DR BOB SPORTS
**Marquette (-3 1/2) over ST. JOHN'S
Rotation #622 - 11:30 am Pacific
St. John's may have an edge playing here in Madison Square Garden, where they play some of their home games during the regular season, but the Red Storm are just 1-10 ATS in conference tournament games after a conference tournament win, so that advantage doesn't appear to exist after their first game. Marquette applies to a 78-28-3 ATS conference tournament situation while St. John's applies to a negative 27-61-1 ATS letdown situation based on their consecutive wins. Marquette is not great as a big conference favorite, but the Eagles are 17-4 ATS in conference games under Buzz Williams when not favored by 5 points or more, including 10-1 ATS this season. My ratings favor Marquette by 4 1/2 points even after giving St. John's half of their home court value. I'll take Marquette in a 2-Star Best Bet at -4 points or less.
**Marquette (-3 1/2) over ST. JOHN'S
Rotation #622 - 11:30 am Pacific
St. John's may have an edge playing here in Madison Square Garden, where they play some of their home games during the regular season, but the Red Storm are just 1-10 ATS in conference tournament games after a conference tournament win, so that advantage doesn't appear to exist after their first game. Marquette applies to a 78-28-3 ATS conference tournament situation while St. John's applies to a negative 27-61-1 ATS letdown situation based on their consecutive wins. Marquette is not great as a big conference favorite, but the Eagles are 17-4 ATS in conference games under Buzz Williams when not favored by 5 points or more, including 10-1 ATS this season. My ratings favor Marquette by 4 1/2 points even after giving St. John's half of their home court value. I'll take Marquette in a 2-Star Best Bet at -4 points or less.
Craig Davis
Wednesday's Lineup
40 Dime – SOUTHERN MISS
SOUTHERN MISS --- Gonna back another favorite here today as I have absolutely no faith in Tulane getting anything less than double digits. I think we're getting some really good line value in this one because Tulane finished the season with a very impressive 3-point win over a decent Houston team while outrebounding the Cougars 43-17. But that win doesn't erase the face the Green Wave lost 21 games this season or the fact they were a miserable 3-13 in conference play.
These two teams have already met twice this season, and Southern Miss won both of them... once by 18 and then again by 9 (at Tulane)... and history tells us the Golden Eagles are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games, so I'm not really concerned that this isn't a true home game for Southern Miss. The Golden Eagles have the advantage in every single statistical category, including free throw percentage and rebounding, but the strength of this team all season has been its defense.
Southern Miss has allowed more than 63 points just one time in its last 16 games... a 76-point output by Memphis... and has allowed opponents to score over 63 only five times all season. And if you consider the teams they played that did most of the damage (including Ole Miss and Vanderbilt), then it becomes a little more respectable and you can clearly see how good this defense really is. For the season, the Golden Eagles allow an average of 60 PPG and have limited their opponents to 56 points or less 12 times. Considering Tulane doesn't exactly light the scoreboard up, it should be no problem for Southern Miss to keep the Green Wave shooters in check and keep this team in the 50s again today.
The Eagles are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall, they're 11-4 ATS in their last 15 following an ATS win, 23-9 ATS as a small favorite of less than 7 points, and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games vs. teams from Conference USA. Anytime I can back a solid defensive team laying a relatively small number to a poor shooting team, I'll take it. I think this line is a gift. Is it Christmas already? Take the Golden Eagles minus the number.
THIS WEEK: +40 dimes (yesterday winner)
Wednesday's Lineup
40 Dime – SOUTHERN MISS
SOUTHERN MISS --- Gonna back another favorite here today as I have absolutely no faith in Tulane getting anything less than double digits. I think we're getting some really good line value in this one because Tulane finished the season with a very impressive 3-point win over a decent Houston team while outrebounding the Cougars 43-17. But that win doesn't erase the face the Green Wave lost 21 games this season or the fact they were a miserable 3-13 in conference play.
These two teams have already met twice this season, and Southern Miss won both of them... once by 18 and then again by 9 (at Tulane)... and history tells us the Golden Eagles are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games, so I'm not really concerned that this isn't a true home game for Southern Miss. The Golden Eagles have the advantage in every single statistical category, including free throw percentage and rebounding, but the strength of this team all season has been its defense.
Southern Miss has allowed more than 63 points just one time in its last 16 games... a 76-point output by Memphis... and has allowed opponents to score over 63 only five times all season. And if you consider the teams they played that did most of the damage (including Ole Miss and Vanderbilt), then it becomes a little more respectable and you can clearly see how good this defense really is. For the season, the Golden Eagles allow an average of 60 PPG and have limited their opponents to 56 points or less 12 times. Considering Tulane doesn't exactly light the scoreboard up, it should be no problem for Southern Miss to keep the Green Wave shooters in check and keep this team in the 50s again today.
The Eagles are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall, they're 11-4 ATS in their last 15 following an ATS win, 23-9 ATS as a small favorite of less than 7 points, and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games vs. teams from Conference USA. Anytime I can back a solid defensive team laying a relatively small number to a poor shooting team, I'll take it. I think this line is a gift. Is it Christmas already? Take the Golden Eagles minus the number.
THIS WEEK: +40 dimes (yesterday winner)
Wednesday Conf.Tourney Angle play-GC
On Wednesday the Bonus Play is on Oklahoma St. Game 632 at 7:00 eastern. The Cowboys have been money as favorites this year winning 12 of 13 times with an 11-1-1 ats spread mark. They are 11-0 this year vs losing teams with covers in 4 of their last 5 vs these mediocre teams. The Sooners are 0-4 straight up and ats as a neutral court dog from 6.5 to 9 and have lost their last 8 games, some of which were not even close. Look for the Cowboys of Ok. State to put an end to the Sooners season here with a win and cover. On Wednesday There are 3 Big plays up the perfect system Big West conference bomb, a daytime blowout side and a 20-0 Triple system NBA 5 star. Take Ok.St tonight. BOL GC
On Wednesday the Bonus Play is on Oklahoma St. Game 632 at 7:00 eastern. The Cowboys have been money as favorites this year winning 12 of 13 times with an 11-1-1 ats spread mark. They are 11-0 this year vs losing teams with covers in 4 of their last 5 vs these mediocre teams. The Sooners are 0-4 straight up and ats as a neutral court dog from 6.5 to 9 and have lost their last 8 games, some of which were not even close. Look for the Cowboys of Ok. State to put an end to the Sooners season here with a win and cover. On Wednesday There are 3 Big plays up the perfect system Big West conference bomb, a daytime blowout side and a 20-0 Triple system NBA 5 star. Take Ok.St tonight. BOL GC
