Service Plays Wednesday 5/26/10

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DUNKEL

Texas at Kansas City

The Royals look to take advantage of a Texas team that is 0-6 in Scott Feldman's last 6 road starts. Kansas City is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-105). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, MAY 26
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Atlanta at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hanson) 15.369; Florida (Robertson) 16.743
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120); Over

Game 953-954: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 14.580; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 16.012
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-175); Over

Game 955-956: Philadelphia at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 15.517; NY Mets (Takahashi) 14.867
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-115); Over

Game 957-958: LA Dodgers at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 16.438; Cubs (Gorzelanny) 15.108
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-110); No Total
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-110); N/A

Game 959-960: Houston at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oswalt) 14.646; Milwaukee (Narveson) 13.711
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-105); Under

Game 961-962: Arizona at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Lopez) 14.780; Colorado (Jimenez) 16.977
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Colorado (-260); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-260); Under

Game 963-964: St. Louis at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Garcia) 15.061; San Diego (Correia) 16.667
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Over

Game 965-966: Washington at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Atilano) 13.869; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.051
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-260); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-260); Under

Game 967-968: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland (12:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Buehrle) 13.991; Cleveland (Westbrook) 15.388
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+100); Over

Game 969-970: Texas at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Feldman) 14.490; Kansas City (Hochevar) 15.827
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-105); Over

Game 971-972: Detroit at Seattle (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Bonderman) 15.764; Seattle (Vargas) 14.921
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-110); Over

Game 973-974: Toronto at LA Angels (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Morrow) 16.688; LA Angels (Pineiro) 15.485
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+125); Over

Game 975-976: Oakland at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 15.307; Baltimore (Matusz) 13.660
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+100); Under

Game 977-978: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 16.601; Tampa Bay (Garza) 16.935
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-160); Under

Game 979-980: NY Yankees at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.745; Minnesota (Liriano) 14.235
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-105); Under
 
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DUNKEL

Boston at Orlando

The Celtics look to bounce back from their Game 3 loss and take advantage of an Orlando team that is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games as a home favorite from 1 to 4 1/2 points. Boston is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (+4). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, MAY 26
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 517-518: Boston at Orlando (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 131.810; Orlando 127.073
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 4 1/2; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 4; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+4); Under
 
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Foxsheets

Super Situations

ST LOUIS at SAN DIEGO

Play Against - Road teams (ST LOUIS) average hitting team (AVG = .255 to .269) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL)
92-58 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.3% | 40.7 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )


Play Against - Home teams (MINNESOTA) poor power team (<=0.9 HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL
72-42 since 1997. ( 63.2% | 35.6 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.6 units )


Situational Power Trends

NATS at SF

SAN FRANCISCO is 15-2 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in Home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: SAN FRANCISCO (4.5) , OPPONENT (1.5)


Super Situations

BOSTON at ORLANDO
Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points revenging a home loss vs opponent, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record
44-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.1% | 25.3 units )
5-3 this year. ( 62.5% | 1.7 units )


Play On - Underdogs vs the money line (BOSTON) after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games
31-30 over the last 5 seasons. ( 50.8% | 30.7 units )
2-6 this year. ( 25.0% | -2.2 units )


Play Against - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (BOSTON) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7or more against opponent off an upset win as an underdog
84-43 since 1997. ( 66.1% | 36.7 units )
6-1 this year. ( 85.7% | 4.9 units )
 
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JR ODonnell | MLB Total Wed, 05/26/10 - 7:10 PM

triple-dime bet 977 BOS / 978 TAM Over 8.5
Analysis: 3* OVER 8.5 RAYS/SOX GAME AT 7:05
LISTED PITCHERS
GARZA/LACKEY


JR O is moving all in on the Red sox/Rays Wednesday battle tonight in Fenway. The Rays @ 32-14 will get to Boston's John Lackey (4-3, 5.07 ERA) as he is really struggling , bombed by the Phillies last game and having a poor recent record vs the Rays, bu~t he's 0-2 with a 17.28 ERA the last two times he's squared off vs. the Boys from Fla. Let's take a hard look at the Over as Vegas has this baby at 8.5 for a reason. The under will be the popular play here and JR O is going against the grain as 3* totals have cashed nicely . Power play ratings have this May 26th battle at 11.3 runs on the variances we have. That’s a full 2 runs off . Over 8.5 grabs the 3* status.
OVER IT GOES

6-5 FINAL ON THE HORIZION
 
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Jr O'Donnell (RedZone Sports) free internet play:

Orlando Magic roll on boys.
The free NBA J Bomb might not be the sexy popular side tonight but JR O LOVES going the other way. I feel that you can wait till game time to grab this side as the line will mostly drop. How about the pure fact that the Magic are smooth 70% run and also a 75% ats winner since March 31st. I can actually see a 10 to 15 point Magic win here boys. Let's ride Philly boy J. Nelson and Superman Dwight Howard to the promised land tonight. To win in the NBA you have to think outside the box and the Magic tonight are ready to make Paul Pierce and his statement sweat again tonight
MAGIC BY 10 TO 15 JR O STYLE
 

ugk

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DAVE COKIN

Matchup: Oakland at Baltimore
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Wed)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) CAHILL, T vs. (L) MATUSZ, B

Play: Baltimore (ML -115)

The Oakland A's had lots of chances to break things open early in their Tuesday game with the Orioles. But they left loads of runners stranded and ended up with the loss, extending the road miseries for this team. The A's are now a woeful 5-14 on the road, and I think they're in trouble tonight. The Orioles clearly have bullpen issues, so they will need a good start tonight from lefty Brian Matusz. The talented young southpaw is off a very bad outing, but I expect him to rebound smartly against an A's lineup that's not real loaded for bear against lefties. On the flip side, Baltimore can bang righties, especially at home, and A's starter Trevor Cahill has struggled in most of his away starts. Given the Oakland problems on the road and the fact the O's have what I believe is an edge on the mound, this number is actually a little on the low side. I'll look for the O's to win their second straight.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Matchup: Boston at Orlando
Time: 8:30 PM EDT (Wed)

Play: Boston (+4 -110)

It's amazing how quickly people will change their tune when analyzing sports. Most of the same people who said this series was over after Game Three are suddenly talking about how the Magic are right back in the series and that the pressure is now on the Celtics. I think that's absurd. Boston is ahead three games to one. The pressure is on Orlando, because if they lose tonight, their season is finished. I also am not putting a whole lot of stock into the Game Four result. The Celtics played flat, and yet they still got the game to OT and might well have won in regulation has Rasheed Wallace not taken another of his typically stupid technical fouls late in the game. In my opinion, the Celtics still have the physical advantage and unless the Magic have another game where they are unconscious from beyond the arc, it's ending tonight. At the very least, I expect Boston to be in it all the way, so taking the points with the Celtics is the play.
 
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KLR GAME CHANGERS
Stolen Base System (chase plays)

Game 2 of 3- Philadelphia Phillies -110 ML
Game 1 of 3- TB Rays -155
 

ugk

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JIMMY BOYD

3* NBA Playoffs SMASH (ESPN) on Magic -4

If the Magic were going to just pack it in, they would have done so in Boston in Game 4. Instead, they showed a lot of heart and extended the series. Now they're back home, where they are 38-9 on the season, with some momentum on their side. I know Boston stole the first two games of this series on the road, but I can't see it winning three in a row in Orlando. The Magic's Game 4 win will give them some much needed confidence. As a result, expect the three-point shots to start falling. The Magic are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Plus, they are a perfect 13-0 ATS after a win by 6 points or less this season, winning in this situation by an average score of 106.5 to 90.5. I'll play by the numbers tonight. Take the Magic.
 
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BENJAMIN LEE ECKSTEIN

Wednesday "Mr Chalk" is going with a "PURE CHALK" play the Rockies -$240/Diamondbacks.

"Mr Chalk" is 27-24 -$1100 for the 2010 MLB season. Ouch!!!
 
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JSM SPORTS
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-May 26th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[954] Philadelphia |5*|-120|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST
[954] Cincinnati |5*|-165|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST
[976] Oak/Bal Over 8.5 |2*|-130|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST
----------------------------------------------------------------
HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-May 26th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[518] Orlando |5*|-4|B+0|ESPN|8:30 pm EST
 
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Ferringo MLB

2-Unit Play. Take #962 Colorado (-1.5, -120) over Arizona (8:40 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. Take #955 Philadelphia (-110) over N.Y. Mets (7 p.m.)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #957 L.A. Dodgers (+100) over Chicago Cubs (8 p.m.)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #975 Oakland (+105) over Baltimore (7 p.m.)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #966 San Francisco (-1.5, -125) over Washington (10 p.m.)


Today's Totals
1.5-Unit Play. Take Over 9.5 Texas at Kansas City (2 p.m.)

1.5-Unit Play. Take Under 7.5 Washington at San Francisco (10 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take Over 8.5 Philadelphia at N.Y. Mets (7 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take Over 8.5 Arizona at Colorado (8 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take Over 9.5 Toronto at L.A. Angels (7 p.m.)

0.5-Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 Atlanta at Florida (7 p.m.)

0.5-Unit Play. Take Under 9.0 N.Y. Yankees at Minnesota (7 p.m.)

0.5-Unit Play. Take Under 7.5 L.A. Dodgers at Chicago Cubs (8 p.m.)
 
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Wednesday 23-4 MLB System play-GC

WED: Triple Angle, Double system Game 5 NBA Power Play + 92% MLB Divisional Game of the month


On Wednesday the free MLB play is on the Milwaukee Brewers. Game 960 at 8:10 eastern. The Brewers qualify in a solid system here tonight. What we want to do is play on certain home teams that are off a home favorite win by 5 or more runs if tonight's total is 8 or less and they had 10+ hits and left 5 or more men on base, vs an opponent off a road dog loss of 5+ runs. These homers have won 23 of 27 times. The Brewers are 12-4 at home vs the Astros. In the pitching match up they have C. Narveson. In his lone home start vs the Astros he did well going 5 innings allowing just 1 run. Houston counters with R.Oswalt in this one. Oswalt recently requested a trade. He has pitched well this year. However due to a lack of run support his record is not a good indicator of his performance. Tonight he faces the Brewers and he has not been as effective here as he has been at other venues. In his last 2 starts vs Milwaukee he has allowed 8 runs and an uncharacteristic 18 hits in just 12 innings. Look for the Brewers to get the win tonight. On Wednesday I have a Triple Angle, Double system NBA play that has some solid indicators. In MLB action I have a 92% system, Divisional Game of the month side. . For the MLB play tonight take the Milwaukee Brewers. GC
 
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Sports Betting Professor NBA & MLB 5/26

Could be NBA play tonight.

Early MLB version 1.0:
Mariners -109
Royals +107
 

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