VegasButcher
NBA
Utah Jazz -12
MLB YTD 3 – 2 for +1.15 Units
Cleveland Indians -125
Two factors come into play here. First, Cleveland should have an advantage offensive tonight. Last year, this team ranked 5th overall against right-handed pitching. They’ve added another power bat in Moss to the lineup and will feature 8 left-handers in this one. Houston, on the other hand, ranked 20th offensively against right-handers. All of their key ‘big bats’ are righties: Altuve, Springer, Gattis, and Carter. So offensively, Cleveland should have a strong edge here. Of course an even bigger edge should reside between the two starters. Carrasco was my #2 ranked starter last season. Yes, only Clayton Kershaw was better when you look at advanced stats. Imagine what Kershaw would be listed at if he was pitching in this spot @ Houston. About -150 / -160 if I had to guess. Carrasco is a strike-out machine (27% K-rate) who dominated right-handers last year (2.4 xFIP with 7.5 K/BB rate). Houston’s hitters love to strike out and they’re one of the worst in that department. I think we’ll see a dominant outing from him tonight. As far as Feldman is concerned, he’s as mediocre as it gets. Just looka t that terrible K-rate of 14% along with a 4.1/4.2 FIP/xFIP. His ERA of 3.7 was actually much lower last year than his SIERA of 4.3, so I would expect some major regression this season. In Spring Training, Feldman had 8 K’s to 8 BB’s….in 18.1 innings of work. That’s probably as bad as you can pitch, regardless of whether he gave up hits and/or HR’s. Huge mismatch in this one and I love Indians’ chances tonight.
NBA
Utah Jazz -12
MLB YTD 3 – 2 for +1.15 Units
Cleveland Indians -125
Two factors come into play here. First, Cleveland should have an advantage offensive tonight. Last year, this team ranked 5th overall against right-handed pitching. They’ve added another power bat in Moss to the lineup and will feature 8 left-handers in this one. Houston, on the other hand, ranked 20th offensively against right-handers. All of their key ‘big bats’ are righties: Altuve, Springer, Gattis, and Carter. So offensively, Cleveland should have a strong edge here. Of course an even bigger edge should reside between the two starters. Carrasco was my #2 ranked starter last season. Yes, only Clayton Kershaw was better when you look at advanced stats. Imagine what Kershaw would be listed at if he was pitching in this spot @ Houston. About -150 / -160 if I had to guess. Carrasco is a strike-out machine (27% K-rate) who dominated right-handers last year (2.4 xFIP with 7.5 K/BB rate). Houston’s hitters love to strike out and they’re one of the worst in that department. I think we’ll see a dominant outing from him tonight. As far as Feldman is concerned, he’s as mediocre as it gets. Just looka t that terrible K-rate of 14% along with a 4.1/4.2 FIP/xFIP. His ERA of 3.7 was actually much lower last year than his SIERA of 4.3, so I would expect some major regression this season. In Spring Training, Feldman had 8 K’s to 8 BB’s….in 18.1 innings of work. That’s probably as bad as you can pitch, regardless of whether he gave up hits and/or HR’s. Huge mismatch in this one and I love Indians’ chances tonight.
NBA
Dunkel's Highlighted Game
Atlanta at Brooklyn - Wednesday April 8, 2015
The Hawks (23-14 SU on the road) head to Brooklyn tonight to face a Nets team that is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Brooklyn is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Nets favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-5).
Wednesday April 8, 2015
Los Angeles Lakers @ Denver Nuggets
Game 721-722
April 8, 2015 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles Laker
114.245
Denver Nuggets
117.745
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver Nuggets
by 3 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver Nuggets
by 10
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles Laker
(+10); Over
Washington Wizards @ Philadelphia 76ers
Game 701-702
April 8, 2015 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Washington Wizard
122.911
Philadelphia 76er
112.660
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington Wizard
by 10 1/2
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington Wizard
by 7 1/2
191 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington Wizard
(-7 1/2); Over
Phoenix Suns @ Dallas Mavericks
Game 723-724
April 8, 2015 @ 9:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix Suns
116.363
Dallas Mavericks
121.595
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas Mavericks
by 5
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas Mavericks
by 8 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix Suns
(+8 1/2); N/A
Chicago Bulls @ Orlando Magic
Game 703-704
April 8, 2015 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Bulls
124.206
Orlando Magic
114.312
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Bulls
by 10
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Bulls
by 8
193 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Bulls
(-8); Over
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Portland Trail Blazers
Game 725-726
April 8, 2015 @ 10:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota Timberw
103.351
Portland Trail Bl
127.535
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland Trail Bl
by 24
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland Trail Bl
by 16 1/2
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland Trail Bl
(-16 1/2); Under
Toronto Raptors @ Charlotte Hornets
Game 705-706
April 8, 2015 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Toronto Raptors
118.624
Charlotte Hornets
119.822
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte Hornets
by 1
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto Raptors
by 3
198
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte Hornets
(+3); Over
Indiana Pacers @ New York Knicks
Game 707-708
April 8, 2015 @ 7:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Indiana Pacers
117.511
New York Knicks
114.322
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana Pacers
by 3
190
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana Pacers
by 13
192
Dunkel Pick:
New York Knicks
(+13); Under
Atlanta Hawks @ Brooklyn Nets
Game 709-710
April 8, 2015 @ 7:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta Hawks
118.262
Brooklyn Nets
129.265
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn Nets
by 11
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn Nets
by 5
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn Nets
(-5); N/A
Boston Celtics @ Detroit Pistons
Game 711-712
April 8, 2015 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Boston Celtics
115.312
Detroit Pistons
118.881
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit Pistons
by 3 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit Pistons
by 1
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit Pistons
(-1); Over
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks
Game 713-714
April 8, 2015 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland Cavalie
124.381
Milwaukee Bucks
120.851
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland Cavalie
by 3 1/2
193 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland Cavalie
by 10 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee Bucks
(+10 1/2); N/A
New Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies
Game 715-716
April 8, 2015 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans Pelic
121.765
Memphis Grizzlies
123.249
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis Grizzlies
by 1 1/2
173 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis Grizzlies
by 5
186
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans Pelic
(+5); Under
Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs
Game 717-718
April 8, 2015 @ 8:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Houston Rockets
118.079
San Antonio Spurs
132.560
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio Spurs
by 14 1/2
214 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio Spurs
by 5 1/2
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio Spurs
(-5 1/2); Over
Sacramento Kings @ Utah Jazz
Game 719-720
April 8, 2015 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento Kings
112.432
Utah Jazz
122.245
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah Jazz
by 10
186
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah Jazz
by 8 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Utah Jazz
(-8 1/2); N/A
Dunkel's Highlighted Game
Atlanta at Brooklyn - Wednesday April 8, 2015
The Hawks (23-14 SU on the road) head to Brooklyn tonight to face a Nets team that is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Brooklyn is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Nets favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-5).
Wednesday April 8, 2015
Los Angeles Lakers @ Denver Nuggets
Game 721-722
April 8, 2015 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles Laker
114.245
Denver Nuggets
117.745
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver Nuggets
by 3 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver Nuggets
by 10
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles Laker
(+10); Over
Washington Wizards @ Philadelphia 76ers
Game 701-702
April 8, 2015 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Washington Wizard
122.911
Philadelphia 76er
112.660
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington Wizard
by 10 1/2
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington Wizard
by 7 1/2
191 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington Wizard
(-7 1/2); Over
Phoenix Suns @ Dallas Mavericks
Game 723-724
April 8, 2015 @ 9:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix Suns
116.363
Dallas Mavericks
121.595
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas Mavericks
by 5
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas Mavericks
by 8 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix Suns
(+8 1/2); N/A
Chicago Bulls @ Orlando Magic
Game 703-704
April 8, 2015 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Bulls
124.206
Orlando Magic
114.312
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Bulls
by 10
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Bulls
by 8
193 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Bulls
(-8); Over
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Portland Trail Blazers
Game 725-726
April 8, 2015 @ 10:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota Timberw
103.351
Portland Trail Bl
127.535
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland Trail Bl
by 24
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland Trail Bl
by 16 1/2
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland Trail Bl
(-16 1/2); Under
Toronto Raptors @ Charlotte Hornets
Game 705-706
April 8, 2015 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Toronto Raptors
118.624
Charlotte Hornets
119.822
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte Hornets
by 1
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto Raptors
by 3
198
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte Hornets
(+3); Over
Indiana Pacers @ New York Knicks
Game 707-708
April 8, 2015 @ 7:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Indiana Pacers
117.511
New York Knicks
114.322
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana Pacers
by 3
190
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana Pacers
by 13
192
Dunkel Pick:
New York Knicks
(+13); Under
Atlanta Hawks @ Brooklyn Nets
Game 709-710
April 8, 2015 @ 7:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta Hawks
118.262
Brooklyn Nets
129.265
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn Nets
by 11
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn Nets
by 5
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn Nets
(-5); N/A
Boston Celtics @ Detroit Pistons
Game 711-712
April 8, 2015 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Boston Celtics
115.312
Detroit Pistons
118.881
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit Pistons
by 3 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit Pistons
by 1
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit Pistons
(-1); Over
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks
Game 713-714
April 8, 2015 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland Cavalie
124.381
Milwaukee Bucks
120.851
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland Cavalie
by 3 1/2
193 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland Cavalie
by 10 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee Bucks
(+10 1/2); N/A
New Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies
Game 715-716
April 8, 2015 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans Pelic
121.765
Memphis Grizzlies
123.249
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis Grizzlies
by 1 1/2
173 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis Grizzlies
by 5
186
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans Pelic
(+5); Under
Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs
Game 717-718
April 8, 2015 @ 8:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Houston Rockets
118.079
San Antonio Spurs
132.560
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio Spurs
by 14 1/2
214 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio Spurs
by 5 1/2
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio Spurs
(-5 1/2); Over
Sacramento Kings @ Utah Jazz
Game 719-720
April 8, 2015 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento Kings
112.432
Utah Jazz
122.245
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah Jazz
by 10
186
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah Jazz
by 8 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Utah Jazz
(-8 1/2); N/A
