Age and a ton of career innings may finally be catching up to Ted Lilly. The only thing that he has maintained this season is his pinpoint command. Everything else shows warning signs. His GB/FB rate is 27%/44%. He’s allowed 40 hits and 16 ER in 32 frames and he’s only had two good starts in six tries. Four of his six starts have come against San Diego twice and the Giants twice and he got hit hard in three of those four starts. Current Cubbie hitters are batting a robust .441 against Lilly with 26 hits in a combined 59 AB’s. Carlos Zambrano has not regained the form that made him an ace a few years ago but he’s hanging in there and giving the Cubs a chance to win. Zambrano has 29 K’s in 37 IP, he has a BAA of .256 and an 1.28 WHIP. The Cubs are 5-1 when Zambrano pitches and right now they’re playing better ball than the Dodgers. Play: Chicago +112 (Risking 2 units).


Pittsburgh +121 over SAN DIEGO

Kevin Correia went into Colorado in his last start and threw 6.2 innings of three hit ball and didn’t allow a run. He’s now 4-0 on the road with an ERA of 1.29 and he’ll be a little extra amped up here because not only did he pitch the past two years for the Pads but it’s also his hometown. The Padres are dead last in many offensive categories including runs scored and team batting average (.217). They’re too big a risk laying anything even against the Pirates. Pittsburgh is 4-1 against southpaws and will face one here in Clayton Richard. Richard is 1-2 with a 3.82 ERA and everything about his skill set is unexciting. His K’s/BB ratio is weak at 19/12. His GB/LD/FB rate is also average at 41%/22%/37%. His xERA is 4.85 and this starting pitcher for this team as the chalk is about as unappealing as it gets. Of course the Pirates can win here. Play: Pittsburgh +121 (Risking 2 units).

 

[BING!]

Kem77,

Do u have his (Rickenbach) NBA as well ??

 

[Dafinch]

John Morrison Sports Betting Champ:
C Bet on the LA Angels over Boston. Since the Angels are dogs, bet on the +1.5 Runline

Betting Champ, lol! He's still pitching that bullshit, take-a-run-or-a-puck-and-a-half-and-lay-enormous-juice-chase-system? Wins 97% of the time, isn't that right?:nohead::lolBIG:

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

TWO NINE FINANCIAL
Monday 1 - 4
Tuesday 1 -4

Mets +130
Braves -1.5 Game 1 (+135)
Pirates +120
Indians +130

 

[Coachcarey]

Doc Sports has MLB AL GOY today. Any help?
Thanks

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

WUNDERDOG (NBA)
Yesterday 2 - 0
1 OF 2

Game: Atlanta at Chicago (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 179.5 -110

The Chicago Bulls were caught off guard in game one and the Atlanta Hawks seem to shred the Bulls defense for a lot of easy looks. I expect Chicago to make some adjustments here for game two, but I still see Atlanta finding looks here. Chicago was very proficient inside and ended the game with 48 points in the paint and another 18 on the break. I look for them to continue to pound inside and, with both teams getting good looks, I expect this low total is going to be in jeopardy. The Hawks are now at 5-2 to the OVER in their last seven as a dog from 5-10.5 and, this series, as defensive as it may look on paper, has seen nine of the last 12 top the total, including five of the last six in Chicago.
I am on the OVER here

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

DAQsports
05/04/11

Early Release - MLB: White Sox (runline) +120, Braves (game #1) (runline) +130

 

[fonsde]

is richenback reliable ?

 

[jdsabre]

LT Profits

MLB

Pirates +122
Yankees +102
Giants/Mets UNDER 6.5 -115

 

[jdsabre]

HONEST HANDICAPPER
5 UNIT* MLB* Chicago White Sox -150 ML

 

[jdsabre]

SUPER SPORTS GROUP

MLB
LA v. Boston 7:05pm
8* PICK: Angels ML +165 Game
10* PICK: OVER 8.5 Game +105 Hidden Gem

Colorado v. Arizona 9:40pm
8* PICK: D' Backs ML +124 Game

1* 3 TEAM PARLAY
Detroit ML -108 Game
Mets ML +130 Game
OVER 8 Toronto +105 Game

NBA
Atlanta v. Chicago 8:05pm
10* PICK: Hawks +8.5 Game Hidden Gem

Dallas v. LA 10:35pm
8* PICK: UNDER 186.5 Game

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Comps

1. NSA(The Legend) MLB - Orioles -110
2. Ray "The Playmaker" Bowden MLB - Tigers -110
3. VegasSI MLB - Orioles -110
4. SportsAction365 NHL - Flyers +125
5. Gameday Network NHL - Red Wings -165
6. William E. Stockton MLB - Rockies under 9.5
7. Gerry "Big Cat" Andino NHL - Lightning -130
8. Lou Panelli MLB - Blue Jays +110
9. Steve "Scoop" Kendall MLB - Phillies -150
10. Vincent Pioli NHL - Flyers over 5.5
11. John Morrison NHL - Flyers over 5.5
12. Tony Campone MLB - Rangers over 6.5
13. Chicago Sports Group MLB - Red Sox -180
14. Hollywood Sportsline MLB - Mets +130
15. VIP Action NHL - Lightning -130
16. South Beach Sports MLB - Athletics over 7
17. Michigan Sports NHL - Lightning -130
18. NY Players Club NHL - Red Wings under 5.5
19. Charlies Sports MLB - Cubs under 7.5
20. Fred Callahan MLB - Rockies -130

 

[colts10]

rickenbach nba bulls anyone know larry ness plays thanks ?

 

[kylem923]

anybody know kelso 100 unit basketball?