Service Plays Wednesday 2/24/10

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LEGITPICKS

Wednesday 2/24/10 Plays...


25 DIME RELEASE:


IDAHO (College Basketball)

Please Note:
New Mexico State is being hammered in this match-up so wait just before game time to make your selection as this line will likely creep up by 8pm PST.
 

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Thanks Unlucky! I wasn't even going to touch Notre Dame until I saw you were on Pit!

It's sad but Mr Unlucky always jump in the bandwagon of hot handicappers when they are at the end of a winning streak and gets mad because they lose. Just like buying a hot stocks when it's too high and too late to buy... On the other hand, maybe he jinx the cappers with his nickname !!! Sorry pal, but you attract bad luck and you should know why... Instead of trying to follow hot guys I think you should just follow Lang and play against him !!! Long term profit.
 

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It's sad but Mr Unlucky always jump in the bandwagon of hot handicappers when they are at the end of a winning streak and gets mad because they lose. Just like buying a hot stocks when it's too high and too late to buy... On the other hand, maybe he jinx the cappers with his nickname !!! Sorry pal, but you attract bad luck and you should know why... Instead of trying to follow hot guys I think you should just follow Lang and play against him !!! Long term profit.


Actually I should not have played the game at all. But I took all 3 from YC and will win 2 of 3. I'll take that.
 

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Thanks Unlucky! I wasn't even going to touch Notre Dame until I saw you were on Pit!


Jason, you should understand that Youngstown Connection has been a lot "hotter" than VR's Bookie Bill Slick Plays. I had to take Pitt because I had two of the other plays, and BB/VR never releases more than one Slick Play per day.
 

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LineChangers:

UNC +2
THUNDER +4
TEXAS A&M +7


These guys look like they may be going into hibernation now that they are having a tough time. No Tweets on Twitter and not a word on their website. Lost UNC badly. OK City up a little but Baylor all over A&M early. Let's hope for a 2-1 night.
 

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Guessing all the success is clouding the ability of some of these touts. Linechangers and The Pro Gambler (blogger) both shitting the bed tonight unless something drastic changes.
 

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Budin and Lang have New Mexico State.

Opinions on taking them?

F-ing Purdue outscored 12-0 in 2nd half in 4 minutes. Looks like Youngstown hot streak is over.
 

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Jason, you should understand that Youngstown Connection has been a lot "hotter" than VR's Bookie Bill Slick Plays. I had to take Pitt because I had two of the other plays, and BB/VR never releases more than one Slick Play per day.

I do understand that but I tend to be a contrarian. Look at my old posts. I followed Sharp after he went 0-6 3 times and he went 7-3 or better the next 10 all 3 times. I tend to follow decent cappers after they had a rough patch - when most everyone else bails on them. I followed KBHoops last night on Illinois because he was on an 0-5 streak and I liked Illinois. Like frenchie said, go the other way when everyone else is following someone or jumps on after a long winning streak. For me, it works out more often than not. That Pit line and Marq line stunk but Marq got the push in OT. I followed Exec tonight since they went 0-3 the last 2 days and they did not come out with higher level picks to chase - they actually dropped them down. Hopefully, they can go 2-1. Anway, GL and hope your luck changes!
 

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Budin and Lang have New Mexico State.

Opinions on taking them?

F-ing Purdue outscored 12-0 in 2nd half in 4 minutes. Looks like Youngstown hot streak is over.

Don't like New Mex St since it opend at 6.5 and dropped to 5 and public all over New Mex St. Doen't mean it can't win,but more often than not it doesn't. No play for me.
 

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WAYNE ROOT - ALL 2/24
Vegas Legend Clemson
Millionaire Notre Dame
Billionaire Mississippi
No Limit Minnesota U
Perfect Play LSU


wow, looks like a 5-0 day for W Root. congrats to whoever played his picks
 

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I do understand that but I tend to be a contrarian. Look at my old posts. I followed Sharp after he went 0-6 3 times and he went 7-3 or better the next 10 all 3 times. I tend to follow decent cappers after they had a rough patch - when most everyone else bails on them. I followed KBHoops last night on Illinois because he was on an 0-5 streak and I liked Illinois. Like frenchie said, go the other way when everyone else is following someone or jumps on after a long winning streak. For me, it works out more often than not. That Pit line and Marq line stunk but Marq got the push in OT. I followed Exec tonight since they went 0-3 the last 2 days and they did not come out with higher level picks to chase - they actually dropped them down. Hopefully, they can go 2-1. Anway, GL and hope your luck changes!


The problem is simple. I jumped on THREE very good cappers tonight who have been good for days if not weeks. Youngstown Connection (YC), Linechangers and Deano. Also tailing The Pro Gambler. YC has their first losing night in I don't know how long, Linechangers is 2-6 the last three days and is looking squarely at an 0-3 night. Deano already lost the Hawks and has the Jazz (losing) and Spurs (I am on OK City with Linechangers). I cannot win. If someone is hot and I jump on them, it is an AUTOMATIC losing night.
 

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TMBSportsPicks (+4.3 units yesterday, 17-12 overall)

2u FSU -2.5
2u Minnesota +2.5
2u BC pk
2u UCSB -8
1u Depaul +14
1u Arkansas -1.5


Pick Write-Up

Florida State @ North Carolina, 7PM

Pick: FSU -2.5

When will bettors finally learn that this UNC team isn't going to turn the corner? That's the big question we are asking today, as the public has once again backed the Tar Heels in a tough conference spot. We like Florida State for a number of reasons tonight, beyond just fading the square public.

The Noles come into this game playing solid basketball, and more importantly, they come into this game well rested. Their last game was a road win by nearly 20 at Virginia, and they've had a full week off to recover. We like teams playing on long rest, especially at this point in the college basketball season. UNC played and lost again this weekend, so they don't have the benefit of fresh legs.

Additionally, we like the way FSU plays defense. Ranked #2 in the country in defensive efficiency, they will likely make life very difficult on a North Carolina squad that has had trouble scoring the basketball. We suspect, as well, the the Florida State length will force some difficulties for UNC, as the Noles have the tallest team in the country. Without Ed Davis in the lineup, UNC will have trouble matching up on the inside with the likes of Solomon Alibi and Ryan Reid, and we don't think UNC has enough depth on the wing to truly provide issues for guys like Chris Singleton.

Florida State wins by throwing guys at you for 40 minutes, with tons of long, able bodies blocking shots and getting into passing lanes. As soft as the Tar Heels have been under the basket and as careless as they have been with the ball, we don't suspect that they'll get too many good shots tonight.

FSU has road wins at Virginia, Boston College, and Georgia Tech - all of which are worth trumpeting about. They've shown the ability to play strong on the road, and they have the ability to blow out North Carolina. There have been discussions in the local NC media about dissention within the UNC squad, with team leaders like Davis and Marcus Ginyard mailing it in. We think this team has quit, and it wouldn't be surprising given that they've only beaten 1 ACC team since January 10th.

Take the better, more rested team in this spot. The Noles should continue to roll, while we expect UNC to continue their slide.



PICK: FSU -2.5

2.2 units to win 2

These dudes are hot as fire. What's their story?
 

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The problem is simple. I jumped on THREE very good cappers tonight who have been good for days if not weeks. Youngstown Connection (YC), Linechangers and Deano. Also tailing The Pro Gambler. YC has their first losing night in I don't know how long, Linechangers is 2-6 the last three days and is looking squarely at an 0-3 night. Deano already lost the Hawks and has the Jazz (losing) and Spurs (I am on OK City with Linechangers). I cannot win. If someone is hot and I jump on them, it is an AUTOMATIC losing night.

My friend one poster just said it, you can't only go with hot cappers on long winning streak and play them then you will lose long term. Best cappers will win 57-58 % of their games, if you wait for a winning streak to get on them you will get burned very fast because they will lose short term since they were hot and cannot hit higher than 60 % long term. It's mathematics guys can't be hot long term. When you start to hear on the forum that a guy is red hot it's usually the signal to stay away from him for a couple of days it's too late to follow. On the other hand, if a good capper is trashed on the forum because he is on cold streak it's time to take a close look at him.

Also use the fade material with notorious bad cappers, they are bad all the time. Be aware of GOY stuff specially from fly by night "hot guys" with no historic plays on the forum. GOY hit about 50 % of the time.
 

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The problem is simple. I jumped on THREE very good cappers tonight who have been good for days if not weeks. Youngstown Connection (YC), Linechangers and Deano. Also tailing The Pro Gambler. YC has their first losing night in I don't know how long, Linechangers is 2-6 the last three days and is looking squarely at an 0-3 night. Deano already lost the Hawks and has the Jazz (losing) and Spurs (I am on OK City with Linechangers). I cannot win. If someone is hot and I jump on them, it is an AUTOMATIC losing night.

Congrats on the Jazz!
 

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