STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 2/5/14
NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Wednesday, 2/5/14 NCAACB Knowledge *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 NCAA College Basketball season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Wednesday's Notebook
•Nebraska won three of last four games, covered last six; they're 3-0 as a road underdog, with road losses by 10-6-4 points. Michigan (-5.5) won 71-70 in Lincoln Jan 9, despite going 3-9 on foul line; they shot 75.8% (25-33) inside arc in winning third in row against the Huskers by 16-15-1 point. Wolverines are 3-1 as home favorites, winning by 23-13-8-9 in Crisler Arena. Big Dozen double digit home favorite are 7-7 versus spread.
•Oklahoma swept West Virginia LY, by 10-13 points; Sooners won four of last five games overall, are 4-1 as road underdogs- dogs are 7-2 versus the spread in their league games. West Virginia won three of last four games, winning last two home games by 6-10 points, after losing first two. Six of their nine conference games were decided by 6 or less points. Big X home teams are 2-5 versus spread in games where spread was less than 4 points.
•Third game in five nights for Delaware squad that won its last 11 outings but is down two starters; Blue Hens are 2-3 as home favorite, with four of five CAA home wins by 7 or less points. CAA home favorites of 6 or less points are 4-14 versus spread. Charleston is 1-3 on conference road, losing by 4-2-11 points; they're 1-5 versus spread in last six games, 1-1 as road dogs. Cougars allow opponents to shoot just 42.1% inside arc.
•LaSalle/UMass both lost three of last four games; Explorers are 0-5 versus spread in their last five contests, 1-2 on conference road, losing by 15-22 points. Minutemen are 17-4, 4-3 in league, have one A-13 win by more than five points. LaSalle won three in row, seven of last eight games with UMass, winning last four here by 9-11-21-7 points. Atlantic 13 home favorites of 7+ points are 8-11 against the spread.
•St Joe's has almost no depth due to injuries; its bench played total of 34 minutes in last two games, tough wins over Dayton/UMass. Hawks lost last seven games with Saint Louis, dropping last four here by 11-9-4-12 points. A-13 favorites are 10-4 versus spread in games where spread was 3 or less points. Billikens are 7-0 in A-13 but got taken to OT by winless George Mason in last game.
•Akron was 10-19 from arc in 78-68 (+3.5) win at Eastern Michigan two weeks ago, its fourth win in row over Eagles by 14-30-8-10. Zips won three of last four games, are 1-2 as home favorites, winning at home by 7-27 points, with loss to Toledo. Mid-American Conference single home favorites are 8-15 versus spread. EMU lost three of last four games, is 0-2 as road underdog in MAC, with road losses by 10-4 points.
•Road team is 8-0 versus spread in Miami's ACC games; Hurricanes are 0-3 as home underdogs, losing by 1-10-21-11 points at home. Pittsburgh is 2-3 in last five games after losing at home to Duke/Virginia last week; Panthers are 2-0-1 as road favorites, with road wins by 12-7-1-4 points. Miami's only two conference wins were on road at N Carolina/Georgia Tech. ACC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 4-7 versus spread.
•Vanderbilt won its last three games, allowing 52.7 ppg; Commodores are 2-2 at home in SEC, losing to Kentucky/Ole Miss. Tennessee won three of last four games, is 4-1-1 versus spread in its last six; Volunteers are 2-2 on conference road, with all four games decided by 8+ points. SEC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 9-3-1 versus spread. Tennessee won five of its last six versus Vanderbilt, winning last three meetings by 7-11-12 points.
•Wichita State (-11) held Indiana State to 35.5% inside arc in 68-48 home win Jan 18, its second win in row versus ISU after five losses. Shockers are 23-0, 3-1 as Missouri Valley road favorite, winning away games in conference by 15-3-15-17 points. MVC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 7-4-1 versus spread. Sycamores won three of last four games, are 4-0 at home in conference play- they're 1-1 as MVC dogs. Wichita one of two unbeatens in US.
•California (+6.5) won 69-62 at Stanford Jan 2, its first win on Farm in four tries; Cardinal was 10-20 on foul line. Bears are 7-4 in last 11 series games, winning three of last four here- they upset #1 Arizona Saturday, snapping 3-game skid. California is 2-1 as home favorite, winning by 26-21-2 in Haas Pavilion, with loss to ASU. Stanford is 5-2 in last seven games. Pac-12 home teams are 15-9 in games where spread was 5 or less points.
•San Diego State won its last 18 games since 69-60 loss to Arizona back on Nov 14; Aztecs (-6.5) beat Boise State 69-66 Jan 8 after jumping out to 26-8 lead- they're 6-1 versus Boise in Mountain West play, with six of seven games decided by 6 or less points. Eliorraga got hurt Saturday, only played 10 minutes- he is a glue guy for Broncos. Mountain West home teams are 10-7 versus spread in games with spread of 4 or less points.
•Portland (+8.5) ended 0-24 skid versus Gonzaga by beating them 82-73 at home Jan 9, making 8-14 from arc in game Zags never led. Portland lost its last 10 visits here, with seven of last eight by 17+ points. Gonzaga is 4-2 as WCC home favorite, with five of six wins by 14+ points- they've won last six games overall (4-2 vs. spread). Portland is 2-3 in its last five games overall. WCC double digit home favorites are 5-6 versus spread.
•New Mexico won seven in row, 14 of last 15 games with Wyoming, last of which was 72-69 in OT (-3.5) in Laramie Jan 8. Cowboys lost last 10 visits to The Pit, last six by 10+, but they've won five of last six games overall, are 2-1 as road underdogs- none of their three (5-3) conference losses are by more than 5 points. Lobos won last five games (4-1 vs. spread). Mountain West Conference double digit home favorites are 5-9 against spread.
•Situational Trends of The Day
-- FLORIDA ST is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite since 1997.
The average score was FLORIDA ST 65.4, OPPONENT 60.1.
-- VIRGINIA TECH is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 63.0, OPPONENT 66.7.
-- WICHITA ST is 4-16 against the 1rst half line (-13.6 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WICHITA ST 31.0, OPPONENT 31.1.
-- E MICHIGAN is 25-5 UNDER (+19.5 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was E MICHIGAN 22.9, OPPONENT 26.9.
-- JIM CREWS is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games in all games he has coached since 1997.
The average score was CREWS 76.8, OPPONENT 69.6.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- NEVADA is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season.
The average score was NEVADA 71.7, OPPONENT 66.5.
-- NEVADA is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEVADA 67.8, OPPONENT 72.9.
-- GONZAGA is 12-2 against the 1rst half line (+9.8 Units) versus good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GONZAGA 38.3, OPPONENT 28.8.
-- S FLORIDA is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 26.4, OPPONENT 28.4.
-- JAMES JOHNSON is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% as the coach of VIRGINIA TECH.
The average score was Johnson 64.5, OPPONENT 77.3.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Road underdogs of +145 to +350 versus the money line (HOFSTRA) - revenging a home loss versus opponent of 10 points or more, in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse.
(43-1 since 1997.) (97.7%, +41.2 units. Rating = 7*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -175
The average score in these games was: Team 75.5, Opponent 63 (Average point differential = +12.4)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-0, +9 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-1, +11.2 units).
-- Play Against - Home teams as a favorite or pick (TEXAS A&M) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game.
(40-11 since 1997.) (78.4%, +27.9 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (27-24)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7
The average score in these games was: Team 68.9, Opponent 70.8 (Average point differential = -1.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 26 (51% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3).
-- Play On - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ALABAMA) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games.
(71-30 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.3%, +38.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (41-62 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6.4
The average score in these games was: Team 67.8, Opponent 70.1 (Average point differential = -2.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 36 (36.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (16-5).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-13).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (159-152).
-- Play Over - Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MINNESOTA) - a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points, with just two starters returning from last season.
(35-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.3%, +27.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 144.5
The average score in these games was: Team 74, Opponent 80.8 (Total points scored = 154.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 26 (61.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-3).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (65-44).
-- Play Under - Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (NEW MEXICO) - good foul drawing team - attempting >=25 free throws/game, off 3 straight wins against conference rivals, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a winning record.
(34-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.0%, +25.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 124.4
The average score in these games was: Team 64.4, Opponent 52 (Total points scored = 116.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 26 (61.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (7-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-3).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (59-43).
-- Play On - Underdogs of 6 to 11 points versus the first half line (BOSTON COLLEGE) - excellent ball handling team - committing <=12 turnovers/game, off a close road loss by 3 points or less, with all five starters returning from last season.
(26-5 since 1997.) (83.9%, +20.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.1, Opponent 33.5 (Average first half point differential = -3.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
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Wednesday's Match-ups
#725 NEBRASKA @ #726 MICHIGAN
(TV: 6:30 PM EST, Big Ten Network - Line: Michigan -5.5, Total: N/A) - Prior to its first Big Ten loss over the weekend, no opponent gave Michigan quite the scare Nebraska did inside the conference. The 16th-ranked Wolverines, who host the Cornhuskers on Wednesday nearly a month after Michigan escaped Nebraska with a one-point triumph Jan. 9, began league play with eight consecutive victories and won 10 in a row overall. Both streaks came to a halt on Sunday when the Wolverines were handed a 63-52 loss in Indiana.
Michigan coach John Beilein hasn’t forgotten his team’s first meeting against the Cornhuskers and isn’t expecting a much different result this time around, telling the Lincoln Journal Star that “no team in the Big Ten is playing better than Nebraska right now.” With home wins over Minnesota and Indiana last week, Nebraska posted back-to-back league victories for the first time in three seasons as a member of the Big Ten. Winning away from home hasn’t been nearly as easy for the Cornhuskers, however, as they are 0-6 in true road contests.
•ABOUT NEBRASKA (11-9 SU, 12-7-0 ATS, 3-5 Big Ten): Terran Petteway is the conference’s second-leading scorer (18.2 points) and is on pace for the highest scoring average from a Cornhusker sophomore since Tyronn Lue averaged 18.8 in 1996-97. Petteway has been even better in conference play, averaging a league-high 19.5 points while running his streak of scoring in double figures to 17 straight games. “People know what he’s going to do sometimes and the league can’t stop him," Beilein said. "He just played against some really good defensive coaches and he’s still getting buckets."
•ABOUT MICHIGAN (16-5 SU, 10-8-1 ATS, 8-1 Big Ten): The Hoosiers face-guarded Nik Stauskas and the Wolverines’ offense fell apart as a result, setting or matching a number of season lows Sunday – including points, field goals (18), 3-pointers (three) and 3-point percentage (23.1). With Stauskas limited to six points, Michigan misfired on 10 of its 13 attempts beyond the arc to replicate its 3-point effort against Duke, which was also the last time Stauskas failed to score in double figures. “(Indiana’s) defensive gameplan was outstanding. We hadn't seen anything like it since I've been here,” Beilein told reporters after the game.
•PREGAME NOTES: Michigan has dropped back-to-back games only twice over the last three seasons.... Nebraska is 2-21 on the road as a Big Ten member and has dropped its last 11 road contests.... The Wolverines shot 62 percent from the floor in the first meeting, the highest mark by a Nebraska opponent since 2006.... Nebraska is 3-11 against the spread in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last two seasons.... Michigan is 20-8 versus the spread in home games after two straight games where they attempted 50 or less shots since 1997.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, MICHIGAN covered the spread 529 times, while NEBRASKA covered the spread 471 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, MICHIGAN won the game straight up 842 times, while NEBRASKA won 139 times. In 1000 simulated games, NEBRASKA covered the first half line 561 times, while MICHIGAN covered the first half line 439 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--NEBRASKA is 2-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997.
--MICHIGAN is 3-0 straight up against NEBRASKA since 1997.
--2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--MICHIGAN is 1-1 versus the first half line when playing against NEBRASKA since 1997.
--2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
•RECENT TRENDS
--NEB is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Ten.
--Under is 4-1 in NEB last 5 vs. Big Ten.
--Under is 6-1 in CNEB last 7 Wednesday games.
--MICH is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Wed. games.
--MICH is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
--Under is 14-6 in MICH last 20 Wed. games.
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#727 BOSTON COLLEGE @ #728 VIRGINIA
(TV: 7:00 PM ET, ESPN2 - Line: Virginia -15, Total: N/A) - Virginia looks to follow up a dramatic road victory and push its winning streak to six games when it hosts Boston College in an ACC clash Wednesday. The Cavaliers, who returned to the rankings this week at No. 21, kept the heat on first-place Syracuse with a 48-45 win at then-No. 17 Pittsburgh on Sunday, with a 3-pointer by Malcolm Brogdon in the final second proving to be the difference. Brogdon had 16 points and the league's top defense held the Panthers to a 31.9 percent mark from the floor.
While Virginia is streaking, Boston College missed out on a chance to record consecutive wins for the first time in over two months when it fell 76-73 in overtime at Notre Dame on Saturday. The Eagles lost a four-point lead in the final minute of regulation in falling to 1-7 on the road. Ryan Anderson led Boston College with 21 points, Lonnie Jackson added 15 and Joe Rahon chipped in 13 for the Eagles, who are in the midst of playing five out of seven games on the road.
•ABOUT BOSTON COLLEGE (6-15 SU, 6-13-0 ATS, 2-6 ACC): The Eagles were expected to rise a bit in the ACC standings this season, in part due to a late surge last season that began with a wild win over Virginia on March 3, which included a rally from five points down in the final two minutes and then a last-second halfcourt heave from the Cavaliers that went in a tick too late. Boston College could use another spark like that, but has not beaten any Division I team other than Virginia Tech (twice) since before Thanksgiving. The Eagles have been competitive in most affairs, however, losing their six conference games by an average of seven points.
•ABOUT VIRGINIA (17-5 SU, 12-6-0 ATS, 8-1 ACC): Brogdon has been the model of consistency during the Cavaliers' hot stretch, scoring exactly 16 points four times and 18 once in the five-game run. His game-winner Sunday also gave him his third straight game shooting 50 percent or better, which includes a phenomenal 8-of-10 showing from 3-point range. The sophomore finished the night as one of three players shooting over 50 percent from the field in league play, ranking second behind North Carolina's James Michael McAdoo.
•PREGAME NOTES: Anderson is averaging 19.5 points on 66.7 percent shooting in his last two games.... Cavaliers G London Perrantes has 34 assists against only five turnovers in his last seven games and leads the league with a 4.7 assist-to-turnover ratio in ACC play.... Virginia has held opponents in the ACC to a 37.4 percent mark from the floor, compared to 45.4 for Boston College.... The Eagles are 13-4 against the spread versus very good defensive teams - shooting percent defense of less than 39% over the last three seasons.... The Cavaliers are 6-0 versus the spread versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, BOSTON COLLEGE covered the spread 545 times, while VIRGINIA covered the spread 417 times. *EDGE against the spread =BOSTON COLLEGE. In 1000 simulated games, VIRGINIA won the game straight up 832 times, while BOSTON COLLEGE won 152 times. In 1000 simulated games, BOSTON COLLEGE covered the first half line 587 times, while VIRGINIA covered the first half line 413 times. *EDGE against first half line =BOSTON COLLEGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--VIRGINIA is 7-6 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE since 1997
--BOSTON COLLEGE is 7-6 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1997
--6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
--BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-4 versus the first half line when playing against VIRGINIA since 1997.
--6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Virginia.
--Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--BC is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.
--BC is 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games overall.
--Under is 8-2 in BC last 10 overall.
--UVA is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
--UVA is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 vs. Atlantic Coast.
--Under is 11-3 in UVA last 14 Wed. games.
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#729 OKLAHOMA @ #730 W VIRGINIA
(TV: 7:00 PM EST, ESPNU - Line: West Virginia -1.5, Total: N/A) - West Virginia will try to prove it's turning a corner in the Big 12 Conference when No. 23 Oklahoma visits on Wednesday. The Mountaineers, in their second year of action in the Big 12, finally picked up wins against teams not named Texas Tech, Texas Christian or Texas with back-to-back victories against Baylor and Kansas State. The Sooners, who have won four straight against West Virginia, are the first of four consecutive ranked opponents for the Mountaineers.
The game will feature four of the league's top nine scorers, including Oklahoma's Buddy Hield and West Virginia's Juwan Staten, who are both coming off career-high performances. Staten is becoming the center of the Mountaineers' offense, allowing him attack the defense with his speed and dish to open teammates or go to the rim. He leads the league in assists (5.95), assist-to-turnover ratio (2.91) and minutes played (37.1) and has only committed 33 fouls.
•ABOUT OKLAHOMA (17-5 SU, 11-8-1 ATS, 6-3 Big 12): Hield had 30 points in a loss to Iowa State, which snapped the Sooners' four-game win streak, and leads five starters in double figures with 17 points. Cameron Clark, who was leading the league in scoring less than a month ago, has had back-to-back seven-point games and is averaging 10.6 in his last seven games. Ryan Spangler is the only player in the Big 12 averaging at double-double at 11.1 points and a league-high 10.2 rebounds.
•ABOUT WEST VIRGINIA (13-9 SU, 10-9-0 ATS, 5-4 Big 12): Staten, who became the first Mountaineer to earn Big 12 Player of the Week honors, had 35 points against Kansas State, has scored at least 14 points in 14 straight games and leads West Virginia in scoring at 18 per game. Eron Harris adds 17 points and Terry Henderson chips in 12.2 points while freshman Devin Williams averages 8.9 points and a team-best 7.4 rebounds. The Mountaineers entered the week ranked ninth nationally in fewest turnovers (9.7) and are tied for the Big 12 lead in turnover margin (plus-3.9).
•PREGAME NOTES: Spangler has six double-digit rebounding performances in his last seven games and is averaging 12.4 points and 13.3 rebounds in that span.... West Virginia is 9-0 when allowing 69 points or fewer.... Staten is ranked second in Big 12 scoring, followed by Harris (fourth), Hield (sixth) and Clark (ninth).... The Sooners are 6-0 versus the spread in road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season.... The Mountaineers are 14-3 against the spread after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, W VIRGINIA covered the spread 552 times, while OKLAHOMA covered the spread 448 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, W VIRGINIA won the game straight up 589 times, while OKLAHOMA won 388 times. In 1000 simulated games, W VIRGINIA covered the first half line 514 times, while OKLAHOMA covered the first half line 450 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--OKLAHOMA is 4-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA since 1997.
--OKLAHOMA is 4-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA since 1997.
--4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--OKLAHOMA is 3-2 versus the first half line when playing against W VIRGINIA since 1997.
--3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Sooners are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
--Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
--Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--OKLA is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big 12.
--OKLA is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
--Over is 6-1 in OKLA last 7 Wednesday games.
--WVU is 8-23-1 ATS in their last 32 home games.
--WVU is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
--Over is 11-2 in WVU last 13 vs. Big 12.
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#743 ST LOUIS @ #744 ST JOSEPH'S
(TV: 7:00 PM EST, Fox Sports Midwest Plus (Saint Louis), Comcast Network (Saint Joseph's) - Line: Pick, Total: N/A) - While the Atlantic 10 never seems to draw much attention nationally, Saint Louis just keeps winning and moving up the rankings. The 15th-ranked Billikens, off to the best start in school history, will look to push their winning streak to 15 games when they visit Saint Joseph's on Wednesday. Saint Louis is coming off one of its tightest victories during the winning streak as it needed overtime to beat George Mason on Saturday.
“We definitely know it’s going on,” Billikens guard Austin McBroom said of the streak. “But right now, we’re not focused on that. Coach talks about playing good basketball or bad basketball. Right now, we’re playing good basketball. We’re focused on keeping the winning streak alive.” The victory over the Patriots matched Saint Louis' highest point total of the season (87), although the 81 points allowed were 11 more than the Billikens had surrendered in any prior game. The Hawks present a legitimate challenge, as they've won six of their last seven and are 11-2 since mid-December.
•ABOUT SAINT LOUIS (20-2 SU, 8-11-0 ATS, 7-0 A-10): The Billikens are not a good 3-point shooting team, connecting on 33 percent as a group with their two leading scorers, Dwayne Evans and Jordair Jett, combining for 9-of-28 on the season. Evans, a 6-6 senior forward, posted 12 points and 10 rebounds against George Mason - his fifth double-double of the season, three of which have come in the last four games. Jett, a 6-1 senior, has scored in double figures in seven straight games, including a career-high 31 points in a one-point win over Rhode Island last month.
•ABOUT SAINT JOSEPH'S (15-6 SU, 9-7-1 ATS, 5-2 A-10): The Hawks are starting to make a case for an NCAA Tournament berth, with Saturday's home triumph over then-No. 19 Massachusetts serving as their best win to date. Senior forward Halil Kanacevic, the team's leading scorer against UMass with 18 points, is averaging career highs in points (11.2), rebounds (8.7), assists (4.4) and field-goal percentage (55.6). Kanacevic is third on Saint Joseph's in scoring behind fellow seniors Langston Galloway (16.7) and Ronald Roberts Jr. (14.1), both of whom are are averaging career highs in scoring.
•PREGAME NOTES: McBroom has not missed a foul shot since Jan. 4, going 15-of-15 over that stretch.... Entering Tuesday's action, only eight teams in the country had committed fewer fouls per game than Saint Joseph's (15.9).... The last time the Hawks defeated ranked opponents in back-to-back games was 1966.... The Billikens are 14-4 versus the spread when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last two seasons.... The Hawks are 11-2 against the spread versus top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, ST JOSEPHS covered the spread 503 times, while SAINT LOUIS covered the spread 472 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, ST JOSEPHS won the game straight up 503 times, while SAINT LOUIS won 472 times. In 1000 simulated games, SAINT LOUIS covered the first half line 507 times, while ST JOSEPHS covered the first half line 451 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--SAINT LOUIS is 7-2 against the spread versus ST JOSEPHS since 1997.
--SAINT LOUIS is 7-2 straight up against ST JOSEPHS since 1997.
--6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--ST JOSEPHS is 5-4 versus the first half line when playing against SAINT LOUIS since 1997.
--6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Billikens are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Billikens are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in St. Joseph's.
--Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--SLU is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
--SLU is 18-5 ATS in their last 23 vs. Atlantic 10.
--Under is 8-3 in SLU last 11 vs. Atlantic 10.
--JOES is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
--JOES is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Atlantic 10.
--Under is 24-9 in JOES last 33 Wed. games.
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#759 PITTSBURGH @ #760 MIAMI-FLORIDA
(TIME: 7:00 PM EST, Regional Sports Network, ESPN3 - Line: Pittsburgh -4.5, Total: N/A) - No. 22 Pittsburgh, which lost back-to-back home games last week to Duke and Virginia, will try to snap its losing streak at defending Atlantic Coast Conference champion Miami (Fla.) on Wednesday night. "It wasn't a good week for us," Panthers coach Jamie Dixon told the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette after Virginia's Malcolm Brogdon sank a 3-pointer with 0.4 seconds left to hand his team a 48-45 loss on Sunday. "We simply didn't get it done."
Pittsburgh, which dropped a 80-65 decision to Duke earlier last week, is 3-1 on the road and has won five of its last six road games. The only loss during that span was to unbeaten and top-ranked Syracuse, 59-54, on Jan. 18. Miami defeated Norfolk State, 64-49, in a nonconference home game Saturday but has dropped its last three in a row in ACC play.
•ABOUT PITTSBURGH (18-4 SU, 7-11-1 ATS, 6-3 ACC): Senior forward Lamar Patterson has claimed ACC Player of the Week honors three times this season and leads the team in scoring (17.4). Sophomore point guard James Robinson leads the nation in assist-to-turnover ratio (4.74), compiling 90 assists while turning it over just 19 times. Center Talib Zanna ranks second on the team in scoring (12.9) while grabbing a team best 7.8 rebounds per game.
•ABOUT MIAMI (11-10 SU, 7-9-0 ATS, 2-6 ACC): The Hurricanes lost their top six scorers from last year's Sweet 16 team, including All-American point guard Shane Larkin, and have predictably struggled on offense, averaging an ACC-worst 61.6 points. Senior guard Rion Brown (14) is the only player averaging double figures in scoring. Donnavan Kirk, a 6-9 senior transfer from DePaul, leads the team in rebounding (6.3) and has had three or more blocks in eight games this season.
•PREGAME NOTES: Patterson has scored in double figures in 20 straight games.... Pittsburgh leads the ACC in shooting percentage (47.8) and rebounding margin (plus-8.1).... Miami is 0-4 at home in ACC play.... The Panthers are 10-2 versus the spread in road games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last three seasons.... The Hurricanes are 11-2 against the spread off a home win over the last two seasons, including 10-0 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, PITTSBURGH covered the spread 587 times, while MIAMI covered the spread 413 times. *Edge against the spread =PITTSBURGH. In 1000 simulated games, PITTSBURGH won the game straight up 708 times, while MIAMI won 270 times. In 1000 simulated games, PITTSBURGH covered the first half line 580 times, while MIAMI covered the first half line 420 times. *EDGE against first half line =PITTSBURGH.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--MIAMI is 5-5 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH since 1997.
--MIAMI is 5-5 straight up against PITTSBURGH since 1997.
--3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--PITTSBURGH is 7-3 versus the first half line when playing against MIAMI since 1997.
--3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--PITT is 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
--Over is 12-4 in PITT last 16 overall.
--Over is 6-2 in PITT last 8 vs. Atlantic Coast.
--MIA is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games.
--Under is 11-3 in MIA last 14 overall.
--Under is 6-2 in MIA last 8 vs. Atlantic Coast.
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#775 WICHITA ST @ #776 INDIANA ST
(TV: 8:05 PM EST, ESPN3 - Line: Wichita State -5, Total: N/A) - Ranked No. 2 for the first time since 1981, Wichita State is off to its best start ever with a 23-0 record that includes 19 wins by double-digits, but the Shockers are far from a perfect team. On several occasions, Gregg Marshall's squad has fallen behind by double digits only to rally for victories against weaker opponents. Despite the occasional dry spells offensively, Wichita State has emerged unscathed heading into Wednesday's challenging road matchup against Indiana State.
The Shockers' latest escape act came in Saturday's 81-67 victory over Evansville - a game in which they trailed by 15 points in the first half. "Let's just hope we don't find out," Marshall said when asked if any deficit is too big for his players to overcome. "I'm sure there is, at this point not so far, but let's just hope we don't find out anytime soon." Wichita State had no issues staying in command in the first meeting with Indiana State, leading by as many as 28 points in a 68-48 win on Jan. 18.
•ABOUT WICHITA STATE (23-0 SU, 14-5-1 ATS, 10-0 MVC): The Shockers have not allowed more than 70 points in a game since three days before Thanksgiving, and their last six victories have come by an average of 16.7 points. Offensively, it's basically a three-man show for Wichita State, which gets inside-outside play from Cleanthony Early (16.2 points, 6.5 rebounds), long-range shooting from Ron Baker (12.9 points) and terrific decision-making from Fred VanVleet (12.1 points). VanVleet has an assist-to-turnover ratio of nearly 4-to-1, although his shooting over the last four games (10-of-30) has not been a strength for the sophomore.
•ABOUT INDIANA STATE (17-5 SU, 10-10-0 ATS, 8-2 MVC): The loss to the Shockers was Indiana State's worst defeat of the season and is one of just two games that the Sycamores have lost in their last dozen contests. Indiana State scored 48 points in that game, 12 points fewer than its second-lowest scoring game of the season. The Sycamores sit in second place in the Missouri Valley Conference thanks to a balanced scoring attack in which five players average between 11 and 12.3 points, led by senior guard Jake Odum.
•PREGAME NOTES: Early, Baker and VanVleet all shoot at least 83 percent from the foul line and at least 36 percent from 3-point range.... Following a five-game stretch in which he was 7-of-26 from long range, Early is 15-of-27 from behind the arc over his last four contests.... Odum also leads the Sycamores in rebounds (4.4) and assists (4.8), although he was limited to seven points, two rebounds and three assists in the first meeting.... The Shockers are 10-1 versus the spread when playing against a team with a winning record this season, including 8-0 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game.... The Sycamores are 10-2 against the spread revenging a loss versus opponent of 10 points or more over the last three seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, INDIANA ST covered the spread 557 times, while WICHITA ST covered the spread 416 times. *EDGE against the spread =INDIANA ST. In 1000 simulated games, WICHITA ST won the game straight up 555 times, while INDIANA ST won 413 times. In 1000 simulated games, INDIANA ST covered the first half line 536 times, while WICHITA ST covered the first half line 464 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--INDIANA ST is 21-17 against the spread versus WICHITA ST since 1997.
--WICHITA ST is 24-15 straight up against INDIANA ST since 1997.
--13 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--INDIANA ST is 19-18 versus the first half line when playing against WICHITA ST since 1997.
--12 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Shockers are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana St.
--Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
--Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Indiana St.
--Road team is 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--WICH is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games.
--WICH is 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 Wed. games.
--WICH is 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
--INST is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Wed. games.
--Under is 8-2 in INST last 10 home games.
--Under is 15-5 in INST last 20 Wed. games.
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#781 LOUISVILLE @ #782 HOUSTON
(TV: 9:00 PM EST, ESPNU - Line: Louisville -14, Total: N/A) - Defending national champion Louisville is still trying to find its best form, but the Cardinals have taken care of business when they needed to. Louisville looks to improve to 19-0 against unranked opponents and remain spotless on the road in the American Athletic Conference when it visits struggling Houston on Wednesday. The Cougars have lost four straight games and six of their last seven - four of them by more than 20 points - including a 91-52 defeat at Louisville on Jan. 16.
Russ Smith, the second-leading scorer in the AAC, leads a Cardinals' offense that is averaging 82.6 points to rank 16th in the nation. Although coach Rick Pitino told reporters recently his team has areas it needs to improve, Louisville is among the national leaders in turnover margin and steals. Houston is 2-2 in league play at home, including a victory over Connecticut and a 61-60 loss to No. 7 Cincinnati.
•ABOUT LOUISVILLE (18-4 SU, 10-10-0 ATS, 7-2 AAC): The dismissal of Chane Behanan in late December hurts Louisville on the boards, where it is a minus-2 in AAC games, but forward Montrezl Harrell stepped up with four double-doubles in his last seven games. Harrell averages 12.5 points – second to Smith’s 18.4 – and is third in the league in rebounds (8.3) while shooting 62.3 percent from the field (second). Luke Hancock averages 11.3 points, but is converting only 29.9 percent of his 3-pointers after making almost 40 percent last season.
•ABOUT HOUSTON (11-11 SU, 8-9-0 ATS, 3-6 AAC): The Cougars are averaging 61.3 points over their rough seven-game stretch, capped by losses at Connecticut and Rutgers that totaled 60 points. TaShawn Thomas has been a consistent force, aside from a four-point game against Connecticut, averaging a team-best 15.9 points and 8.8 rebounds – second in the AAC – while shooting 59.5 percent from the field. Danuel House (12.8) and Jherrod Stiggers (9.4) have also contributed offensively and L.J. Rose is second in the league with 4.9 assists per contest.
•PREGAME NOTES: Louisville F Wayne Blackshear, who recorded a career-high 23 points against Houston three weeks ago, will not play after suffering a concussion in practice Monday. Blackshear, who is averaging 9.7 points, was accidentally elbowed by teammate Akoy Agau.... Thomas averages three blocks, standing second in the AAC, and has swatted away at least one in all 22 games this season.... The Cardinals lead the all-time series 14-5, winning nine of the last 10 meetings.... Louisville is 13-4 versus the spread in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing less than 14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last three seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, HOUSTON covered the spread 485 times, while LOUISVILLE covered the spread 478 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, LOUISVILLE won the game straight up 849 times, while HOUSTON won 131 times. In 1000 simulated games, HOUSTON covered the first half line 518 times, while LOUISVILLE covered the first half line 435 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--LOUISVILLE is 5-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON since 1997.
--LOUISVILLE is 7-1 straight up against HOUSTON since 1997.
--2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--HOUSTON is 4-4 versus the first half line when playing against LOUISVILLE since 1997.
--1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
•RECENT TRENDS
--LOU is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.
--LOU is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games.
--Over is 21-7 in LOU last 28 overall.
--HOU is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
--Under is 10-4 in HOU last 14 overall.
--Under is 8-2 in HOU last 10 home games.
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#791 SAN DIEGO ST @ #792 BOISE ST
(TV: 9:15 PM EST, CBS Sports Network - Line: Boise State -1, Total: N/A) - Fifth-ranked San Diego State goes after its 19th consecutive victory when it visits Boise State on Wednesday in Mountain West play. The Aztecs boast the nation’s third-longest active winning streak behind Wichita State (23) and Syracuse (22) and have an 8-0 conference mark for the first time in school history. The Broncos collapsed while losing to UNLV last Saturday and badly need an upset victory to add punch to a mediocre postseason resume.
San Diego State hopes to have rebounding dynamo Josh Davis (knee) back on the floor while Boise State relies on forward Ryan Watkins, who averages 11.4 points and 10.8 rebounds. The Broncos had an 11-point lead with under four minutes remaining in the 73-69 loss to the Rebels before UNLV closed with a 17-2 run to drop Boise State to sixth place in the conference race. The Aztecs defeated the Broncos 69-66 in San Diego in early January and have been receiving superb play from point guard Xavier Thames, who averages 18 points and is currently the frontrunner for conference player of the year honors.
•ABOUT SAN DIEGO STATE (19-1 SU, 10-7-0 ATS, 8-0 Mountain West): Davis averages 11.6 rebounds and has a streak of 13 consecutive double-digit outings on the boards. He was injured in a practice on Jan. 27 and an MRI exam two days later displayed no ligament damage and the injury termed as a slight bone bruise caused him to miss last Saturday’s victory over Colorado State. Aztecs coach Steve Fisher said that a decision on whether Davis plays might not be made until shortly before game time.
•ABOUT BOISE STATE (15-7 SU, 6-11-0 ATS, 5-4 Mountain West): The Broncos typically receive strong efforts from Watkins (six consecutive double-doubles) and will need another huge performance from him to compete with the Aztecs. Guards Anthony Drmic (17 points per game) and Derrick Marks (15.8) are often streaky offensive players while 3-point shooter Jeff Elorriaga (8.3 scoring average, 50 3-pointers) is plagued by consistency issues. Boise State reserve guard Mikey Thompson (8.7) is the squad’s top athlete, which makes him a pivotal performer with the Broncos going up against the conference’s most talented team.
•PREGAME NOTES: San Diego State has won seven of the previous eight meetings.... The Broncos defeated the Aztecs in Boise last season and are 10-2 at home this season.... The Aztecs are 6-0 on the road, including a victory at Kansas.... Boise State is 0-6 against the spread in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing less than 12 turnovers/game this season.... San Diego State is 7-0 versus the spread in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last three seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, BOISE ST covered the spread 560 times, while SAN DIEGO ST covered the spread 410 times. *EDGE against the spread =BOISE ST. In 1000 simulated games, BOISE ST won the game straight up 590 times, while SAN DIEGO ST won 376 times. In 1000 simulated games, BOISE ST covered the first half line 541 times, while SAN DIEGO ST covered the first half line 459 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--BOISE ST is 5-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST since 1997.
--SAN DIEGO ST is 6-1 straight up against BOISE ST since 1997.
--5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--SAN DIEGO ST is 4-3 versus the first half line when playing against BOISE ST since 1997.
--5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
--Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--SDSU is 37-15-2 ATS in their last 54 road games.
--Under is 18-5 in SDSU last 23 overall.
--Under is 5-0 in SDSU last 5 Wednesday games.
--BSU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
--BSU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Mountain West.
--Under is 5-2 in BSU last 7 home games.
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#795 PORTLAND @ #796 GONZAGA
(TV: 11:00 PM EST ET, ROOT - Gonzaga -15, Total: N/A) - No. 20 Gonzaga looks to avenge its lone loss in the West Coast Conference when it hosts Portland on Wednesday night. The Bulldogs, who have won six straight games and 12 of the last 14 league titles, hold a three-game lead in the conference with seven games to play. Gonzaga saw its domination of the Pilots end last month at Portland 82-73.
Backed by a raucous crowd, the Pilots never trailed while ending the Bulldogs' 22-game conference winning streak in their meeting on Jan. 9. Portland snapped a 20-game losing streak to Gonzaga and beat a ranked opponent for the first time since defeating then-No. 22 Minnesota in 2009. The Pilots haven't won at Spokane since the 2002-03 season.
•ABOUT PORTLAND (13-10 SU, 14-8-1 ATS, 5-6 West Coast Conference): Thomas van der Mars scored a career-high 28 points and grabbed 11 rebounds as the Pilots snapped a two-game skid with a win at Santa Clara last time out. Junior guard Kevin Bailey also scored his 1,000th career point in the game for Portland, which is 3-4 on the road. Bryce Pressley scored a team-high 16 points, leading five players in double figures in the victory over Gonzaga.
•ABOUT GONZAGA (20-3 SU, 11-9-1 ATS, 10-1 West Coast Conference): The Bulldogs have been far from dominant as of late but they continue to win. Sam Dower buried a 3-pointer in the final seconds to provide the winning margin at Santa Clara and then came back to score a game-high 24 in a 10-point victory at San Francisco. Kevin Pangos suffered a sprained ankle in Saturday's game but is expected to play.
•PREGAME NOTES: Gonzaga G Gary Bell Jr., averaging 12.5 points, missed the first meeting between the two teams with a broken hand.... Portland led by as much as 17 points in their first meeting.... Gonzaga still ranks third in the nation in field goal percentage (50.4 percent) but shot a combined 35-for-95 in its last two outings (36.8).... The Pilots are 21-48 versus the spread in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.... The Bulldogs are 14-5 against the spread in home games after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last three seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, PORTLAND covered the spread 563 times, while GONZAGA covered the spread 421 times. *EDGE against the spread =PORTLAND. In 1000 simulated games, GONZAGA won the game straight up 822 times, while PORTLAND won 162 times. In 1000 simulated games, PORTLAND covered the first half line 599 times, while GONZAGA covered the first half line 401 times. *EDGE against first half line =PORTLAND.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--GONZAGA is 20-14 against the spread versus PORTLAND since 1997.
--GONZAGA is 33-2 straight up against PORTLAND since 1997.
--9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--GONZAGA is 21-13 versus the first half line when playing against PORTLAND since 1997.
--9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Pilots are 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
--Pilots are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Gonzaga.
--Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.
--Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Gonzaga.
--Home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
--Favorite is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Under is 7-3 in PORT last 10 overall.
--Over is 10-3 in PORT last 13 Wed. games.
--Under is 7-3 in PORT last 10 vs. West Coast.
--Under is 6-2 in GONZ last 8 Wed. games.
--Under is 35-14-2 in GONZ last 51 home games.
--Under is 41-14-1 in GONZ last 56 vs. West Coast.
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NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Wednesday, 2/5/14 NCAACB Knowledge *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 NCAA College Basketball season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Wednesday's Notebook
•Nebraska won three of last four games, covered last six; they're 3-0 as a road underdog, with road losses by 10-6-4 points. Michigan (-5.5) won 71-70 in Lincoln Jan 9, despite going 3-9 on foul line; they shot 75.8% (25-33) inside arc in winning third in row against the Huskers by 16-15-1 point. Wolverines are 3-1 as home favorites, winning by 23-13-8-9 in Crisler Arena. Big Dozen double digit home favorite are 7-7 versus spread.
•Oklahoma swept West Virginia LY, by 10-13 points; Sooners won four of last five games overall, are 4-1 as road underdogs- dogs are 7-2 versus the spread in their league games. West Virginia won three of last four games, winning last two home games by 6-10 points, after losing first two. Six of their nine conference games were decided by 6 or less points. Big X home teams are 2-5 versus spread in games where spread was less than 4 points.
•Third game in five nights for Delaware squad that won its last 11 outings but is down two starters; Blue Hens are 2-3 as home favorite, with four of five CAA home wins by 7 or less points. CAA home favorites of 6 or less points are 4-14 versus spread. Charleston is 1-3 on conference road, losing by 4-2-11 points; they're 1-5 versus spread in last six games, 1-1 as road dogs. Cougars allow opponents to shoot just 42.1% inside arc.
•LaSalle/UMass both lost three of last four games; Explorers are 0-5 versus spread in their last five contests, 1-2 on conference road, losing by 15-22 points. Minutemen are 17-4, 4-3 in league, have one A-13 win by more than five points. LaSalle won three in row, seven of last eight games with UMass, winning last four here by 9-11-21-7 points. Atlantic 13 home favorites of 7+ points are 8-11 against the spread.
•St Joe's has almost no depth due to injuries; its bench played total of 34 minutes in last two games, tough wins over Dayton/UMass. Hawks lost last seven games with Saint Louis, dropping last four here by 11-9-4-12 points. A-13 favorites are 10-4 versus spread in games where spread was 3 or less points. Billikens are 7-0 in A-13 but got taken to OT by winless George Mason in last game.
•Akron was 10-19 from arc in 78-68 (+3.5) win at Eastern Michigan two weeks ago, its fourth win in row over Eagles by 14-30-8-10. Zips won three of last four games, are 1-2 as home favorites, winning at home by 7-27 points, with loss to Toledo. Mid-American Conference single home favorites are 8-15 versus spread. EMU lost three of last four games, is 0-2 as road underdog in MAC, with road losses by 10-4 points.
•Road team is 8-0 versus spread in Miami's ACC games; Hurricanes are 0-3 as home underdogs, losing by 1-10-21-11 points at home. Pittsburgh is 2-3 in last five games after losing at home to Duke/Virginia last week; Panthers are 2-0-1 as road favorites, with road wins by 12-7-1-4 points. Miami's only two conference wins were on road at N Carolina/Georgia Tech. ACC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 4-7 versus spread.
•Vanderbilt won its last three games, allowing 52.7 ppg; Commodores are 2-2 at home in SEC, losing to Kentucky/Ole Miss. Tennessee won three of last four games, is 4-1-1 versus spread in its last six; Volunteers are 2-2 on conference road, with all four games decided by 8+ points. SEC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 9-3-1 versus spread. Tennessee won five of its last six versus Vanderbilt, winning last three meetings by 7-11-12 points.
•Wichita State (-11) held Indiana State to 35.5% inside arc in 68-48 home win Jan 18, its second win in row versus ISU after five losses. Shockers are 23-0, 3-1 as Missouri Valley road favorite, winning away games in conference by 15-3-15-17 points. MVC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 7-4-1 versus spread. Sycamores won three of last four games, are 4-0 at home in conference play- they're 1-1 as MVC dogs. Wichita one of two unbeatens in US.
•California (+6.5) won 69-62 at Stanford Jan 2, its first win on Farm in four tries; Cardinal was 10-20 on foul line. Bears are 7-4 in last 11 series games, winning three of last four here- they upset #1 Arizona Saturday, snapping 3-game skid. California is 2-1 as home favorite, winning by 26-21-2 in Haas Pavilion, with loss to ASU. Stanford is 5-2 in last seven games. Pac-12 home teams are 15-9 in games where spread was 5 or less points.
•San Diego State won its last 18 games since 69-60 loss to Arizona back on Nov 14; Aztecs (-6.5) beat Boise State 69-66 Jan 8 after jumping out to 26-8 lead- they're 6-1 versus Boise in Mountain West play, with six of seven games decided by 6 or less points. Eliorraga got hurt Saturday, only played 10 minutes- he is a glue guy for Broncos. Mountain West home teams are 10-7 versus spread in games with spread of 4 or less points.
•Portland (+8.5) ended 0-24 skid versus Gonzaga by beating them 82-73 at home Jan 9, making 8-14 from arc in game Zags never led. Portland lost its last 10 visits here, with seven of last eight by 17+ points. Gonzaga is 4-2 as WCC home favorite, with five of six wins by 14+ points- they've won last six games overall (4-2 vs. spread). Portland is 2-3 in its last five games overall. WCC double digit home favorites are 5-6 versus spread.
•New Mexico won seven in row, 14 of last 15 games with Wyoming, last of which was 72-69 in OT (-3.5) in Laramie Jan 8. Cowboys lost last 10 visits to The Pit, last six by 10+, but they've won five of last six games overall, are 2-1 as road underdogs- none of their three (5-3) conference losses are by more than 5 points. Lobos won last five games (4-1 vs. spread). Mountain West Conference double digit home favorites are 5-9 against spread.
•Situational Trends of The Day
-- FLORIDA ST is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite since 1997.
The average score was FLORIDA ST 65.4, OPPONENT 60.1.
-- VIRGINIA TECH is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 63.0, OPPONENT 66.7.
-- WICHITA ST is 4-16 against the 1rst half line (-13.6 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WICHITA ST 31.0, OPPONENT 31.1.
-- E MICHIGAN is 25-5 UNDER (+19.5 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was E MICHIGAN 22.9, OPPONENT 26.9.
-- JIM CREWS is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games in all games he has coached since 1997.
The average score was CREWS 76.8, OPPONENT 69.6.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- NEVADA is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season.
The average score was NEVADA 71.7, OPPONENT 66.5.
-- NEVADA is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEVADA 67.8, OPPONENT 72.9.
-- GONZAGA is 12-2 against the 1rst half line (+9.8 Units) versus good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GONZAGA 38.3, OPPONENT 28.8.
-- S FLORIDA is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 26.4, OPPONENT 28.4.
-- JAMES JOHNSON is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% as the coach of VIRGINIA TECH.
The average score was Johnson 64.5, OPPONENT 77.3.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Road underdogs of +145 to +350 versus the money line (HOFSTRA) - revenging a home loss versus opponent of 10 points or more, in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse.
(43-1 since 1997.) (97.7%, +41.2 units. Rating = 7*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -175
The average score in these games was: Team 75.5, Opponent 63 (Average point differential = +12.4)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-0, +9 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-1, +11.2 units).
-- Play Against - Home teams as a favorite or pick (TEXAS A&M) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game.
(40-11 since 1997.) (78.4%, +27.9 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (27-24)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7
The average score in these games was: Team 68.9, Opponent 70.8 (Average point differential = -1.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 26 (51% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3).
-- Play On - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ALABAMA) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games.
(71-30 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.3%, +38.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (41-62 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6.4
The average score in these games was: Team 67.8, Opponent 70.1 (Average point differential = -2.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 36 (36.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (16-5).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-13).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (159-152).
-- Play Over - Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MINNESOTA) - a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points, with just two starters returning from last season.
(35-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.3%, +27.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 144.5
The average score in these games was: Team 74, Opponent 80.8 (Total points scored = 154.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 26 (61.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-3).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (65-44).
-- Play Under - Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (NEW MEXICO) - good foul drawing team - attempting >=25 free throws/game, off 3 straight wins against conference rivals, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a winning record.
(34-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.0%, +25.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 124.4
The average score in these games was: Team 64.4, Opponent 52 (Total points scored = 116.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 26 (61.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (7-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-3).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (59-43).
-- Play On - Underdogs of 6 to 11 points versus the first half line (BOSTON COLLEGE) - excellent ball handling team - committing <=12 turnovers/game, off a close road loss by 3 points or less, with all five starters returning from last season.
(26-5 since 1997.) (83.9%, +20.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.1, Opponent 33.5 (Average first half point differential = -3.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
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Wednesday's Match-ups
#725 NEBRASKA @ #726 MICHIGAN
(TV: 6:30 PM EST, Big Ten Network - Line: Michigan -5.5, Total: N/A) - Prior to its first Big Ten loss over the weekend, no opponent gave Michigan quite the scare Nebraska did inside the conference. The 16th-ranked Wolverines, who host the Cornhuskers on Wednesday nearly a month after Michigan escaped Nebraska with a one-point triumph Jan. 9, began league play with eight consecutive victories and won 10 in a row overall. Both streaks came to a halt on Sunday when the Wolverines were handed a 63-52 loss in Indiana.
Michigan coach John Beilein hasn’t forgotten his team’s first meeting against the Cornhuskers and isn’t expecting a much different result this time around, telling the Lincoln Journal Star that “no team in the Big Ten is playing better than Nebraska right now.” With home wins over Minnesota and Indiana last week, Nebraska posted back-to-back league victories for the first time in three seasons as a member of the Big Ten. Winning away from home hasn’t been nearly as easy for the Cornhuskers, however, as they are 0-6 in true road contests.
•ABOUT NEBRASKA (11-9 SU, 12-7-0 ATS, 3-5 Big Ten): Terran Petteway is the conference’s second-leading scorer (18.2 points) and is on pace for the highest scoring average from a Cornhusker sophomore since Tyronn Lue averaged 18.8 in 1996-97. Petteway has been even better in conference play, averaging a league-high 19.5 points while running his streak of scoring in double figures to 17 straight games. “People know what he’s going to do sometimes and the league can’t stop him," Beilein said. "He just played against some really good defensive coaches and he’s still getting buckets."
•ABOUT MICHIGAN (16-5 SU, 10-8-1 ATS, 8-1 Big Ten): The Hoosiers face-guarded Nik Stauskas and the Wolverines’ offense fell apart as a result, setting or matching a number of season lows Sunday – including points, field goals (18), 3-pointers (three) and 3-point percentage (23.1). With Stauskas limited to six points, Michigan misfired on 10 of its 13 attempts beyond the arc to replicate its 3-point effort against Duke, which was also the last time Stauskas failed to score in double figures. “(Indiana’s) defensive gameplan was outstanding. We hadn't seen anything like it since I've been here,” Beilein told reporters after the game.
•PREGAME NOTES: Michigan has dropped back-to-back games only twice over the last three seasons.... Nebraska is 2-21 on the road as a Big Ten member and has dropped its last 11 road contests.... The Wolverines shot 62 percent from the floor in the first meeting, the highest mark by a Nebraska opponent since 2006.... Nebraska is 3-11 against the spread in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last two seasons.... Michigan is 20-8 versus the spread in home games after two straight games where they attempted 50 or less shots since 1997.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, MICHIGAN covered the spread 529 times, while NEBRASKA covered the spread 471 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, MICHIGAN won the game straight up 842 times, while NEBRASKA won 139 times. In 1000 simulated games, NEBRASKA covered the first half line 561 times, while MICHIGAN covered the first half line 439 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--NEBRASKA is 2-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997.
--MICHIGAN is 3-0 straight up against NEBRASKA since 1997.
--2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--MICHIGAN is 1-1 versus the first half line when playing against NEBRASKA since 1997.
--2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
•RECENT TRENDS
--NEB is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Ten.
--Under is 4-1 in NEB last 5 vs. Big Ten.
--Under is 6-1 in CNEB last 7 Wednesday games.
--MICH is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Wed. games.
--MICH is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
--Under is 14-6 in MICH last 20 Wed. games.
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#727 BOSTON COLLEGE @ #728 VIRGINIA
(TV: 7:00 PM ET, ESPN2 - Line: Virginia -15, Total: N/A) - Virginia looks to follow up a dramatic road victory and push its winning streak to six games when it hosts Boston College in an ACC clash Wednesday. The Cavaliers, who returned to the rankings this week at No. 21, kept the heat on first-place Syracuse with a 48-45 win at then-No. 17 Pittsburgh on Sunday, with a 3-pointer by Malcolm Brogdon in the final second proving to be the difference. Brogdon had 16 points and the league's top defense held the Panthers to a 31.9 percent mark from the floor.
While Virginia is streaking, Boston College missed out on a chance to record consecutive wins for the first time in over two months when it fell 76-73 in overtime at Notre Dame on Saturday. The Eagles lost a four-point lead in the final minute of regulation in falling to 1-7 on the road. Ryan Anderson led Boston College with 21 points, Lonnie Jackson added 15 and Joe Rahon chipped in 13 for the Eagles, who are in the midst of playing five out of seven games on the road.
•ABOUT BOSTON COLLEGE (6-15 SU, 6-13-0 ATS, 2-6 ACC): The Eagles were expected to rise a bit in the ACC standings this season, in part due to a late surge last season that began with a wild win over Virginia on March 3, which included a rally from five points down in the final two minutes and then a last-second halfcourt heave from the Cavaliers that went in a tick too late. Boston College could use another spark like that, but has not beaten any Division I team other than Virginia Tech (twice) since before Thanksgiving. The Eagles have been competitive in most affairs, however, losing their six conference games by an average of seven points.
•ABOUT VIRGINIA (17-5 SU, 12-6-0 ATS, 8-1 ACC): Brogdon has been the model of consistency during the Cavaliers' hot stretch, scoring exactly 16 points four times and 18 once in the five-game run. His game-winner Sunday also gave him his third straight game shooting 50 percent or better, which includes a phenomenal 8-of-10 showing from 3-point range. The sophomore finished the night as one of three players shooting over 50 percent from the field in league play, ranking second behind North Carolina's James Michael McAdoo.
•PREGAME NOTES: Anderson is averaging 19.5 points on 66.7 percent shooting in his last two games.... Cavaliers G London Perrantes has 34 assists against only five turnovers in his last seven games and leads the league with a 4.7 assist-to-turnover ratio in ACC play.... Virginia has held opponents in the ACC to a 37.4 percent mark from the floor, compared to 45.4 for Boston College.... The Eagles are 13-4 against the spread versus very good defensive teams - shooting percent defense of less than 39% over the last three seasons.... The Cavaliers are 6-0 versus the spread versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, BOSTON COLLEGE covered the spread 545 times, while VIRGINIA covered the spread 417 times. *EDGE against the spread =BOSTON COLLEGE. In 1000 simulated games, VIRGINIA won the game straight up 832 times, while BOSTON COLLEGE won 152 times. In 1000 simulated games, BOSTON COLLEGE covered the first half line 587 times, while VIRGINIA covered the first half line 413 times. *EDGE against first half line =BOSTON COLLEGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--VIRGINIA is 7-6 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE since 1997
--BOSTON COLLEGE is 7-6 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1997
--6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
--BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-4 versus the first half line when playing against VIRGINIA since 1997.
--6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Virginia.
--Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--BC is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.
--BC is 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games overall.
--Under is 8-2 in BC last 10 overall.
--UVA is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
--UVA is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 vs. Atlantic Coast.
--Under is 11-3 in UVA last 14 Wed. games.
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#729 OKLAHOMA @ #730 W VIRGINIA
(TV: 7:00 PM EST, ESPNU - Line: West Virginia -1.5, Total: N/A) - West Virginia will try to prove it's turning a corner in the Big 12 Conference when No. 23 Oklahoma visits on Wednesday. The Mountaineers, in their second year of action in the Big 12, finally picked up wins against teams not named Texas Tech, Texas Christian or Texas with back-to-back victories against Baylor and Kansas State. The Sooners, who have won four straight against West Virginia, are the first of four consecutive ranked opponents for the Mountaineers.
The game will feature four of the league's top nine scorers, including Oklahoma's Buddy Hield and West Virginia's Juwan Staten, who are both coming off career-high performances. Staten is becoming the center of the Mountaineers' offense, allowing him attack the defense with his speed and dish to open teammates or go to the rim. He leads the league in assists (5.95), assist-to-turnover ratio (2.91) and minutes played (37.1) and has only committed 33 fouls.
•ABOUT OKLAHOMA (17-5 SU, 11-8-1 ATS, 6-3 Big 12): Hield had 30 points in a loss to Iowa State, which snapped the Sooners' four-game win streak, and leads five starters in double figures with 17 points. Cameron Clark, who was leading the league in scoring less than a month ago, has had back-to-back seven-point games and is averaging 10.6 in his last seven games. Ryan Spangler is the only player in the Big 12 averaging at double-double at 11.1 points and a league-high 10.2 rebounds.
•ABOUT WEST VIRGINIA (13-9 SU, 10-9-0 ATS, 5-4 Big 12): Staten, who became the first Mountaineer to earn Big 12 Player of the Week honors, had 35 points against Kansas State, has scored at least 14 points in 14 straight games and leads West Virginia in scoring at 18 per game. Eron Harris adds 17 points and Terry Henderson chips in 12.2 points while freshman Devin Williams averages 8.9 points and a team-best 7.4 rebounds. The Mountaineers entered the week ranked ninth nationally in fewest turnovers (9.7) and are tied for the Big 12 lead in turnover margin (plus-3.9).
•PREGAME NOTES: Spangler has six double-digit rebounding performances in his last seven games and is averaging 12.4 points and 13.3 rebounds in that span.... West Virginia is 9-0 when allowing 69 points or fewer.... Staten is ranked second in Big 12 scoring, followed by Harris (fourth), Hield (sixth) and Clark (ninth).... The Sooners are 6-0 versus the spread in road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season.... The Mountaineers are 14-3 against the spread after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, W VIRGINIA covered the spread 552 times, while OKLAHOMA covered the spread 448 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, W VIRGINIA won the game straight up 589 times, while OKLAHOMA won 388 times. In 1000 simulated games, W VIRGINIA covered the first half line 514 times, while OKLAHOMA covered the first half line 450 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--OKLAHOMA is 4-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA since 1997.
--OKLAHOMA is 4-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA since 1997.
--4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--OKLAHOMA is 3-2 versus the first half line when playing against W VIRGINIA since 1997.
--3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Sooners are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
--Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
--Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--OKLA is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big 12.
--OKLA is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
--Over is 6-1 in OKLA last 7 Wednesday games.
--WVU is 8-23-1 ATS in their last 32 home games.
--WVU is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
--Over is 11-2 in WVU last 13 vs. Big 12.
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#743 ST LOUIS @ #744 ST JOSEPH'S
(TV: 7:00 PM EST, Fox Sports Midwest Plus (Saint Louis), Comcast Network (Saint Joseph's) - Line: Pick, Total: N/A) - While the Atlantic 10 never seems to draw much attention nationally, Saint Louis just keeps winning and moving up the rankings. The 15th-ranked Billikens, off to the best start in school history, will look to push their winning streak to 15 games when they visit Saint Joseph's on Wednesday. Saint Louis is coming off one of its tightest victories during the winning streak as it needed overtime to beat George Mason on Saturday.
“We definitely know it’s going on,” Billikens guard Austin McBroom said of the streak. “But right now, we’re not focused on that. Coach talks about playing good basketball or bad basketball. Right now, we’re playing good basketball. We’re focused on keeping the winning streak alive.” The victory over the Patriots matched Saint Louis' highest point total of the season (87), although the 81 points allowed were 11 more than the Billikens had surrendered in any prior game. The Hawks present a legitimate challenge, as they've won six of their last seven and are 11-2 since mid-December.
•ABOUT SAINT LOUIS (20-2 SU, 8-11-0 ATS, 7-0 A-10): The Billikens are not a good 3-point shooting team, connecting on 33 percent as a group with their two leading scorers, Dwayne Evans and Jordair Jett, combining for 9-of-28 on the season. Evans, a 6-6 senior forward, posted 12 points and 10 rebounds against George Mason - his fifth double-double of the season, three of which have come in the last four games. Jett, a 6-1 senior, has scored in double figures in seven straight games, including a career-high 31 points in a one-point win over Rhode Island last month.
•ABOUT SAINT JOSEPH'S (15-6 SU, 9-7-1 ATS, 5-2 A-10): The Hawks are starting to make a case for an NCAA Tournament berth, with Saturday's home triumph over then-No. 19 Massachusetts serving as their best win to date. Senior forward Halil Kanacevic, the team's leading scorer against UMass with 18 points, is averaging career highs in points (11.2), rebounds (8.7), assists (4.4) and field-goal percentage (55.6). Kanacevic is third on Saint Joseph's in scoring behind fellow seniors Langston Galloway (16.7) and Ronald Roberts Jr. (14.1), both of whom are are averaging career highs in scoring.
•PREGAME NOTES: McBroom has not missed a foul shot since Jan. 4, going 15-of-15 over that stretch.... Entering Tuesday's action, only eight teams in the country had committed fewer fouls per game than Saint Joseph's (15.9).... The last time the Hawks defeated ranked opponents in back-to-back games was 1966.... The Billikens are 14-4 versus the spread when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last two seasons.... The Hawks are 11-2 against the spread versus top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, ST JOSEPHS covered the spread 503 times, while SAINT LOUIS covered the spread 472 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, ST JOSEPHS won the game straight up 503 times, while SAINT LOUIS won 472 times. In 1000 simulated games, SAINT LOUIS covered the first half line 507 times, while ST JOSEPHS covered the first half line 451 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--SAINT LOUIS is 7-2 against the spread versus ST JOSEPHS since 1997.
--SAINT LOUIS is 7-2 straight up against ST JOSEPHS since 1997.
--6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--ST JOSEPHS is 5-4 versus the first half line when playing against SAINT LOUIS since 1997.
--6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Billikens are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Billikens are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in St. Joseph's.
--Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--SLU is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
--SLU is 18-5 ATS in their last 23 vs. Atlantic 10.
--Under is 8-3 in SLU last 11 vs. Atlantic 10.
--JOES is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
--JOES is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Atlantic 10.
--Under is 24-9 in JOES last 33 Wed. games.
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#759 PITTSBURGH @ #760 MIAMI-FLORIDA
(TIME: 7:00 PM EST, Regional Sports Network, ESPN3 - Line: Pittsburgh -4.5, Total: N/A) - No. 22 Pittsburgh, which lost back-to-back home games last week to Duke and Virginia, will try to snap its losing streak at defending Atlantic Coast Conference champion Miami (Fla.) on Wednesday night. "It wasn't a good week for us," Panthers coach Jamie Dixon told the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette after Virginia's Malcolm Brogdon sank a 3-pointer with 0.4 seconds left to hand his team a 48-45 loss on Sunday. "We simply didn't get it done."
Pittsburgh, which dropped a 80-65 decision to Duke earlier last week, is 3-1 on the road and has won five of its last six road games. The only loss during that span was to unbeaten and top-ranked Syracuse, 59-54, on Jan. 18. Miami defeated Norfolk State, 64-49, in a nonconference home game Saturday but has dropped its last three in a row in ACC play.
•ABOUT PITTSBURGH (18-4 SU, 7-11-1 ATS, 6-3 ACC): Senior forward Lamar Patterson has claimed ACC Player of the Week honors three times this season and leads the team in scoring (17.4). Sophomore point guard James Robinson leads the nation in assist-to-turnover ratio (4.74), compiling 90 assists while turning it over just 19 times. Center Talib Zanna ranks second on the team in scoring (12.9) while grabbing a team best 7.8 rebounds per game.
•ABOUT MIAMI (11-10 SU, 7-9-0 ATS, 2-6 ACC): The Hurricanes lost their top six scorers from last year's Sweet 16 team, including All-American point guard Shane Larkin, and have predictably struggled on offense, averaging an ACC-worst 61.6 points. Senior guard Rion Brown (14) is the only player averaging double figures in scoring. Donnavan Kirk, a 6-9 senior transfer from DePaul, leads the team in rebounding (6.3) and has had three or more blocks in eight games this season.
•PREGAME NOTES: Patterson has scored in double figures in 20 straight games.... Pittsburgh leads the ACC in shooting percentage (47.8) and rebounding margin (plus-8.1).... Miami is 0-4 at home in ACC play.... The Panthers are 10-2 versus the spread in road games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last three seasons.... The Hurricanes are 11-2 against the spread off a home win over the last two seasons, including 10-0 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, PITTSBURGH covered the spread 587 times, while MIAMI covered the spread 413 times. *Edge against the spread =PITTSBURGH. In 1000 simulated games, PITTSBURGH won the game straight up 708 times, while MIAMI won 270 times. In 1000 simulated games, PITTSBURGH covered the first half line 580 times, while MIAMI covered the first half line 420 times. *EDGE against first half line =PITTSBURGH.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--MIAMI is 5-5 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH since 1997.
--MIAMI is 5-5 straight up against PITTSBURGH since 1997.
--3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--PITTSBURGH is 7-3 versus the first half line when playing against MIAMI since 1997.
--3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--PITT is 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
--Over is 12-4 in PITT last 16 overall.
--Over is 6-2 in PITT last 8 vs. Atlantic Coast.
--MIA is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games.
--Under is 11-3 in MIA last 14 overall.
--Under is 6-2 in MIA last 8 vs. Atlantic Coast.
_______________________________
#775 WICHITA ST @ #776 INDIANA ST
(TV: 8:05 PM EST, ESPN3 - Line: Wichita State -5, Total: N/A) - Ranked No. 2 for the first time since 1981, Wichita State is off to its best start ever with a 23-0 record that includes 19 wins by double-digits, but the Shockers are far from a perfect team. On several occasions, Gregg Marshall's squad has fallen behind by double digits only to rally for victories against weaker opponents. Despite the occasional dry spells offensively, Wichita State has emerged unscathed heading into Wednesday's challenging road matchup against Indiana State.
The Shockers' latest escape act came in Saturday's 81-67 victory over Evansville - a game in which they trailed by 15 points in the first half. "Let's just hope we don't find out," Marshall said when asked if any deficit is too big for his players to overcome. "I'm sure there is, at this point not so far, but let's just hope we don't find out anytime soon." Wichita State had no issues staying in command in the first meeting with Indiana State, leading by as many as 28 points in a 68-48 win on Jan. 18.
•ABOUT WICHITA STATE (23-0 SU, 14-5-1 ATS, 10-0 MVC): The Shockers have not allowed more than 70 points in a game since three days before Thanksgiving, and their last six victories have come by an average of 16.7 points. Offensively, it's basically a three-man show for Wichita State, which gets inside-outside play from Cleanthony Early (16.2 points, 6.5 rebounds), long-range shooting from Ron Baker (12.9 points) and terrific decision-making from Fred VanVleet (12.1 points). VanVleet has an assist-to-turnover ratio of nearly 4-to-1, although his shooting over the last four games (10-of-30) has not been a strength for the sophomore.
•ABOUT INDIANA STATE (17-5 SU, 10-10-0 ATS, 8-2 MVC): The loss to the Shockers was Indiana State's worst defeat of the season and is one of just two games that the Sycamores have lost in their last dozen contests. Indiana State scored 48 points in that game, 12 points fewer than its second-lowest scoring game of the season. The Sycamores sit in second place in the Missouri Valley Conference thanks to a balanced scoring attack in which five players average between 11 and 12.3 points, led by senior guard Jake Odum.
•PREGAME NOTES: Early, Baker and VanVleet all shoot at least 83 percent from the foul line and at least 36 percent from 3-point range.... Following a five-game stretch in which he was 7-of-26 from long range, Early is 15-of-27 from behind the arc over his last four contests.... Odum also leads the Sycamores in rebounds (4.4) and assists (4.8), although he was limited to seven points, two rebounds and three assists in the first meeting.... The Shockers are 10-1 versus the spread when playing against a team with a winning record this season, including 8-0 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game.... The Sycamores are 10-2 against the spread revenging a loss versus opponent of 10 points or more over the last three seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, INDIANA ST covered the spread 557 times, while WICHITA ST covered the spread 416 times. *EDGE against the spread =INDIANA ST. In 1000 simulated games, WICHITA ST won the game straight up 555 times, while INDIANA ST won 413 times. In 1000 simulated games, INDIANA ST covered the first half line 536 times, while WICHITA ST covered the first half line 464 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--INDIANA ST is 21-17 against the spread versus WICHITA ST since 1997.
--WICHITA ST is 24-15 straight up against INDIANA ST since 1997.
--13 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--INDIANA ST is 19-18 versus the first half line when playing against WICHITA ST since 1997.
--12 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Shockers are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana St.
--Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
--Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Indiana St.
--Road team is 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--WICH is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games.
--WICH is 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 Wed. games.
--WICH is 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
--INST is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Wed. games.
--Under is 8-2 in INST last 10 home games.
--Under is 15-5 in INST last 20 Wed. games.
_______________________________
#781 LOUISVILLE @ #782 HOUSTON
(TV: 9:00 PM EST, ESPNU - Line: Louisville -14, Total: N/A) - Defending national champion Louisville is still trying to find its best form, but the Cardinals have taken care of business when they needed to. Louisville looks to improve to 19-0 against unranked opponents and remain spotless on the road in the American Athletic Conference when it visits struggling Houston on Wednesday. The Cougars have lost four straight games and six of their last seven - four of them by more than 20 points - including a 91-52 defeat at Louisville on Jan. 16.
Russ Smith, the second-leading scorer in the AAC, leads a Cardinals' offense that is averaging 82.6 points to rank 16th in the nation. Although coach Rick Pitino told reporters recently his team has areas it needs to improve, Louisville is among the national leaders in turnover margin and steals. Houston is 2-2 in league play at home, including a victory over Connecticut and a 61-60 loss to No. 7 Cincinnati.
•ABOUT LOUISVILLE (18-4 SU, 10-10-0 ATS, 7-2 AAC): The dismissal of Chane Behanan in late December hurts Louisville on the boards, where it is a minus-2 in AAC games, but forward Montrezl Harrell stepped up with four double-doubles in his last seven games. Harrell averages 12.5 points – second to Smith’s 18.4 – and is third in the league in rebounds (8.3) while shooting 62.3 percent from the field (second). Luke Hancock averages 11.3 points, but is converting only 29.9 percent of his 3-pointers after making almost 40 percent last season.
•ABOUT HOUSTON (11-11 SU, 8-9-0 ATS, 3-6 AAC): The Cougars are averaging 61.3 points over their rough seven-game stretch, capped by losses at Connecticut and Rutgers that totaled 60 points. TaShawn Thomas has been a consistent force, aside from a four-point game against Connecticut, averaging a team-best 15.9 points and 8.8 rebounds – second in the AAC – while shooting 59.5 percent from the field. Danuel House (12.8) and Jherrod Stiggers (9.4) have also contributed offensively and L.J. Rose is second in the league with 4.9 assists per contest.
•PREGAME NOTES: Louisville F Wayne Blackshear, who recorded a career-high 23 points against Houston three weeks ago, will not play after suffering a concussion in practice Monday. Blackshear, who is averaging 9.7 points, was accidentally elbowed by teammate Akoy Agau.... Thomas averages three blocks, standing second in the AAC, and has swatted away at least one in all 22 games this season.... The Cardinals lead the all-time series 14-5, winning nine of the last 10 meetings.... Louisville is 13-4 versus the spread in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing less than 14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last three seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, HOUSTON covered the spread 485 times, while LOUISVILLE covered the spread 478 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, LOUISVILLE won the game straight up 849 times, while HOUSTON won 131 times. In 1000 simulated games, HOUSTON covered the first half line 518 times, while LOUISVILLE covered the first half line 435 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--LOUISVILLE is 5-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON since 1997.
--LOUISVILLE is 7-1 straight up against HOUSTON since 1997.
--2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--HOUSTON is 4-4 versus the first half line when playing against LOUISVILLE since 1997.
--1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
•RECENT TRENDS
--LOU is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.
--LOU is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games.
--Over is 21-7 in LOU last 28 overall.
--HOU is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
--Under is 10-4 in HOU last 14 overall.
--Under is 8-2 in HOU last 10 home games.
_______________________________
#791 SAN DIEGO ST @ #792 BOISE ST
(TV: 9:15 PM EST, CBS Sports Network - Line: Boise State -1, Total: N/A) - Fifth-ranked San Diego State goes after its 19th consecutive victory when it visits Boise State on Wednesday in Mountain West play. The Aztecs boast the nation’s third-longest active winning streak behind Wichita State (23) and Syracuse (22) and have an 8-0 conference mark for the first time in school history. The Broncos collapsed while losing to UNLV last Saturday and badly need an upset victory to add punch to a mediocre postseason resume.
San Diego State hopes to have rebounding dynamo Josh Davis (knee) back on the floor while Boise State relies on forward Ryan Watkins, who averages 11.4 points and 10.8 rebounds. The Broncos had an 11-point lead with under four minutes remaining in the 73-69 loss to the Rebels before UNLV closed with a 17-2 run to drop Boise State to sixth place in the conference race. The Aztecs defeated the Broncos 69-66 in San Diego in early January and have been receiving superb play from point guard Xavier Thames, who averages 18 points and is currently the frontrunner for conference player of the year honors.
•ABOUT SAN DIEGO STATE (19-1 SU, 10-7-0 ATS, 8-0 Mountain West): Davis averages 11.6 rebounds and has a streak of 13 consecutive double-digit outings on the boards. He was injured in a practice on Jan. 27 and an MRI exam two days later displayed no ligament damage and the injury termed as a slight bone bruise caused him to miss last Saturday’s victory over Colorado State. Aztecs coach Steve Fisher said that a decision on whether Davis plays might not be made until shortly before game time.
•ABOUT BOISE STATE (15-7 SU, 6-11-0 ATS, 5-4 Mountain West): The Broncos typically receive strong efforts from Watkins (six consecutive double-doubles) and will need another huge performance from him to compete with the Aztecs. Guards Anthony Drmic (17 points per game) and Derrick Marks (15.8) are often streaky offensive players while 3-point shooter Jeff Elorriaga (8.3 scoring average, 50 3-pointers) is plagued by consistency issues. Boise State reserve guard Mikey Thompson (8.7) is the squad’s top athlete, which makes him a pivotal performer with the Broncos going up against the conference’s most talented team.
•PREGAME NOTES: San Diego State has won seven of the previous eight meetings.... The Broncos defeated the Aztecs in Boise last season and are 10-2 at home this season.... The Aztecs are 6-0 on the road, including a victory at Kansas.... Boise State is 0-6 against the spread in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing less than 12 turnovers/game this season.... San Diego State is 7-0 versus the spread in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last three seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, BOISE ST covered the spread 560 times, while SAN DIEGO ST covered the spread 410 times. *EDGE against the spread =BOISE ST. In 1000 simulated games, BOISE ST won the game straight up 590 times, while SAN DIEGO ST won 376 times. In 1000 simulated games, BOISE ST covered the first half line 541 times, while SAN DIEGO ST covered the first half line 459 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--BOISE ST is 5-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST since 1997.
--SAN DIEGO ST is 6-1 straight up against BOISE ST since 1997.
--5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--SAN DIEGO ST is 4-3 versus the first half line when playing against BOISE ST since 1997.
--5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
--Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--SDSU is 37-15-2 ATS in their last 54 road games.
--Under is 18-5 in SDSU last 23 overall.
--Under is 5-0 in SDSU last 5 Wednesday games.
--BSU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
--BSU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Mountain West.
--Under is 5-2 in BSU last 7 home games.
_______________________________
#795 PORTLAND @ #796 GONZAGA
(TV: 11:00 PM EST ET, ROOT - Gonzaga -15, Total: N/A) - No. 20 Gonzaga looks to avenge its lone loss in the West Coast Conference when it hosts Portland on Wednesday night. The Bulldogs, who have won six straight games and 12 of the last 14 league titles, hold a three-game lead in the conference with seven games to play. Gonzaga saw its domination of the Pilots end last month at Portland 82-73.
Backed by a raucous crowd, the Pilots never trailed while ending the Bulldogs' 22-game conference winning streak in their meeting on Jan. 9. Portland snapped a 20-game losing streak to Gonzaga and beat a ranked opponent for the first time since defeating then-No. 22 Minnesota in 2009. The Pilots haven't won at Spokane since the 2002-03 season.
•ABOUT PORTLAND (13-10 SU, 14-8-1 ATS, 5-6 West Coast Conference): Thomas van der Mars scored a career-high 28 points and grabbed 11 rebounds as the Pilots snapped a two-game skid with a win at Santa Clara last time out. Junior guard Kevin Bailey also scored his 1,000th career point in the game for Portland, which is 3-4 on the road. Bryce Pressley scored a team-high 16 points, leading five players in double figures in the victory over Gonzaga.
•ABOUT GONZAGA (20-3 SU, 11-9-1 ATS, 10-1 West Coast Conference): The Bulldogs have been far from dominant as of late but they continue to win. Sam Dower buried a 3-pointer in the final seconds to provide the winning margin at Santa Clara and then came back to score a game-high 24 in a 10-point victory at San Francisco. Kevin Pangos suffered a sprained ankle in Saturday's game but is expected to play.
•PREGAME NOTES: Gonzaga G Gary Bell Jr., averaging 12.5 points, missed the first meeting between the two teams with a broken hand.... Portland led by as much as 17 points in their first meeting.... Gonzaga still ranks third in the nation in field goal percentage (50.4 percent) but shot a combined 35-for-95 in its last two outings (36.8).... The Pilots are 21-48 versus the spread in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.... The Bulldogs are 14-5 against the spread in home games after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last three seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, PORTLAND covered the spread 563 times, while GONZAGA covered the spread 421 times. *EDGE against the spread =PORTLAND. In 1000 simulated games, GONZAGA won the game straight up 822 times, while PORTLAND won 162 times. In 1000 simulated games, PORTLAND covered the first half line 599 times, while GONZAGA covered the first half line 401 times. *EDGE against first half line =PORTLAND.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--GONZAGA is 20-14 against the spread versus PORTLAND since 1997.
--GONZAGA is 33-2 straight up against PORTLAND since 1997.
--9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--GONZAGA is 21-13 versus the first half line when playing against PORTLAND since 1997.
--9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Pilots are 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
--Pilots are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Gonzaga.
--Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.
--Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Gonzaga.
--Home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
--Favorite is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Under is 7-3 in PORT last 10 overall.
--Over is 10-3 in PORT last 13 Wed. games.
--Under is 7-3 in PORT last 10 vs. West Coast.
--Under is 6-2 in GONZ last 8 Wed. games.
--Under is 35-14-2 in GONZ last 51 home games.
--Under is 41-14-1 in GONZ last 56 vs. West Coast.
_______________________________
Portland couldn't get the job done a couple days ago, and marked
the very first time in 10 (!!) consecutive bets where the [A] bet
of the NBA system did not manage to win. That's right,
the [A] bet alone has won 9 times in the last 10, and I'm confident
we can close out the series today!
===================================
The NBA system bet for February 5th are:
Portland bet
Miami [A]
I can confirm with you that both of the bets above are official
system bets that pass all the system filters!
===================================
Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)
- Remember to purchase 3 points for the team you're betting on.
- If your team is still a favorite after buying 3 points, then
bet on the money line. If the team is a big favorite resulting in
odds that too unfavorable for you to be comfortable with, then you
can either optionally skip the series, or bet on the point spread
plus 3 points as normal, but do not continue betting on the series
if your team wins the game but the bet does not cover.
Always consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters.
Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out.
I will always make my best effort to notify you of game-changing
injuries whenever I am aware of them to ensure that you don't make
wagers on team that don't pass the injury filter. However, I cannot
make guarantees that I will always be able to be on top of every
single injury, every game, every day, at all times. Some teams may
hold off on releasing relevant injury information until much later
in the day. A bet will be unofficial if it does not pass the filters
of the system. Ultimately as a bettor, I always strongly encourage
that if there's any uncertainty about the status of your team's best
player for a game that you always check on final injury updates.
Here's a recap of our great run this season:
11/10 Washington won [A]
11/11 Detroit won [A]
11/15 Brooklyn won
11/15 Portland won [A]
11/20 Boston won [C]
11/22 Phoenix won [A] *Unofficial bet (injury filter)
11/22 Chicago won
11/26 LA Lakers won [A]
11/29 New York Knicks won [C]
11/29 New Orleans won [A]
12/1 Indiana won [A]
12/1 Denver won [A]
12/3 Toronto won [A]
12/14 Portland won [A]
12/18 Utah won
12/20 Sacramento lost [C]
12/20 Toronto won [A]
12/25 Miami won [A]
12/29 Golden State won [A]
12/29 Philadelphia won [A]
12/31 Milwaukee won [A]
1/2 NY Knicks won [A]
1/3 New Orleans won [A]
1/8 Boston won [C]
1/11 Orlando lost [C] *Note: Worst road record
1/11 Houston won
1/16 Brooklyn won
1/17 LA Clippers won [A]
1/20 Dallas won [A]
1/20 Indiana won [A]
1/24 Washington won [A]
1/26 Phoenix won [A]
1/29 Charlotte won [A]
1/29 Oklahoma City won [A]
1/29 Chicago won [A]
1/31 Toronto won [A]
2/5 Portland series pending result
2/5 Miami series pending result
Good luck,
The Sports Betting Champ
the very first time in 10 (!!) consecutive bets where the [A] bet
of the NBA system did not manage to win. That's right,
the [A] bet alone has won 9 times in the last 10, and I'm confident
we can close out the series today!
===================================
The NBA system bet for February 5th are:
Portland bet
Miami [A]
I can confirm with you that both of the bets above are official
system bets that pass all the system filters!
===================================
Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)
- Remember to purchase 3 points for the team you're betting on.
- If your team is still a favorite after buying 3 points, then
bet on the money line. If the team is a big favorite resulting in
odds that too unfavorable for you to be comfortable with, then you
can either optionally skip the series, or bet on the point spread
plus 3 points as normal, but do not continue betting on the series
if your team wins the game but the bet does not cover.
Always consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters.
Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out.
I will always make my best effort to notify you of game-changing
injuries whenever I am aware of them to ensure that you don't make
wagers on team that don't pass the injury filter. However, I cannot
make guarantees that I will always be able to be on top of every
single injury, every game, every day, at all times. Some teams may
hold off on releasing relevant injury information until much later
in the day. A bet will be unofficial if it does not pass the filters
of the system. Ultimately as a bettor, I always strongly encourage
that if there's any uncertainty about the status of your team's best
player for a game that you always check on final injury updates.
Here's a recap of our great run this season:
11/10 Washington won [A]
11/11 Detroit won [A]
11/15 Brooklyn won
11/15 Portland won [A]
11/20 Boston won [C]
11/22 Phoenix won [A] *Unofficial bet (injury filter)
11/22 Chicago won
11/26 LA Lakers won [A]
11/29 New York Knicks won [C]
11/29 New Orleans won [A]
12/1 Indiana won [A]
12/1 Denver won [A]
12/3 Toronto won [A]
12/14 Portland won [A]
12/18 Utah won
12/20 Sacramento lost [C]
12/20 Toronto won [A]
12/25 Miami won [A]
12/29 Golden State won [A]
12/29 Philadelphia won [A]
12/31 Milwaukee won [A]
1/2 NY Knicks won [A]
1/3 New Orleans won [A]
1/8 Boston won [C]
1/11 Orlando lost [C] *Note: Worst road record
1/11 Houston won
1/16 Brooklyn won
1/17 LA Clippers won [A]
1/20 Dallas won [A]
1/20 Indiana won [A]
1/24 Washington won [A]
1/26 Phoenix won [A]
1/29 Charlotte won [A]
1/29 Oklahoma City won [A]
1/29 Chicago won [A]
1/31 Toronto won [A]
2/5 Portland series pending result
2/5 Miami series pending result
Good luck,
The Sports Betting Champ
River City Sharps
Of course this one jumped off the sheet last night when we first look at the lines. We have West Virginia in the role of unranked home favorite over Oklahoma, ranked road dog of less than 3 points. As many of our long time clients know, this is about an automatic plays for us (unless there is an unusual circumstance, injury, etc) The home teams wins and covers in this spot about 75% of the time, so it's just not a system you want to buck. Couple that with the fact that the Mountaineers are playing some of their basketball of the year with back-to-back wins at Baylor and this weekend over Kansas State. West Virginia is averaging 83 ppg at home, while Oklahoma only musters 75.8 ppg on the road. We can look at the stats all day, but this really is a system play. The Sharps say...
3 UNITS - WEST VIRGINIA (-2)
Of course this one jumped off the sheet last night when we first look at the lines. We have West Virginia in the role of unranked home favorite over Oklahoma, ranked road dog of less than 3 points. As many of our long time clients know, this is about an automatic plays for us (unless there is an unusual circumstance, injury, etc) The home teams wins and covers in this spot about 75% of the time, so it's just not a system you want to buck. Couple that with the fact that the Mountaineers are playing some of their basketball of the year with back-to-back wins at Baylor and this weekend over Kansas State. West Virginia is averaging 83 ppg at home, while Oklahoma only musters 75.8 ppg on the road. We can look at the stats all day, but this really is a system play. The Sharps say...
3 UNITS - WEST VIRGINIA (-2)
NCAA Basketball Picks
Wichita State at Indiana State
The Shockers take their 23-0 record on the road to Indiana State tonight to face a Sycamores team that is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games versus teams with a winning SU record. Indiana State is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Shockers favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
Wichita State at Indiana State
The Shockers take their 23-0 record on the road to Indiana State tonight to face a Sycamores team that is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games versus teams with a winning SU record. Indiana State is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Shockers favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
| WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 5 Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST |
| Game 725-726: Nebraska at Michigan (6:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 63.679; Michigan 74.778 Dunkel Line: Michigan by 11; 143 Vegas Line: Michigan by 13; 136 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+13); Over |
| Game 727-728: Boston College at Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 59.496; Virginia 70.387 Dunkel Line: Virginia by 11; 118 Vegas Line: Virginia by 14; 124 Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+14); Under |
| Game 729-730: Oklahoma at West Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 69.333; West Virginia 66.642 Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 2 1/2; 162 Vegas Line: West Virginia by 2 1/2; 157 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (+2 1/2); Over |
| Game 731-732: Hofstra at Northeastern (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 45.694; Northeastern 57.259 Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: Northeastern by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Northeastern (-8 1/2) |
| Game 733-734: College of Charleston at Delaware (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 53.018; Delaware 55.811 Dunkel Line: Delaware by 3 Vegas Line: Delaware by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (+5 1/2) |
| Game 735-736: St. Bonaventure at Richmond (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 63.352; Richmond 63.376 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Richmond by 3 Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (+3) |
| Game 737-738: Dayton at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 61.941; George Mason 56.624 Dunkel Line: Dayton by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Dayton by 3 Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-3) |
| Game 739-740: LaSalle at Massachusetts (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 57.620; Massachusetts 70.024 Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 12 1/2; 131 Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 7 1/2; 137 Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-7 1/2); Under |
| Game 741-742: William & Mary at NC-Wilmington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 51.324; NC-Wilmington 49.202 Dunkel Line: William & Mary by 2 Vegas Line: William & Mary by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NC-Wilmington (+3 1/2) |
| Game 743-744: St. Louis at St. Joseph's (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 65.366; St. Joseph's 66.769 Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: St. Louis by 1; 134 Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (+1) |
| Game 745-746: Ball State at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 44.880; Buffalo 62.302 Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 17 1/2 Vegas Line: Buffalo by 14 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-14 1/2) |
| Game 747-748: Eastern Michigan at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 55.634; Akron 58.115 Dunkel Line: Akron by 2 1/2 Vegas Line: Akron by 5 Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+5) |
| Game 749-750: South Florida at Central Florida (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 58.336; Central Florida 60.240 Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 2; 130 Vegas Line: Central Florida by 4; 135 1/2 Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+4); Under |
| Game 751-752: Bowling Green at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 49.913; Toledo 64.439 Dunkel Line: Toledo by 14 1/2 Vegas Line: Toledo by 12 Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-12) |
| Game 753-754: Duquesne at George Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 52.523; George Washington 69.907 Dunkel Line: George Washington by 18 1/2 Vegas Line: George Washington by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: George Washington (-10 1/2) |
| Game 755-756: Kent State at Central Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 51.676; Central Michigan 47.240 Dunkel Line: Kent State by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Kent State by 2 Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-2) |
| Game 757-758: Ohio at Western Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 57.807; Western Michigan 54.322 Dunkel Line: Ohio by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Ohio by 1 Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-1) |
| Game 759-760: Pittsburgh at Miami (FL) (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 73.327; Miami (FL) 66.102 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 7; 115 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 4 1/2; 122 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-4 1/2); Under |
| Game 761-762: Youngstown State at Wright State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 53.780; Wright State 62.149 Dunkel Line: Wright State by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Wright State by 6 Dunkel Pick: Wright State (-6) |
| Game 763-764: Auburn at South Carolina (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 61.549; South Carolina 61.312 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: South Carolina by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+2 1/2) |
| Game 765-766: Alabama at Arkansas (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 57.070; Arkansas 71.067 Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 14 Vegas Line: Arkansas by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-7 1/2) |
| Game 767-768: Tennessee at Vanderbilt (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 68.307; Vanderbilt 61.972 Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Tennessee by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-4 1/2) |
| Game 769-770: Illinois-Chicago at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 49.410; WI-Green Bay 63.372 Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 14 Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 16 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+16 1/2) |
| Game 771-772: Northern Iowa at Illinois State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 58.709; Illinois State 56.623 Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 2 Vegas Line: Pick Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa |
| Game 773-774: Missouri State at Evansville (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 54.427; Evansville 53.366 Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 1 Vegas Line: Evansville by 2 Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (+2) |
| Game 775-776: Wichita State at Indiana State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 65.761; Indiana State 64.421 Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 1 1/2; 139 Vegas Line: Wichita State by 4 1/2; 133 Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (+4 1/2); Over |
| Game 777-778: Minnesota at Purdue (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 64.150; Purdue 67.830 Dunkel Line: Purdue by 3 1/2; 137 Vegas Line: Purdue by 2; 143 Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-2); Under |
| Game 779-780: Stanford at California (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 65.871; California 71.174 Dunkel Line: California by 5 1/2; 135 Vegas Line: California by 3 1/2; 142 1/2 Dunkel Pick: California (-3 1/2); Under |
| Game 781-782: Louisville at Houston (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 74.620; Houston 62.584 Dunkel Line: Louisville by 12; 149 Vegas Line: Louisville by 14 1/2; 144 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+14 1/2); Over |
| Game 783-784: Virginia Tech at Florida State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 49.727; Florida State 70.735 Dunkel Line: Florida State by 21 Vegas Line: Florida State by 15 Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-15) |
| Game 785-786: Mississippi State at Texas A&M (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 55.726; Texas A&M 64.429 Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 7 Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-7) |
| Game 787-788: Nevada at Utah State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 60.183; Utah State 59.539 Dunkel Line: Nevada by 1 Vegas Line: Utah State by 7 Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+7) |
| Game 789-790: Fresno State at Air Force (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 53.727; Air Force 59.399 Dunkel Line: Air Force by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Fresno State by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+1 1/2) |
| Game 791-792: San Diego State at Boise State (9:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 64.824; Boise State 68.185 Dunkel Line: Boise State by 3 1/2; 126 Vegas Line: Boise State by 1 1/2; 133 Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-1 1/2); Under |
| Game 793-794: Washington State at Colorado (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 52.241; Colorado 69.081 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 17; 121 Vegas Line: Colorado by 10 1/2; 126 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-10 1/2); Under |
| Game 795-796: Portland at Gonzaga (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Portland 56.152; Gonzaga 73.281 Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 17 Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 15 Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-15) |
| Game 797-798: UNLV at Colorado State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 62.869; Colorado State 61.665 Dunkel Line: UNLV by 1 Vegas Line: Colorado State by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+1 1/2) |
| Game 799-800: Wyoming at New Mexico (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 56.972; New Mexico 68.797 Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 12; 133 Vegas Line: New Mexico by 10 1/2; 128 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-10 1/2); Over |
Today's NBA Picks
Toronto at Sacramento
The Raptors are coming off a 94-79 win over Utah and head into Sacramento tonight with a 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games following a SU win by more than 10 points. Toronto is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Raptors favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-1). Here are all of today's picks.
Toronto at Sacramento
The Raptors are coming off a 94-79 win over Utah and head into Sacramento tonight with a 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games following a SU win by more than 10 points. Toronto is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Raptors favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-1). Here are all of today's picks.
| WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 5 Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST |
| Game 701-702: Boston at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 110.143; Philadelphia 106.288 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 4; 197 Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 2; 203 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-2); Under |
| Game 703-704: LA Lakers at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 109.637; Cleveland 112.866 Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 3; 215 Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 6 1/2; 208 Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+6 1/2); Over |
| Game 705-706: San Antonio at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 125.726; Washington 121.111 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4 1/2; 189 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 194 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-1); Under |
| Game 707-708: Portland at New York (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Portland 118.989; New York 123.083 Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 4; 211 Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 2 1/2; 207 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New York (+2 1/2); Over |
| Game 709-710: Detroit at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 111.275; Orlando 112.576 Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 1 1/2; 210 Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3 1/2; 201 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+3 1/2); Over |
| Game 711-712: Minnesota at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 122.288; Oklahoma City 133.276 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 11; 201 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City 9; 207 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-9); Under |
| Game 713-714: Dallas at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 121.913; Memphis 123.460 Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 1 1/2; 183 Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3 1/2; 189 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3 1/2); Under |
| Game 715-716: Phoenix at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 118.941; Houston 124.651 Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 5 1/2; 217 Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 7 1/2; 212 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+7 1/2); Over |
| Game 717-718: Atlanta at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 114.843; New Orleans 120.390 Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 203 Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 197 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-2 1/2); Over |
| Game 719-720: Milwaukee at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 107.398; Denver 123.746 Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 16 1/2; 202 Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 12 1/2; 208 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Denver (-12 1/2); Under |
| Game 721-722: Toronto at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 122.269; Sacramento 119.401 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 3; 196 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 200 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-1); Under |
| Game 723-724: Miami at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 117.681; LA Clippers 128.139 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10 1/2; 213 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2; 208 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-2); Over |
Today's NHL Picks
Chicago at Anaheim
The Blackhawks head to Anaheim tonight to face a Ducks team that is 18-3 in its last 21 home games when the total is set at 5 1/2. Anaheim is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-120). Here are all of today's picks.
Chicago at Anaheim
The Blackhawks head to Anaheim tonight to face a Ducks team that is 18-3 in its last 21 home games when the total is set at 5 1/2. Anaheim is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-120). Here are all of today's picks.
| WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 5 Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST |
| Game 1-2: Pittsburgh at Buffalo (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 10.778; Buffalo 11.694 Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-210); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+175); Under |
| Game 3-4: Chicago at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.127; Anaheim 12.667 Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-120); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-120); Over |
| Game 5-6: Dallas at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.408; San Jose 11.899 Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-200); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-200); Under |
GC: NBA Play
Hump day card has 3 Big 5* NBA Plays one is the 100% Game of the Week, a Dominator side and an 18-1 totals play. In College Hoops we have a Big 5* Blowout Play with a 96% angle and the MAC Conf. Game of the Month + a road warrior side. NBA continues to be highly ranked on several leader boards. NBA System Play below.
On Wednesday the NBA Play is on the Washington Wizards. Game 706 at 7;05 eastern. Washington applies to a nice system we use that plays on non conference home teams with 1 day of rest if they covered the spread at home in their last game provided the line was within 3 points of pick and they scored 100 or more points, and their opponent tonight, The Spurs won and covered as a road favorite in their last game. This system has cashed close to 90% the past few seasons. The Spurs continue to deal with a myriad of injuries and could get beat by anyone on any night until they recover some of their better players. Washington has won 6 of 7 off a win of 10 or more and has covered the last 4 vs winning teams. Look for the Wizards to take this one tonight. Get on the Giving End of Hump day tonight with 3 NBA Plays all rated at 5*. In College Hoops we have a Huge Blowout as the lead play.Tuesday top play on Wisconsin cashes. Jump on Now and see the Amazing and Powerful data we use which wont be seen anywhere else. For the Bonus Play tonight. Take Washington. GC
Hump day card has 3 Big 5* NBA Plays one is the 100% Game of the Week, a Dominator side and an 18-1 totals play. In College Hoops we have a Big 5* Blowout Play with a 96% angle and the MAC Conf. Game of the Month + a road warrior side. NBA continues to be highly ranked on several leader boards. NBA System Play below.
On Wednesday the NBA Play is on the Washington Wizards. Game 706 at 7;05 eastern. Washington applies to a nice system we use that plays on non conference home teams with 1 day of rest if they covered the spread at home in their last game provided the line was within 3 points of pick and they scored 100 or more points, and their opponent tonight, The Spurs won and covered as a road favorite in their last game. This system has cashed close to 90% the past few seasons. The Spurs continue to deal with a myriad of injuries and could get beat by anyone on any night until they recover some of their better players. Washington has won 6 of 7 off a win of 10 or more and has covered the last 4 vs winning teams. Look for the Wizards to take this one tonight. Get on the Giving End of Hump day tonight with 3 NBA Plays all rated at 5*. In College Hoops we have a Huge Blowout as the lead play.Tuesday top play on Wisconsin cashes. Jump on Now and see the Amazing and Powerful data we use which wont be seen anywhere else. For the Bonus Play tonight. Take Washington. GC
StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets
CBB WM & MARY at UNC-WILMINGTON
Play Against - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UNC-WILMINGTON) after scoring 55 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )
CBB SAINT LOUIS at ST JOSEPHS
Play On - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (ST JOSEPHS) good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an excellent defensive team (<=40%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game)
84-45 since 1997. ( 65.1% 37.7 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% 0.0 units )
CBB WYOMING at NEW MEXICO
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 or less revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
CBB WM & MARY at UNC-WILMINGTON
Play Against - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UNC-WILMINGTON) after scoring 55 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )
CBB SAINT LOUIS at ST JOSEPHS
Play On - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (ST JOSEPHS) good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an excellent defensive team (<=40%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game)
84-45 since 1997. ( 65.1% 37.7 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% 0.0 units )
CBB WYOMING at NEW MEXICO
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 or less revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
