The Duke's Sports
St. Joseph's (+8') for 3 Units
We get good value with a young talented Hawks team that's off a confidence building win Philly Hoop Group Classic at the Palestra against a good Rutgers team. The road team in this series is 8-1 ATS. The only loss was when the road team (Drexel+5) got outpointed in OT 77-67. We like our chances here with a highly skilled sophomore PG in Carl Jones who has a good blend of talent (Galloway) and experience (Hilliard) surrounding him. And Aiken serves a good purpose as a shot blocker in the low block. As for the Dragons, they're coming off a blowout win over 1-5 lightweight Binghampton. And remember, their star PG from last year -- James Harris -- was suspended (robbery) in the summer. At this point, they're without a true PG. And if this game stays tight down the stretch, which we have reason to believe it will, the Dragons could struggle --shooting just 59% from the free throw line. We'll roll with the Hawks, which are 17-6-3 ATS as a dog in this spread range.
St. Joseph's (+8') for 3 Units
We get good value with a young talented Hawks team that's off a confidence building win Philly Hoop Group Classic at the Palestra against a good Rutgers team. The road team in this series is 8-1 ATS. The only loss was when the road team (Drexel+5) got outpointed in OT 77-67. We like our chances here with a highly skilled sophomore PG in Carl Jones who has a good blend of talent (Galloway) and experience (Hilliard) surrounding him. And Aiken serves a good purpose as a shot blocker in the low block. As for the Dragons, they're coming off a blowout win over 1-5 lightweight Binghampton. And remember, their star PG from last year -- James Harris -- was suspended (robbery) in the summer. At this point, they're without a true PG. And if this game stays tight down the stretch, which we have reason to believe it will, the Dragons could struggle --shooting just 59% from the free throw line. We'll roll with the Hawks, which are 17-6-3 ATS as a dog in this spread range.
Guaranteed Pick: John Ryan
Game: Florida at Central Florida Dec 1 2010 7:00PM
Prediction: Central Florida
Reason: 25* graded play on Central Florida as they take on Florida set to tip at 7 PM EST. This game is being played in the Amway Arena in Tampa, Florida serving as a neutral court venue for both teams. UCF is a very good and vastly unknown shooting team. Few people have ever heard of Central Florida, but they will after this game. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that UCF will lose this game by fewer than five points and has a strong hot at winning this game. UCF is a solid 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus good defensive teams allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons. Florida does not have the personnel to match up and defend the UCF offense. The model shows a high probability that UCF will shoot between 46 and 53% from the floor. Florida is just 4-13 ATS the last three seasons when allowing opponents to shoot within this range. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 108-53 making 55.2 units using the money line since 1997. Play on neutral court teams after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games and with all five starters returning from last season. Here is a second system that has gone 51-51 making 41.4 units since 1997. The average play has been an impressive 181 dog. Play on neutral court dogs using the money line and are good offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game on the season and after allowing 55 points or less. The UCF Knights are 5-0 and have shot better than 50% in four of the five games played. Head Coach has some strong ties to Gainesville having spent 11 years in Gainesville as an assistant under Billy Donovan and helping the program claim back-to-back national titles in 2006 and 2007. UCF gets on the radar with this game. Consider an alternative wager placing a 21* amount on the line and a 4* amount on the money line. Take UCF.
Jason Ryan was spot on with this one!!
Supposed to have winner for Duke/Mich st game.
Game: Florida at Central Florida Dec 1 2010 7:00PM
Prediction: Central Florida
Reason: 25* graded play on Central Florida as they take on Florida set to tip at 7 PM EST. This game is being played in the Amway Arena in Tampa, Florida serving as a neutral court venue for both teams. UCF is a very good and vastly unknown shooting team. Few people have ever heard of Central Florida, but they will after this game. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that UCF will lose this game by fewer than five points and has a strong hot at winning this game. UCF is a solid 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus good defensive teams allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons. Florida does not have the personnel to match up and defend the UCF offense. The model shows a high probability that UCF will shoot between 46 and 53% from the floor. Florida is just 4-13 ATS the last three seasons when allowing opponents to shoot within this range. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 108-53 making 55.2 units using the money line since 1997. Play on neutral court teams after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games and with all five starters returning from last season. Here is a second system that has gone 51-51 making 41.4 units since 1997. The average play has been an impressive 181 dog. Play on neutral court dogs using the money line and are good offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game on the season and after allowing 55 points or less. The UCF Knights are 5-0 and have shot better than 50% in four of the five games played. Head Coach has some strong ties to Gainesville having spent 11 years in Gainesville as an assistant under Billy Donovan and helping the program claim back-to-back national titles in 2006 and 2007. UCF gets on the radar with this game. Consider an alternative wager placing a 21* amount on the line and a 4* amount on the money line. Take UCF.
Jason Ryan was spot on with this one!!
Supposed to have winner for Duke/Mich st game.
UH Huh Sure they are 25-4. What a load of crap! SMOKED tonight, AGAIN!
Shed's One-a-Day Wednesday
Now 25-4 following the miss on the Pho-Col Over. I really dislike overs these days and they decided not to start scoring until the third.
Wednesday's Play:
Columbus Nashville Under 5 goals +115
I don't like a lot of the early lines on Wed. I like Anaheim but its at -145 so I'm going with another of these Under 5 plays that pays better. Again to remind, we get a win at 4 and a push at 5 and to me a push is not a bad thing. Hopefully Rinne will be playing for Nashville. If not, that could be an problem.
Shed's One-a-Day Wednesday
Now 25-4 following the miss on the Pho-Col Over. I really dislike overs these days and they decided not to start scoring until the third.
Wednesday's Play:
Columbus Nashville Under 5 goals +115
I don't like a lot of the early lines on Wed. I like Anaheim but its at -145 so I'm going with another of these Under 5 plays that pays better. Again to remind, we get a win at 4 and a push at 5 and to me a push is not a bad thing. Hopefully Rinne will be playing for Nashville. If not, that could be an problem.
