Service Plays Wednesday 4/13/16

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patrick (73-66 -.80) sacramento +15 houston (8pm)

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patrick (3-8 -5.70) kansas city -105 houston (8pm)
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JEFF (61-40 +13.90) CHICAGO +105 ST LOUIS (8PM)
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switzerland axpo league- (over 2.5 -172) fc st gallen @ fc sion (1230pm)
uefa champions league (under 2.5 +100) fc bayern munchen @ sl benficia (245pm)
 

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Joe Gavazzi

Date: Wed, Apr 13, 2016 at 10:56 AM
Subject: All Plays for 4 13 16
To:


Wednesday, April 13, 2016

NBA
4% Memphis Grizzlies (+19)
3% Sacramento Kings (+15)


Current NBA Run 6-1 ATS!

WITH NEED YOU BLEED
Sacramento Kings at Houston Rockets (-15) 8:05 ET
The Sacramento Kings close their season on Wednesday night, when they travel to Houston for this 8:05 ET start. For the Houston Rockets, their season will continue to the playoffs should they get this outright victory. Currently, Houston and Utah are tied for the No. 8 (and final) spot in the NBA Western Playoffs. Houston holds the tiebreaker over the Jazz, who play in the 10:35 ET slot against the Lakers. These teams have met 3 times this season with the results being high-scoring, competitive contests. Houston won the first game of the series with Sacto (116-110) in California, then followed it up with a (120-113) home victory. But, the Kings won the 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] meeting in California (107-97). Clearly, the Kings believe they can play with the Rockets.

This line is bloated because of two factors. First is the injury list which finds key contributors for Sacramento (Cousins, Rondo and Collison) all scheduled to miss this game. But, it is also impacted by the Rockets’ need to win to make the playoffs. As we have seen repeatedly in all sports, it is a common theme that WITH NEED YOU BLEED. That is, it will be no surprise if the Rockets get this victory but fail to cover this extended impost.

Even with all-stars, Harden, at the point and Howard on the interior, Houston has greatly underachieved expectations this season. Three main reasons may attribute to this factor. First would be the selfish play of Harden and Howard, which has prohibited team chemistry and cohesion. Next is a defense that is among the worst in the league with 107 PPG allowed, which is better than only their opponent tonight. Combined with a posted total in this game of 222, it tells you all you need to know about the pace of this contest.

Again this season, the Sacramento Kings with a record of 33-48 have long been out of contention for an NBA playoff spot. Yet even without their superstar, Cousins, they have continued to play hard down the stretch. In that regard, they have posted a recent record of 10-3 ATS, 4-1 ATS recently. They even enter tonight with the momentum of consecutive victories, including a (105-101) win at Phoenix Monday night. In short, the Kings have NOT tossed the towel, figure to play hard in this regular season final and can also rely on the greatly improved play of Seth Curry to fill the void of Rondo and Collison. In the Kings’ consecutive wins, Curry has scored 20+ points and has averaged 18 PPG down the stretch in his final 6 games (only 5 PPG previous to that). In Saturday’s (114-112) win over OKC, Curry connected on 6/10 triples. In further imitating his more famous brother, Curry handed out 15 assists in Monday’s victory at Phoenix.

This has all the makings of a big dog cover for the Kings. Fueled by the poor defense by the Rockets, their need to win this game (rather than cover) and the teams’ pointspread personalities this year, which sees Houston 6-15 ATS as home chalk of 4 or more points, while the Kings are 15-7 ATS as a road dog of 6 or more points.

BIG DOG BOUNCEBACK
Memphis Grizzlies at Golden St. Warriors (-19) 10:35 ET
In this historic game, the Memphis Grizzlies travel north from Los Angeles to face the Golden St. Warriors in this 10:35 ET tipoff. These teams have played three times this season with Golden St. winning the first on this court (119-69) followed by a (100-84) victory in Memphis and then a surprising (100-99) escape as 13 point road chalk at Memphis last Saturday night.

Once holding a strong grip on the No. 5 seed in the Western Conference Playoff queue, the Grizzlies have folded like a cheap accordion in their late season meltdown. Look no further than the injury list, where their two best players (PG Conley and interior big man Gasol) went out for the season some 16 games ago. After that near miss vs. Golden St. on Saturday and with the knowledge that they would be playing the Warriors again tonight, I correctly predicted that Memphis would “mail it in” in their game vs. the Clippers last night looking forward to this contest. The (110-84) loss dropped the recent Memphis’ record to 3-13 SU. The loss of Conley and Gasol has been only the tip of the iceberg for the Grizz. They have used 28 players this year with 12 players missing a total of 291 games. Unheard of, unless you are the New Orleans Pelicans! If the Grizz do not win this game outright (unlikely on a court where Golden is 38-2 SU), they will be relegated to the No. 7 spot in the Playoffs with a match against powerful San Antonio. Though that fate seems inevitable, I do not believe the Grizz toss the towel in this one!

Aiding their cause will be the celebration that Golden St. will have if they are up by a comfortable margin late in the game. Should that be the case, as expected, I expect the back door to be wide open. The celebration for the anticipated 73[SUP]rd[/SUP] victory of the season will be underway, as Golden St. reaches their goal of eclipsing the 72 wins of the 1996 Chicago Bulls. Look for key contributors, such as Steph Curry, Klay Thompson and triple/double machine Draymond Green to be comfortably seated on the bench beside HC Kerr, as the celebration of the 73[SUP]rd[/SUP]win begins midway in the 4[SUP]th[/SUP] quarter. A home court, where Golden St. dominated opponents in the first half of the season, has now dissolved into a venue that sees the Warriors enter tonight just 13-15 ATS as double digit home favorite. Plenty of room for Memphis to slip in under the number tonight, as Golden St. celebrates.



MLB
5% Washington Nationals (-1 ½ R/+105)
4% LA Dodgers (-155)
3% Cleveland Indians (-110)

MLB RED-ASS GAME OF THE DAY
Atlanta Braves (Wisler) at Washington Nationals (Strasburg) (-1 ½ R/+105) 7:05 ET
The Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals continue their 4-game early week set, when they take the field at Nationals Park for a first pitch scheduled for 7:05 ET. After Washington won the Monday night game (6-4), the Nationals were leading (2-0) going to the 9[SUP]th[/SUP] inning last night. It seemed nearly a foregone conclusion that with 2 outs in the top of the 9[SUP]th[/SUP], that the Braves (winless for the season) would have little hope of scoring. But, a 2-out walk followed by a Kelly Johnson RBI double made it a 1 run game, before Mallex Smith struck out to end the contest. Unfortunately, that “meaningless” run precluded us from covering the run line in the contest. Nonetheless, it was the 12[SUP]th[/SUP] straight victory for Washington over Atlanta at Nationals Park and 18[SUP]th[/SUP] in the last 22 over all matchups between these 2 clubs.

Again last night, Atlanta’s impotent offense was nowhere to be found. They came up with just 6 hits in the (2-1) loss and remained with a sub-.300 slugging average, a nearly unfathomable number! Tonight, Atlanta sends Wisler to the mound. In his first outing this season, Wisler allowed 4 runs in 6 2/3 IP in a (7-4) loss to the Cardinals. Last year, Wisler was 2-2 in 4 starts vs. Washington. That included 0-2 from this mound, where he allowed 11 earned runs and 14 hits in only 5 2/3 IP. That certainly does not portend well for the Atlanta hopes of recording their first victory of the season or snapping the 13-game series site win streak of Washington. That is especially true considering tonight’s mound opponent.

Washington sends Stephen Strasburg to the mound, who looks to bounce back from an injury-plagued 2015, in which he was limited to just 23 starts. In his first game of this season vs. these Braves in Atlanta, Strasburg limited Atlanta to 6 singles and just 1 run in a (3-1) victory. That was a continuation of Strasburg’s late-season dominance of 2015, when in his final 10 starts of the season, he posted a 1.90 ERA. Strasburg has allowed just 1 run in 24 IP in winning 4 consecutive starts against the Braves. There is a good chance that continues tonight against an Atlanta offense, which is batting just .203 with a .291 slugging percentage.

We gladly lay the runs in this matchup knowing that 77 of 95 losses last year for Atlanta were by 2 or more runs, and that 5 of 7 losses this year have been by 2 or more runs. For Washington, 35 of 46 home victories last year were by 2 or more runs. Lay the runs with this series dominator in a game that features dichotomous momentum for each team.




Arizona D’Backs (R. De La Rosa) at LA Dodgers (A. Wood) (-155) 10:10 ET
MLB Red Ass Game of the Day No. 2 finds the Dodgers again hosting an Arizona team, who after trailing (1-0) through 5 IP yesterday, emerged with a (4-2) comeback win. That drops the Dodgers’ record against the D’Backs to 15-4 on this field and to 90/55/L the last 2+Y. Lack of runs does not figure to be a problem for the Dodgers today with De La Rosa on the mound. In his opening game this season, De La Rosa lasted just 3 1/3 IP, allowing 7 runs and 3 walks in a (14-6) loss to the Cubs. That was as extension of his poor recent current form, which finds De La Rosa failing to reach the 6[SUP]th[/SUP] inning in any of his last 6 starts with a 7.66 ERA. It is doubtful that turns around tonight against the Dodgers. Last year, De La Rosa was 0-3 vs. LAD with an 11.21 ERA.

Cleveland Indians (Carrasco) (-110) at Tampa Bay Rays (Smyly) 7:10 ET
We are locked into backing Cleveland’s big 3 against the Rays this week. It did not work well last night, as Tampa Bay starter, Matt Moore, pitched one run, 5- hit ball for 7 innings. The Rays scratched out only 5 hits, but it was enough to result in a (5-1) victory. Tonight, look for the Rays’ offense to again have trouble getting untracked, as they face Carlos Carrasco. All Carrasco did the last time he faced the Rays from this mound was work 8 2/3 IP of no-hit ball with a 13/2 KBB ratio.
 
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GC: NHL Play

Hump day headlines include the 23-1 NBA Game of the Month and the 47-8 MLB Game of the week + Final game NBA Specific systems. NHL Playoff Comp play below.

The NHL Comp play is on the St. Louis Blues at 9:35 eastern. Round one home teams win 59% of the time at 132-92 all time. The Blues are 3-1 with 3+ days rest and have won 7 of 10 at home vs Chicago. They won the season series this year 3-2 and are a solid 24-15 vs winning teams. Chicago is under 500 vs winning teams this year. The Blues have won 8 of 10 and are getting hot at the right time. We will look their way today. On Wednesday we have our exclusive last game specific NBA Database systems up ad one is the 23-1 Game of the Month. In MLB the lead play is the Game of the Week from a massive 47-8 system that dates to 2004 and has cashed big for us through the years. Jump on now and Hammer your book big on Hump day with out exclusive data. For the free NHL Playoff side. Play on the St. Louis Blues. GC
 

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If anyone gets Steve golf picks please post I was signed up but now he says I'm not..
 

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Brandon Lang
My 20 Dime selection is Giants over the Rockies. The current line on this game is -110 in Vegas and offshore. Please specify Peavy over Lyles at the time of wager. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.
 

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Dominic Brando's Sports Wednesday Inner Circle Report #4 (Next Report Anytime Before by 5 PM ET)
Tuesday Inner Circle Results: 6-3 for +2.6 Units Net Profit on the Day (MLB 5-2, NBA 1-1)


*** Tuesday Recap: Very profitable start to the week, as our MLB Diamond Club delivers 5-2 for +2.75 Units Net Profit. We will continue the momentum with a very strong Wednesday ticket (3 MLB, 2 NBA as of 1:35 PM ET. Next Report Anytime Before 5PM ET....


Wednesday MLB Diamond Club Report #3 (19-10 for +8.7 Units Net Profit YTD):
MLB Diamond Club Regular 1 Unit (10*) Isolation: CLEVELAND INDIANS (CARRASCO) -105 over Tampa Bay
MLB Diamond Club Regular 1 Unit (10*) Isolation: SEATTLE MARINERS (WALKER) -145 over Texas
MLB Diamond Club Regular 1 Unit (10*) Isolation: WASHINGTON NATIONALS (STASBURG/WISLER) -200 over Atlanta


NBA HARDWOOD CLUB WEDNESDAY REPORT #1 (142-87-4 for +72.25 Units Net Profit Overall in 2015-16)
NBA Special 1.5-2 Unit (15-20*) Game of the Year Level Isolations 15-5-0 for +17.5 Units Net Profit (2* 8-2-0, 1.75* 2-0, 1.5* 5-2)
NBA Special 1.25-1.5 Unit (12.5-15*) Game of the Month Level Isolations: 6-2-2 for +6.5 Units Net Profit (1.5* 5-1, 1.25* 1-1-2)
NBA Regular 1 Unit (10*) Level Isolations: 122-81-2 ATS for +47.8 Units Net Profit (1* Underdog Money Line Iso's 11-4)


NBA Regular 1 Unit (10*) Inner Circle Side: MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES +19/-125 over Golden State Warriors
NBA Regular 1 Unit (10*) Inner Circle Side: PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS -10/-125 over Denver Nuggets


NEXT MLB/NBA REPORT WEDNESDAY ANYTIME BEFORE 5PM ET.
 

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Philly Godfather as of 1:45


  • [1913] 1H ARI +150 ( R DELAROSA-R / A WOOD -L )
  • [1925] 1H KAN +110 ( Y VENTURA -R / S FELDMAN -R )
 

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Philly Rooster as of 1:45

[h=2]Rooster's Moves[/h]April 13, 2016 - 56621101

  • 704 Dallas-4.5
  • 915 Angels under 9-120
 

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Goodfella NBA Game of the Year (says he played it as a 4*, strongest wager of his season)

GoodFella | NBA Sides - Wednesday, Apr 13 2016 10:35PM
726 POR -9.5(-110) Greek vs 725 DEN triple-dime bet

Analysis:
"NBA Regular Season GOY" 3* on PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS -9.5
 

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