ChicagoSportsConnection
CSC NBA ...Top 3
INDIANA +3.5 vs Phoenix...........7:05 EDT
The Suns shot 63% last night and should come back down to earth @Indiana tonight.
Pacers beat the Celtics by 16 in their last so they are capable of win and confidence is high.
UNDER189..Wash/Milw.............8:05 EDT
Arenas out for Wash and Redd doubtful for Bucks.
Skiles has Bucks playing defense this year.
UNDER 186..Port/Utah..............9:05 EDT
System play.
Large percentage of bettors playing OVER , but number dropping.
Playmaker Williams out for The Jizz.
CSC NBA ...Top 3
INDIANA +3.5 vs Phoenix...........7:05 EDT
The Suns shot 63% last night and should come back down to earth @Indiana tonight.
Pacers beat the Celtics by 16 in their last so they are capable of win and confidence is high.
UNDER189..Wash/Milw.............8:05 EDT
Arenas out for Wash and Redd doubtful for Bucks.
Skiles has Bucks playing defense this year.
UNDER 186..Port/Utah..............9:05 EDT
System play.
Large percentage of bettors playing OVER , but number dropping.
Playmaker Williams out for The Jizz.
Marc lawerence playbook
MARC LAWERENCE PLAYBOOK
BALL ST over No Illinois by 6
It’s easy to make fun of a team when they’re stuck in a down cycle but our
usual ‘Gonad’ jokes about Ball State are rapidly disappearing in favor of
outright astonishment. Brady Hoke’s boys from Muncie are as close to perfect
as you can get: 8-0 SU, 8-0 ITS and 6-1 ATS, with their lone ATS defeat coming
last time out versus Eastern Michigan. And with the price currently hovering
in single digits, we wouldn’t be surprised to see longer lines at BSU’s betting
window than what we’ve seen at the polls. However, as we’ve stated before,
undefeated teams feel the pressure ratchet up with every passing week and
can’t be trusted laying points late in the season. That notion is bolstered by
some great numbers favoring Northern Illinois in this matchup. The Huskies
have covered four of the last fi ve games on this fi eld, they’re 4-0 ATS away
off consecutive home games, they’re 5-1 ATS as weekday dogs and they’re
4-1-1 ATS lately when playing with conference revenge. But here’s what we
like best: NIU has held each of its last fi ve foes season to low – or 2nd low
– yardage. With the year Ball State QB Nate Davis is having, we wouldn’t
give the Huskies a look unless we thought they could match up defensively.
Don’t be surprised to see Jerry Kill and his Ball-busters drop the ‘Nads to 1-5
ATS playing with rest.
AKRON over Toledo by 4
Jeez, another MAC weekday game! We haven’t seen any ratings numbers
for this year’s telecasts but we wonder how ESPN can keep a straight face
when sending out invoices to game advertisers. Akron is currently stuck in a
MAC East logjam and needs a win here to keep pace with Buffalo, a feat the
Zips should manage against a Toledo team that’s come apart at the seams
in 2008. Even more troubling for Rocket fans is the recent announcement
that longtime head coach Tom Amstutz will be stepping down at season’s
end to become the school’s chief fund-raiser (what’s that all about?). Toledo
owns an uncharacteristic 0-4 SU record at home this year and has misfi red
in fi ve straight games after facing CMU. But one look at Akron’s current 0-3
SU record at home (and its 4-1 mark away) tells us why the visiting team has
cashed in six of eight Zips’ games this season. Your call.
MARC LAWERENCE PLAYBOOK
BALL ST over No Illinois by 6
It’s easy to make fun of a team when they’re stuck in a down cycle but our
usual ‘Gonad’ jokes about Ball State are rapidly disappearing in favor of
outright astonishment. Brady Hoke’s boys from Muncie are as close to perfect
as you can get: 8-0 SU, 8-0 ITS and 6-1 ATS, with their lone ATS defeat coming
last time out versus Eastern Michigan. And with the price currently hovering
in single digits, we wouldn’t be surprised to see longer lines at BSU’s betting
window than what we’ve seen at the polls. However, as we’ve stated before,
undefeated teams feel the pressure ratchet up with every passing week and
can’t be trusted laying points late in the season. That notion is bolstered by
some great numbers favoring Northern Illinois in this matchup. The Huskies
have covered four of the last fi ve games on this fi eld, they’re 4-0 ATS away
off consecutive home games, they’re 5-1 ATS as weekday dogs and they’re
4-1-1 ATS lately when playing with conference revenge. But here’s what we
like best: NIU has held each of its last fi ve foes season to low – or 2nd low
– yardage. With the year Ball State QB Nate Davis is having, we wouldn’t
give the Huskies a look unless we thought they could match up defensively.
Don’t be surprised to see Jerry Kill and his Ball-busters drop the ‘Nads to 1-5
ATS playing with rest.
AKRON over Toledo by 4
Jeez, another MAC weekday game! We haven’t seen any ratings numbers
for this year’s telecasts but we wonder how ESPN can keep a straight face
when sending out invoices to game advertisers. Akron is currently stuck in a
MAC East logjam and needs a win here to keep pace with Buffalo, a feat the
Zips should manage against a Toledo team that’s come apart at the seams
in 2008. Even more troubling for Rocket fans is the recent announcement
that longtime head coach Tom Amstutz will be stepping down at season’s
end to become the school’s chief fund-raiser (what’s that all about?). Toledo
owns an uncharacteristic 0-4 SU record at home this year and has misfi red
in fi ve straight games after facing CMU. But one look at Akron’s current 0-3
SU record at home (and its 4-1 mark away) tells us why the visiting team has
cashed in six of eight Zips’ games this season. Your call.
John Ryan
John Ryan
Toledo vs. Akron (NCAAF) - Nov 5, 2008 8:00 PM EST
Play: Point Spread: 6.5/-105 Toledo Pick Title: Toledoa
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Toledo – AiS shows a 72% probability that Toledo will lose this game by 5 or fewer points. AiS also projects a 90% probability that Toledo will gain a MINIMUM of 200 yards passing. Note that Akron is just 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 39-9 ATS for 81% since 1997. Play against any team that is a good offensive team gaining 390 to 440 YPG and is now facing a poor offensive team gaining 280 to 330 YPG and after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Akron is in a very weak role noting they are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Conversely, Toledo in an exceptional role noting they are 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992. Take Toledo.
John Ryan
Toledo vs. Akron (NCAAF) - Nov 5, 2008 8:00 PM EST
Play: Point Spread: 6.5/-105 Toledo Pick Title: Toledoa
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Toledo – AiS shows a 72% probability that Toledo will lose this game by 5 or fewer points. AiS also projects a 90% probability that Toledo will gain a MINIMUM of 200 yards passing. Note that Akron is just 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 39-9 ATS for 81% since 1997. Play against any team that is a good offensive team gaining 390 to 440 YPG and is now facing a poor offensive team gaining 280 to 330 YPG and after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Akron is in a very weak role noting they are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Conversely, Toledo in an exceptional role noting they are 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992. Take Toledo.
Ben Lewis
5* Best Phoenix -3 at Indiana
Yes the Suns will be playing the second of a back-to-back, but Phoenix has looked impressive on the road and was so far ahead Tuesday in New Jersey that most of the starters got ample rest. The Pacers have been off since Saturday's huge win over Boston, but they have no answer for Amare Stoudemire and Shaq inside.
5* Best Phoenix -3 at Indiana
Yes the Suns will be playing the second of a back-to-back, but Phoenix has looked impressive on the road and was so far ahead Tuesday in New Jersey that most of the starters got ample rest. The Pacers have been off since Saturday's huge win over Boston, but they have no answer for Amare Stoudemire and Shaq inside.
BOB BALFE
College Football
Northern Illinois +9 over Ball State
Ball State is the most overrated 8-0 team in the history of College Football. They have a great QB, but had one of the softest schedules you could ever have. Northern Illinois on the other hand could be an 8-0 team as all of their losses have been close. This Northern Illinois defense has played solid all season, but in the last few weeks has taken it to a whole new level. This will be a great game between a good offense in Ball State and a good defense in Northern Illinois. Look for another tight game. This spread is too high.
Toledo/Akron Over 54.5
Toledo has a pretty bad offense as they give up over 30 points a game. Akron is right behind them and have looked pretty bad on defense the past few games. Toledo has struggled on offense at times, but tonight should be able to spread out and have their way against Akron. Its hard to predict a winner because both teams cannot be trusted on defense. There should be a ton of points in this game. Take the Over.
NBA Basketball
Pacers +3.5 over Suns
Thunder +9 over Celtics
College Football
Northern Illinois +9 over Ball State
Ball State is the most overrated 8-0 team in the history of College Football. They have a great QB, but had one of the softest schedules you could ever have. Northern Illinois on the other hand could be an 8-0 team as all of their losses have been close. This Northern Illinois defense has played solid all season, but in the last few weeks has taken it to a whole new level. This will be a great game between a good offense in Ball State and a good defense in Northern Illinois. Look for another tight game. This spread is too high.
Toledo/Akron Over 54.5
Toledo has a pretty bad offense as they give up over 30 points a game. Akron is right behind them and have looked pretty bad on defense the past few games. Toledo has struggled on offense at times, but tonight should be able to spread out and have their way against Akron. Its hard to predict a winner because both teams cannot be trusted on defense. There should be a ton of points in this game. Take the Over.
NBA Basketball
Pacers +3.5 over Suns
Thunder +9 over Celtics
BRIAN KING GUARANTEED 100 DIME RELEASE..THANKS TO IAM4UK AS WELL
Ball State -9 8 p.m. EST
Watch out tonight for this ranked and revenge minded Ball State team led by Junior QB Nate Davis to silence the critics with a big win over MAC Rival Northern Illinois.
Northern Illinois has dominated this series between these two teams with the Huskies compiling a 7-2 SU mark against Ball State including a 40-28 win on the road in Muncie in 2006.
The Huskies have won three in a row overall and four straight at Ball State. But this is a much improved Ball State team versus a Huskies squad that was just 2-10 in 2007 and themselves have not yet been tested in the MAC. Ball State is allowing only 15.5 ppg 13th fewest in the nation and will be looking to slow a Huskies running game that comes in averaging 184.2 ypg. Ball State slowed the Navy running game in a big win back on September 5th and I think they have the tools to slow this Northern Illinois running game.
Look at Ball State on the offensive side of the ball and know that the one-two punch of Nate Davis and MiQuale Lewis will be to much for this Huskies defense. Davis has had the Huskies number putting up sick numbers (50-73 for 624 yards and six TD's with no picks) in two games against Northern Illinois.
Davis, a junior is already the school's leading passer and is completing 66.7% of his passes this year while ringing up 15 TD's against only 4 picks. Meanwhile Lewis is seventh in the nation averaging 123.6 ypg. Northern Illinois has lost 5 straight against Top 25 teams and is just 1-3 on the road this year. Tonight they come to Muncie bringing a knife to a gunfight. This Ball State team is too talented and out to prove they are for real. The four game home losing streak to the Huskies ends tonight in dramatic fashion with a double digit Ball State win.
Take Ball State minus the points to win this one convincingly tonight.
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Ball State -9 8 p.m. EST
Watch out tonight for this ranked and revenge minded Ball State team led by Junior QB Nate Davis to silence the critics with a big win over MAC Rival Northern Illinois.
Northern Illinois has dominated this series between these two teams with the Huskies compiling a 7-2 SU mark against Ball State including a 40-28 win on the road in Muncie in 2006.
The Huskies have won three in a row overall and four straight at Ball State. But this is a much improved Ball State team versus a Huskies squad that was just 2-10 in 2007 and themselves have not yet been tested in the MAC. Ball State is allowing only 15.5 ppg 13th fewest in the nation and will be looking to slow a Huskies running game that comes in averaging 184.2 ypg. Ball State slowed the Navy running game in a big win back on September 5th and I think they have the tools to slow this Northern Illinois running game.
Look at Ball State on the offensive side of the ball and know that the one-two punch of Nate Davis and MiQuale Lewis will be to much for this Huskies defense. Davis has had the Huskies number putting up sick numbers (50-73 for 624 yards and six TD's with no picks) in two games against Northern Illinois.
Davis, a junior is already the school's leading passer and is completing 66.7% of his passes this year while ringing up 15 TD's against only 4 picks. Meanwhile Lewis is seventh in the nation averaging 123.6 ypg. Northern Illinois has lost 5 straight against Top 25 teams and is just 1-3 on the road this year. Tonight they come to Muncie bringing a knife to a gunfight. This Ball State team is too talented and out to prove they are for real. The four game home losing streak to the Huskies ends tonight in dramatic fashion with a double digit Ball State win.
Take Ball State minus the points to win this one convincingly tonight.
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Today's Total Ticket
Wednesday, November 5th<TABLE width="100%" border=1><TBODY><TR><TD>Game
</TD><TD>Pick
</TD><TD>Result
</TD><TD>Units Won/Lost
</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Northern Illinois vs. Ball St.
</TD><TD>4 Units - Click Here To Purchase
</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Northern Illinois vs. Ball St.
</TD><TD align=left>3 Units - Click Here To Purchase</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Toledo vs. Akron
</TD><TD>3 Units - Toledo +6.5</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD><TD align=right>Wednesday NCAA Results:
</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Celtics vs. Thunder
</TD><TD align=left>5 Units - Click Here To Purchase</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Bulls vs. Cavaliers </TD><TD>5 Units - Click Here To Purchase</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Pistons vs. Raptors
</TD><TD>3 Units - Click Here To Purchase </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Bobcats vs. Knicks
</TD><TD>2 Units - Over 205</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD><TD align=right>Wednesday NBA Results:
</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD><TD align=right> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Blues vs. Ducks
</TD><TD>5 Units - Click Here To Purchase</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD><TD align=right>Wednesday NHL Results:
</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD><TD align=right>Overall Results For Wednesday:
</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
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