FOUR VALUES FUND
Wednesday, March 11 picks.. all start times are Eastern
European Cup Soccer: PSG/Chelsea over 1 goal first half +129 (2 units) (3:45 pm start time)
European Cup Soccer: Bayern/Shakhtar over 1.5 goals first half +138 (2 units) 3:45 pm start time)
NCAAB: Pittsburgh +3.5 points -110 (1 unit) (7 pm start time)
NBA: Grizzlies -4.5 points -110 (1 unit) 7 pm start time)
NBA: Bulls -6 points -110 (1 unit) (7 pm start time)
Wednesday, March 11 picks.. all start times are Eastern
European Cup Soccer: PSG/Chelsea over 1 goal first half +129 (2 units) (3:45 pm start time)
European Cup Soccer: Bayern/Shakhtar over 1.5 goals first half +138 (2 units) 3:45 pm start time)
NCAAB: Pittsburgh +3.5 points -110 (1 unit) (7 pm start time)
NBA: Grizzlies -4.5 points -110 (1 unit) 7 pm start time)
NBA: Bulls -6 points -110 (1 unit) (7 pm start time)
HARRY BONDI
College Basketball Bonus Play
Big 12 Tournament
TCU (+2) over Kansas State
7 p.m. ET
The Horned Frogs have improved drastically as the season has gone along. And when it comes to March Madness it’s all about guard play and TCU has a senior-laden backcourt, which makes them dangerous here against a Kansas State team that struggled away from home this year. These two teams split the regular season series with a win apiece, but Kansas State’s victory came by just five points and was played way back on Jan. 7 when the Horned Frogs were just starting to round into shape. In the last meeting on Feb. 18, TCU rolled to a 14-point home victory, limiting the Wildcats to 34% shooting from the floor. We expect a similar outcome tonight. It’s a wrong-way favorite. Take the points!
College Basketball Bonus Play
Big 12 Tournament
TCU (+2) over Kansas State
7 p.m. ET
The Horned Frogs have improved drastically as the season has gone along. And when it comes to March Madness it’s all about guard play and TCU has a senior-laden backcourt, which makes them dangerous here against a Kansas State team that struggled away from home this year. These two teams split the regular season series with a win apiece, but Kansas State’s victory came by just five points and was played way back on Jan. 7 when the Horned Frogs were just starting to round into shape. In the last meeting on Feb. 18, TCU rolled to a 14-point home victory, limiting the Wildcats to 34% shooting from the floor. We expect a similar outcome tonight. It’s a wrong-way favorite. Take the points!
VegasButcher - NBA
Memphis Grizzlies -5.5
Isaiah Thomas took a nasty spill in Boston’s last game and he’s listed as GTD for today. Supposedly he’s feeling better but is still in pain. Hopefully he doesn’t play but even if he does, I’m wondering how effective he’ll be. The big advantage for Memphis in this matchup is their size in the paint. Boston is without Sullinger and Bass/Zeller/Olynyk just don’t have the bulk to matchup with Gasol and Z-Bo. Even with Sullinger in the lineup in the first meeting Boston got outrebounded 50 to 38 and allowed 66 PIP (Points In the Paint) while only scoring 38 themselves. You’re just not going to win a lot of games when you have such a disadvantage on the interior. Bradley should be back for the C’s but he’s not a difference maker to me. I like Memphis to win this one and get us a cover.
Atlanta Hawks -6.5
Denver is 3-2 since firing Shaw and 4-1 ATS but eventually this team has to come back down off their ‘high’. They got outclassed by the Spurs, losing by 9 and by the Rockets, losing by 14 at home. Now comes the best team in the East. I have this one at -8.5 Hawks so I feel that the Bookmakers are still over-valuing the ‘Shaw’ effect here. Let’s not forget that Denver is still one of the worst teams in the league from the talent standpoint. Denver is coming off a home win against the Knicks and I’d expect a much different result for them tonight.
Minnesota Timberwolves +5.5
The Suns are without Brandon Knight tonight and are taking on a Wolves team that beat them at home on 02/20, the first game after the ASB. Phoenix was also without Knight in that one as he just got traded. The line was Minnesota -2 in that one, yet today we have a 7.5 point adjustment. That’s too big of an adjustment from my standpoint. Both teams play at a fast pace, are terrible defensively, and can put up points in a hurry. I expect a close game here.
Memphis Grizzlies -5.5
Isaiah Thomas took a nasty spill in Boston’s last game and he’s listed as GTD for today. Supposedly he’s feeling better but is still in pain. Hopefully he doesn’t play but even if he does, I’m wondering how effective he’ll be. The big advantage for Memphis in this matchup is their size in the paint. Boston is without Sullinger and Bass/Zeller/Olynyk just don’t have the bulk to matchup with Gasol and Z-Bo. Even with Sullinger in the lineup in the first meeting Boston got outrebounded 50 to 38 and allowed 66 PIP (Points In the Paint) while only scoring 38 themselves. You’re just not going to win a lot of games when you have such a disadvantage on the interior. Bradley should be back for the C’s but he’s not a difference maker to me. I like Memphis to win this one and get us a cover.
Atlanta Hawks -6.5
Denver is 3-2 since firing Shaw and 4-1 ATS but eventually this team has to come back down off their ‘high’. They got outclassed by the Spurs, losing by 9 and by the Rockets, losing by 14 at home. Now comes the best team in the East. I have this one at -8.5 Hawks so I feel that the Bookmakers are still over-valuing the ‘Shaw’ effect here. Let’s not forget that Denver is still one of the worst teams in the league from the talent standpoint. Denver is coming off a home win against the Knicks and I’d expect a much different result for them tonight.
Minnesota Timberwolves +5.5
The Suns are without Brandon Knight tonight and are taking on a Wolves team that beat them at home on 02/20, the first game after the ASB. Phoenix was also without Knight in that one as he just got traded. The line was Minnesota -2 in that one, yet today we have a 7.5 point adjustment. That’s too big of an adjustment from my standpoint. Both teams play at a fast pace, are terrible defensively, and can put up points in a hurry. I expect a close game here.
