STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 2/12/14
NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Wednesday, 2/12/14 NCAACB Knowledge *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 NCAA College Basketball season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Wednesday's Notebook
•George Washington (+1.5) beat Virginia Commonwealth 76-66 at home Jan 14, avenging an 84-57 loss at VCU in first A-13 meeting LY; Colonials outscored Rams 20-7 on foul line, survived 21 (-7) turnovers. A-13 home favorites of less than 5 points are 11-7 versus spread. GW won seven of last eight games, is 1-2 as A-13 underdog. VCU is 2-3 as home favorite, but won all five of the games, all by 11+ points- they force turnovers 23.3% of time.
•Villanova (-17) shot 73% inside arc in 88-62 home win over DePaul Jan 18, Wildcats' 7th straight series win- they've won last three visits here by 2-2-23 points. DePaul's leading scorer Melvin is off team; Demons lost last six games (1-5 vs. spread)- they're 1-4 as home dog, with three of four home losses by 10+ points. Big East road favorites of more than 4 points are 7-1. Villanova is 7-1-1 versus spread in its last nine games.
•Syracuse lost its last five visits to Pittsburgh; their last win here was 10 years ago. Panther star Patterson is struggling with injured thumb, making 14-51 from floor in last four games, which Pitt split, with both wins over poor teams in OT. Syracuse is 4-0 on ACC road, with all four wins by 10+; they beat Panthers 59-54 (-5) Jan 18, making 65% of shots inside arc. Pittsburgh had 16 offensive boards that game, but was just 13-23 from the line. ACC home teams are 9-23 versus spread if spread was 5 or less points.
•Akron won its last four games with Western Michigan, winning by 3 in OT here LY. Zips' last three games were all decided by 4 or less points; they're 5-1 on MAC road, with underdogs covering five of the six tilts. WMU won five of last six games; underdogs are 5-0 versus spread in their conference home games. MAC home favorites of 4 or less points are 4-8 versus spread. Four of six Akron road games were decided by 4 or less points.
•Ohio (-3) made 11-25 from arc, beat Toledo 95-90 in OT Feb 1, after trailing by 11 with 8:58 left; Bobcats are 7-1 in last eight series games, but lost by 4 in last visit here in '12. Mid-American Conference home favorites of 5+ points are 8-13-1 versus spread. Toledo won eight of last nine games but is 0-4-1 as a home favorite. Ohio won four of last five games; only one of their three MAC losses was by more than three points.
•Home team is 14-2 in last 16 Indiana State-Bradley games; Sycamores are 1-9 in last ten visits to Peoria, losing by 8-12 in last two visits here. ISU is 4-2 on conference road, with three of four wins by 6 or less points- they're 2-2 as road favorite. Missouri Valley Conference favorites are 8-3 versus spread if spread was less than 4 points. Bradley won five of last seven games; they're 5-1 at home in conference, with only loss by 3 to Missouri State.
•Kentucky won 11 games with Auburn, with last four all by 10+ points; Wildcats won last five visits here by 9-9-3-5-22 points- they're 6-1 in last seven games overall, 1-2-1 as road favorite, winning away games by 9-5-10 points. SEC home underdogs are 14-7-1 versus spread. Auburn won three of last four games, covering all four; they're 2-2 at home in league play, losing by 2 to Missouri, 7 to Florida (1-1 as home dog).
•Illinois won three of last four games with Nebraska, splitting pair of 20+ point decisions here; Illini snapped 8-game skid Sunday at Penn St- they are 1-4 on Big Dozen road, losing by 25-6-7-10 points. Nebraska won last three home games by 6-4-5 points, is 7-1 versus spread last eight games. Big Dozen home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-9 versus spread. Illinois is 2-7 against the spread in its last nine games.
•Duke won seven of last nine games with North Carolina, winning its last two visits to Chapel Hill, by 1-16 points. Duke won seven of last eight games, is 7-1 versus spread in last eight, winning three of last four on road, with only loss by hoop at Syracuse. ACC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 2-8 versus spread. Carolina won its last five games, all by 11+ points- they also won their last four home games.
•Stanford (-10) outscored Washington 24-6 on line in 79-67 win over the Huskies Jan 18, just its second win in last 11 series games. Cardinal lost its last four visits here, by 1-33-11-13 points- they won six of last eight games, covering last four games as favorite. Pac-12 home underdogs of 5 or less points are 9-5 versus spread. Washington lost five of last seven but is 4-0 SU at home in conference- dogs covered six of its last seven games.
•New Mexico (-5) beat Boise State 84-75 Jan 21, making 9-17 from arc, making 59% inside arc; Lobos are 5-0 versus Boise in conference play, winning by 16-5 in last two visits here. Mountain West home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-4 versus spread. Broncos lost last three games, are 1-5 as MWC home favorite; they're 2-5 in league games decided by 6 or less points. Lobos won last six games; dogs are 4-1 versus spread in their MWC road tilts.
•Nevada won six of last seven games with Fresno State, winning 96-86 in double OT in first meeting Jan 22, after trailing by 10 in the second half. Wolf Pack is 3-0 as home favorite; three of its four home wins are by 9+ points. Fresno won its last three games, is 3-2 as road dog, with one road loss by more than 7 points. Mountain West home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-4 versus spread. Last two series games both went to OT.
•California (-15) beat Washington State 76-55 at home Jan 18, but it was only 34-33 at half; home team won last six series games- Bears lost last two visits to Pullman, by 4-2 points. Pac-12 home underdogs of more than 5 points are 2-4 versus spread. Erratic Cal lost four of last five games, but win was over #1 Arizona- they lost last two road games. Cougars are 3-2 as a home dog; home teams covered eight of their 11 conference games.
•Situational Trends of The Day
-- NEW MEXICO is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW MEXICO 72.0, OPPONENT 60.8.
-- KENTUCKY is 36-11 UNDER (+23.9 Units) after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1997.
The average score was KENTUCKY 71.9, OPPONENT 59.6.
-- ST PETERS is 0-13 (-14.3 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing only their 3rd game in a week over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ST PETERS 23.2, OPPONENT 33.4.
-- E MICHIGAN is 26-6 UNDER (+19.4 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was E MICHIGAN 23.3, OPPONENT 26.6.
-- KEN BONE is 2-17 ATS (-16.7 Units) revenging a road loss versus opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of WASHINGTON ST.
The average score was Bone 60.6, OPPONENT 70.7.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- SYRACUSE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season.
The average score was SYRACUSE 70.3, OPPONENT 58.2.
-- S FLORIDA is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 59.2, OPPONENT 58.1.
-- RHODE ISLAND is 13-2 against the 1rst half line (+10.8 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was RHODE ISLAND 31.6, OPPONENT 32.7.
-- N CAROLINA is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was N CAROLINA 33.1, OPPONENT 28.6.
-- WES MILLER is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games as the coach of UNC-GREENSBORO.
The average score was MILLER 66.3, OPPONENT 73.7.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TEXAS A&M) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games.
(41-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.2%, +36.3 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +125.2
The average score in these games was: Team 70.9, Opponent 67.3 (Average point differential = +3.6)
The situation's record this season is: (2-3, -1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-6, +10.8 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (94-63, +20.4 units).
-- Play On - Road teams as an underdog or pick (FRESNO ST) - revenging a home loss versus opponent of 10 points or more, in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (32%-36.5%) after 15+ games, after a game making 13 or more 3 point shots.
(33-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.5%, +25.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (20-21 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.6
The average score in these games was: Team 66.9, Opponent 67.6 (Average point differential = -0.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (42.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (54-41).
-- Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TCU) - revenging a road blowout loss versus opponent of 20 points or more, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals against opponent off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals.
(48-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.2%, +31.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (54-11 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.5
The average score in these games was: Team 73.2, Opponent 64.6 (Average point differential = +8.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (26.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-11).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (149-102).
-- Play On - Road underdogs of 6 to 11 points versus the first half line (TENN-MARTIN) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=78 PPG), after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games, in a game involving two good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's).
(31-9 since 1997.) (77.5%, +21.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 34.8, Opponent 33.8 (Average first half point differential = +1)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (5-2).
-- Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 55.5 to 60.5 (ILLINOIS) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing <=12 turnovers/game, off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team.
(57-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.0%, +37.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 58.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 26.9, Opponent 28.1 (Total first half points scored = 54.9)
The situation's record this season is: (10-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-8).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (102-52).
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Wednesday's Match-ups
#745 VILLANOVA @ #746 DEPAUL
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, Fox Sports 1 - Line: Villanova -13, Total: N/A) - No. 6 Villanova looks to win its sixth game in a row when it hits the road to face DePaul on Wednesday. The Wildcats have recorded 10 victories in their last 11 games and are coming off a comfortable 70-53 win over Seton Hall as they aim to complete the season sweep over the Blue Demons. Villanova has reeled off six straight road victories and hopes to take care of business without peeking ahead to the showdown with No. 17 Creighton on Feb. 16, which will likely decide the Big East title race.
DePaul is currently mired in a six-game losing streak following a 78-66 loss to Creighton. The Blue Demons have dropped four games by double digits during their slide and things have gone from bad to worse as they announced that leading scorer Cleveland Melvin, who was suspended for the last four games, is no longer enrolled at the school. "I can't make any comments because of the federal student privacy act," coach Oliver Purnell said on his weekly radio show. "But the bottom line is he's no longer a part of our team and we have to move on."
•ABOUT VILLANOVA (21-2 SU, 16-5-0 ATS, 9-1 Big East): JayVaughn Pinkston scored 19 points on 9-of-11 shooting and grabbed six rebounds versus Seton Hall to help coach Jay Wright record his 400th career win. James Bell tops the team in scoring (16 per game) and was named the Big East Player of the Week after averaging 23.5 points in wins over the Pirates and Xavier. The Wildcats have knocked down 10 or more 3-pointers in 12 games, but finished with a season-low five triples against Seton Hall.
•ABOUT DEPAUL (10-14 SU, 11-12-0 ATS, 2-9 Big East): Brandon Young has stepped up in the absence of Melvin, averaging 16.5 points and six rebounds in his last four games. The Blue Demons went 8-of-23 from beyond the arc against Creighton and have made at least one 3-point field goal in 635 straight games. Forrest Robinson came off the bench to score a career-high 11 points on 4-of-5 shooting against the Bluejays.
•PREGAME NOTES: Villanova is 17-8 all-time against DePaul and has won the last seven meetings between the two schools.... The Wildcats are 17-0 when scoring 70 points or more this season.... The Blue Demons have lost 47 straight games against ranked opponents.... Villanova is 13-4 against the spread versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing less than 14 turnovers/game this season.... DePaul is 0-7 versus the spread in home games versus excellent teams - shooting more than 45% with a defense of less than 42% over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, DEPAUL covered the spread 506 times, while VILLANOVA covered the spread 461 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, VILLANOVA won the game straight up 817 times, while DEPAUL won 162 times. In 1000 simulated games, DEPAUL covered the first half line 563 times, while VILLANOVA covered the first half line 437 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--VILLANOVA is 6-5 against the spread versus DEPAUL since 1997.
--VILLANOVA is 9-2 straight up against DEPAUL since 1997.
--7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--DEPAUL is 8-3 versus the first half line when playing against VILLANOVA since 1997.
--6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings
--Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in DePaul.
--Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--VILL is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big East.
--Over is 10-3 in VILL last 13 overall.
--Over is 12-2 in VILL last 14 road games.
--DEP is 7-18 ATS in their last 25 home games.
--Over is 6-2 in DEP last 8 overall.
--Over is 6-2 in DEP last 8 vs. Big East.
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#747 SYRACUSE @ #748 PITTSBURGH
(TV: 7:00 PM EST, ESPN - Line: Pittsburgh -1, Total: N/A) - Syracuse puts its undefeated record on the line Wednesday when the top-ranked Orange visit No. 23 Pittsburgh in search of its school-record 24th straight victory. The best start to a season in modern Syracuse history includes a five-point home victory over the Panthers back on Jan. 18. Pittsburgh responded from that defeat with back-to-back wins but has not won in regulation in any of its last four games - losing to Duke and Virginia at home before squeaking out wins against Miami in overtime and Virginia Tech in double OT.
Panthers coach Jamie Dixon admitted this week that "we haven't played great as of late. That's got to change. We've got to get better." But the Orange know that they can play better, as well, as they have failed to reach 70 points in seven of their last eight games and rank just 187th in the nation in scoring average (71.1). Pittsburgh led the first matchup by three points with under three minutes left, prompting senior swingman Lamar Patterson to say this week, "I am real confident. We want another shot at them because we let one go there. It is going to be a fun game."
•ABOUT SYRACUSE (23-0 SU, 12-6-1 ATS, 10-0 ACC): The biggest issue for the Orange at the moment is a lack of depth, as forward DaJuan Coleman (knee) is already out for the season and C Baye Moussa Keita injured his knee against Clemson on Sunday, leaving his status up in the air for Wednesday's contest. "If Baye isn't able to go Wednesday, that's a little concern," said Syracuse senior C.J. Fair. "They're a team that likes to get it inside. You know they're going to want to take advantage of that opportunity." Fair leads the team with 16.8 points per game while Jerami Grant (12.8 points, seven rebounds) and Rakeem Christmas (5.5 points, 4.4 rebounds) must also play big without Coleman and perhaps Keita as well.
•ABOUT PITTSBURGH (20-4 SU, 7-13-1 ATS, 8-3 ACC): Historically, Pittsburgh has been one of the teams that has had the most success penetrating Syracuse's 2-3 zone defense. "We match up well," Pitt point guard James Robinson said. "Our coaches do a really good job getting us prepared. We work on our zone offense every day in practice. We know they are long and athletic. We can't be passive against them. We've got to be aggressive." Patterson has generally been the team's best player this season, but his scoring average has dipped to 17.2 as he has scored 13.5 points on 27.5 percent shooting over his last four games.
•PREGAME NOTES: Pittsburgh F-C Talib Zanna (12.5 points, 7.6 rebounds) also has struggled over his last four games to the tune of 7.5 points on 37.5 percent shooting.... Syracuse PG Tyler Ennis has committed more than two turnovers in a game only once this season.... Orange G Trevor Cooney is 14-of-21 from 3-point range over the last three games.... The Panthers are 9-22 versus the spread in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last three seasons.... Syracuse 7-0 against the spread versus good foul drawing teams - attempting more than 25 free throws/game this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, PITTSBURGH covered the spread 576 times, while SYRACUSE covered the spread 385 times. *EDGE against the spread =PITTSBURGH. In 1000 simulated games, PITTSBURGH won the game straight up 615 times, while SYRACUSE won 355 times. In 1000 simulated games, PITTSBURGH covered the first half line 545 times, while SYRACUSE covered the first half line 455 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--PITTSBURGH is 16-11 against the spread versus SYRACUSE since 1997.
--PITTSBURGH is 14-13 straight up against SYRACUSE since 1997.
--12 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--PITTSBURGH is 14-12 versus the first half line when playing against SYRACUSE since 1997.
--13 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Orange are 5-15-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
--Orange are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh.
•RECENT TRENDS
--SYR is 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
--Under is 9-2 in SYR last 11 overall.
--Under is 8-2 in SYR last 10 vs. Atlantic Coast.
--PITT is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.
--PITT is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Atlantic Coast.
--Over is 8-2 in PITT last 10 home games.
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#759 S FLORIDA @ #760 CONNECTICUT
(TV: 7:00 PM EST, ESPN2, ESPN3 - Line: Connecticut -15, Total: N/A) - Buoyed by the return of star forward DeAndre Daniels, Connecticut can move closer to its fourth consecutive 20-win season when it hosts South Florida on Wednesday in an American Athletic Conference matchup. The Huskies have eight games remaining in the regular season, including three contests against ranked opponents and a rematch at South Florida in two weeks. Daniels was back in the lineup after missing two games but Connecticut may be without swingman Omar Calhoun with a mild concussion.
The Bulls' hopes for a top-six finish in the ACC - which ensures a first-round bye in the conference tournament - took a major hit with Saturday's 79-69 home loss to Rutgers. It was the eighth defeat in 11 games for the Bulls, dropping them into eighth place in the league and derailing the good vibes built from wins over Southern Methodist and Central Florida sandwiched around a narrow loss to AAC leader Cincinnati. "We can’t get this one back, but we have to find a way to make it up," coach Stan Heath told reporters after Saturday's loss.
•ABOUT SOUTH FLORIDA (12-12 SU, 9-12-0 ATS, 3-8 AAC): A highlight-reel dunk from Victor Rudd aside, the Bulls laid an egg against a Rutgers squad that had lost its previous seven league road games by falling into an early 13-point hole. “We had to play catch-up the whole game," said senior guard Martino Brock, who continues to flourish coming off the bench with three 17-point performances in the past five games. South Florida is not built to come from behind, ranking dead last nationally in 3-point field goal percentage (25.4).
•ABOUT CONNECTICUT (18-5 SU, 12-9-0 ATS, 6-4 AAC): Daniels had missed two games with ankle and back injuries and said fatigue was a factor in Sunday's 20-point win at Central Florida even though he was among five players in double figures with 16 points and tied for the team high with seven rebounds in only 25 minutes. "I was a little rusty," Daniels said. "I'd give myself a 'D,' but the only thing that matters is we came away with a 'W.' " Forward Lasan Kromah, who has taken over Calhoun's starting slot, scored a season-high 17 points to follow up his 13-point effort at Cincinnati.
•PREGAME NOTES: Huskies G Shabazz Napier, who leads the team in points (17.7), rebounds (5.9) and assists (5.6), is averaging 22.5 points in his last six games.... The Bulls have connected on 14-of-65 attempts from long range in the past seven games.... The teams split a pair of meetings last season, with Connecticut prevailing in overtime at home and the Bulls winning by 14 in Tampa.... The Bulls are 12-26 versus the spread when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last three seasons.... UConn is 13-5 against the spread versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, CONNECTICUT covered the spread 596 times, while S FLORIDA covered the spread 378 times. *EDGE against the spread =CONNECTICUT. In 1000 simulated games, CONNECTICUT won the game straight up 930 times, while S FLORIDA won 61 times. In 1000 simulated games, CONNECTICUT covered the first half line 537 times, while S FLORIDA covered the first half line 463 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--S FLORIDA is 8-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT since 1997.
--CONNECTICUT is 7-2 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1997.
--5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--S FLORIDA is 6-2 versus the first half line when playing against CONNECTICUT since 1997.
--5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Bulls are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Underdog is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--USF is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Wed. games.
--Under is 24-5 in USF last 29 Wed. games.
--Under is 42-18 in USF last 60 road games.
--UCONN is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
--UCONN is 5-0 ATS L5 vs. American Athletic Conference.
--Under is 8-3 in UCONN last 11 home games.
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#771 KENTUCKY @ #772 AUBURN
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, SEC Network, ESPN3 - Line: Kentucky -7.5, Total: N/A) - It seems No. 13 Kentucky could easily look past Wednesday's game at Auburn with its showdown versus No. 4 Florida looming Saturday, but a pair of factors should suppress that possibility. The Wildcats have won 15 straight meetings and 29 of the last 30 encounters, while Kentucky coach John Calipari is 7-0 against Tigers counterpart Tony Barbee, who played under Calipari at Massachusetts and served as his assistant for six seasons during a successful run in Memphis. The Wildcats won at Mississippi State 69-59 on Saturday for their third straight victory while Auburn's win streak was snapped by LSU 87-80 on Saturday.
Calipari had nothing but praise for Barbee, whose team lost its first six SEC games before winning three straight. "They started with a ridiculous schedule that any of us would have been on a losing streak," Calipari told reporters. "...I'm just telling you, he's coaching as well as anybody in this conference and in the country." While the Wildcats are among the nation's elite teams and a national championship contender, they have struggled away from home at 4-5 - 3-3 in true road contests - as their heralded freshmen continue to gain valuable experience prior to the NCAA Tournament.
•ABOUT KENTUCKY (18-5 SU, 10-9-2 ATS, 8-2 SEC): Julius Randle, a 6-9 freshman forward, averages 16 points and is second in the SEC with 9.8 rebounds per game in what is expected to be the future NBA lottery pick's only season as a Wildcat. First-year players James Young (14.5 points), Aaron Harrison (14) and Andrew Harrison (10.7) are Kentucky's other double-figure scorers. The Wildcats must improve on their 3-point shooting (31.9) and free-throw (67.8) percentages, while Calipari continues to demand better defensive results and tries to get his young team to play with a greater sense of urgency with March Madness approaching quickly.
•ABOUT AUBURN (11-10 SU, 10-7-0 ATS, 3-7 SEC): Barbee is concerned with the Tigers' frontcourt, which was outscored 46-8 on Saturday and faces another stern challenge. “A lot of guys on both teams along the front line you’re going to see in the NBA one day, so it’s a very similar challenge,” Barbee told reporters. Senior guard Chris Denson leads the SEC in scoring at 20.2 points per game and averaged 26 over the last four games, while shooting 56.7 percent from the field, after recording 29 against LSU.
•PREGAME NOTES: Randle leads the nation's freshmen with 11 double-doubles, but recorded only one in his last seven games.... Auburn shot 31.8 percent from 3-point range in its three SEC victories and 34.1 percent in its seven losses.... The Tigers last defeated the Wildcats 66-63 on Jan. 11, 2000.... Kentucky is 4-15 versus the spread in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons.... Auburn is 5-16 against the spread off a loss against a conference rival over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, AUBURN covered the spread 554 times, while KENTUCKY covered the spread 446 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, KENTUCKY won the game straight up 650 times, while AUBURN won 330 times. In 1000 simulated games, AUBURN covered the first half line 526 times, while KENTUCKY covered the first half line 418 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--KENTUCKY is 11-7 against the spread versus AUBURN since 1997.
--KENTUCKY is 18-1 straight up against AUBURN since 1997.
--10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--KENTUCKY is 10-9 versus the first half line when playing against AUBURN since 1997.
--7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
--Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.
--Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Auburn.
--Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
--Road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--UK is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 Wed. games.
--UK is 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 road games.
--Over is 4-0 in UK last 4 Wednesday games.
--AUB is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
--AUB is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games.
--Over is 7-0 in Tigers last 7 Wednesday games.
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#781 DUKE @ #782 N CAROLINA
(TV: 9:00 PM EST, ESPN - Line: Duke -2.5, Total: N/A) - North Carolina will try to run its record to 4-0 against the teams that opened the season ranked in the top four of the USA Today Top 25 Coaches Poll, hosting No. 9 Duke in a pivotal ACC game Wednesday. The Tar Heels have already knocked off No. 8 Louisville, No. 10 Michigan State and No. 13 Kentucky, but will need another win against a ranked opponent for a chance to get back into the Top 25. More importantly, a victory for North Carolina would bring the Tar Heels closer to the top four in the conference standings.
North Carolina has won five in a row - all by double digits - to get back into the thick of the ACC race. Duke had its own five-game winning streak in ACC play interrupted by a loss to top-ranked Syracuse on Feb. 1, but the Blue Devils have reeled off back-to-back wins against Wake Forest and Boston College. Jabari Parker is coming off career highs in points (29) and rebounds (16) against Boston College.
•ABOUT DUKE (19-5 SU, 16-8-0 ATS, 8-3 ACC): Rodney Hood loses a lot of attention to Parker, but the 6-8 sophomore forward might by the Blue Devils’ most consistent player. He’s coming off back-to-back games scoring in single digits for the first time this season, so look for the Mississippi native to be extra focused for his first game against the Tar Heels. The other sophomore forward for Duke, 6-9 Amile Jefferson, is up to 66 percent shooting from the floor this season after making all three of his attempts Saturday.
•ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (16-7 SU, 12-11-0 ATS, 6-4 ACC): James Michael McAdoo will likely get the task of trying to guard Hood or Jefferson at the outset. McAdoo hasn’t had any trouble with his offensive game in a while, reaching double figures in scoring the last 16 games. McAdoo has lost three out of four in his career against Duke, including both games on his home floor, so look for a top-notch effort from the 6-9 junior forward.
•PREGAME NOTES: A win for the Blue Devils would give them at least 20 for the 18th consecutive season.... Duke entered Tuesday tied with Cleveland State for the nation’s top 3-point shooting percentage at 42.... North Carolina G Marcus Paige leads the ACC in free throw shooting at 90.5 percent.... The Blue Devils are 12-4 against the spread versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of less than 42% this season.... The Tar Heels are 12-2 versus the spread in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last three seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, DUKE covered the spread 555 times, while N CAROLINA covered the spread 445 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, DUKE won the game straight up 602 times, while N CAROLINA won 370 times. In 1000 simulated games, DUKE covered the first half line 519 times, while N CAROLINA covered the first half line 481 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--N CAROLINA is 21-17 against the spread versus DUKE since 1997.
--DUKE is 25-13 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1997.
--18 of 34 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--N CAROLINA is 19-17 versus the first half line when playing against DUKE since 1997.
--18 of 34 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Blue Devils are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in North Carolina.
--Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
--Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in North Carolina.
--Road team is 22-8 ATS in the last 30 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--DUKE is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
--DUKE is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. Atlantic Coast.
--Under is 14-4 in DUKE last 18 Wed. games.
--UNC is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Wed. games.
--UNC is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Atlantic Coast.
--Over is 5-2 in UNC last 7 vs. Atlantic Coast.
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#787 C FLORIDA @ #788 MEMPHIS
(TV: 9:00 PM EST, ESPNU - Line: Memphis -15.5, Total: N/A) - After posting another signature victory, No. 22 Memphis looks to win its third straight when it hosts Central Florida on Wednesday in an American Athletic Conference game. The Tigers scored the final 10 points to knock off No. 24 Gonzaga 60-54 on Saturday for its third victory over a ranked team this season. Memphis has won 12 of its last 13 games against the Knights.
Central Florida was routed by Connecticut 75-55 on Sunday for its eighth straight loss. The setback knocked the Knights into a tie for last in the newly formed American Athletic Conference with Temple. Memphis defeated Central Florida 69-59 at Orlando, Fla., on Jan. 29.
•ABOUT CENTRAL FLORIDA (9-12 SU, 3-12-0 ATS, 1-9 AAC): Isaiah Sykes continues to be one of the lone bright spots for the Knights. The versatile senior swingman is the only conference player in the top 15 in the league statistics in scoring, rebounding, assists, steals and field-goal percentage and netted 24 points and grabbed a dozen rebounds in the first meeting. Sykes continued his hot hand by scoring 17 points against UConn and reserve Justin McBride had a fine game with 13 points in just 15 minutes for the Knights, who continue to lead the conference in rebounding.
•ABOUT MEMPHIS (18-5 SU, 13-7-0 ATS, 7-3 AAC): Coach Josh Pastner entered the season 0-12 against ranked teams but now owns wins over Oklahoma State, Louisville and Gonzaga. The Tigers sit fourth in the AAC with a big date at UConn on deck and a chance to further enhance their NCAA seeding. But Memphis can't afford to look past the Knights as they led by just three points with six minutes to go last month.
•PREGAME NOTES: UCF outrebounded Memphis 36-31 and had a 19-2 advantage in second-chance points in the first meeting.... Memphis is 26-4 against teams from Florida since 2000.... UCF ranks 343 out of 345 teams in free throw percentage at 59.7 percent.... The Tigers are 6-0 versus the spread after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last two seasons.... The Knights are 2-9 against the spread versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game this season, including 1-7 ATS after 15+ games.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, UCF covered the spread 507 times, while MEMPHIS covered the spread 493 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, MEMPHIS won the game straight up 857 times, while UCF won 130 times. In 1000 simulated games, UCF covered the first half line 543 times, while MEMPHIS covered the first half line 410 times. *EDGE against first half line =UCF.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--MEMPHIS is 10-3 against the spread versus UCF since 1997.
--MEMPHIS is 12-1 straight up against UCF since 1997.
--8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--MEMPHIS is 7-6 versus the first half line when playing against UCF since 1997.
--9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Knights are 0-7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
--Knights are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Memphis.
--Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Memphis.
--Favorite is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--UCF is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games.
--UCF is 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
--UCF is 1-9 ATS L10 vs. American Athletic Conference.
--MEM is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
--Under is 13-5 in MEM last 18 overall.
--Under is 9-3 in MEM last 12 home games.
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NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Wednesday, 2/12/14 NCAACB Knowledge *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 NCAA College Basketball season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Wednesday's Notebook
•George Washington (+1.5) beat Virginia Commonwealth 76-66 at home Jan 14, avenging an 84-57 loss at VCU in first A-13 meeting LY; Colonials outscored Rams 20-7 on foul line, survived 21 (-7) turnovers. A-13 home favorites of less than 5 points are 11-7 versus spread. GW won seven of last eight games, is 1-2 as A-13 underdog. VCU is 2-3 as home favorite, but won all five of the games, all by 11+ points- they force turnovers 23.3% of time.
•Villanova (-17) shot 73% inside arc in 88-62 home win over DePaul Jan 18, Wildcats' 7th straight series win- they've won last three visits here by 2-2-23 points. DePaul's leading scorer Melvin is off team; Demons lost last six games (1-5 vs. spread)- they're 1-4 as home dog, with three of four home losses by 10+ points. Big East road favorites of more than 4 points are 7-1. Villanova is 7-1-1 versus spread in its last nine games.
•Syracuse lost its last five visits to Pittsburgh; their last win here was 10 years ago. Panther star Patterson is struggling with injured thumb, making 14-51 from floor in last four games, which Pitt split, with both wins over poor teams in OT. Syracuse is 4-0 on ACC road, with all four wins by 10+; they beat Panthers 59-54 (-5) Jan 18, making 65% of shots inside arc. Pittsburgh had 16 offensive boards that game, but was just 13-23 from the line. ACC home teams are 9-23 versus spread if spread was 5 or less points.
•Akron won its last four games with Western Michigan, winning by 3 in OT here LY. Zips' last three games were all decided by 4 or less points; they're 5-1 on MAC road, with underdogs covering five of the six tilts. WMU won five of last six games; underdogs are 5-0 versus spread in their conference home games. MAC home favorites of 4 or less points are 4-8 versus spread. Four of six Akron road games were decided by 4 or less points.
•Ohio (-3) made 11-25 from arc, beat Toledo 95-90 in OT Feb 1, after trailing by 11 with 8:58 left; Bobcats are 7-1 in last eight series games, but lost by 4 in last visit here in '12. Mid-American Conference home favorites of 5+ points are 8-13-1 versus spread. Toledo won eight of last nine games but is 0-4-1 as a home favorite. Ohio won four of last five games; only one of their three MAC losses was by more than three points.
•Home team is 14-2 in last 16 Indiana State-Bradley games; Sycamores are 1-9 in last ten visits to Peoria, losing by 8-12 in last two visits here. ISU is 4-2 on conference road, with three of four wins by 6 or less points- they're 2-2 as road favorite. Missouri Valley Conference favorites are 8-3 versus spread if spread was less than 4 points. Bradley won five of last seven games; they're 5-1 at home in conference, with only loss by 3 to Missouri State.
•Kentucky won 11 games with Auburn, with last four all by 10+ points; Wildcats won last five visits here by 9-9-3-5-22 points- they're 6-1 in last seven games overall, 1-2-1 as road favorite, winning away games by 9-5-10 points. SEC home underdogs are 14-7-1 versus spread. Auburn won three of last four games, covering all four; they're 2-2 at home in league play, losing by 2 to Missouri, 7 to Florida (1-1 as home dog).
•Illinois won three of last four games with Nebraska, splitting pair of 20+ point decisions here; Illini snapped 8-game skid Sunday at Penn St- they are 1-4 on Big Dozen road, losing by 25-6-7-10 points. Nebraska won last three home games by 6-4-5 points, is 7-1 versus spread last eight games. Big Dozen home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-9 versus spread. Illinois is 2-7 against the spread in its last nine games.
•Duke won seven of last nine games with North Carolina, winning its last two visits to Chapel Hill, by 1-16 points. Duke won seven of last eight games, is 7-1 versus spread in last eight, winning three of last four on road, with only loss by hoop at Syracuse. ACC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 2-8 versus spread. Carolina won its last five games, all by 11+ points- they also won their last four home games.
•Stanford (-10) outscored Washington 24-6 on line in 79-67 win over the Huskies Jan 18, just its second win in last 11 series games. Cardinal lost its last four visits here, by 1-33-11-13 points- they won six of last eight games, covering last four games as favorite. Pac-12 home underdogs of 5 or less points are 9-5 versus spread. Washington lost five of last seven but is 4-0 SU at home in conference- dogs covered six of its last seven games.
•New Mexico (-5) beat Boise State 84-75 Jan 21, making 9-17 from arc, making 59% inside arc; Lobos are 5-0 versus Boise in conference play, winning by 16-5 in last two visits here. Mountain West home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-4 versus spread. Broncos lost last three games, are 1-5 as MWC home favorite; they're 2-5 in league games decided by 6 or less points. Lobos won last six games; dogs are 4-1 versus spread in their MWC road tilts.
•Nevada won six of last seven games with Fresno State, winning 96-86 in double OT in first meeting Jan 22, after trailing by 10 in the second half. Wolf Pack is 3-0 as home favorite; three of its four home wins are by 9+ points. Fresno won its last three games, is 3-2 as road dog, with one road loss by more than 7 points. Mountain West home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-4 versus spread. Last two series games both went to OT.
•California (-15) beat Washington State 76-55 at home Jan 18, but it was only 34-33 at half; home team won last six series games- Bears lost last two visits to Pullman, by 4-2 points. Pac-12 home underdogs of more than 5 points are 2-4 versus spread. Erratic Cal lost four of last five games, but win was over #1 Arizona- they lost last two road games. Cougars are 3-2 as a home dog; home teams covered eight of their 11 conference games.
•Situational Trends of The Day
-- NEW MEXICO is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW MEXICO 72.0, OPPONENT 60.8.
-- KENTUCKY is 36-11 UNDER (+23.9 Units) after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1997.
The average score was KENTUCKY 71.9, OPPONENT 59.6.
-- ST PETERS is 0-13 (-14.3 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing only their 3rd game in a week over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ST PETERS 23.2, OPPONENT 33.4.
-- E MICHIGAN is 26-6 UNDER (+19.4 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was E MICHIGAN 23.3, OPPONENT 26.6.
-- KEN BONE is 2-17 ATS (-16.7 Units) revenging a road loss versus opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of WASHINGTON ST.
The average score was Bone 60.6, OPPONENT 70.7.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- SYRACUSE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season.
The average score was SYRACUSE 70.3, OPPONENT 58.2.
-- S FLORIDA is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 59.2, OPPONENT 58.1.
-- RHODE ISLAND is 13-2 against the 1rst half line (+10.8 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was RHODE ISLAND 31.6, OPPONENT 32.7.
-- N CAROLINA is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was N CAROLINA 33.1, OPPONENT 28.6.
-- WES MILLER is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games as the coach of UNC-GREENSBORO.
The average score was MILLER 66.3, OPPONENT 73.7.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TEXAS A&M) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games.
(41-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.2%, +36.3 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +125.2
The average score in these games was: Team 70.9, Opponent 67.3 (Average point differential = +3.6)
The situation's record this season is: (2-3, -1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-6, +10.8 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (94-63, +20.4 units).
-- Play On - Road teams as an underdog or pick (FRESNO ST) - revenging a home loss versus opponent of 10 points or more, in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (32%-36.5%) after 15+ games, after a game making 13 or more 3 point shots.
(33-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.5%, +25.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (20-21 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.6
The average score in these games was: Team 66.9, Opponent 67.6 (Average point differential = -0.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (42.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (54-41).
-- Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TCU) - revenging a road blowout loss versus opponent of 20 points or more, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals against opponent off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals.
(48-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.2%, +31.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (54-11 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.5
The average score in these games was: Team 73.2, Opponent 64.6 (Average point differential = +8.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (26.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-11).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (149-102).
-- Play On - Road underdogs of 6 to 11 points versus the first half line (TENN-MARTIN) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=78 PPG), after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games, in a game involving two good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's).
(31-9 since 1997.) (77.5%, +21.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 34.8, Opponent 33.8 (Average first half point differential = +1)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (5-2).
-- Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 55.5 to 60.5 (ILLINOIS) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing <=12 turnovers/game, off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team.
(57-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.0%, +37.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 58.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 26.9, Opponent 28.1 (Total first half points scored = 54.9)
The situation's record this season is: (10-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-8).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (102-52).
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Wednesday's Match-ups
#745 VILLANOVA @ #746 DEPAUL
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, Fox Sports 1 - Line: Villanova -13, Total: N/A) - No. 6 Villanova looks to win its sixth game in a row when it hits the road to face DePaul on Wednesday. The Wildcats have recorded 10 victories in their last 11 games and are coming off a comfortable 70-53 win over Seton Hall as they aim to complete the season sweep over the Blue Demons. Villanova has reeled off six straight road victories and hopes to take care of business without peeking ahead to the showdown with No. 17 Creighton on Feb. 16, which will likely decide the Big East title race.
DePaul is currently mired in a six-game losing streak following a 78-66 loss to Creighton. The Blue Demons have dropped four games by double digits during their slide and things have gone from bad to worse as they announced that leading scorer Cleveland Melvin, who was suspended for the last four games, is no longer enrolled at the school. "I can't make any comments because of the federal student privacy act," coach Oliver Purnell said on his weekly radio show. "But the bottom line is he's no longer a part of our team and we have to move on."
•ABOUT VILLANOVA (21-2 SU, 16-5-0 ATS, 9-1 Big East): JayVaughn Pinkston scored 19 points on 9-of-11 shooting and grabbed six rebounds versus Seton Hall to help coach Jay Wright record his 400th career win. James Bell tops the team in scoring (16 per game) and was named the Big East Player of the Week after averaging 23.5 points in wins over the Pirates and Xavier. The Wildcats have knocked down 10 or more 3-pointers in 12 games, but finished with a season-low five triples against Seton Hall.
•ABOUT DEPAUL (10-14 SU, 11-12-0 ATS, 2-9 Big East): Brandon Young has stepped up in the absence of Melvin, averaging 16.5 points and six rebounds in his last four games. The Blue Demons went 8-of-23 from beyond the arc against Creighton and have made at least one 3-point field goal in 635 straight games. Forrest Robinson came off the bench to score a career-high 11 points on 4-of-5 shooting against the Bluejays.
•PREGAME NOTES: Villanova is 17-8 all-time against DePaul and has won the last seven meetings between the two schools.... The Wildcats are 17-0 when scoring 70 points or more this season.... The Blue Demons have lost 47 straight games against ranked opponents.... Villanova is 13-4 against the spread versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing less than 14 turnovers/game this season.... DePaul is 0-7 versus the spread in home games versus excellent teams - shooting more than 45% with a defense of less than 42% over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, DEPAUL covered the spread 506 times, while VILLANOVA covered the spread 461 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, VILLANOVA won the game straight up 817 times, while DEPAUL won 162 times. In 1000 simulated games, DEPAUL covered the first half line 563 times, while VILLANOVA covered the first half line 437 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--VILLANOVA is 6-5 against the spread versus DEPAUL since 1997.
--VILLANOVA is 9-2 straight up against DEPAUL since 1997.
--7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--DEPAUL is 8-3 versus the first half line when playing against VILLANOVA since 1997.
--6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings
--Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in DePaul.
--Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--VILL is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big East.
--Over is 10-3 in VILL last 13 overall.
--Over is 12-2 in VILL last 14 road games.
--DEP is 7-18 ATS in their last 25 home games.
--Over is 6-2 in DEP last 8 overall.
--Over is 6-2 in DEP last 8 vs. Big East.
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#747 SYRACUSE @ #748 PITTSBURGH
(TV: 7:00 PM EST, ESPN - Line: Pittsburgh -1, Total: N/A) - Syracuse puts its undefeated record on the line Wednesday when the top-ranked Orange visit No. 23 Pittsburgh in search of its school-record 24th straight victory. The best start to a season in modern Syracuse history includes a five-point home victory over the Panthers back on Jan. 18. Pittsburgh responded from that defeat with back-to-back wins but has not won in regulation in any of its last four games - losing to Duke and Virginia at home before squeaking out wins against Miami in overtime and Virginia Tech in double OT.
Panthers coach Jamie Dixon admitted this week that "we haven't played great as of late. That's got to change. We've got to get better." But the Orange know that they can play better, as well, as they have failed to reach 70 points in seven of their last eight games and rank just 187th in the nation in scoring average (71.1). Pittsburgh led the first matchup by three points with under three minutes left, prompting senior swingman Lamar Patterson to say this week, "I am real confident. We want another shot at them because we let one go there. It is going to be a fun game."
•ABOUT SYRACUSE (23-0 SU, 12-6-1 ATS, 10-0 ACC): The biggest issue for the Orange at the moment is a lack of depth, as forward DaJuan Coleman (knee) is already out for the season and C Baye Moussa Keita injured his knee against Clemson on Sunday, leaving his status up in the air for Wednesday's contest. "If Baye isn't able to go Wednesday, that's a little concern," said Syracuse senior C.J. Fair. "They're a team that likes to get it inside. You know they're going to want to take advantage of that opportunity." Fair leads the team with 16.8 points per game while Jerami Grant (12.8 points, seven rebounds) and Rakeem Christmas (5.5 points, 4.4 rebounds) must also play big without Coleman and perhaps Keita as well.
•ABOUT PITTSBURGH (20-4 SU, 7-13-1 ATS, 8-3 ACC): Historically, Pittsburgh has been one of the teams that has had the most success penetrating Syracuse's 2-3 zone defense. "We match up well," Pitt point guard James Robinson said. "Our coaches do a really good job getting us prepared. We work on our zone offense every day in practice. We know they are long and athletic. We can't be passive against them. We've got to be aggressive." Patterson has generally been the team's best player this season, but his scoring average has dipped to 17.2 as he has scored 13.5 points on 27.5 percent shooting over his last four games.
•PREGAME NOTES: Pittsburgh F-C Talib Zanna (12.5 points, 7.6 rebounds) also has struggled over his last four games to the tune of 7.5 points on 37.5 percent shooting.... Syracuse PG Tyler Ennis has committed more than two turnovers in a game only once this season.... Orange G Trevor Cooney is 14-of-21 from 3-point range over the last three games.... The Panthers are 9-22 versus the spread in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last three seasons.... Syracuse 7-0 against the spread versus good foul drawing teams - attempting more than 25 free throws/game this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, PITTSBURGH covered the spread 576 times, while SYRACUSE covered the spread 385 times. *EDGE against the spread =PITTSBURGH. In 1000 simulated games, PITTSBURGH won the game straight up 615 times, while SYRACUSE won 355 times. In 1000 simulated games, PITTSBURGH covered the first half line 545 times, while SYRACUSE covered the first half line 455 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--PITTSBURGH is 16-11 against the spread versus SYRACUSE since 1997.
--PITTSBURGH is 14-13 straight up against SYRACUSE since 1997.
--12 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--PITTSBURGH is 14-12 versus the first half line when playing against SYRACUSE since 1997.
--13 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Orange are 5-15-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
--Orange are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh.
•RECENT TRENDS
--SYR is 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
--Under is 9-2 in SYR last 11 overall.
--Under is 8-2 in SYR last 10 vs. Atlantic Coast.
--PITT is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.
--PITT is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Atlantic Coast.
--Over is 8-2 in PITT last 10 home games.
_______________________________
#759 S FLORIDA @ #760 CONNECTICUT
(TV: 7:00 PM EST, ESPN2, ESPN3 - Line: Connecticut -15, Total: N/A) - Buoyed by the return of star forward DeAndre Daniels, Connecticut can move closer to its fourth consecutive 20-win season when it hosts South Florida on Wednesday in an American Athletic Conference matchup. The Huskies have eight games remaining in the regular season, including three contests against ranked opponents and a rematch at South Florida in two weeks. Daniels was back in the lineup after missing two games but Connecticut may be without swingman Omar Calhoun with a mild concussion.
The Bulls' hopes for a top-six finish in the ACC - which ensures a first-round bye in the conference tournament - took a major hit with Saturday's 79-69 home loss to Rutgers. It was the eighth defeat in 11 games for the Bulls, dropping them into eighth place in the league and derailing the good vibes built from wins over Southern Methodist and Central Florida sandwiched around a narrow loss to AAC leader Cincinnati. "We can’t get this one back, but we have to find a way to make it up," coach Stan Heath told reporters after Saturday's loss.
•ABOUT SOUTH FLORIDA (12-12 SU, 9-12-0 ATS, 3-8 AAC): A highlight-reel dunk from Victor Rudd aside, the Bulls laid an egg against a Rutgers squad that had lost its previous seven league road games by falling into an early 13-point hole. “We had to play catch-up the whole game," said senior guard Martino Brock, who continues to flourish coming off the bench with three 17-point performances in the past five games. South Florida is not built to come from behind, ranking dead last nationally in 3-point field goal percentage (25.4).
•ABOUT CONNECTICUT (18-5 SU, 12-9-0 ATS, 6-4 AAC): Daniels had missed two games with ankle and back injuries and said fatigue was a factor in Sunday's 20-point win at Central Florida even though he was among five players in double figures with 16 points and tied for the team high with seven rebounds in only 25 minutes. "I was a little rusty," Daniels said. "I'd give myself a 'D,' but the only thing that matters is we came away with a 'W.' " Forward Lasan Kromah, who has taken over Calhoun's starting slot, scored a season-high 17 points to follow up his 13-point effort at Cincinnati.
•PREGAME NOTES: Huskies G Shabazz Napier, who leads the team in points (17.7), rebounds (5.9) and assists (5.6), is averaging 22.5 points in his last six games.... The Bulls have connected on 14-of-65 attempts from long range in the past seven games.... The teams split a pair of meetings last season, with Connecticut prevailing in overtime at home and the Bulls winning by 14 in Tampa.... The Bulls are 12-26 versus the spread when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last three seasons.... UConn is 13-5 against the spread versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, CONNECTICUT covered the spread 596 times, while S FLORIDA covered the spread 378 times. *EDGE against the spread =CONNECTICUT. In 1000 simulated games, CONNECTICUT won the game straight up 930 times, while S FLORIDA won 61 times. In 1000 simulated games, CONNECTICUT covered the first half line 537 times, while S FLORIDA covered the first half line 463 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--S FLORIDA is 8-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT since 1997.
--CONNECTICUT is 7-2 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1997.
--5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--S FLORIDA is 6-2 versus the first half line when playing against CONNECTICUT since 1997.
--5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Bulls are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Underdog is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--USF is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Wed. games.
--Under is 24-5 in USF last 29 Wed. games.
--Under is 42-18 in USF last 60 road games.
--UCONN is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
--UCONN is 5-0 ATS L5 vs. American Athletic Conference.
--Under is 8-3 in UCONN last 11 home games.
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#771 KENTUCKY @ #772 AUBURN
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, SEC Network, ESPN3 - Line: Kentucky -7.5, Total: N/A) - It seems No. 13 Kentucky could easily look past Wednesday's game at Auburn with its showdown versus No. 4 Florida looming Saturday, but a pair of factors should suppress that possibility. The Wildcats have won 15 straight meetings and 29 of the last 30 encounters, while Kentucky coach John Calipari is 7-0 against Tigers counterpart Tony Barbee, who played under Calipari at Massachusetts and served as his assistant for six seasons during a successful run in Memphis. The Wildcats won at Mississippi State 69-59 on Saturday for their third straight victory while Auburn's win streak was snapped by LSU 87-80 on Saturday.
Calipari had nothing but praise for Barbee, whose team lost its first six SEC games before winning three straight. "They started with a ridiculous schedule that any of us would have been on a losing streak," Calipari told reporters. "...I'm just telling you, he's coaching as well as anybody in this conference and in the country." While the Wildcats are among the nation's elite teams and a national championship contender, they have struggled away from home at 4-5 - 3-3 in true road contests - as their heralded freshmen continue to gain valuable experience prior to the NCAA Tournament.
•ABOUT KENTUCKY (18-5 SU, 10-9-2 ATS, 8-2 SEC): Julius Randle, a 6-9 freshman forward, averages 16 points and is second in the SEC with 9.8 rebounds per game in what is expected to be the future NBA lottery pick's only season as a Wildcat. First-year players James Young (14.5 points), Aaron Harrison (14) and Andrew Harrison (10.7) are Kentucky's other double-figure scorers. The Wildcats must improve on their 3-point shooting (31.9) and free-throw (67.8) percentages, while Calipari continues to demand better defensive results and tries to get his young team to play with a greater sense of urgency with March Madness approaching quickly.
•ABOUT AUBURN (11-10 SU, 10-7-0 ATS, 3-7 SEC): Barbee is concerned with the Tigers' frontcourt, which was outscored 46-8 on Saturday and faces another stern challenge. “A lot of guys on both teams along the front line you’re going to see in the NBA one day, so it’s a very similar challenge,” Barbee told reporters. Senior guard Chris Denson leads the SEC in scoring at 20.2 points per game and averaged 26 over the last four games, while shooting 56.7 percent from the field, after recording 29 against LSU.
•PREGAME NOTES: Randle leads the nation's freshmen with 11 double-doubles, but recorded only one in his last seven games.... Auburn shot 31.8 percent from 3-point range in its three SEC victories and 34.1 percent in its seven losses.... The Tigers last defeated the Wildcats 66-63 on Jan. 11, 2000.... Kentucky is 4-15 versus the spread in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons.... Auburn is 5-16 against the spread off a loss against a conference rival over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, AUBURN covered the spread 554 times, while KENTUCKY covered the spread 446 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, KENTUCKY won the game straight up 650 times, while AUBURN won 330 times. In 1000 simulated games, AUBURN covered the first half line 526 times, while KENTUCKY covered the first half line 418 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--KENTUCKY is 11-7 against the spread versus AUBURN since 1997.
--KENTUCKY is 18-1 straight up against AUBURN since 1997.
--10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--KENTUCKY is 10-9 versus the first half line when playing against AUBURN since 1997.
--7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
--Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.
--Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Auburn.
--Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
--Road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--UK is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 Wed. games.
--UK is 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 road games.
--Over is 4-0 in UK last 4 Wednesday games.
--AUB is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
--AUB is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games.
--Over is 7-0 in Tigers last 7 Wednesday games.
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#781 DUKE @ #782 N CAROLINA
(TV: 9:00 PM EST, ESPN - Line: Duke -2.5, Total: N/A) - North Carolina will try to run its record to 4-0 against the teams that opened the season ranked in the top four of the USA Today Top 25 Coaches Poll, hosting No. 9 Duke in a pivotal ACC game Wednesday. The Tar Heels have already knocked off No. 8 Louisville, No. 10 Michigan State and No. 13 Kentucky, but will need another win against a ranked opponent for a chance to get back into the Top 25. More importantly, a victory for North Carolina would bring the Tar Heels closer to the top four in the conference standings.
North Carolina has won five in a row - all by double digits - to get back into the thick of the ACC race. Duke had its own five-game winning streak in ACC play interrupted by a loss to top-ranked Syracuse on Feb. 1, but the Blue Devils have reeled off back-to-back wins against Wake Forest and Boston College. Jabari Parker is coming off career highs in points (29) and rebounds (16) against Boston College.
•ABOUT DUKE (19-5 SU, 16-8-0 ATS, 8-3 ACC): Rodney Hood loses a lot of attention to Parker, but the 6-8 sophomore forward might by the Blue Devils’ most consistent player. He’s coming off back-to-back games scoring in single digits for the first time this season, so look for the Mississippi native to be extra focused for his first game against the Tar Heels. The other sophomore forward for Duke, 6-9 Amile Jefferson, is up to 66 percent shooting from the floor this season after making all three of his attempts Saturday.
•ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (16-7 SU, 12-11-0 ATS, 6-4 ACC): James Michael McAdoo will likely get the task of trying to guard Hood or Jefferson at the outset. McAdoo hasn’t had any trouble with his offensive game in a while, reaching double figures in scoring the last 16 games. McAdoo has lost three out of four in his career against Duke, including both games on his home floor, so look for a top-notch effort from the 6-9 junior forward.
•PREGAME NOTES: A win for the Blue Devils would give them at least 20 for the 18th consecutive season.... Duke entered Tuesday tied with Cleveland State for the nation’s top 3-point shooting percentage at 42.... North Carolina G Marcus Paige leads the ACC in free throw shooting at 90.5 percent.... The Blue Devils are 12-4 against the spread versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of less than 42% this season.... The Tar Heels are 12-2 versus the spread in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last three seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, DUKE covered the spread 555 times, while N CAROLINA covered the spread 445 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, DUKE won the game straight up 602 times, while N CAROLINA won 370 times. In 1000 simulated games, DUKE covered the first half line 519 times, while N CAROLINA covered the first half line 481 times. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--N CAROLINA is 21-17 against the spread versus DUKE since 1997.
--DUKE is 25-13 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1997.
--18 of 34 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--N CAROLINA is 19-17 versus the first half line when playing against DUKE since 1997.
--18 of 34 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Blue Devils are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in North Carolina.
--Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
--Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in North Carolina.
--Road team is 22-8 ATS in the last 30 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--DUKE is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
--DUKE is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. Atlantic Coast.
--Under is 14-4 in DUKE last 18 Wed. games.
--UNC is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Wed. games.
--UNC is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Atlantic Coast.
--Over is 5-2 in UNC last 7 vs. Atlantic Coast.
_______________________________
#787 C FLORIDA @ #788 MEMPHIS
(TV: 9:00 PM EST, ESPNU - Line: Memphis -15.5, Total: N/A) - After posting another signature victory, No. 22 Memphis looks to win its third straight when it hosts Central Florida on Wednesday in an American Athletic Conference game. The Tigers scored the final 10 points to knock off No. 24 Gonzaga 60-54 on Saturday for its third victory over a ranked team this season. Memphis has won 12 of its last 13 games against the Knights.
Central Florida was routed by Connecticut 75-55 on Sunday for its eighth straight loss. The setback knocked the Knights into a tie for last in the newly formed American Athletic Conference with Temple. Memphis defeated Central Florida 69-59 at Orlando, Fla., on Jan. 29.
•ABOUT CENTRAL FLORIDA (9-12 SU, 3-12-0 ATS, 1-9 AAC): Isaiah Sykes continues to be one of the lone bright spots for the Knights. The versatile senior swingman is the only conference player in the top 15 in the league statistics in scoring, rebounding, assists, steals and field-goal percentage and netted 24 points and grabbed a dozen rebounds in the first meeting. Sykes continued his hot hand by scoring 17 points against UConn and reserve Justin McBride had a fine game with 13 points in just 15 minutes for the Knights, who continue to lead the conference in rebounding.
•ABOUT MEMPHIS (18-5 SU, 13-7-0 ATS, 7-3 AAC): Coach Josh Pastner entered the season 0-12 against ranked teams but now owns wins over Oklahoma State, Louisville and Gonzaga. The Tigers sit fourth in the AAC with a big date at UConn on deck and a chance to further enhance their NCAA seeding. But Memphis can't afford to look past the Knights as they led by just three points with six minutes to go last month.
•PREGAME NOTES: UCF outrebounded Memphis 36-31 and had a 19-2 advantage in second-chance points in the first meeting.... Memphis is 26-4 against teams from Florida since 2000.... UCF ranks 343 out of 345 teams in free throw percentage at 59.7 percent.... The Tigers are 6-0 versus the spread after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last two seasons.... The Knights are 2-9 against the spread versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game this season, including 1-7 ATS after 15+ games.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, UCF covered the spread 507 times, while MEMPHIS covered the spread 493 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, MEMPHIS won the game straight up 857 times, while UCF won 130 times. In 1000 simulated games, UCF covered the first half line 543 times, while MEMPHIS covered the first half line 410 times. *EDGE against first half line =UCF.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--MEMPHIS is 10-3 against the spread versus UCF since 1997.
--MEMPHIS is 12-1 straight up against UCF since 1997.
--8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997.
--MEMPHIS is 7-6 versus the first half line when playing against UCF since 1997.
--9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.
--Knights are 0-7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
--Knights are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Memphis.
--Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Memphis.
--Favorite is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--UCF is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games.
--UCF is 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
--UCF is 1-9 ATS L10 vs. American Athletic Conference.
--MEM is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
--Under is 13-5 in MEM last 18 overall.
--Under is 9-3 in MEM last 12 home games.
_______________________________
FYI: Up-to-date newsletters are available in the Newsletter Thread in the Rubber Room.
GC: NCAAB PLay
Hump Day Card has 5 Plays and is led by the A-10 Conference Game of the Year with 4-100% Situations and an ESPN Play, in the NBA its the Perfect system Game of the week. There are also 2 More Powerful NCAAB Plays and an NBA 91% Dog. NCAAB Cashes with Michigan and NBA ranked at or near the top. NCAAB Play below.
On Wednesday the ACC College Hoops plays is on Georgia Tech. Game 742 at 7:00 eastern. The Yellow Jackets look to sting a Boston College team they already defeated this season 68-60 on the road. In that game they dominated the boards 32-19. Tech will look to snap a 4 game spread losing streak and they are 5-0 this year vs losing teams and 4-1 at home vs Boston College. The Eagles are 1-12 with home loss revenge going 3-10 ats and 4-25 in lined road games. In games after allowing 80+ points they are a dismal 0-5 to the spread. Look for GA. Tech to take another from Boston College tonight. On Hump day we will Get you on the "Giving End" with the Atlantic Conference Game Of the Year with 4 Never lost Indicators, there is the 100% NBA System Game of the week and a 91% NBA Dog. Back to NCAAB There is the ESPN Show down play between Syracuse and Pittsburgh and a 5* Dog. NCAAB Cashed Big with Michigan and NBA stays near the top. Jump on and Hammer your book tonight. For the Bonus Play take Georgia Tech. GC
Hump Day Card has 5 Plays and is led by the A-10 Conference Game of the Year with 4-100% Situations and an ESPN Play, in the NBA its the Perfect system Game of the week. There are also 2 More Powerful NCAAB Plays and an NBA 91% Dog. NCAAB Cashes with Michigan and NBA ranked at or near the top. NCAAB Play below.
On Wednesday the ACC College Hoops plays is on Georgia Tech. Game 742 at 7:00 eastern. The Yellow Jackets look to sting a Boston College team they already defeated this season 68-60 on the road. In that game they dominated the boards 32-19. Tech will look to snap a 4 game spread losing streak and they are 5-0 this year vs losing teams and 4-1 at home vs Boston College. The Eagles are 1-12 with home loss revenge going 3-10 ats and 4-25 in lined road games. In games after allowing 80+ points they are a dismal 0-5 to the spread. Look for GA. Tech to take another from Boston College tonight. On Hump day we will Get you on the "Giving End" with the Atlantic Conference Game Of the Year with 4 Never lost Indicators, there is the 100% NBA System Game of the week and a 91% NBA Dog. Back to NCAAB There is the ESPN Show down play between Syracuse and Pittsburgh and a 5* Dog. NCAAB Cashed Big with Michigan and NBA stays near the top. Jump on and Hammer your book tonight. For the Bonus Play take Georgia Tech. GC
Daily Wager with Weekend Warrior February 12, 2014 6:43 AM by Mark Mayer
NCAA Basketball
746 Depaul +13: Classic look ahead situation for visitor Villanova, winners of 5 straight since a humbling 96-68 loss to Creighton in Philly. The big revenge rematch comes up Sunday. DePaul has lost 5 straight, but covered in a 12-point loss at Creighton last time out.
Results 2013-14 NCAA BK (Tues. 1-0-0) Overall Record: 21-12-1
NCAA Basketball
746 Depaul +13: Classic look ahead situation for visitor Villanova, winners of 5 straight since a humbling 96-68 loss to Creighton in Philly. The big revenge rematch comes up Sunday. DePaul has lost 5 straight, but covered in a 12-point loss at Creighton last time out.
Results 2013-14 NCAA BK (Tues. 1-0-0) Overall Record: 21-12-1
The Winners Circle
WEDNESDAY BASKETBALL PLAYS
10* Play Indiana -8 over Dallas NBA TOP PLAY
10* Play Brooklyn -7 over Charlotte NBA TOP PLAY
10* Play Memphis -15.5 over Central Florida NCAA TOP PLAY
10* Play Connecticut -15 over South Florida NCAA TOP PLAY
10* Play Villanova -13 over DePaul NCAA TOP PLAY
WEDNESDAY BASKETBALL PLAYS
10* Play Indiana -8 over Dallas NBA TOP PLAY
10* Play Brooklyn -7 over Charlotte NBA TOP PLAY
10* Play Memphis -15.5 over Central Florida NCAA TOP PLAY
10* Play Connecticut -15 over South Florida NCAA TOP PLAY
10* Play Villanova -13 over DePaul NCAA TOP PLAY
Bob Balfe
AWAY:HOME:ODDS:TIME:
Boston CollegeGeorgia TechGeorgia Tech -2.5, NA
2/12/2014 7:00 PM
SELECTION:
GEORGIA TECH -2.5
Boston College is not a good basketball team. They can’t play defense and they can’t win on the road. I don’t think they have the athletes to match up with a physical Georgia Tech team. Neither team has been playing well as of late, but I just don’t see a very bad BC program coming in on the road and getting a rare win tonight.
AWAY:HOME:ODDS:TIME:
SyracusePittPitt -2.5, 123.5
2/12/2014 7:00 PM
SELECTION:
SYRACUSE +2.5
I am officially over this Pitt team. The meaning of insanity is doing something over and over again and not getting results. That is what happens when you bet this Pitt team. I know Cuse will probably not run the table this year and this is a good spot for them to get their first loss of the year, but this Pitt team has it in their DNA to blow games and they are the least trusted team in big spots over the last few years. Take Syracuse.
AWAY:HOME:ODDS:TIME:
Washington WizardsHouston RocketsHouston Rockets -8.5, 202.5
2/12/2014 8:05 PM
SELECTION:
HOUSTON ROCKETS -8.5
Washington played a great game last night against Memphis, but whenever you play the Grizzles it takes a lot out of you and it will now be tough for them going against this Houston team on a back to back schedule. Houston is better from top to bottom and should blow them out. Take the Rockets.
AWAY:HOME:ODDS:TIME:
DukeUNCDuke -2, 151
2/12/2014 9:00 PM
SELECTION:
DUKE -2
North Carolina is starting to pick it up over the last few games. Just when they looked like they were headed to the NIT they started playing well, but that will call change tonight. This team does not have the experience to handle a well-coached basketball team that hits over 40% of their three pointers. Take Duke
AWAY:HOME:ODDS:TIME:
Boston CollegeGeorgia TechGeorgia Tech -2.5, NA
2/12/2014 7:00 PM
SELECTION:
GEORGIA TECH -2.5
Boston College is not a good basketball team. They can’t play defense and they can’t win on the road. I don’t think they have the athletes to match up with a physical Georgia Tech team. Neither team has been playing well as of late, but I just don’t see a very bad BC program coming in on the road and getting a rare win tonight.
AWAY:HOME:ODDS:TIME:
SyracusePittPitt -2.5, 123.5
2/12/2014 7:00 PM
SELECTION:
SYRACUSE +2.5
I am officially over this Pitt team. The meaning of insanity is doing something over and over again and not getting results. That is what happens when you bet this Pitt team. I know Cuse will probably not run the table this year and this is a good spot for them to get their first loss of the year, but this Pitt team has it in their DNA to blow games and they are the least trusted team in big spots over the last few years. Take Syracuse.
AWAY:HOME:ODDS:TIME:
Washington WizardsHouston RocketsHouston Rockets -8.5, 202.5
2/12/2014 8:05 PM
SELECTION:
HOUSTON ROCKETS -8.5
Washington played a great game last night against Memphis, but whenever you play the Grizzles it takes a lot out of you and it will now be tough for them going against this Houston team on a back to back schedule. Houston is better from top to bottom and should blow them out. Take the Rockets.
AWAY:HOME:ODDS:TIME:
DukeUNCDuke -2, 151
2/12/2014 9:00 PM
SELECTION:
DUKE -2
North Carolina is starting to pick it up over the last few games. Just when they looked like they were headed to the NIT they started playing well, but that will call change tonight. This team does not have the experience to handle a well-coached basketball team that hits over 40% of their three pointers. Take Duke
