INDIANCOWBOY
Middle Tennessee State +5.5
Take Middle Tennessee State +5.5 over LA Lafayette. Both of these teams are 5-6. Note, that UL Lafayette is 7-4 ATS while Middle Tennessee State is 5-6 ATS similar to their record. Middle Tennessee State has a rock solid quarterback that has thrown for 13 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Heck, he has thrown for more than 2000 yards as well. UL Lafayette defeated this team last year by a score of 34-24 and they won this game on the highway as well. So, Middle Tennessee obviously looks to return the favor here. In my numbers I have Middle Tennessee State winning this game at a chance of 45% straight up. It seems that these two teams are headed bit in the opposite direction with Middle Tennessee State having won 3 games in a row while UL Lafayette having lost 3 games in a row. I think this is a game that Middle Tennessee could win outright and like the points here. Keep in mind that UL Lafayette is nearly a strictly rushing team that is ranked 5th in the nation in rushing and at times uses 3 quarterbacks for passing. UL is the 5th ranked rushing team in the nation while Middle Tennessee State is the better passing oriented team in the nation. I'll ride the points here for a potential outright win with MT. The road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the underdog is 5-0 ATS over their last 5 as well.
Toledo +2
Nothing more upsetting than being up 6, and UGA makes a 3 pointer as the clock is running out. Thus, it took a 3 pointer, then Sally missing the front iron of 2 ouf of the four free throws in the closing seconds for us to miss the cover by 1 point. Regardless, the cover shouldn't have been that close to begin with, my apologies on it. We are still up for the college basketball season and we will bounce-back steadily like we've always done. Let's roll. Look, both of these teams are fitting into their roles with new coaches. The once UMASS team that was led by Travis Ford was focused on an incredible offense but now has changed into a defensive mentality with Kellogg. This has led the Minutemen to an early record of 1-4 as they are getting used to this and focusing more and more on defense. UMASS beat this Toledo team by 7 last year when they were much better and now Toledo gets to return the favor. UMASS really only has a star player in Chris Lowe while Toledo has three starters that will carry the load offensively as they have a good crop of returning players under Coach Cross. In short, both teams are learning new offenses here, both teams have new coaches, I will take the home court advantage, revege and of course, the three returning starters with more offensive prowess than the UMASS squad. The Rockets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games while the Minutemen are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games.
Oklahoma City/Charlotte Bobcats Over 192 ( POD )
Oklahoma City seems to have figured some things out as they went on the orad to defeat Memphis and cash on the over. They play a Charlotte team that just defeated the Twovles at home and cashed the cover as well. Note that Oklahoma City has covered 4 of their last 5 but Charlotte has covered it's last 5 straight up. The bottom line for me here is that I think that Oklahoma City will be an active dog here, but having said that, I don't want to wager on them. Thus, I will take my chances with the over as Oklahoma City is one of the bottom rung teams in the league in defense as they are ranked 26th but I do think their win at Memphis says a lot about this team's ability to score putting up 111 points and who is to say that Charlotte will not run and gun with this team? I like the over here as i think Oklahoma City will indeed be an active dog as they have covered 4 of their last 5 and the first quarter will be indicative of what happens this game. If Oklahoma City is able to put up 25 to 28 points in the first quarter, expect this game to go over as Charlotte will play catch up and that pushes this total over.