Today's NHL Picks
Nashville at Phoenix
The Predators look to take advantage of a Phoenix team that is 1-7 in their last 8 home games. Nashville is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has Nashville favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+115). Here are all of today's picks.
WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 3
Time Posted 6:00 a.m. EST
Game 1-2: Boston at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.616; Buffalo 11.387
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 3-4: Toronto at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 10.452; Washington 12.154
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-220); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-220); Under
Game 5-6: NY Islanders at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.704; Carolina 10.927
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+130); Under
Game 7-8: Atlanta at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.555; Florida 12.628
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-130); Over
Game 9-10: New Jersey at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.305; Chicago 9.997
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+160); Under
Game 11-12: Pittsburgh at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.004; Dallas 12.374
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 13-14: Detroit at Calgary (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.689; Calgary 10.721
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-115); Under
Game 15-16: Nashville at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 12.023; Phoenix 10.897
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+115); Over
Game 17-18: Tampa Bay at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.500; Anaheim 11.884
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-115); Over
Nashville at Phoenix
The Predators look to take advantage of a Phoenix team that is 1-7 in their last 8 home games. Nashville is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has Nashville favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+115). Here are all of today's picks.
WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 3
Time Posted 6:00 a.m. EST
Game 1-2: Boston at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.616; Buffalo 11.387
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 3-4: Toronto at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 10.452; Washington 12.154
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-220); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-220); Under
Game 5-6: NY Islanders at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.704; Carolina 10.927
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+130); Under
Game 7-8: Atlanta at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.555; Florida 12.628
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-130); Over
Game 9-10: New Jersey at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.305; Chicago 9.997
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+160); Under
Game 11-12: Pittsburgh at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.004; Dallas 12.374
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 13-14: Detroit at Calgary (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.689; Calgary 10.721
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-115); Under
Game 15-16: Nashville at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 12.023; Phoenix 10.897
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+115); Over
Game 17-18: Tampa Bay at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.500; Anaheim 11.884
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-115); Over
NBA WRITE-UP
Wednesday, November 3
Hot Teams
-- Hawks won first four games, by 15-3-4-12 points.
-- Nets won two of first three games, winning by 3-6 points.
-- Pacers won two of first three games.
-- Celtics won three of their first four games.
-- Hornets won first three games, by 4-6-9 points, allowing 92 ppg.
-- Mavericks, Nuggets both won two of first three games, with Dallas winning by 15-16 points, Denver by 22-13.
-- Spurs won two of first three games, winning by 13-9 points.
-- Warriors won two of first three games, with home side 3-0 vs spread in those games (lost only road game by 24 at Lakers).
-- Thunder won two of first three games, winning only road tilt by one point at Detroit.
-- Lakers won first four games (3-1 vs spread), winning by 2-8-24-19. Kings won three of their first four games.
Cold Teams
-- Pistons lost first four games, by 3-1-10-23 points.
-- Bobcats lost first three games by 15-3-10 points.
-- Minnesota lost first two road games by 20-32 points; Beasley got hurt last night, not good. Orlando split first two games, winning only home game by 29 over Washington.
-- 76ers lost first four games, losing by 1 in OT last nite in Washington.
-- Bucks lost three of first four games (0-2 on road, losing by 4-11).
-- Rockets lost first three games, by 2-4-13 points, allowing 117 ppg.
-- Raptors lost two of first three games, losing by 5-3 points. Utah lost two of its first three, losing only home game by 16.
-- Suns lost two of first three games, losing by 14-8 points- they lost only home game to Lakers by 8.
-- Memphis split its first four games (1-1 on road).
-- Clippers lost first four games (0-4 vs spread) by 10-18-16-9 points.
Totals
-- Three of first four Detroit games went over the total.
-- All three Charlotte games went over the total.
-- Two of last three Minnesota games stayed under total.
-- Two of first three Indiana games went over the total.
-- Three of first four Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- First three New Orleans games stayed under the total.
-- First three Denver games stayed under the total.
-- Two of first three games for Toronto, Utah stayed under total.
-- Two of first three Phoenix games stayed under the total.
-- Last two Golden State games stayed under the total.
-- All four Clipper games stayed under the total; first three Oklahoma City games all went over.
-- All four Sacramento games went over the total.
Wednesday, November 3
Hot Teams
-- Hawks won first four games, by 15-3-4-12 points.
-- Nets won two of first three games, winning by 3-6 points.
-- Pacers won two of first three games.
-- Celtics won three of their first four games.
-- Hornets won first three games, by 4-6-9 points, allowing 92 ppg.
-- Mavericks, Nuggets both won two of first three games, with Dallas winning by 15-16 points, Denver by 22-13.
-- Spurs won two of first three games, winning by 13-9 points.
-- Warriors won two of first three games, with home side 3-0 vs spread in those games (lost only road game by 24 at Lakers).
-- Thunder won two of first three games, winning only road tilt by one point at Detroit.
-- Lakers won first four games (3-1 vs spread), winning by 2-8-24-19. Kings won three of their first four games.
Cold Teams
-- Pistons lost first four games, by 3-1-10-23 points.
-- Bobcats lost first three games by 15-3-10 points.
-- Minnesota lost first two road games by 20-32 points; Beasley got hurt last night, not good. Orlando split first two games, winning only home game by 29 over Washington.
-- 76ers lost first four games, losing by 1 in OT last nite in Washington.
-- Bucks lost three of first four games (0-2 on road, losing by 4-11).
-- Rockets lost first three games, by 2-4-13 points, allowing 117 ppg.
-- Raptors lost two of first three games, losing by 5-3 points. Utah lost two of its first three, losing only home game by 16.
-- Suns lost two of first three games, losing by 14-8 points- they lost only home game to Lakers by 8.
-- Memphis split its first four games (1-1 on road).
-- Clippers lost first four games (0-4 vs spread) by 10-18-16-9 points.
Totals
-- Three of first four Detroit games went over the total.
-- All three Charlotte games went over the total.
-- Two of last three Minnesota games stayed under total.
-- Two of first three Indiana games went over the total.
-- Three of first four Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- First three New Orleans games stayed under the total.
-- First three Denver games stayed under the total.
-- Two of first three games for Toronto, Utah stayed under total.
-- Two of first three Phoenix games stayed under the total.
-- Last two Golden State games stayed under the total.
-- All four Clipper games stayed under the total; first three Oklahoma City games all went over.
-- All four Sacramento games went over the total.
NBA DUNKEL
San Antonio at Phoenix
The Suns look to take advantage of a San Antonio team that is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as a road favorite from 1 to 4 1/2 points. Phoenix is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Suns favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 3
Game 501-502: Detroit at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 110.534; Atlanta 124.035
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 13 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 503-504: Charlotte at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 117.042; New Jersey 117.405
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 182
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+1 1/2); Under
Game 505-506: Minnesota at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 109.486; Orlando 130.064
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 20 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 16; 199
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-16); Over
Game 507-508: Indiana at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 119.823; Philadelphia 117.888
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 202
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+1); Under
Game 509-510: Milwaukee at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 116.404; Boston 126.028
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 9 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 6 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-6 1/2); Over
Game 511-512: New Orleans at Houston (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 116.852; Houston 120.545
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 3 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 5; 202
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+5); Under
Game 513-514: Dallas at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 123.047; Denver 122.079
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 3 1/2; 206
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3 1/2); Under
Game 515-516: Toronto at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 110.338; Utah 122.493
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 12; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 10 1/2; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-10 1/2); Over
Game 517-518: San Antonio at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 121.205; Phoenix 125.874
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 4 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 1 1/2; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1 1/2); Over
Game 519-520: Memphis at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 109.400; Golden State 119.636
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 10; 205
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 521-522: Oklahoma City at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 115.738; LA Clippers 112.149
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 523-524: LA Lakers at Sacramento (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 128.345; Sacramento 116.411
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 12; 213
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 4 1/2; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-4 1/2); Over
San Antonio at Phoenix
The Suns look to take advantage of a San Antonio team that is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as a road favorite from 1 to 4 1/2 points. Phoenix is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Suns favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 3
Game 501-502: Detroit at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 110.534; Atlanta 124.035
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 13 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 503-504: Charlotte at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 117.042; New Jersey 117.405
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 182
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+1 1/2); Under
Game 505-506: Minnesota at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 109.486; Orlando 130.064
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 20 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 16; 199
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-16); Over
Game 507-508: Indiana at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 119.823; Philadelphia 117.888
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 202
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+1); Under
Game 509-510: Milwaukee at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 116.404; Boston 126.028
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 9 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 6 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-6 1/2); Over
Game 511-512: New Orleans at Houston (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 116.852; Houston 120.545
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 3 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 5; 202
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+5); Under
Game 513-514: Dallas at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 123.047; Denver 122.079
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 3 1/2; 206
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3 1/2); Under
Game 515-516: Toronto at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 110.338; Utah 122.493
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 12; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 10 1/2; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-10 1/2); Over
Game 517-518: San Antonio at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 121.205; Phoenix 125.874
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 4 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 1 1/2; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1 1/2); Over
Game 519-520: Memphis at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 109.400; Golden State 119.636
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 10; 205
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 521-522: Oklahoma City at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 115.738; LA Clippers 112.149
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 523-524: LA Lakers at Sacramento (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 128.345; Sacramento 116.411
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 12; 213
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 4 1/2; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-4 1/2); Over
LPW Sports Forecast has 4 NBA plays tonight and one is a 10 Unit GOW, if anyone sees it please post.These folks Football was up everywhere earlier in season, but posters have dissapeared! NBA is hitting 63%.
LPW Sports Forecast NHL Washington -1.5
Powerplaywins Charlotte +2
Winnersonly South Florida Over 42
LPW Sports Forecast NHL Washington -1.5
Powerplaywins Charlotte +2
Winnersonly South Florida Over 42
NHL WRITE-UP
Wednesday, November 3
Hot Teams
-- Bruins won six of last seven games, blanking last two opponents.
-- Washington won three of its last four games.
-- Panthers won two of their first three home games.
-- Red Wings won four of their last five games.
-- Lightning won three of their last four games.
Cold Teams
-- Sabres lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Toronto lost six of their last seven games.
-- Islanders lost last four games, outscored 18-8. Hurricanes lost five of their last seven games.
-- New Jersey lost seven of its last nine games. Blackhawks lost four of their last six games.
-- Dallas, Pittsburgh both lost three of their last four games.
-- Calgary lost last two games, allowing 13 goals.
-- Thrashers lost four of their last six games.
-- Phoenix lost five of its last six games. Predators lost five of their last seven games.
-- Ducks lost three of their last four games.
Totals
-- Under is 6-0-1 in Boston's last seven games.
-- Six of Toronto's last seven games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Carolina games stayed under the total; three of last four Islander games went over.
-- Seven of last eight Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Calgary games went over the total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Phoenix games.
-- Five of last seven Tampa Bay games went over the total.
Series Records
-- Boston beat Sabres in six games in last spring's playoffs.
-- Home side won three of last four Toronto-Washington games; Maple Leafs lost three of last four visits to DC.
-- Carolina won six of last eight games against the Islanders.
-- Thrashers are 4-8 in their last twelve visits to south Florida.
-- Blackhawks beat New Jersey twice LY, 5-1/2-1.
-- Penguins won last four games vs Dallas by combined score of 18-8.
-- Red Wings won five of last seven games in Saddledome.
-- Coyotes won three of last four games against Nashville.
-- Ducks beat Tampa Bay twice LY, 4-3ot/2-1so.
Wednesday, November 3
Hot Teams
-- Bruins won six of last seven games, blanking last two opponents.
-- Washington won three of its last four games.
-- Panthers won two of their first three home games.
-- Red Wings won four of their last five games.
-- Lightning won three of their last four games.
Cold Teams
-- Sabres lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Toronto lost six of their last seven games.
-- Islanders lost last four games, outscored 18-8. Hurricanes lost five of their last seven games.
-- New Jersey lost seven of its last nine games. Blackhawks lost four of their last six games.
-- Dallas, Pittsburgh both lost three of their last four games.
-- Calgary lost last two games, allowing 13 goals.
-- Thrashers lost four of their last six games.
-- Phoenix lost five of its last six games. Predators lost five of their last seven games.
-- Ducks lost three of their last four games.
Totals
-- Under is 6-0-1 in Boston's last seven games.
-- Six of Toronto's last seven games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Carolina games stayed under the total; three of last four Islander games went over.
-- Seven of last eight Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Calgary games went over the total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Phoenix games.
-- Five of last seven Tampa Bay games went over the total.
Series Records
-- Boston beat Sabres in six games in last spring's playoffs.
-- Home side won three of last four Toronto-Washington games; Maple Leafs lost three of last four visits to DC.
-- Carolina won six of last eight games against the Islanders.
-- Thrashers are 4-8 in their last twelve visits to south Florida.
-- Blackhawks beat New Jersey twice LY, 5-1/2-1.
-- Penguins won last four games vs Dallas by combined score of 18-8.
-- Red Wings won five of last seven games in Saddledome.
-- Coyotes won three of last four games against Nashville.
-- Ducks beat Tampa Bay twice LY, 4-3ot/2-1so.
Statsystems report 11/3
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/3
NBA & NCAA COLLEDGE FOOTBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA & CFB *****
*** RUTGERS @ S FLORIDA (-10.5; O/U 42) ***
------------------------------------------------------
The Rutgers Scarlet Knights head to Tampa for this Wednesday's Big East clash with the South Florida Bulls at Raymond James Stadium. The Knights are coming off their worst defeat of the campaign, a 41-21 beating at Pittsburgh on October 23rd. The setback ended a short two-game win streak for Rutgers, which had lost its other two games by a total of just seven points. The Bulls meanwhile, put together a solid effort in their last outing, which resulted in a 38-30 victory at Cincinnati on October 22nd. USF had lost its first two Big East games, so that was obviously an important outcome for the team.
True freshman QB Chas Dodd had his worst performance since moving into a starting role, completing 8-of-19 pass attempts for just 61 yards and an INT in a lopsided loss to Pitt. Furthermore, he was sacked six times and eventually replaced by Tom Savage, who threw for 46 yards and a TD. Dodd has still enjoyed more success than Savage, who began the season as the starter, throwing for 817 yards with five TDS against three INTs. The Knights don't have many weapons to work with on offense, but Mohamed Sanu is plenty potent. A versatile threat, Sanu leads the team in rushing (286 yards) and receiving (341 yards), while also totaling seven TDs. He however, wasn't much of a factor last game, catching just four passes for 46 yards in the loss to Pitt.
Rutgers has a solid defense, but the unit was exploited in a big way by Pitt, which rolled up 513 total yards. The Knights were shredded for 206 yards on the ground, while allowing 307 yards on 22-of-28 pass attempts. It was clearly a dismal performance by Rutgers, which is keeping opponents to an average of just 324 total ypg, including only 188.9 passing ypg. Joe Lefeged had 10 stops and the team's lone sack against Pitt, and he now ranks second to Antonio Lowery (69 stops) in tackles with 51 for the season.
After totaling just 15 points in their first two Big East games, the Bulls erupted for 38 in a triumph of Cincinnati last outing. QB B.J. Daniels finally turned in a performance that was noteworthy, as he completed 13-of-16 pass attempts for 286 yards and two TDs. He also paced the team with 35 yards and another two scores on the ground. It was a much needed performance from Daniels, who had thrown just four TDs in the team's first six games. Dontavia Bogan had 85 receiving yards and three catches in the win over Cincinnati and he has been the team's top target with 27 receptions and 414 yards for the season.
USF's defense was beat up by Cincinnati, but the group has been pretty solid otherwise, holding five of its seven opponents to 20 points or fewer. Still, the team's last performance has to be a bit concerning considering the Bulls gave up a whopping 590 total yards to Cincinnati. The pass defense was seriously exploited for 512 yards and USF is now permitting an average of 215.1 ypg through the air for the season. On a positive note, USF did log four sacks in the win, bringing its season total to 21 in that department. Sabbath Joseph had two of the team's sacks in the win over Cincinnati, while Craig Marshall had 1.5 TFLs. Marshall currently leads the team with four sacks and seven TFLs, and Joseph ranks second with three sacks.
• PREGAME NOTES
-----------------------
Rutgers beat South Florida last four years, crushing Bulls 31-0/49-16 the last two years; Scarlet Knights, who recruit heavily in Florida, won both previous meetings here, 49-16 (-19.5)/22-20 (-4). Bulls were ranked 23rd in country LY when they lost 31-0 at Rutgers. Knights are 3-3 this year vs I-A opponents, with five of the six games decided by 5 or less points. Underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in those games. Rutgers lost 41-21 at Pitt, won 19-14 at FIU, in its two road games. USF is also 3-3 vs I-A foes, scoring 14 or less points in all three losses, 24-31-38 in wins. Four of last five South Florida games stayed under the total.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - S Florida 8; O/U 40
*STAN'S POWER LINE - S Florida -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR- S Florida -6.36
______________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--S FLORIDA is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 15.7, OPPONENT 14.7 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--S FLORIDA is 4-13 against the 1rst half line (-10.3 Units) versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 9.4, OPPONENT 11.1 - (Rating = 1*)
--S FLORIDA is 4-13 against the 1rst half line (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 9.8, OPPONENT 14.3 - (Rating = 1*)
--S FLORIDA is 3-12 against the 1rst half line (-10.2 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 9.5, OPPONENT 11.9 - (Rating = 1*)
--S FLORIDA is 2-11 against the 1rst half line (-10.1 Units) after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 9.1, OPPONENT 13.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--RUTGERS is 48-70 against the 1rst half line (-29.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
The average score was RUTGERS 10.4, OPPONENT 18.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--RUTGERS is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) off 2 or more consecutive overs since 1992.
The average score was RUTGERS 18.5, OPPONENT 8.4 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--S FLORIDA is 16-6 UNDER (+9.4 Units) the 1rst half total in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
The average score was S FLORIDA 13.5, OPPONENT 10.9 - (Rating = 1*)
--S FLORIDA is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) the 1rst half total after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 7.6, OPPONENT 11.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--S FLORIDA is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring 37 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 9.7, OPPONENT 7.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--S FLORIDA is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) the 1rst half total after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 6.2, OPPONENT 7.2 - (Rating = 1*)
--RUTGERS is 19-4 OVER (+14.6 Units) the 1rst half total after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
The average score was RUTGERS 12.8, OPPONENT 16.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--RUTGERS is 37-21 OVER (+13.9 Units) the 1rst half total after the first month of the season since 1992.
The average score was RUTGERS 11.9, OPPONENT 17.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--RUTGERS is 29-15 OVER (+12.5 Units) the 1rst half total against conference opponents since 1992.
The average score was RUTGERS 10.4, OPPONENT 18.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--RUTGERS is 15-4 OVER (+10.6 Units) the 1rst half total in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
The average score was RUTGERS 11.5, OPPONENT 18.8 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Home teams where the first half total is between 18 and 21 points (S FLORIDA) - after scoring 37 points or more last game.
(27-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.8%, +20.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 20.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15.3, Opponent 12 (Total first half points scored = 27.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (37-11).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (51-24).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (S FLORIDA) - off an upset win as an underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team.
(31-8 since 1992.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (10-31)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 14.1
The average score in these games was: Team 23.6, Opponent 31.9 (Average point differential = -8.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 21 (51.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (20-4).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (S FLORIDA) - off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team.
(30-8 since 1992.) (78.9%, +21.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (5-33)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 14
The average score in these games was: Team 22.5, Opponent 31.5 (Average point differential = -9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (46.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (18-6).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is 42 or less (S FLORIDA) - after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning record on the season.
(33-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (75%, +20.9 units. Rating = 2*)
The average total posted in these games was: 39.9
The average score in these games was: Team 24.6, Opponent 20.3 (Total points scored = 44.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 19 (44.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (38-18).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (40-19).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 21 or less (RUTGERS) - off a loss against a conference rival against opponent off a road win against a conference rival.
(39-13 over the last 10 seasons.) (75%, +24.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 20.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.8, Opponent 14.2 (Total first half points scored = 25)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-8).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (52-32).
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/3
NBA & NCAA COLLEDGE FOOTBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA & CFB *****
*** RUTGERS @ S FLORIDA (-10.5; O/U 42) ***
------------------------------------------------------
The Rutgers Scarlet Knights head to Tampa for this Wednesday's Big East clash with the South Florida Bulls at Raymond James Stadium. The Knights are coming off their worst defeat of the campaign, a 41-21 beating at Pittsburgh on October 23rd. The setback ended a short two-game win streak for Rutgers, which had lost its other two games by a total of just seven points. The Bulls meanwhile, put together a solid effort in their last outing, which resulted in a 38-30 victory at Cincinnati on October 22nd. USF had lost its first two Big East games, so that was obviously an important outcome for the team.
True freshman QB Chas Dodd had his worst performance since moving into a starting role, completing 8-of-19 pass attempts for just 61 yards and an INT in a lopsided loss to Pitt. Furthermore, he was sacked six times and eventually replaced by Tom Savage, who threw for 46 yards and a TD. Dodd has still enjoyed more success than Savage, who began the season as the starter, throwing for 817 yards with five TDS against three INTs. The Knights don't have many weapons to work with on offense, but Mohamed Sanu is plenty potent. A versatile threat, Sanu leads the team in rushing (286 yards) and receiving (341 yards), while also totaling seven TDs. He however, wasn't much of a factor last game, catching just four passes for 46 yards in the loss to Pitt.
Rutgers has a solid defense, but the unit was exploited in a big way by Pitt, which rolled up 513 total yards. The Knights were shredded for 206 yards on the ground, while allowing 307 yards on 22-of-28 pass attempts. It was clearly a dismal performance by Rutgers, which is keeping opponents to an average of just 324 total ypg, including only 188.9 passing ypg. Joe Lefeged had 10 stops and the team's lone sack against Pitt, and he now ranks second to Antonio Lowery (69 stops) in tackles with 51 for the season.
After totaling just 15 points in their first two Big East games, the Bulls erupted for 38 in a triumph of Cincinnati last outing. QB B.J. Daniels finally turned in a performance that was noteworthy, as he completed 13-of-16 pass attempts for 286 yards and two TDs. He also paced the team with 35 yards and another two scores on the ground. It was a much needed performance from Daniels, who had thrown just four TDs in the team's first six games. Dontavia Bogan had 85 receiving yards and three catches in the win over Cincinnati and he has been the team's top target with 27 receptions and 414 yards for the season.
USF's defense was beat up by Cincinnati, but the group has been pretty solid otherwise, holding five of its seven opponents to 20 points or fewer. Still, the team's last performance has to be a bit concerning considering the Bulls gave up a whopping 590 total yards to Cincinnati. The pass defense was seriously exploited for 512 yards and USF is now permitting an average of 215.1 ypg through the air for the season. On a positive note, USF did log four sacks in the win, bringing its season total to 21 in that department. Sabbath Joseph had two of the team's sacks in the win over Cincinnati, while Craig Marshall had 1.5 TFLs. Marshall currently leads the team with four sacks and seven TFLs, and Joseph ranks second with three sacks.
• PREGAME NOTES
-----------------------
Rutgers beat South Florida last four years, crushing Bulls 31-0/49-16 the last two years; Scarlet Knights, who recruit heavily in Florida, won both previous meetings here, 49-16 (-19.5)/22-20 (-4). Bulls were ranked 23rd in country LY when they lost 31-0 at Rutgers. Knights are 3-3 this year vs I-A opponents, with five of the six games decided by 5 or less points. Underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in those games. Rutgers lost 41-21 at Pitt, won 19-14 at FIU, in its two road games. USF is also 3-3 vs I-A foes, scoring 14 or less points in all three losses, 24-31-38 in wins. Four of last five South Florida games stayed under the total.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - S Florida 8; O/U 40
*STAN'S POWER LINE - S Florida -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR- S Florida -6.36
______________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--S FLORIDA is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 15.7, OPPONENT 14.7 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--S FLORIDA is 4-13 against the 1rst half line (-10.3 Units) versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 9.4, OPPONENT 11.1 - (Rating = 1*)
--S FLORIDA is 4-13 against the 1rst half line (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 9.8, OPPONENT 14.3 - (Rating = 1*)
--S FLORIDA is 3-12 against the 1rst half line (-10.2 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 9.5, OPPONENT 11.9 - (Rating = 1*)
--S FLORIDA is 2-11 against the 1rst half line (-10.1 Units) after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 9.1, OPPONENT 13.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--RUTGERS is 48-70 against the 1rst half line (-29.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
The average score was RUTGERS 10.4, OPPONENT 18.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--RUTGERS is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) off 2 or more consecutive overs since 1992.
The average score was RUTGERS 18.5, OPPONENT 8.4 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--S FLORIDA is 16-6 UNDER (+9.4 Units) the 1rst half total in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
The average score was S FLORIDA 13.5, OPPONENT 10.9 - (Rating = 1*)
--S FLORIDA is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) the 1rst half total after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 7.6, OPPONENT 11.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--S FLORIDA is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring 37 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 9.7, OPPONENT 7.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--S FLORIDA is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) the 1rst half total after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 6.2, OPPONENT 7.2 - (Rating = 1*)
--RUTGERS is 19-4 OVER (+14.6 Units) the 1rst half total after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
The average score was RUTGERS 12.8, OPPONENT 16.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--RUTGERS is 37-21 OVER (+13.9 Units) the 1rst half total after the first month of the season since 1992.
The average score was RUTGERS 11.9, OPPONENT 17.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--RUTGERS is 29-15 OVER (+12.5 Units) the 1rst half total against conference opponents since 1992.
The average score was RUTGERS 10.4, OPPONENT 18.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--RUTGERS is 15-4 OVER (+10.6 Units) the 1rst half total in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
The average score was RUTGERS 11.5, OPPONENT 18.8 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Home teams where the first half total is between 18 and 21 points (S FLORIDA) - after scoring 37 points or more last game.
(27-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.8%, +20.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 20.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15.3, Opponent 12 (Total first half points scored = 27.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (37-11).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (51-24).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (S FLORIDA) - off an upset win as an underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team.
(31-8 since 1992.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (10-31)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 14.1
The average score in these games was: Team 23.6, Opponent 31.9 (Average point differential = -8.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 21 (51.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (20-4).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (S FLORIDA) - off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team.
(30-8 since 1992.) (78.9%, +21.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (5-33)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 14
The average score in these games was: Team 22.5, Opponent 31.5 (Average point differential = -9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (46.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (18-6).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is 42 or less (S FLORIDA) - after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning record on the season.
(33-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (75%, +20.9 units. Rating = 2*)
The average total posted in these games was: 39.9
The average score in these games was: Team 24.6, Opponent 20.3 (Total points scored = 44.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 19 (44.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (38-18).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (40-19).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 21 or less (RUTGERS) - off a loss against a conference rival against opponent off a road win against a conference rival.
(39-13 over the last 10 seasons.) (75%, +24.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 20.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.8, Opponent 14.2 (Total first half points scored = 25)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-8).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (52-32).
STATSYSTEMS REPORT 11/3 cont.
*** CHARLOTTE BOBCATS @ NEW JERSEY NETS (-2; O/U 185.5) ***
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Despite a successful start, the New Jersey Nets know there is plenty of room for improvement - maybe not as much improvement as the Charlotte Bobcats need. The Nets look to move on from their first loss when they host the winless Bobcats on Wednesday night. After losing 18 straight games to open a dismal 12-win season in 2009-10, New Jersey won its first two contests this autumn before falling 101-78 at home to Miami on Sunday.
Though only one defeat, Sunday’s effort proved how far the Nets still need to go to seriously compete with an elite team like the Heat and their superstar trio of Dwyane Wade, LeBron James and Chris Bosh. New Jersey shot 35.3 percent and struggled to score after averaging 103.5 points and shooting 50.4 percent in home victories over Detroit and Sacramento. “We still have some work to be done,” said Nets point guard Devin Harris, who had 13 points and six assists.
New owner Mikhail Prokhorov, however, liked what he saw from the Nets during the first week of the season. “I am very pleased with the team’s progress and look forward to watching the Nets reach their full potential as the season continues,” he said in a statement released by the team. Brook Lopez had 20 points while No. 3 overall pick Derrick Favors added 13 and 13 rebounds Sunday for the Nets, who remain confident despite their disappointing effort.
The Bobcats are taking the same approach despite being mired in the worst start of the franchise’s seven seasons. Coming off its first-ever playoff appearance, Charlotte has averaged 91.7 points through three games. D.J. Augustin had 26 points and Jackson added 23 in Charlotte’s 98-88 loss at Milwaukee on Saturday. The Bobcats committed 18 turnovers, giving them 56 in three games - an average of nearly 19. “We just got to stay positive. It’s a long season,” said Augustin, averaging 17.0 points and 5.3 assists thus far.
The season might seem even longer if the Bobcats don’t improve their play on the road. Charlotte went 13-28 away from home in 2009-10. That included a 97-91 loss at New Jersey for the Nets’ first win of the season Dec. 4. The Bobcats have failed to score more than 88 points in two road contests this season. Charlotte did win its last trip to New Jersey, 105-95 on April 12. Jackson had 17 points and nine rebounds, and has averaged 22.3 points in his last four games at New Jersey. Harris had 22 points for the Nets in that matchup.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New Jersey by 1; O/U 171
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Charlotte -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New Jersey -1.38
___________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 37-59 ATS (-27.9 Units) versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 89.6, OPPONENT 94.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 5-21 ATS (-18.1 Units) after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 89.8, OPPONENT 102.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 91.6, OPPONENT 103.0 - (Rating = 2*)
--CHARLOTTE is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 98.0, OPPONENT 94.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--CHARLOTTE is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 98.6, OPPONENT 92.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--CHARLOTTE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 100.0, OPPONENT 96.2 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 20-8 UNDER (+11.2 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 88.9, OPPONENT 102.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--NEW JERSEY is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=48% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 94.6, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--CHARLOTTE is 19-5 UNDER (+13.5 Units) after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 94.4, OPPONENT 92.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--CHARLOTTE is 25-11 OVER (+12.9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 96.3, OPPONENT 96.8 - (Rating = 1*)
--CHARLOTTE is 13-3 OVER (+9.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 100.0, OPPONENT 96.2 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 95-65 against the 1rst half line (+23.4 Units) after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 47.2, OPPONENT 47.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--CHARLOTTE is 26-10 against the 1rst half line (+15.0 Units) versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 47.8, OPPONENT 47.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--CHARLOTTE is 36-22 against the 1rst half line (+11.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 49.2, OPPONENT 46.6 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 63-31 UNDER (+28.9 Units) the 1rst half total vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making >=39% of their attempts since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 45.7, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW JERSEY is 79-50 UNDER (+24.4 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 47.5, OPPONENT 47.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--CHARLOTTE is 52-30 OVER (+19.6 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 47.5, OPPONENT 50.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--CHARLOTTE is 41-22 OVER (+16.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 50.1, OPPONENT 50.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 20-6 OVER (+13.4 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 50.4, OPPONENT 53.1 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (CHARLOTTE) - team that had a winning record last season, after 2 or more consecutive losses.
(22-4 since 1996.) (84.6%, +17.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.7, Opponent 42.2 (Average first half point differential = +7.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (NEW JERSEY) - off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 80 points against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more.
(36-11 since 1996.) (76.6%, +23.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 184.7
The average score in these games was: Team 88.8, Opponent 89.4 (Total points scored = 178.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 27 (57.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-2).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving 2 slow-down teams (<=77 shots/game), in a game involving two poor ball handling team (>=16.5 TO's).
(56-24 since 1996.) (70%, +29.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 91.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 44.1, Opponent 44.1 (Total first half points scored = 88.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (0-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-6).
*** CHARLOTTE BOBCATS @ NEW JERSEY NETS (-2; O/U 185.5) ***
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Despite a successful start, the New Jersey Nets know there is plenty of room for improvement - maybe not as much improvement as the Charlotte Bobcats need. The Nets look to move on from their first loss when they host the winless Bobcats on Wednesday night. After losing 18 straight games to open a dismal 12-win season in 2009-10, New Jersey won its first two contests this autumn before falling 101-78 at home to Miami on Sunday.
Though only one defeat, Sunday’s effort proved how far the Nets still need to go to seriously compete with an elite team like the Heat and their superstar trio of Dwyane Wade, LeBron James and Chris Bosh. New Jersey shot 35.3 percent and struggled to score after averaging 103.5 points and shooting 50.4 percent in home victories over Detroit and Sacramento. “We still have some work to be done,” said Nets point guard Devin Harris, who had 13 points and six assists.
New owner Mikhail Prokhorov, however, liked what he saw from the Nets during the first week of the season. “I am very pleased with the team’s progress and look forward to watching the Nets reach their full potential as the season continues,” he said in a statement released by the team. Brook Lopez had 20 points while No. 3 overall pick Derrick Favors added 13 and 13 rebounds Sunday for the Nets, who remain confident despite their disappointing effort.
The Bobcats are taking the same approach despite being mired in the worst start of the franchise’s seven seasons. Coming off its first-ever playoff appearance, Charlotte has averaged 91.7 points through three games. D.J. Augustin had 26 points and Jackson added 23 in Charlotte’s 98-88 loss at Milwaukee on Saturday. The Bobcats committed 18 turnovers, giving them 56 in three games - an average of nearly 19. “We just got to stay positive. It’s a long season,” said Augustin, averaging 17.0 points and 5.3 assists thus far.
The season might seem even longer if the Bobcats don’t improve their play on the road. Charlotte went 13-28 away from home in 2009-10. That included a 97-91 loss at New Jersey for the Nets’ first win of the season Dec. 4. The Bobcats have failed to score more than 88 points in two road contests this season. Charlotte did win its last trip to New Jersey, 105-95 on April 12. Jackson had 17 points and nine rebounds, and has averaged 22.3 points in his last four games at New Jersey. Harris had 22 points for the Nets in that matchup.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New Jersey by 1; O/U 171
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Charlotte -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New Jersey -1.38
___________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 37-59 ATS (-27.9 Units) versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 89.6, OPPONENT 94.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 5-21 ATS (-18.1 Units) after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 89.8, OPPONENT 102.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 91.6, OPPONENT 103.0 - (Rating = 2*)
--CHARLOTTE is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 98.0, OPPONENT 94.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--CHARLOTTE is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 98.6, OPPONENT 92.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--CHARLOTTE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 100.0, OPPONENT 96.2 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 20-8 UNDER (+11.2 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 88.9, OPPONENT 102.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--NEW JERSEY is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=48% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 94.6, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--CHARLOTTE is 19-5 UNDER (+13.5 Units) after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 94.4, OPPONENT 92.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--CHARLOTTE is 25-11 OVER (+12.9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 96.3, OPPONENT 96.8 - (Rating = 1*)
--CHARLOTTE is 13-3 OVER (+9.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 100.0, OPPONENT 96.2 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 95-65 against the 1rst half line (+23.4 Units) after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 47.2, OPPONENT 47.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--CHARLOTTE is 26-10 against the 1rst half line (+15.0 Units) versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 47.8, OPPONENT 47.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--CHARLOTTE is 36-22 against the 1rst half line (+11.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 49.2, OPPONENT 46.6 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 63-31 UNDER (+28.9 Units) the 1rst half total vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making >=39% of their attempts since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 45.7, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW JERSEY is 79-50 UNDER (+24.4 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 47.5, OPPONENT 47.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--CHARLOTTE is 52-30 OVER (+19.6 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 47.5, OPPONENT 50.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--CHARLOTTE is 41-22 OVER (+16.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 50.1, OPPONENT 50.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 20-6 OVER (+13.4 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 50.4, OPPONENT 53.1 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (CHARLOTTE) - team that had a winning record last season, after 2 or more consecutive losses.
(22-4 since 1996.) (84.6%, +17.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.7, Opponent 42.2 (Average first half point differential = +7.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (NEW JERSEY) - off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 80 points against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more.
(36-11 since 1996.) (76.6%, +23.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 184.7
The average score in these games was: Team 88.8, Opponent 89.4 (Total points scored = 178.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 27 (57.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-2).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving 2 slow-down teams (<=77 shots/game), in a game involving two poor ball handling team (>=16.5 TO's).
(56-24 since 1996.) (70%, +29.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 91.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 44.1, Opponent 44.1 (Total first half points scored = 88.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (0-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-6).
GC NBA play for Wednesday
.
On Wednesday the NBA Bonus Play is on the Boston Celtics. Game 510 at 8:05 eastern. The Celtics just missed making the late phone cut here. They do qualify in a nice system here that has cashed 8 of the last 9 times. What we want to do is play on certain home favorites with no rest that scored 100 or more on the road last night vs an opponent that scored 90 or less as a home favorite in their last game. Milwaukee is off a bad loss last night by double digits at home vs Portland. The Celtics smashed Detroit by 23 points. This is a nice Bonus Play tonight. However the line was just a tad to high for unit rated status. If the line were to get down to 6 I would rate Boston as a 3 unit play. For the Bonus Play take the Boston Celtics. GC
.AOLWebSuite .AOLPicturesFullSizeLink ** height: 1px; width: 1px; overflow: hidden; } .AOLWebSuite a {color:blue; text-decoration: underline; cursor: pointer} .AOLWebSuite a.hsSig {cursor: default}
.
On Wednesday the NBA Bonus Play is on the Boston Celtics. Game 510 at 8:05 eastern. The Celtics just missed making the late phone cut here. They do qualify in a nice system here that has cashed 8 of the last 9 times. What we want to do is play on certain home favorites with no rest that scored 100 or more on the road last night vs an opponent that scored 90 or less as a home favorite in their last game. Milwaukee is off a bad loss last night by double digits at home vs Portland. The Celtics smashed Detroit by 23 points. This is a nice Bonus Play tonight. However the line was just a tad to high for unit rated status. If the line were to get down to 6 I would rate Boston as a 3 unit play. For the Bonus Play take the Boston Celtics. GC
.AOLWebSuite .AOLPicturesFullSizeLink ** height: 1px; width: 1px; overflow: hidden; } .AOLWebSuite a {color:blue; text-decoration: underline; cursor: pointer} .AOLWebSuite a.hsSig {cursor: default}
