WUNDERDOG
1 OF 11
Game: William & Mary at James Madison (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: William & Mary +14 (-110)
The James Madison Dukes are the surprise of the Colonial Conference this season at 17-6 a, and have dropped just one at home all season. William & Mary lost a lot of pieces to their surprise 22 win team of a year ago and have just one win to show for 10 road efforts. While the wins have been hard to come by for the Tribe, they are getting better, but it is showing up not in the win column. However, their ATS success is now 5-3 over their last 8 games. While they have improved, at the same time they have not been a dog of more than 10 in conference play so this appears to be inflated. They have been under the radar recently and in their last 35 as a dog have posted a 25-10 ATS mark.
I'll go with William & Mary here.
1 OF 11
Game: William & Mary at James Madison (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: William & Mary +14 (-110)
The James Madison Dukes are the surprise of the Colonial Conference this season at 17-6 a, and have dropped just one at home all season. William & Mary lost a lot of pieces to their surprise 22 win team of a year ago and have just one win to show for 10 road efforts. While the wins have been hard to come by for the Tribe, they are getting better, but it is showing up not in the win column. However, their ATS success is now 5-3 over their last 8 games. While they have improved, at the same time they have not been a dog of more than 10 in conference play so this appears to be inflated. They have been under the radar recently and in their last 35 as a dog have posted a 25-10 ATS mark.
I'll go with William & Mary here.
GC NCAAB Play - Wednesday
On Wednesday the free NCAAB Play is on the San Diego St Aztecs. Game 795 at 9:15 eastern. The Aztecs are 21-1 and have won 11 of 12 road games by 10 points per game. Tonight they travel into Colorado St to play a Rams team that is 1-12 straight up as a home dog from 3.5 to 6 with just 2 covers. The Rams have lost the last 5 in the series as well. The Aztecs are 9-1 with 8 spread wins vs winning teams this season and have covered 12 of 16 after scoring 80 or more in their last game. When they are installed as a road favorite from -3.5 to -6 they are 8-1 with 7 covers. Look for San Diego St to be too much for the Rams to handle tonight. Lay the number with San Diego St. On Wednesday I have the 6* NBA revenge Goy backed with a solid Power System and 3 big angles. In NCAAB Action its a 17-0 NCAAB Game of the Week and the Triple Angle Dog with bite that's wins outright play. For the Bonus Play take San Diego St. GC
On Wednesday the free NCAAB Play is on the San Diego St Aztecs. Game 795 at 9:15 eastern. The Aztecs are 21-1 and have won 11 of 12 road games by 10 points per game. Tonight they travel into Colorado St to play a Rams team that is 1-12 straight up as a home dog from 3.5 to 6 with just 2 covers. The Rams have lost the last 5 in the series as well. The Aztecs are 9-1 with 8 spread wins vs winning teams this season and have covered 12 of 16 after scoring 80 or more in their last game. When they are installed as a road favorite from -3.5 to -6 they are 8-1 with 7 covers. Look for San Diego St to be too much for the Rams to handle tonight. Lay the number with San Diego St. On Wednesday I have the 6* NBA revenge Goy backed with a solid Power System and 3 big angles. In NCAAB Action its a 17-0 NCAAB Game of the Week and the Triple Angle Dog with bite that's wins outright play. For the Bonus Play take San Diego St. GC
David Malinsky
4* NEBRASKA over KANSAS STATE
Now that we get word that Nebraska C Jorge Brian Diaz will be able to get a flight out of Dallas and joining the team tonight (he was in Puerto Rico attending his aunt’s funeral, but got to DFW airport just a few minutes before it had to close because of that winter storm yesterday), it is time to pull the trigger here. The markets are not dealing with the current realities of these teams well at all, and at the slow pace this one will be played at they have turned what should be a mole hill of a line into a mountain.
We cashed an easy 4* ticket against Kansas State on Saturday, and could just about cut and paste from that preview. This team never should have been rated as highly as it was to start the season, having to break in so many new faces up front, and playing without a true PG. Now the front-court roster is thinning, with Freddy Asprilla and Wally Judge both leaving the program; the PG situation remains a mess; and a team that needs to play with a swagger for their aggressive style to work simply does not have one. That is what a 2-5 opening to conference play, with all of the losses by at least eight points, will do to a team. They do have one of the nation’s best talents in Jacob Pullen, but he can not be one of the best players right now, because he is playing out of position. He simply is not a PG, which his negative assist to TO ratio in Big 12 play shows, and that is also taking a toll on his shooting, with only 38.3 percent of his conference attempts going through the nets. As a team the Wildcats have 122 TO’s vs. 80 assists in conference games, which is flat-out awful, as is their 60.7 percent FT shooting, the latter making it particularly difficult to close out a game in this spread range.
Nebraska brings the chemistry that State lacks. With better size inside this season the Cornhuskers are able to play the way that Doc Sadler likes it, which means a slow pace, tenacious defense, and taking great value of the basketball. Lance Jeter leads the Big 12 in assist to TO ratio at a sparkling 32:10 count, and it is his ability to command the floor game that puts the underdog in the hunt all the way – if you take care of the ball and limit transition opportunities, you force the Wildcats to score out of their half-court sets, which is their major weakness. Nebraska has already covered as conference road dogs at Missouri and Kansas, and got the money in each of the last two trips to Manhattan, and this time threatens to win the whole game to the final possessions.
4* NEBRASKA over KANSAS STATE
Now that we get word that Nebraska C Jorge Brian Diaz will be able to get a flight out of Dallas and joining the team tonight (he was in Puerto Rico attending his aunt’s funeral, but got to DFW airport just a few minutes before it had to close because of that winter storm yesterday), it is time to pull the trigger here. The markets are not dealing with the current realities of these teams well at all, and at the slow pace this one will be played at they have turned what should be a mole hill of a line into a mountain.
We cashed an easy 4* ticket against Kansas State on Saturday, and could just about cut and paste from that preview. This team never should have been rated as highly as it was to start the season, having to break in so many new faces up front, and playing without a true PG. Now the front-court roster is thinning, with Freddy Asprilla and Wally Judge both leaving the program; the PG situation remains a mess; and a team that needs to play with a swagger for their aggressive style to work simply does not have one. That is what a 2-5 opening to conference play, with all of the losses by at least eight points, will do to a team. They do have one of the nation’s best talents in Jacob Pullen, but he can not be one of the best players right now, because he is playing out of position. He simply is not a PG, which his negative assist to TO ratio in Big 12 play shows, and that is also taking a toll on his shooting, with only 38.3 percent of his conference attempts going through the nets. As a team the Wildcats have 122 TO’s vs. 80 assists in conference games, which is flat-out awful, as is their 60.7 percent FT shooting, the latter making it particularly difficult to close out a game in this spread range.
Nebraska brings the chemistry that State lacks. With better size inside this season the Cornhuskers are able to play the way that Doc Sadler likes it, which means a slow pace, tenacious defense, and taking great value of the basketball. Lance Jeter leads the Big 12 in assist to TO ratio at a sparkling 32:10 count, and it is his ability to command the floor game that puts the underdog in the hunt all the way – if you take care of the ball and limit transition opportunities, you force the Wildcats to score out of their half-court sets, which is their major weakness. Nebraska has already covered as conference road dogs at Missouri and Kansas, and got the money in each of the last two trips to Manhattan, and this time threatens to win the whole game to the final possessions.
DOC's CBB picks 2/2
#755 Take Seton Hall +9 over West Virginia (7 pm ESPN 3) Big eAST goy
#767 Take Massachusetts +5 over Saint Louis (8 pm CBS College s) ake Michigan State -4 over Iowa (8:30 pm Big 10 Network) [/COLOR]
#805 Take Duke -4 ½ over Maryland (9 pm ESPN) [/COLOR]
#808 Take Virginia +5 ½ over Clemson (9 pm ESPN U) [/COLOR]
#816 Take Greensboro +2 over Appalachian State (7 pm) [/COLOR]
#820 Take Oklahoma +4 ½ over Baylor (3 pm ESPN 2)[/COLOR]
#755 Take Seton Hall +9 over West Virginia (7 pm ESPN 3) Big eAST goy
#767 Take Massachusetts +5 over Saint Louis (8 pm CBS College s) ake Michigan State -4 over Iowa (8:30 pm Big 10 Network) [/COLOR]
#805 Take Duke -4 ½ over Maryland (9 pm ESPN) [/COLOR]
#808 Take Virginia +5 ½ over Clemson (9 pm ESPN U) [/COLOR]
#816 Take Greensboro +2 over Appalachian State (7 pm) [/COLOR]
#820 Take Oklahoma +4 ½ over Baylor (3 pm ESPN 2)[/COLOR]
