Service Plays Wednesday 2/17/10

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Trent Citron

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VR`s Morning Moves - Wednesday, February 17, 2010
Report Status: WEDNESDAY FEB 17th, 2010
Next Report: BY 12:00pm est on THUR 2-18-10
Notes:

“MORNING MOVES” NEWSLETTER & LINE-PREDICTION for WEDNESDAY FEB 17th, 2010

HANDICAPPING THEORY : “VALUE”…WHAT IS IT EXACTLY ??


Good Morning Lovely Ladies & Gentlemen…First, I wanted to say that by no means am I trying to be a wise-ass…In fact, I want to take a moment to personally apologize for always speaking, writing, ect towards a “male audience”…Especially when I am now certain that we have women who are also partners in this venture of trying to beat the sports betting market…I think it was ignorant of myself to not already expect that I had some Lady clients…

So ladies…you have my deepest apology…And you have no clue just how thrilled I am to know that there are women out there who love this racket as much as I do…See that fellas, there is hope for us…We just may be able to not just land a woman who loves sports…but hit the lottery by landing one who loves to wager as well…

Finally, I want to really thank the lovely and definitely classy lady in England who not only brought this to my attention…but also sent me a very nice e-mail, showing her appreciation for all the hard work I do…Reading that made me realize even more, why I do this Daily Newsletters…Weekly Video Pod-Casts…Daily Messages & Forum Threads…Live-Chats…ect…Because besides simply passing along winning information, I see that my clients/partners also appreciate everything else…

Sorry I haven’t gotten into handicapping Manchester United…lol…But make sure you let me know if you are ever planning to make it out here to Vegas…I will personally, show you around the sports books here in town…Thanks Again, VR



Allright…I got that out of the way, now we can move on to today’s business at hand…For starters, we WON another “Morning Move” on Wednesday…And are now “11-4” (73% ATS) Overall…I really hope that you are also taking the time to not only read the Daily Newsletters, but also put some of the concepts & theories to work for you…This way, all of YOUR hard work and good decisions…is never wiped out by a handful of bad decisions…

For today’s Newsletter…I wanted to take a moment to define “VALUE”…Because in the sports handicapping/betting world…as well as the gambling & business world, we are always hearing the word “Value”…

The dictionary defines Value as : “An amount expressed in money or another medium of exchange that is thought to be a FAIR exchange for something”…That’s a pretty good definition of what Value is…But I want to discuss what it means in the sports betting market…And to us as bettors…

The bottom line is this…To make money betting on sports, you simply have to find positions that you can get your money down…and know that you are getting the best of it…Which ultimately means, finding where the Value lies, and betting it…Now this may seem like a simple concept, but none are deeper or more important…Because it’s your ability to truly determine Value…that will allow you to profit, or have you go broke…

I never really understood this concept until I went on to move “steam” for a handful of the Betting Syndicates…Because when you work for them, you really start to see what Value actually means…Because these guys are ONLY going to take a position on a game, if they are able to get the EXACT number they perceive offers them value…Meaning, when they send out a “buy-order” on TEAM A - 2...then -2 is the ONLY line that we can bet it at, because they won’t accept anything else…Unless of course we can find better…

What really made me understand that the Wiseguys look at this just like any other market is the fact that they would actually change the side they were going to bet, if the bookmakers moved the line to much…Meaning, although they liked TEAM A -2...if the line went to 3.5...many times, they would do a complete turn around, and take a position on TEAM B +3.5...Because according to their numbers, there is now Value on TEAM B…

The bottom line is that even in our market…Value simply means that the bookmakers are offering a price that is not a true reflection of the worth, for one team or the other…in that particular match-up…So if you think that the “TRUE LINE” (covered in previous Newsletter) of a match-up should be TEAM A -3 vs. TEAM B…But the bookmakers are offering the game at TEAM A -6...then according to your numbers, TEAM B is offering you enough value…that you should be willing to take that position…

The key is being efficient at determining value…And it’s no different than what successful stock brokers are able to do, compared to those who aren’t…The successful ones are able to accurately determine the TRUE worth of a company…and based on what price that company’s stock is selling at…they either have Value, or they don’t…It’s really not any more difficult than that…

But what happens, is that we invest in a market that is difficult to not be biased…We love sports and we have our favorite teams…So many times, we find ourselves taking a position that actually offers us NO value at all…And when you do that, in a market that asks you to lay 11 to win only 10...you are taking the worst of it, and will ultimately lose your bankroll…

This is why on a past Newsletter I discussed how important it was to actually create your own “Price” (line) before you even consider looking at what the market has set the price at…And because the bookmakers are forced to offer a betting line whose only function is to try and SPLIT the money being wagered…more times than not, you will find some opportunities to get your money down, where you know you are getting Value…

But unless you have a price to compare to what the market is offering, you can never be sure if you are actually getting any value at all…And regardless of how efficient of a handicapper you may be…in the end, you need to be able to accurately determine value…

So always make sure that if you are placing a bet…the main reason, and actually the only reason that you are placing it…is because according to your work, the price being offered, isn’t a true reflection of what you perceive it should be…Meaning the question that you need to answer is…, Are you are getting more than you should be getting (Betting the Dog)…or are you being asked to give up less than you should be giving up (Betting the Favorite)…

Finally, if you can answer that every time…while improving at answering it accurately, then you are on your way to being able to beat the books…And if you can do those things, then with proper money management…you should ALWAYS be able to turn a profit in the long-run…

So make sure you are making a wager because you believe you are getting Value…Or else, you are simply gambling…And I’ve told you many times what happens eventually when you gamble…Instead, find that position that offers Value, and get your money down on it…

Thanks again for all your support, and best of luck…Vegas-Runner


LINE-PREDICTION :

1.) GM 719/720.…OVER 223 KINGS/WARRIORS

This is one of those match-ups that the Betting Syndicates will almost always try to get ahead of the market on…And there is NO doubt at all where the market is going, because the betting public is going to be wagering on the OVER in this one…So we should see the books, who have already adjusted to 223, from 222...continue to move in that direction…VR

2.) 753/754.…BALL ST +1

According to a handful of sources that move “steam”…Ball St is on their “buy-list” for today…So we should see some of the Outfits step up and grab +1 with Ball St and force an adjustment…And because this match-up should receive very little “public money”…the books won’t be able to get balance…This will force them to possibly over-adjust, in an attempt to entice some money on the other side…VR
 
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BIGSLICKBETS NOT VR.
Today's Rated Plays :

3* Ball St +1
3* Texas/ Mizzu under 154.5
3* Ill St. -4.5
3* Hornets +4
3* Utah + 3.5
2* Nets +7
2* So. Miss pk
 
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NBA DUNKEL


Detroit at Orlando
The Magic look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is coming off a 108-85 win over Minnesota and is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games following a SU win by 10 or more points. Orlando is the pick (-11 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Magic favored by 20. Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-11 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 17

Game 701-702: Memphis at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 118.622; Toronto 120.940
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 2 1/2; 213
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 7; 215
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+7); Under

Game 703-704: Minnesota at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 110.696; Washington 116.215
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 5 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-4 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: San Antonio at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 122.520; Indiana 114.792
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 707-708: Detroit at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 107.545; Orlando 127.712
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 20; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 11 1/2; 190
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-11 1/2); Over

Game 709-710: Chicago at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 115.602; New York 117.199
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 1 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 711-712: Miami at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 116.022; New Jersey 112.917
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 3; 178
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7; 186
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+7); Under

Game 713-714: Houston at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.776; Milwaukee 120.399
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 5 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+5 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Utah at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 122.837; New Orleans 122.150
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 1; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 3 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+3 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: Phoenix at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 117.708; Dallas 124.769
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 7; 218
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 4 1/2; 217 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-4 1/2); Over

Game 719-720: Sacramento at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 113.264; Golden State 114.489
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 1; 225
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 721-722: Atlanta at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 120.105; LA Clippers 111.155
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 9; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-5 1/2); Under
 
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NBA WRITE-UP


Wednesday, February 17

NBA trading deadline is Thursday; trades could happen between this being posted and gametimes. Even if there aren't any trades, lot of players are wondering if they will be traded this week.

Hot Teams
-- Raptors won eight of their last nine games.
-- Magic won seven of their last nine games. Pistons won three of their last four games.
-- Bulls won three of their last four games.
-- Miami won last three games by 33-18-27 points. Nets are 7-2-1 vs spread in their last ten games.
-- Bucks won five of their last seven games.
-- Jazz won 10 of their last 11 games.
-- Suns won six of their last seven games.
-- Hawks won three of their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Grizzlies lost five in row, seven of last eight games.
-- Minnesota lost last three games, by 22-1-23 points. Wizards are 3-7 in their last ten games.
-- Pacers lost five of their last seven games. Spurs are 0-6 vs spread in game following their last six wins.
-- Knicks lost four in row, seven of last eight games.
-- Rockets lost three in row, covered four of last 19 games.
-- Hornets lost four of their last five home games.
-- Mavericks lost six of their last eight games.
-- Warriors lost 10 of their last 11 games. Kings lost 14 of last 17.
-- Clippers are 0-4 since changing coaches, losing by 17-10-30-22.

Totals
-- Four of last five Toronto games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-3 in Minnesota's last ten games. Last six Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-4 in Indiana's last thirteen games.
-- Under is 10-4 in Detroit's last fourteen games.
-- Three of last four Chicago road games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Miami games. Five of last seven Net games went over.
-- Four of last five Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last eleven New Orleans games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Dallas games went over the total. Under is 4-0-1 in last five Phoenix games.
-- Four of last five Warrior home games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Clipper games went over the total.
 
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NCAAB DUNKEL


Florida State at Virginia
The Cavaliers look to bounce back from their loss at Maryland and build on their 6-2 ATS record in their last 8 games following a SU loss. Virginia is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 17

Game 723-724: Purdue at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 73.085; Ohio State 77.268
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 4
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-3 1/2)

Game 725-726: Notre Dame at Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 65.536; Louisville 69.698
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 4
Vegas Line: Louisville by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+11 1/2)

Game 727-728: West Virginia at Providence
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 74.212; Providence 65.858
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-6 1/2)

Game 729-730: Florida State at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 66.638; Virginia 72.994
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-1 1/2)

Game 731-732: Charlotte at Duquesne
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 59.381; Duquesne 61.406
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 2
Vegas Line: Duquesne by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+7 1/2)

Game 733-734: Duke at Miami (FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 72.246; Miami (FL) 67.301
Dunkel Line: Duke by 5
Vegas Line: Duke by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (+7 1/2)

Game 735-736: Nebraska at Kansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 62.658; Kansas State 74.538
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 12
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 15
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+15)

Game 737-738: Fordham at Richmond
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 41.960; Richmond 64.744
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 23
Vegas Line: Richmond by 25 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fordham (+25 1/2)

Game 739-740: Temple at St. Bonaventure
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 61.576; St. Bonaventure 57.109
Dunkel Line: Temple by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Temple by 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (+7)

Game 741-742: Massachusetts at George Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 52.507; George Washington 62.645
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 10
Vegas Line: George Washington by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Washington (-6 1/2)

Game 743-744: Tulsa at Marshall
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 61.324; Marshall 62.844
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Marshall by 4
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+4)

Game 745-746: Illinois-Chicago at Butler
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 47.497; Butler 68.710
Dunkel Line: Butler by 21
Vegas Line: Butler by 23
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+23)

Game 747-748: Detroit at Wright State
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 58.268; Wright State 65.659
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Wright State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+11 1/2)

Game 749-750: Northern Illinois at Western Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 45.037; Western Michigan 59.223
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 14
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 9
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (-9)

Game 751-752: Bowling Green at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 51.285; Buffalo 53.546
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 8
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+8)

Game 753-754: Central Michigan at Ball State
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 52.558; Ball State 56.530
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 4
Vegas Line: Ball State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (-1)

Game 755-756: Eastern Michigan at Toledo
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 50.983; Toledo 45.289
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 8
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+8)

Game 757-758: Akron at Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 55.970; Miami (OH) 59.723
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 4
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 1
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (-1)

Game 759-760: Ohio at Kent State
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 52.821; Kent State 68.203
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Kent State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-8)

Game 761-762: St. Joseph's at Xavier
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 52.758; Xavier 68.907
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 16
Vegas Line: Xavier by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (+17 1/2)

Game 763-764: Seton Hall at St. John's
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 66.111; St. John's 61.599
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: St. John's by 1
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (+1)

Game 765-766: Oklahoma State at Iowa State
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 64.624; Iowa State 65.556
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 1
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+1)

Game 767-768: Evansville at Wichita State
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 47.169; Wichita State 66.195
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 19
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-17 1/2)

Game 769-770: BYU at Colorado State
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 71.961; Colorado State 57.917
Dunkel Line: BYU by 14
Vegas Line: BYU by 9
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-9)

Game 771-772: Loyola-Chicago at Valparaiso
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 49.881; Valparaiso 61.309
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-6 1/2)

Game 773-774: Memphis at Tulane
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 63.006; Tulane 53.956
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 9
Vegas Line: Memphis by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+11 1/2)

Game 775-776: UAB at Southern Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 63.292; Southern Mississippi 60.824
Dunkel Line: UAB by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: UAB

Game 777-778: Rice at SMU
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 49.304; SMU 63.292
Dunkel Line: SMU by 14
Vegas Line: SMU by 11
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-11)

Game 779-780: Georgia at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 60.233; Tennessee 74.823
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-11 1/2)

Game 781-782: Penn State at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 60.163; Northwestern 69.596
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 7
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-7)

Game 783-784: Maryland at NC State
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 71.349; NC State 67.937
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Maryland by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+4 1/2)

Game 785-786: Texas at Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 68.006; Missouri 75.519
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-2 1/2)

Game 787-788: Oklahoma at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 62.891; Colorado 64.866
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 2
Vegas Line: Colorado by 5
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (+5)

Game 789-790: Rhode Island at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 63.228; St. Louis 58.948
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Rhode Island by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (-1 1/2)

Game 791-792: South Carolina at Arkansas
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 64.900; Arkansas 67.769
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 3
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+3 1/2)

Game 793-794: Wyoming at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 52.059; New Mexico 71.072
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 19
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 21
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+21)

Game 795-796: Missouri State at Illinois State
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 60.050; Illinois State 63.008
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 3
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (+5)

Game 797-798: UC-Santa Barbara at CS-Fullerton
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 52.813; CS-Fullerton 56.572
Dunkel Line: CS-Fullerton by 4
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 2
Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (-2)

Game 799-800: Pacific at Long Beach State
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 52.622; Long Beach State 56.866
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 4
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (-2)

Game 801-802: UNLV at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 68.904; Utah 59.484
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: UNLV by 3
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-3)

Game 803-804: Fresno State at Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 52.647; Nevada 63.980
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Nevada by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-9 1/2)

Game 805-806: UC-Irvine at UC-Riverside
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 44.563; UC-Riverside 54.362
Dunkel Line: UC-Riverside by 10
Vegas Line: UC-Riverside by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Riverside (-4 1/2)

Game 807-808: Cal Poly at CS-Northridge
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 44.204; CS-Northridge 56.899
Dunkel Line: CS-Northridge by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (-8 1/2)

Game 809-810: Louisiana Tech at Utah State
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 58.035; Utah State 72.303
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah State by 11
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-11)

Game 811-812: Appalachian State at College of Charleston
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 54.603; College of Charleston 60.115
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-3 1/2)

Game 813-814: Furman at Georgia Southern
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 44.795; Georgia Southern 47.595
Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 3
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern

Game 815-816: Wofford at Davidson
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 57.937; Davidson 56.956
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 1
Vegas Line: Davidson by 1
Dunkel Pick: Wofford (+1)

Game 817-818: NC-Greensboro at Elon
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 46.043; Elon 46.483
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Elon by 3
Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (+3)

Game 819-820: Eastern Kentucky at Morehead State
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 53.606; Morehead State 57.331
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (+7 1/2)

Game 821-822: Jacksonville State at Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 49.560; Tennessee State 46.463
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 3
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State

Game 823-824: St. Peter's at Loyola-MD
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 54.974; Loyola-MD 55.614
Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 1
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 3
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+3)
 
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NCAAB WRITE-UP


Wednesday, February 17

Information on the best of Wednesday's college basketball games........

Ohio State (+9) won 70-66 at Purdue Jan 12, after being down 12 at the half, gane thst started Buckeyes on current 9-1 run- they're 4-2 as Big 11 home favorite, winning at home by 25-9-20-22-13-10 points. Purdue is on 7-game win streak; they're 1-1 as a Big 11 underdog. Underdogs are 10-7 vs spread in Big 11 games where spread is 4 or less points.

Providence lost last five games, allowing 86 ppg; they're 1-3 as Big East home underdog, losing home games by 22-4-3-9 points (beat UConn and Rutgers). Friars lost last five games vs West Virginia, with four of wins by 12+ points. Mountaineers are 4-2 as road favorite in conference play. Big East home underdogs of less than 8 points are 6-11 vs spread.

Florida State won six of last seven games vs Virginia; home side is 8-2 in last 10 series games. Cavs lost last three games by 3-19-6 points; they're 3-2 as ACC home favorite. Seminoles lost three of last four road games; they're 0-5 in ACC if they allow more than 66 points. Cavs scored 60.3 in last four. ACC home favorites of 3 or less points are 7-4 vs spread.

Duke won seven of last eight games vs Miami, but last two games were decided by total of four points; Blue Devils won two of last three visits here, winning by 9-22 points. Miami lost seven of last nine games; they are 3-1 at home in ACC, losing only to BC by 4. Duke is 2-3 as a road favorite. ACC home underdogs are 5-3 against the spread this season.

Marshall (+7) lost 73-69 at Tulsa two weeks ago after leading at half by 9; Tulsa outscored them 25-13 from foul line. Thundering Herd is 3-2 at home in league, losing to UAB/Memphis by combined total of 5 points. Tulsa is 0-7 vs spread in last seven games, losing two of last three away games. C-USA home favorites of 6 or less points are 5-8 vs spread.

Home side won last seven Seton Hall-St John's games; Pirates lost three in row here by 11-3-5 points; favorites covered last six in series. Seton Hall is 0-5 on Big East road, losing by 8-12-2-10-25 points. Road teams are 27-15 vs spread in Big East games where spread is less than 7 points Red Storm is 3-3 at home in Big East, beating Cincy/DePaul/Louisville.

UAB (-12) held off Southern Miss 57-56 in first meeting Jan 20, in game they trailed by 7 at half; Blazers lost three of last four games, are 4-1 on C-USA road, losing by 10 at Memphis. USM won five of last six games, covered eight of last nine- they won last three home games. Road teams are 11-3 vs spread in C-USA games where spread is less than 4 points. .

Georgia (+6.5) shot 56% for night, 7-12 from arc in 78-63 thumping of Tennessee Jan 23; Dawgs are 6-2 as SEC underdog, 3-2 on road, losing by 8-3-16-1-19 points. Tennessee lost last two games, is 1-6 vs spread in last seven, 2-3 vs spread as an SEC home favorite. Double digit home favorites are 4-8 against the spread in SEC games this season.

Maryland is playing third game in five nights after beating Virginia by 19 in makeup game Monday; Terps hammered NC State 88-64 Jan 23 (-9) Jan 23, shooting 54% from floor, holding Wolfpack to 36%. ACC home underdogs are 5-3 against the spread this season. NC State lost last six games; they're 5-4 as an ACC underdog, 2-1 as a home underdog.

Missouri upset Texas last two years, but Tigers are just 4-4 in last eight games-- they're 4-1 at home in Big 12, losing by 3 to A&M. Texas is 2-8 vs spread in Big 12 games, 0-2 as an underdog this year. Longhorns split four Big 12 road games, losing at K-State/Oklahoma, winning at Iowa St, Oklahoma State. Big 12 home faves of 4 or less points are 4-6 vs spread.

Saint Louis won last four games, all by 4 or less points; they were down 14 at half in last game vs Dayton, rallied to win in double OT; Billikens are 4-0 at home in A-14, with three wins by 5 or less points Home dogs of less than 5 points are 1-8 vs spread in A-14 games. Rhode Island lost last two games; they're 2-6 against spread in their last eight games.

Arkansas won five of last six games, winning last three at home by 5-3-35 points; home side won five of last six South Carolina-Arkansas tilts. Gamecocks lost last four road games, by 9-2-26-5 points; they're 2-3 as an SEC road dog. Arkansas is 2-1 as an SEC home favorite. SEC home favorites of 7 or less points are 8-13 against the spread.

Utah State (+1) got waxed 82-60 at Louisiana Tech Jan 4, as Tech made 53% from floor, 7-14 from arc, but State is 10-0 since- they're 5-0 as a WAC home favorite, winning home games by 44-22-19-18-11 points. Tech is 0-6-1 vs spread in last seven games; their WAC losses are by 11, 14, 2 points. WAC home favorites of 11+ points are 6-5 vs spread.
 
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WIN-LOSS RECORD THRU TUESDAY

REDZONE SPORTS Bonus Plays (3-0)
BILLY COLEMAN (8-3)
BRANDON LANG (5-1) WOW
SPARTAN (3-1)
TEDDY COVERS (4-1)
SCOTT SPREITZER (3-0)
 
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Brandon Lang

15 DIME - PHOENIX SUNS

5 DIME - OHIOS STATE BUCKEYES

5 DIME - MARYLAND TERRAPINS

FREE PICK - DETROIT PISTONS
 
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DOC SPORTS NBA

GOOD LUCK!

1-Unit Play #703 Take Minnesota/Washington OVER 206 ½
3-Unit Play #707 Take Detroit +11 Over Orlando
2-Unit Play #710 Take New York -2 Over Chicago
 

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Bryan Leonard's NBA Line Value Game of the Month!

Memphis at Toronto

Play Memphis
 
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EAFRA SOCCER

2* Lierse SK -1 (-105), Belgium Tweede League at 2pm EST

1* Bayern Munich / Fiorentina OVER 2.5 (-135), UEFA Champions League at 2:45E

1* Newcastle United -1 (-150), England Championship at 2:45pm EST
 
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DENVER MONEY'S Olympic Hockey

Here is what I have going on today's Olympic Hockey action. All plays are for only 1*

MENS:

Finland -2.5
Germany +3.5

WOMENS:

Canada -5.5
Slovakia / Switzerland UNDER 6
 
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DENVER MONEY'S 1 a day CBB thread

2/8 = Appalachian State -4.5 WINNER
2/9 = Wake Forest -6.5 WINNER
2/10 = Arkansas -7 WINNER
2/11 = Middle Tennessee State -5 WINNER
2/12 = Siena -4 loser
2/13 = UAB -5.5 loser
2/14 = Boston College +8.5 loser
2/15 = Fairfield -1.5 WINNER
2/16 = Indiana St. -3 WINNER

2/17 = Valparaiso -6.5
 

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