Service Plays Wednesday 4/28/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

New Addition to Service Play Forum..Specifically for posting additional topics.

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

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I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks (-9, 190.5)

When the Bucks lost big man Andrew Bogut, many pundits said the season was over.

An incredible rookie campaign from Brandon Jennings, a key trade-deadline acquisition in John Salmons and a Coach of the Year effort from Scott Skiles, all for naught.

But after falling behind 2-0 in its playoff series versus the Hawks, Milwaukee has rallied back and evened the series.

"I still feel like there's no pressure on us," Jennings said. "At the end of the day, everybody still expects us to lose the series. The best thing we can do right now is just keep fighting, keep competing with them and just see how everything goes.”

Low expectations can sometimes produce favorable results. And certainly all the pressure is on an Atlanta team that was expected to coast through this matchup.

"It's very frustrating, man," Joe Johnson said after Monday’s loss. "We just don't have the toughness. They are getting all the loose balls, all the big rebounds. We can't get stops when we need to and it's killing us."

While the Hawks covered in the first two home games of this series, the team blew huge leads in the second half. Expect the Deer to keep things close as they try to steal one on the road.

Pick: Bucks

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the day: Jazz at Nuggets

Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets (-7, 215)

Utah leads series 3-1.

Early line move

The early wise guy money has come in on the home favorite, pushing the opening line up from -6.5 to -7. The total has remained unchanged from the opener, sitting at 215.

Defenseless Denver

Denver did not play much defense down the stretch of the regular season, relying on forcing turnovers as opposed to forcing bad shots. Against Utah, the Nuggets defensive weaknesses have been exploited in each of the first four games of this series.

Utah shot 54 percent from inside the arc in the first three games of this series. They followed that up with a 61 percent shooting performance from two point range in their Game 4 blowout over the Nuggets.

And the Nuggets have been sending the Jazz to the free throw line, unable to avoid fouls. Utah has shot a whopping 152 free throw attempts – 38 per game – while taking a 3-1 series lead.

Denver’s reliance on creating turnovers defensively has failed miserably in this series. With Jazz All-Star guard Deron Williams controlling the flow of the offense, the Jazz had 51 assists and only 22 turnovers in the last two games.

Chemistry concerns

The Nuggets are a team loaded with strong personalities and not the most mature team in the league. An anonymous Denver source told reporters, “We don’t have Tim Duncan here.”

Since George Karl was forced to take a leave of absence to treat his bout with cancer, things have gotten appreciably worse. Denver went 41-20 with Karl on the bench, but they are just 8-10 SU since the last game Karl coached back in mid-March.

The Nuggets have been taking potshots at one another, both on and off the court. TV cameras caught a heated exchange between Carmelo Anthony and Chris Anderson on the bench in Game 4 after Birdman threw up an ill-advised 20 footer that missed badly, contributing to the Jazz’s big first half run.

Shooting guard J.R. Smith probably didn’t help matters with his post game response on Twitter, “You play selfish you lose selfish that’s all I’m saying about the game!”

Denver’s chemistry issues have been on full display on the offensive end of the court as well. The Nuggets spent the last two games playing one-on-one basketball, notching only 12 assists in Game 3, then following that up with a 13 assist performance in Game 4. During the regular season, Denver averaged 21 assists per game.

All-Star forward Carmelo Anthony did everything but point fingers in his comments to reporters following the Game 4 defeat.

“The energy and intensity is not there at times…. I’m trying to do everything I can in my power to beat the Jazz, but at the end of the day I need some help,” he said. “I’m not sitting here pointing fingers at anybody, but as a unit we’ve got to do it together.”

Backs against the wall

Denver has a miserable track record when facing elimination in the postseason. Last year, the Nuggets rolled through their first two playoff series, beating New Orleans 4-1 and Dallas 4-1.

That momentum did not carry over to their next series against the Lakers. Returning home after a tough Game 5 loss in L.A., facing a 3-2 series deficit, Denver was blown out right here at the Pepsi Center as a 5.5-point favorite, losing 119-92.

It was a similar story in 2008, when the Nuggets got swept by the Lakers in the first round, failing to win or cover the spread at home in either Game 3 or Game 4.

The Nuggets failed to win or cover either of their home games in the first round against San Antonio in 2007. Facing elimination in Game 5, Denver lost by 15 points, another pointspread failure. Their Game 1 win was their only win of the entire series.

In 2006, Denver got bombed by the Los Angeles Clippers in their elimination game, an 18-point blowout defeat. Denver lost that series 4-1 as well. The Nuggets also lost by double digits in Game 5 of their 4-1 series defeat against San Antonio in 2005, another pointspread failure in a closeout contest.

Clearly, in the past this team has struggled repeatedly stepping up for their biggest must-win game of the entire season.

Jazz having fun

As the Nuggets have been imploding, the Jazz have been coming alive.

“It's fun to watch what they're trying to accomplish,” coach Jerry Sloan told the media. “If we can run our offense and execute it, and set screens to help each other, I think we can score every time - if we can make the shot.”

Utah forward Carlos Boozer echoed his coach’s sentiments in his comments to the press.

“We execute. We're doing a good job of spacing. We've got shooters at a couple of different positions,” Boozer said.

No new injuries

Utah starters Andrei Kirilenko and Mehmet Okur are still sitting on the sidelines in street clothes. Okur is out for the remainder of the playoffs, while Kirilenko is not expected back in the lineup until Game 6 (if necessary) at the earliest.

Denver has some significant injury concerns of their own, but their injured players are still suiting up. Forward Kenyon Martin is a shell of his former self right now, playing on a knee that will require surgery as soon as the season is through. Martin has reached double digits in the scoring column only twice in seven games since returning to the floor.

Nuggets point guard Chauncey Billups appears to be wearing down physically as well. Billups shooting numbers are way down, hitting under 38 percent of his shots from the floor since March 1. “Mr. Big Shot” has been ice cold from three point range, connecting at a 28 percent clip over the last two months.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

What bettors need to know: Canadiens at Capitals

Montreal Canadiens at Washington Capitals (-330, 6)

Series tied at 3-3

Halak attack

So much for playoff nerves.

After being criticized by Washington star Alex Ovechkin for looking nervous earlier in the series, Montreal goaltender Jaroslav Halak had ice water in his veins for Game 6 Monday night.

The young puckstopper turned away 54 shots for a 4-1 victory over the Capitals, coming up big in the third period. Halak faced 22 shots in the final frame and was clutch as Washington’s powerful offense pressed in the final minutes.

"Obviously it's great feeling, especially in the playoffs, winning a game like that," Halak told reporters following the win.

"No one even gave us a chance, but tonight, we stuck to the game plan, we played hard and it paid off at the end. It feels great, but there's another game ahead of us and we have to get ready."

Halak’s performance even gave some of Montreal’s most critical columnists a case of nostalgia, earning comparisons to Habs legend Patrick Roy. He has been brilliant in his last two appearances, allowing just two goals on 92 shots faced and is 12-0-1 when stopping at least 35 shot in a game this year.

Who turned out the lights?

The Capitals are quickly realizing that they will not be able to score themselves out of this first-round playoff series.

Washington, which averaged 3.8 goals during the regular season (most in the NHL), has managed to scored just twice in the past two games despite firing more than 90 shots on goal.

Even more telling is that the league’s top-ranked power play (25.2 percent) went 0-for-6 Monday and fell to an embarrassing 1-for-30 with the man advantage for the series.

But, while the situation would buckle most franchises, the Capitals insist they’re not frustrated with the lack of production from their once-mighty attack.

"There can't be any frustration in our game," Mike Knuble told CBC Sports.

"No matter what's happened with the power play, we did a lot good things on it and it will pay off. We all believe that. Keep getting a lot of pucks on net and it will pay off. We all believe that. We've scored a lot of goals and we know where goals are scored. I don't think we were playing on the outside, we were getting to the inside and we just had trouble finding rebounds tonight."

Ovechkin was held without a point Monday for the first time since Game 1 of the series and fellow sniper Alexander Semin may have to have his pulse checked after registering only one assist in the past six games.

First and foremost

The Canadiens know how to get off on the right foot.

Montreal opened the last two contests with fire in its skates, scoring two goals in the first period of both Game 5 and 6. For the series, the Habs have found the back of the net eight times in the opening frame – more than 44 percent of their total offense in the first round.

“We came out strong in the first period, we got the lead and that was huge for us,” Halak told the media. “We tied the series and we’ve got one more game to play, do or die. Still, we have nothing to lose. They have to win. We can just surprise.”

Forward Mike Michael Cammalleri set the tone with two goals in the first period Monday, scoring on the power play just over seven minutes into Game 6 then adding an even-strength marker a minute and a half later.

Cammalleri has recorded at least one point in every game this series and has 10 in the postseason – third most in the NHL playoffs. He’s riding a three-point night and a ton of momentum into Wednesday’s Game 7 showdown with the Capitals.

“Everybody picked them to win, and they’re supposed to win,” Cammalleri told reporters. “The pressure’s on them, but at the same time we don’t feel any moral victories.”

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants (-155, 7)

The Giants haven’t won a World Series in 56 years so the closest they can get to the Fall Classic is playing the reigning two-time National League champions.

"They come after us. When we play them, they definitely want to beat us," manager Charlie Manuel said after the Giants took down the undefeated Roy Halladay on Monday. "They looked better than we did. They had more energy. They were flashy. They were having more fun."

San Francisco absolutely gets amped up when facing the Phillies, winning seven of the last 10 meetings in the series.

And you know two-time Cy Young award winner Tim Lincecum would love nothing more than to defeat former World Series MVP, Cole Hamels, head-to-head on his home turf.

Lincecum has 18 strikeouts in 14.0 innings pitched this year at AT&T Ballpark. Philadelphia fashions a stacked lineup but is also susceptible to high strikeout totals and “The Freak” should have plenty of K’s hung up on the brick wall by the end of this outing.

Pick: Giants


Oakland Athletics at Tampa Bay Rays (-165, 8.5)

When you’re the best team in baseball, a bright red bull’s-eye gets tattooed on your back. And the 14-5 Rays know exactly how that feels.

"We're playing well," David Price told the team's website. "Everybody else knows that, too. We're going to get everybody else's best from here on out. It's going to make it tougher on us, but I think we can handle it."

Tampa Bay has handled the pressure well nearly a month into the season. The team went 9-1 on its recent road trip and just took two out of three from Toronto at Tropicana Field.

James Shields has always been dominate inside the confines of his home stadium and in his last two home starts versus the A’s the righty has given up a total of three runs in 14.2 innings of work.

Look for Dallas Braden to come out strong in an attempt to back up his words spewed toward superstar Alex Rodriguez last week for running over the pitcher’s mound.

Pick: Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BIGFELLA SPORTS


25* FAT POCKETS MLB Chicago Cubs-1.5 -105

10* SHOEBOX MLB Texas Rangers -120

4* KISS NHL Montreal Canadiens +280

3* Bonus Play NHL Montreal Canadiens +1.5 +105


MLB$ATM System Play NY Yankees Gm#2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Cavaliers (-12) Tuesday night.

Wednesday it's the Capitals and Hawks. The deficit is 415 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 434-293 (.597)

Eastern Conference Playoffs, 1st Round
Game 7, best-of-7 series
WASHINGTON 4, Montreal 3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 845-361 (.701)
ATS: 645-597 (.519)
ATS Vary Units: 1528-1436 (.516)
Over/Under: 615-635 (.492)
Over/Under Vary Units: 806-834 (.491)

Eastern Conference Playoffs, 1st Round
Game 5, best-of-7 series
ATLANTA 98, Milwaukee 93
Western Conference Playoffs, 1st Round
Game 5, best-of-7 series
Utah vs. DENVER: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS ADVISORS

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 28

NBA PLAYOFFS

EASTERN CONFERENCE

Milwaukee (2-2 SU and ATS) at Atlanta (2-2 SU and ATS)

The short-handed Bucks, seeded sixth in the East but without star center Andrew Bogut, aim to keep the pressure on the third-seeded Hawks as this best-of-7 first-round series returns to Philips Arena. After dropping Games 1 and 2 at Atlanta – losing both by 10 points – Milwaukee rebounded with a pair SU and ATS victories in Games 3 and 4 on its home floor. The Bucks rolled to a 107-89 as a one-point favorite Saturday, then claimed a 111-104 win as a two-point underdog Monday. Brandon Jennings (23 points), John Salmons (22) and Carlos Delfino (22) paved the way in Game 4, as Milwaukee shot a stout 55.1 percent (38 of 69). Atlanta got a game-high 29 points and nine assists from Joe Johnson in Monday’s defeat, and the Hawks shot a respectable 47.5 percent, but it wasn’t enough to keep the Bucks from tying the series. Although Atlanta hit 18 of 21 free throws (85.7 percent), it sent Milwaukee to the line 32 times, with the Bucks knocking down 28 (87.5 percent). The Bucks are 18-25 SU on the road this year – getting outscored by less than half a point per game on average (95.5-95.1) – but they are 28-14-1 ATS in those contests (despite failing to cover in Games 1 and 2 in Atlanta). The Hawks are 36-7 SU (27-16 ATS) at Philips Arena, outscoring visitors by nearly nine points per game (104.3-95.7).
Atlanta is 5-3 SU and ATS in the last eight meetings with Milwaukee, with the losses in Games 3 and 4 coming after a four-game ATS run by the Hawks in this rivalry. The chalk is on a 12-4-1 ATS tear (4-1 ATS last five), and the SU winner is 15-3-1 ATS in the last 19 clashes (including 4-0 this series, with the home team winning and cashing in all four contests).
Also, in Atlanta’s last 22 playoff contests, the SU winner is a torrid 21-0-1 ATS, and the SU winner is 10-0-1 ATS in Milwaukee’s last 11 overall. Despite their strong efforts in Games 3 and 4, the Bucks are still on a 3-8-1 ATS purge in first-round playoff games (2-4 last six) and are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 as a postseason pup. That said, they led the NBA at the betting window in the regular season (52-28-2 ATS) and remain on positive pointspread streaks of 36-14-2 overall, 20-6-1 on the highway, 12-3 as a road pup, 16-5-1 after a day off and 38-15-2 after a spread-cover. The Hawks remain on pointspread sprees of 5-2 overall, 7-2 at home (all as a favorite, 9-4 against the Central Division, 9-3 against winning teams and 5-1 laying points, though Atlanta has also dropped four straight ATS decisions following a SU loss and is in a 1-4 ATS rut after a non-cover. Monday’s game sailed over the posted price of 189, and the total has now gone high in 11 of the last 12 meetings overall in this rivalry and five of the last six in Atlanta. In addition, the Bucks are on a plethora of “over” sprees, including 7-2 overall, 10-1 against winning teams, 15-4-2 in first-round playoff games (7-1 last eight) and 10-1 against winning teams. Meanwhile, Atlanta is on “over” runs of 6-2 overall, 7-1 against winning teams and 21-7 following a non-cover.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ATLANTA and OVER


WESTERN CONFERENCE

Utah (3-1 SU and ATS) at Denver (1-3 SU and ATS)

The fifth-seeded Jazz look to close out the No. 4 seed Nuggets when the two Northwest Division rivals square off inside the Pepsi Center for Game 5 of this best-of-7 Western Conference first-round matchup. After stealing Game 2 in Denver, Utah returned to Salt Lake City and swept Games 3 and 4, capped by Sunday’s 117-106 rout as a 2½-point favorite. The Jazz shot 53.2 percent from the floor and got 31 points and 13 rebounds from Carlos Boozer, plus 24 points and 13 assists from Deron Williams and 21 points from C.J. Miles. Denver All-Star Carmelo Anthony tallied 39 points and 11 rebounds, but Anthony got little help from his teammates. Despite a three-point win in Denver in Game 2, Utah remains just 22-21 (24-17-1 ATS) on the road this season, including 5-5 (SU and ATS) in its last 10. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are 35-8 inside the Pepsi Center, but a mediocre 21-21-1 ATS. Denver has won 12 of its last 15 at home (8-7 ATS). The Jazz were eliminated in the first round of the playoffs a season ago by the Lakers in five games (3-2 ATS). They’re in the postseason for the fourth consecutive year, but have lost four of their last six first-round series. The Lakers also took out the Nuggets on their way to the NBA title, topping Denver in six games (3-3 ATS) in the Western Conference Finals. Prior to meeting Los Angeles, the Nuggets had won eight of 10 playoff contests in the first two rounds – eliminating New Orleans and Dallas – while going 10-0 ATS. This is Denver’s sixth consecutive playoff appearance after a nine-year drought from 1995-2003. The season series is tied 4-4 (3-3-2 ATS), and while Utah is 3-1-2 ATS in the last six clashes, the Jazz are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six visits to Denver. The chalk is riding a 27-12-3 ATS run in the last 42 meetings (3-1 ATS in this playoff series). Utah is on ATS slides of 1-5 as an underdog and 3-7 on the road against teams with winning home records, but the Jazz are also on positive ATS runs of 34-13-3 overall, 10-3 on Wednesday, 7-1-2 after two days off and 4-1 in first-round playoff games. The Nuggets are on ATS skids of 1-4 overall, 1-5 against winning teams, 4-9 as a favorite and 3-7 after a straight-up loss, but they are on pointspread upticks of 12-5-1 on Wednesday, 8-3 as a playoff favorite, 9-1 at home against teams with winning home records and 5-2-1 after two days off. The Jazz have stayed below the posted total in six of eight after a straight-up win and three of four on Wednesday, but they’re on “over” runs of 34-16-1 as a road underdog, 5-0 after two days off, 21-6 against Northwest Division teams and 7-3 as a playoff underdog. Denver is on a plethora of “over” streaks, including 5-1 overall, 10-4 on Wednesday, 7-2 at home against teams with a winning road record, 7-3 against Northwest Division teams and 5-1 against winning teams. In this rivalry, the “over” has cashed in five of the last six meetings overall, five straight in the Mile High City and three of four in this playoff series.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Minnesota (14-6) at Detroit (11-10)

The Twins continue their nine-game A.L. Central road trip when they send Scott Baker (2-2, 4.81 ERA) to the Comerica Park mound while the Tigers counter with Max Scherzer (1-1, 2.62) in the middle game of a three-game series. Minnesota began its road trip by taking two of three in Kansas City over the weekend, then opened this series with Tuesday’s 2-0 victory behind a dominating pitching performance from Francisco Liriano (eight shutout innings, 10 strikeouts. The Twins are 14-5 overall and 8-2 on the highway since losing at the Angels on Opening Day. Additionally, Ron Gardenhire’s team is on surges of 42-20 in divisional contests, 31-12 against right-handed starters and 5-1 in the second game of a series. Detroit has been playing average baseball of late, alternating wins and losses in its last six games and going 5-8 in the last 13. The Tigers have played just seven home games, winning four of them, and they’ve dropped nine of 13 games at home against right-handed starters. Minnesota staged a furious rally over the final week of the 2009 season to catch the freefalling Tigers in the divisional race. Then in an epic one-game playoff in Minneapolis, the teams went into the 12th inning tied at 4-4 when Detroit scored in the top of the 12th to take the lead, only to see the Twins answer with two in the bottom of the inning to steal the 6-5 victory and the division title. Including the one-game playoff and Tuesday’s contest, the Twins are now on a 13-7 roll against Detroit since the start of last season, with the home team winning 13 of the last 19 contests.
Baker is coming off his worst out of the season, as he got drilled for six runs on 10 hits in a 5 2/3 innings of Thursday’s 8-1 home loss to the Indians. Prior to that, the right-hander had surrendered a combined three runs on 12 hits in 14 innings in victories over the White Sox and Royals. He’s 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in two road starts, and with Baker on the bump, the Twins are on positive runs of 11-4 overall, 5-2 on the road, 20-8 against the A.L. Central and 7-0 in the second game of a series, but they’ve lost nine of his last 11 as an underdog.
Bakers started the one-game playoff against Detroit in October and gave up three runs on six hits in six innings. However, on the season, he went just 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA in five starts versus the Tigers. For his career, he’s 5-4 with a 4.34 ERA in 17 starts against Detroit, including 3-1 with a 3.76 ERA in six games at Comerica Park. Scherzer was traded from Arizona to Detroit in the offseason, and he hasn’t disappointed his new team, giving up just seven earned runs in 24 innings with a 17-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio. However, Detroit has lost three of the four games, and going back to last year with the Diamondbacks, Scherzer’s squads are just 1-7 in his last eight trips to the mound. Three of Scherzer’s four games this season have been on the road. In his lone start in Motown, he gave up five runs (two earned) in five innings of a 10-5 loss to Kansas City. The right-hander has never faced Minnesota in his young career.
Minnesota carries “under” trends of 5-0 against winning teams and 3-0-2 on Wednesday, but is otherwise on “over” runs of 12-6-2 versus A.L. Central foes, 4-1-2 with Baker on the mound overall, 19-7-2 when Baker starts against divisional foes and 4-0-1 when Baker pitches on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Detroit is on “over” stretches of 4-1-1 overall, 4-1 at home, 4-1 versus A.L. Central foes and 7-3-1 against right-handed starters, but the under is 14-4-1 in its last 19 on Wednesday. In this rivalry, the over in surges of 3-1-1 overall, 5-2-1 in Detroit and 4-0 with Baker facing the Tigers.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


Oakland (12-9) at Tampa Bay (14-5)

Dallas Braden (3-0, 2.77) looks to continue his red-hot start to the season when he returns to the mound to lead the A’s against James Shields (2-0, 3.96) and the Rays as these squads conclude a quick two-game series at Tropicana Field. After a travel day Monday, Oakland kicked off a six-game road trip (Tampa Bay and Toronto) with Tuesday’s 8-6 loss to the Rays. The A’s got off to a blistering 9-3 start, but have cooled a bit in losing five of their last eight, and they’ve also dropped three straight on the road. Going back to last year, Oakland has lost eight of 11 on the highway, and they’re also in slumps of 1-4 on Wednesday, 1-4 in the second game of a series and 2-10 versus winning teams. Tampa Bay has now won 12 of its last 14 games – with 11 of the 12 victories coming by multiple runs – but the team has actually been more successful on the road (9-1) so far than at Tropicana Field (6-4). Still, the Rays remain 116-53 in their last 169 home games and they’re on additional runs of 21-7 overall, 5-0 on Wednesday and 38-13 in the second game of a series, but Joe Maddon’s club has lost 17 of 25 against winning teams and 14 of 21 to A.L. West foes. Braden has been dominant from the get-go this season, delivering four straight quality starts, including an impressive 4-2 home win over the Yankees on Thursday, as he surrendered just two runs on six hits in six innings. The southpaw has walked a single batter in all four games while striking out 18. The A’s have won five straight games behind Braden going back to last year, and with last week’s win over the Yankees, they’re 5-1 in his last six starts against the A.L. East. Braden’s lone road start this year came in Anaheim on April 11, and he gave up three runs on five hits in six innings en route to a 9-4 win over the Angels. Last year, the 26-year-old Phoenix native went 2-5 with a 4.13 ERA in 10 starts on the highway. Braden has faced the Rays six times (five starts), going 3-1 with a 3.72 ERA (2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in three starts at The Trop). In four starts versus Tampa since 2008, he’s allowed seven runs in 23 2/3 innings (2.66 ERA), with the A’s winning three times. Shields cruised to a 10-2 victory at the White Sox on Thursday, giving up two runs on six hits in seven innings. The right-hander has gone at least six innings in three of his four outings, with the Rays winning all three of those games. Tampa Bay is 4-1 in Shields’ last five starts overall dating to last season, but it has lost seven of his last 10 at home and five of his last six against the A.L. West. Shields has not recorded a decision in two home starts this year, giving up five runs in 11 1/3 innings (3.97 ERA). Last year, he was 6-6 with a 3.75 ERA in 18 starts at Tropicana Field, and in two contests against Oakland (both at home) he gave up just three runs in 14 2/3 innings (1.84 ERA), failing to get a decision in either game with the Rays losing both by scores of 4-1 and 7-3. Prior to that, Tampa Bay had won five straight games against the A’s behind Shields, who is 3-1 with a 3.88 ERA in eight lifetime starts versus Oakland. Oakland is on “under” runs of 9-5 overall, 4-2 on the highway, 7-4 against right-handed starters, 9-4 versus the A.L. West, 8-3 on Wednesday and 16-5 in the second game of a series. However, the over is 4-1 in Braden’s last five home contests and 5-2 in his last seven versus the A.L. East. Meanwhile, it’s been all “overs” for the Rays, including 5-1 overall, 6-1 at home, 5-0 versus the A.L. West, 5-2 versus lefty starters, 11-2 against winning teams and 9-3 with Shields starting. Lastly, the over is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these teams (all in Tampa), and the over is 3-1-1 in Braden’s last five starts against the Rays.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TAMPA BAY and OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
437 - 318 run 59 %

Bonus Play WED SL Cards

 

[addictedtocraps]

Al McMordie free pick
Cincinnati Reds

 

[BrockLanders]

The Vegas Killers

John Harrison - LA Angels -165 (10 UNITs)
TB Rays -160 (10 UNITs)

NOTE - All of his plays have been between 1-3 UNITs this month.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Moore Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, April 28, 2010

4* Montreal - Washington OVER 6 +100 (7:05 edt) VERSUS
The Capitals threw over 50 shots at the Habs in game 6 but were stoned by Montreal. Washington will be throwing everything they have at Montreal and will get on the board early in this one. Washington does not know how to play much defense so when they get the early goal they will keep pushing which will lead to more scoring chances for everyone. Look for it to take 4 or 5 goals to win this one. Thank you and good luck.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Foxsheets

StatFox Super Situations

Play On - Home teams (TORONTO) off 4 straight losses vs. division rivals against opponent off a one run win over a division rival
54-27 since 1997. ( 66.7% | 28.9 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )


FLORIDA is 80-44 (+47.8 Units) against the money line after a game without an extra base hit since 1997.
The average score was: FLORIDA (4.8) , OPPONENT (4.2)


Play Against - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)
154-88 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.6% | 57.2 units )
27-17 this year. ( 61.4% | 8.3 units )

Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) average shooting team (43.5-45.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making >=50% of their shots
45-22 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 26.5 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.3 units )


Play Under - Home teams ATLANTA where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points with a winning record on the season, in April games
243-148 since 1997. ( 62.1% | 80.2 units )
17-12 this year. ( 58.6% | 3.8 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BS picks all ML

Mariners
Padres
Brewers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ah-Betting 27-15-2 (0-1)

Barcelona-Inter: Under 3 & 1.926 Pinnacle ok down 1.80

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

"Bulgarian Paid service" 46-44 (0-2)


AEK Athen - Paok Thessaloniki:win bet AEK@1,95

SK Slavia Prag - FK Jablonec 97: win bet Over 2.5@1,75

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Other soccer services

SBP Soccer 12-8 (1-0) (Yesterday not listed)

(Sweden)
BK Haken v GAIS Gothenberg**
Win bet BK Haken (A Bet)


The Joker 40-34-1 (1-0)

Back Over 2.5 Goals at 1.6 in Atletico Mineiro v Santos
Brazilian Cup - 01:50 BST


RW Sports (8-3-1) (1-0)

champions league
barcelona - inter, HT/FT 1/1, 1 unit, 2.20 @ bwin (1/1 means bet on barcelona / barcelona)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sampicks 4/28

Champions League - 19:45 GMT
BARCELONA - INTERNATIONALE take BARCELONA -1
Best odds: 1,74