Nick Parsons: NHL (free pick): ANAHEIM
REASON FOR PICK: Good line value here on a team that plays much better in front of the home town crowd than on the road:
The Ducks are 21-17-2-2 overall, 8-11-2-1 on the road, but 13-6-0-1 at the Honda Center; on the 2nd they beat Chicago 2-1, which was their third win a row, and second on home ice after also beating the Flyers 5-2 on New Years Eve.
Significant to note that Anaheim is 3-2 (+2.1 units) this year when playing with two-days of rest.
On the other side of the rink are the Nashville Predators who are 19-13-4-2 overall, and 10-9-1-0 on the road; on the 2nd they beat Columbus 4-1, their second win in a row after beating Minnesota 4-1 on the 31st.
The Predators have struggled in Anaheim though; just 2-9 their last 11 at the Honda Center.
Bottom line: Nashville will be without center Cal O'Reilly for the first time this year, who broke his fibula in his right leg on Sunday in the victory over the Blue Jackets.
And that's bad news for the Preds, who now face Jonas Hiller, who is 8-2-0 with a 1.83 GAA over his last ten-starts, including a 1.71 GAA during the Ducks current five-game home win streak.
Hiller is 2-1-0 with a 1.67 GAA in three-starts at home vs. Nashville.
Consider a second look at the Anaheim Ducks in this situation.
REASON FOR PICK: Good line value here on a team that plays much better in front of the home town crowd than on the road:
The Ducks are 21-17-2-2 overall, 8-11-2-1 on the road, but 13-6-0-1 at the Honda Center; on the 2nd they beat Chicago 2-1, which was their third win a row, and second on home ice after also beating the Flyers 5-2 on New Years Eve.
Significant to note that Anaheim is 3-2 (+2.1 units) this year when playing with two-days of rest.
On the other side of the rink are the Nashville Predators who are 19-13-4-2 overall, and 10-9-1-0 on the road; on the 2nd they beat Columbus 4-1, their second win in a row after beating Minnesota 4-1 on the 31st.
The Predators have struggled in Anaheim though; just 2-9 their last 11 at the Honda Center.
Bottom line: Nashville will be without center Cal O'Reilly for the first time this year, who broke his fibula in his right leg on Sunday in the victory over the Blue Jackets.
And that's bad news for the Preds, who now face Jonas Hiller, who is 8-2-0 with a 1.83 GAA over his last ten-starts, including a 1.71 GAA during the Ducks current five-game home win streak.
Hiller is 2-1-0 with a 1.67 GAA in three-starts at home vs. Nashville.
Consider a second look at the Anaheim Ducks in this situation.
Hammer the book
nba plays
3-units: Rotation 705: (7:05 pm) chicago bulls -4 1/2
3-units: Rotation 718: (9:05 pm) utah jazz -6
4-units: Rotation 719: (10:35 pm) denver nuggets -2 1/2 @
college basketball plays
4-units: Rotation 726: (7:00 pm) virginia commonwealth -5 1/2
5-units: Rotation 740: (7:00 pm) boston college -9@
3-units: Rotation 752: (7:00 pm) unc-wilmington -2
3-units: Rotation 760: (8:00 pm) st. Louis billikens -1
3-units: Rotation 769/770: (9:00 pm) memphis & tennessee volunteers over 144 1/2
3-units: Rotation 788: (7:00 pm) georgia southern eagles +7
nhl plays
5-units: Rotation 054: (7:05 pm) new york rangers ml -140
3-units: Rotation 055: (7:35 pm) atlanta thrashers ml +115
nba plays
3-units: Rotation 705: (7:05 pm) chicago bulls -4 1/2
3-units: Rotation 718: (9:05 pm) utah jazz -6
4-units: Rotation 719: (10:35 pm) denver nuggets -2 1/2 @
college basketball plays
4-units: Rotation 726: (7:00 pm) virginia commonwealth -5 1/2
5-units: Rotation 740: (7:00 pm) boston college -9@
3-units: Rotation 752: (7:00 pm) unc-wilmington -2
3-units: Rotation 760: (8:00 pm) st. Louis billikens -1
3-units: Rotation 769/770: (9:00 pm) memphis & tennessee volunteers over 144 1/2
3-units: Rotation 788: (7:00 pm) georgia southern eagles +7
nhl plays
5-units: Rotation 054: (7:05 pm) new york rangers ml -140
3-units: Rotation 055: (7:35 pm) atlanta thrashers ml +115
StatSystems Sports CBB Report, Wednesday 1/5/11
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 1/5/11
NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL
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••• GETTING THE JOB DONE! •••
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On Wednesday night we’re treated to a textbook battle between offense and defense. Duke heads into the game averaging 89.3 points per game, which puts them second in the country, while the Blazers are giving up only 58.6 points per contest. Despite the big number here, UAB has proven to be a good bet early this season in most situations, sitting 9-2 against the spread overall while going 9-1-1 ATS in the club’s last 11 road games. The hot start probably came as a surprise to bettors after the club lost four players from the 25-win team from last year, but the Blazers are getting it done anyway.
Coach Mike Davis attributes UAB’s success to changing to an offense that utilizes screens more and is committed to sharing the ball. "This year, the majority of our offense comes off screens," Davis told reporters. "I called a lot of my coaching friends and asked them what was the toughest screen to defend. They all had different answers. So I just tried to incorporate as many as possible in our offense." They coming off a huge 79-44 win at home to George Washington, covering easily as 12.5-point favorites and should stay within this number if they can get out to a quick start.
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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•••QUICK HITS•••
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--Purdue won eight of last nine games vs Penn State, winning last four by 14-14-20-4 points; they're 3-1 in last four visits here, winning by 10-22-4 points. Boilers are 3-0 on road, winning by 3 at Virginia Tech, by 18 at Valparaiso, by 23 at Michigan. Lions lost three of their last four games, including home loss to Maine- they're 1-3 as an underdog.
--VCU won seven of last eight games vs Drexel, winning last three here by 2-14-19 points. CAA home favorites are 1-5 vs spread, as dogs covered nine of first ten conference games. Rams are just 3-3 in last six games after getting upset at Georgia State Monday night. Drexel is 9-3 but lost to Hofstra Monday; they're 3-1 as an underdog this year.
--George Mason won its last four games vs Hofstra by 7-24-4-18 points, winning 86-78ot/67-63 in last two visits here. Patriots won eight of last nine games, winning first two CAA tilts by 28-9 points. Hofstra is also 2-0 in CAA after winning at Drexel Monday as 13-point dogs. CAA home underdogs are 4-0 vs spread.
--Marshall won six of last eight games vs Central Florida, winning three in row by 5-6-6 points; they beat UCF in triple OT at home last meeting, but Knights are unbeaten this year, covering four of last five games- they are 3-2 as favorite. Herd is 2-3 in last five visits here, with losses by 17-14-18 points. UCF coach Jones left Marshall to coach the Knights.
--San Diego State won nine of last ten games vs TCU, winning last four by average score of 70-60; Aztecs are 4-1 in last five visits here, winning by 19-5-2-17 points- they're 3-0 on road, winning by 16 at Long Beach, 3 at Gonzaga, 20 at Cal. Horned Frogs are 2-3 as an underdog- four of their six losses this season are by nine or more points.
--Dayton lost last three games to Saint Louis by 8-3-5 points; they lost in double OT here LY. Five of last ten series games went OT. Flyers beat New Mexico in double OT last game; they're 2-2 on road, winning by 7 in OT at Ole Miss, by 4 at Seton Hall, losing by 34 at Cincinnati, by 3 at ODU. Billikens are without two best players, who are suspended.
--Ark-Little Rock (+6) lost 77-64 at St Bonaventure on Nov 14, in game where both teams shot 3-17 from arc, but Trojans made 17-20 from foul line, Bonnies 30-37. Sun Belt teams are 10-17 vs spread when number is 4 or less points, 3-5 at home. A-14 teams are 18-17, 8-4 on road. UALR is 2-5 in last seven games, losing by hoop at Denver last game Sunday.
--Wisconsin won its last six games vs Michigan, winning last five here by 11-26-13-3-5 points; Badgers had 7-game win streak snapped at Illinois Sunday- they're 4-3 vs spread as a favorite. 10-3 Wolverines won only true road game, 69-61 at Clemson- they lost twice on neutral floor, by 3 to Syracuse, by 9 to Texas-El Paso.
--Marquette won its last four games vs Rutgers by average score of 77-58, covering three of the four games- they won 81-76 last visit here. Eagles are 1-4 as a favorite- six of their 14 games were decided by five or less points. Rutgers is 9-4 but lost its last two games to North Carolina by 23 and by 16 at Villanova- they're 2-2 as an underdog this season.
--Houston is 6-3 in last nine games vs Southern Mississippi- they beat the Golden Eagles 74-66 in semis of C-USA tourney last March, but are 1-3 in last four visits here, losing by 22-5-7 points. Cougars are 1-4 on road, 0-3 as road underdogs, losing by 6 at Louisiana Tech, 16 at TCU, 16 at LSU and 3 at Corpus Christi. USM is 2-2 as a favorite.
--Tennessee is struggling; this is last game Pearl coaches until Jan 22nd at UConn; Vols are 2-4 in last six games, winning by total of 7 points vs Belmont/UT-Martin. C-USA road underdogs of 7 or less points are 12-6 vs spread; SEC home favorites of less than 9 points are 8-12 vs spread. Memphis is 11-2 vs #208 sked (lost to Kansas by 13/Hoyas by 18).
--UNLV won seven of last nine games vs BYU, winning last eight played here, with six of the eight by 8+ points. Rebels covered only one of last five games as a favorite- they allowed 49 ppg in winning last three tilts. BYU is 3-1 on road, losing by 7 to UCLA in Anaheim, which is Cougars' only loss this season. This is their first game as an underdog.
--Irvine lost seven of last nine games vs Fullerton, losing three of last four visits here, with losses by 15-10-6 points; Anteaters lost last four games overall, losing last two games as favorite. Fullerton lost four of last five vs D-I teams; they're 6-4 vs spread as an underdog. Road team is 5-2 vs spread in Big West games early in conference play.
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•••SITUATIONAL TEAM POWER TRENDS•••
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The Stat/Systems Sports Situational Team Power Trends uncover certain situations where a team outperforms or underperforms their normal level of play. Unlike the Stat/Systems Super Situations, all trend records listed apply to the team in question. These trends are great indicators of how teams react to certain situations (i.e. coming off a close win, against division opponents, after a loss giving up a high number passing yards, etc.)
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--SETON HALL is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SETON HALL 68.4, OPPONENT 72.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--ST BONAVENTURE is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ST BONAVENTURE 69.7, OPPONENT 70.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--APPALACHIAN ST is 22-4 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season since 1997.
The average score was APPALACHIAN ST 70.9, OPPONENT 68.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--SETON HALL is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SETON HALL 70.7, OPPONENT 76 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 73.4, OPPONENT 70 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 15-43 ATS (-32.3 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals since 1997.
The average score was UTAH 62.8, OPPONENT 66.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--AIR FORCE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was AIR FORCE 53.1, OPPONENT 60.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOFSTRA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOFSTRA 66.2, OPPONENT 70.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--SETON HALL is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SETON HALL 70.7, OPPONENT 76.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--SETON HALL is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SETON HALL 74.9, OPPONENT 73.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--SETON HALL is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SETON HALL 68.5, OPPONENT 76.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--PRINCETON is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PRINCETON 62.2, OPPONENT 52.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--PRINCETON is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PRINCETON 64.9, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 3*)
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--WM & MARY is 16-2 UNDER (+13.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WM & MARY 58, OPPONENT 60.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--TCU is 11-0 UNDER (+11 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TCU 58.4, OPPONENT 63.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--UAB is 10-0 UNDER (+10 Units) in road games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing >=18 turnovers/game since 1997.
The average score was UAB 69, OPPONENT 74.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--UNC-WILMINGTON is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UNC-WILMINGTON 64.9, OPPONENT 65.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--UNC-WILMINGTON is 9-0 UNDER (+9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UNC-WILMINGTON 58.4, OPPONENT 64 - (Rating = 4*)
--BYU is 15-2 OVER (+12.8 Units) after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BYU 87.2, OPPONENT 70.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--MICHIGAN is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MICHIGAN 61.3, OPPONENT 60 - (Rating = 4*)
--ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 23-7 OVER (+15.3 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARK-LITTLE ROCK 72.9, OPPONENT 68.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 8-0 OVER (+8 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARK-LITTLE ROCK 68.8, OPPONENT 69.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARK-LITTLE ROCK 75.8, OPPONENT 67.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--WM & MARY is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WM & MARY 57.9, OPPONENT 58 - (Rating = 3*)
--WM & MARY is 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WM & MARY 61.2, OPPONENT 63.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--UAB is 15-3 UNDER (+11.7 Units) after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UAB 68, OPPONENT 58.2 - (Rating = 3*)
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--TEMPLE is 22-2 (+21.9 Units) against the money line when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TEMPLE 67.1, OPPONENT 56.9 - (Rating = 9*)
--TEMPLE is 19-1 (+20 Units) against the money line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TEMPLE 68.3, OPPONENT 56.8 - (Rating = 8*)
--N TEXAS is 13-1 (+16.4 Units) against the money line after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N TEXAS 78.7, OPPONENT 72.7 - (Rating = 8*)
--N TEXAS is 11-1 (+14.4 Units) against the money line off a home win over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N TEXAS 79.4, OPPONENT 72.7 - (Rating = 8*)
--N TEXAS is 14-1 (+16.7 Units) against the money line after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was N TEXAS 75.9, OPPONENT 68.5 - (Rating = 8*)
--PRINCETON is 12-1 (+15.5 Units) against the money line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PRINCETON 64.9, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 8*)
--PRINCETON is 15-2 (+17.5 Units) against the money line after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PRINCETON 62.2, OPPONENT 52.5 - (Rating = 7*)
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--TEMPLE is 79-48 (+26.2 Units) against the 1rst half line versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game since 1997.
The average score was TEMPLE 32.3, OPPONENT 28.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--DUKE is 96-65 (+24.5 Units) against the 1rst half line off a home win by 10 points or more since 1997.
The average score was DUKE 41.6, OPPONENT 31.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 45-21 (+21.9 Units) against the 1rst half line as a road underdog or pick vs. the 1rst half line since 1997.
The average score was MEMPHIS 33.2, OPPONENT 33.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 1-9 (-8.9 Units) against the 1rst half line after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ARK-LITTLE ROCK 29.2, OPPONENT 37.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--DAVIDSON is 0-7 (-7.7 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DAVIDSON 30.1, OPPONENT 33.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--JAMES MADISON is 3-12 (-10.2 Units) against the 1rst half line as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was JAMES MADISON 31.5, OPPONENT 32.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--JAMES MADISON is 1-9 (-8.9 Units) against the 1rst half line as a home favorite or pick vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was JAMES MADISON 31, OPPONENT 32.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--LOUISVILLE is 5-16 (-12.6 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 32.7, OPPONENT 35 - (Rating = 3*)
--PRINCETON is 12-3 (+8.7 Units) against the 1rst half line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PRINCETON 31.4, OPPONENT 24.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MARSHALL is 19-5 (+13.5 Units) against the 1rst half line versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=39% since 1997.
The average score was MARSHALL 33.8, OPPONENT 32.5 - (Rating = 3*)
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--ELON is 62-26 UNDER (+33.4 Units) the 1rst half total when playing only their 2nd game in a week since 1997.
The average score was ELON 27.8, OPPONENT 31.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--FORDHAM is 10-0 OVER (+10 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FORDHAM 33.6, OPPONENT 44.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--FORDHAM is 11-0 OVER (+11 Units) the 1rst half total after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FORDHAM 33.9, OPPONENT 41.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--NC STATE is 9-0 UNDER (+9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NC STATE 28, OPPONENT 26.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--LONG BEACH ST is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1997.
The average score was LONG BEACH ST 24.9, OPPONENT 28.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--UNC-WILMINGTON is 10-0 OVER (+10 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games since 1997.
The average score was UNC-WILMINGTON 29.9, OPPONENT 28.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--W CAROLINA is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite of 3 points or less vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was W CAROLINA 29.9, OPPONENT 26.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--UAB is 26-9 UNDER (+16.1 Units) the 1rst half total versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UAB 30.4, OPPONENT 27.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--UAB is 20-6 UNDER (+13.4 Units) the 1rst half total after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UAB 30.2, OPPONENT 27.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--UAB is 26-9 UNDER (+16.1 Units) the 1rst half total versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UAB 30.4, OPPONENT 27.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--UAB is 16-4 UNDER (+11.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UAB 29.5, OPPONENT 26.5 - (Rating = 3*)
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NOTE: College Basketball betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand College Basketball Lines, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these College Basketball Lines with the public in mind. They know the general public is going to bet on the popular teams every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like this.
It is always best to shop around when looking for the best College Basketball Lines. Many different books release different numbers and College Basketball Lines always tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the best College Basketball Lines, it is always best to have funded accounts at - at least five sportsbooks.
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*** SAN DIEGO ST @ TCU ***
Tip-off: Wednesday, 7:30 p.m. EDT
Line: San Diego State -8.5, Total: 136
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GAME BREAKDOWN: San Diego State will look to extend the best start in school history when it opens Mountain West Conference play at TCU on Wednesday night. The Aztecs are 15-0 after beating Division III school Occidental, 93-50, last Friday for their most lopsided victory of the season. SDSU, third in the nation with a 51.0% FG Pct., shot a season-best 61.0% and outrebounded the Tigers, 42-13. Eight of San Diego State's 15 wins have come away from home, including a 79-76 triumph at Gonzaga on Nov. 16. The Aztecs went 4-4 on the road in the MWC last season.
They're led by Kawhi Leonard, who scores 15.7 PPG and pulls down 9.6 RPG. Leonard has scored in double-figures in 13 of 15 games and has nine double-doubles on the season. Billy White (10.5 PPG) averaged a team-high 16.5 points in two wins over TCU last season. He did not play against Occidental because of a sprained ankle, but should be in the lineup against the Horned Frogs.
TCU's leading scorer Ronnie Moss (15.3 PPG) is questionable for Wednesday after suffering a concussion in a 69-66 loss to Tulsa last Thursday. The Horned Frogs are coming off a 70-61 loss at Rice on Sunday without Moss. Hank Thorns (9.4 PPG, 5.7 APG) picked up the scoring in Moss' absence with a career-best 18 points and eight assists against the Owls. Garlon Green, who ranks second on TCU in scoring (11.9 PPG, 51.3% three-pointers), had 11 points versus Rice, but shot only 4-of-11 from the field.
Last season, San Diego State posted a 68-51 victory at Fort Worth on Feb. 16. Leonard had 18 points and White added 17 for the Aztecs, while Moss scored 15 for the Horned Frogs. TCU is 7-1 at home this season, but its history hasn't been good versus San Diego State. The Horned Frogs have lost nine out of the last 10 meetings, including four straight. SDSU leads the series 9-4, and its only loss at TCU came on Feb. 9, 2008, 68-62. Look for the Aztecs to continue its undefeated season with another win over the Horned Frogs on Wednesday.
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
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--Steve Fisher is 47-17 ATS (73.4%, +28.3 Units) after a win by 15 points or more as the coach of SAN DIEGO STATE.
The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 72.4, OPPONENT 65.6 - (Rating = 4*).
--SAN DIEGO ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 68.8, OPPONENT 58.0 - (Rating = 3*).
--TCU is 11-0 UNDER (+11.0 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TCU 58.4, OPPONENT 63.9 - (Rating = 5*).
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN DIEGO ST) - an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after a blowout win by 20 points or more.
(79-39 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.9%, +36.1 units. Rating = 3*).
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (97-24 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.4
The average score in these games was: Team 73.8, Opponent 64 (Average point differential = +9.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 40 (33.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (11-6).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (45-15).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (173-142).
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*** BYU @ UNLV ***
Tip-off: Wednesday, 10:00 p.m. EDT
Line: UNLV -3.5, Total: 145
---------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: BYU hopes to end an eight-game losing streak at UNLV when it visits the Runnin' Rebels on Wednesday night in the MWC opener for both teams. The Cougars have lost the last eight games at the Thomas & Mack Center, dating back to 2005, and that includes three setbacks in the conference tournament. The Rebels are 16-7 ATS versus BYU, including 9-3 ATS at home since 2001.
BYU ranks ninth in the nation in offense (83.9 PPG) and are led by the explosive Jimmer Fredette, who scores 24.1 PPG and shoots 37.5% from long range. Fredette has scored in double-digits in every game this season and had 13 points in 22 minutes against Fresno Pacific on Saturday, a 93-57 BYU rout. But he hasn't lived up to his own lofty standards versus UNLV, as he's been limited to 14.9 PPG on 35.6% shooting in eight career meetings with the Rebels. Jackson Emery is second on the Cougars in scoring with 11.8 PPG, while Brandon Davies chips in with 10.9 PPG and 5.2 RPG. BYU's only loss this season came against UCLA, 86-79, on Dec. 18 at the Wooden Classic, but since that setback, it has won four straight games.
Meanwhile, UNLV has rebounded from consecutive losses at Louisville, 77-69, and at home to UC Santa Barbara, 68-62, with three straight victories, including a 63-59 win over Kansas State on Dec. 21. Chace Stanback leads the Runnin' Rebels in scoring with 12.5 PPG, but he's struggled with his shot recently. Stanback is 14-for-44 (31.8%) from the field in his past five games and has failed to score in double-figures in three consecutive games and four of the last five. Oscar Bellfield averages 11.6 PPG and 4.3 APG, while Tre'Von Willis scores 11.3 PPG and has hit double-digits in scoring in six of his past seven games. He also likes to face BYU, as he's averaged 19.6 PPG in five career meetings against the Cougars.
Last season, the two teams met three times with UNLV holding a 2-1 advantage. The Cougars won at home, 77-73 on Jan. 6, but they lost the rematch in Vegas, 88-74, on Feb. 6, thanks to Willis' 33 points. BYU also dropped a 70-66 decision to the Runnin' Rebels in the MWC semifinals, despite Fredette's 30 points.
UNLV has held eight of its 14 opponents below 60 points, but that won't be an easy task against BYU's high-scoring offense, which has not been held under 72 points all season. The Cougars have dropped seven straight to Top 25 teams. Their last win over a ranked squad came in a 78-76 victory over then-No. 6 Louisville on Nov. 23, 2007. BYU last won at UNLV on Feb. 5, 2005, when it claimed an 82-72 overtime victory. But the Rebels don't lose at home very often. UNLV is 35-5 at home in regular-season conference games since the 2005-06 season. The home-court edge should make the difference on Wednesday night versus BYU.
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
-----------------------------------
--Lon Kruger is 50-20 ATS (71.4%, +28.0 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread as the coach of UNLV.
The average score was UNLV 73.1, OPPONENT 65.0 - (Rating = 4*).
--BYU is 15-2 OVER (88.2%, +12.8 Units) after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BYU 87.2, OPPONENT 70.9 - (Rating = 4*).
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play On - A favorite (UNLV) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after a combined score of 125 points or less 2 straight games.
(50-20 since 1997.) (71.4%, +28 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (59-11)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 8.3
The average score in these games was: Team 73.8, Opponent 63.5 (Average point differential = +10.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (25.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
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• HIGHEST RATED ATS SUPER SITUATIONS CBB - Display the Highest Rated Active CBB - Against the Spread Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
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5* DUKE -18 - (84.6%)
4* HARVARD +10.5 - (83.3%)
3* FORDHAM +16.5 - (79.4%)
3* CS-NORTHRIDGE +15 - (77.1%)
3* N TEXAS -2.5 - (75.9%)
3* SOUTHERN MISS -14.5 - (75.7%)
3* UNLV -3.5 - (75.6%)
3* CHARLOTTE +14 - (74.4%)
--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs of 10 or more points (UAB) - excellent team - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% on the season, after a game making 13 or more 3 point shots.
(22-4 since 1997.) (84.6%, +17.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (26-0)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 14.5
The average score in these games was: Team 82.3, Opponent 62.3 (Average point differential = +20.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 9 (34.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-2).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 10 or more points (HARVARD) - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off an road win scoring 85 or more points.
(30-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.3%, +23.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (7-30 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 15.3
The average score in these games was: Team 67.9, Opponent 76.8 (Average point differential = -8.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 16 (44.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-2).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (59-50).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (FORDHAM) - after 2 straight losses by 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games.
(27-7 since 1997.) (79.4%, +19.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (6-29)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 13.9
The average score in these games was: Team 65.8, Opponent 75.2 (Average point differential = -9.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 12 (35.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-3).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (LONG BEACH ST) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (20-40%).
(27-8 since 1997.) (77.1%, +18.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (5-30)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 13.1
The average score in these games was: Team 64.8, Opponent 73.6 (Average point differential = -8.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 11 (31.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-3).
--PLAY ON - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (N TEXAS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games.
(22-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.9%, +14.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (23-7 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.1
The average score in these games was: Team 75.7, Opponent 71.5 (Average point differential = +4.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 10 (35.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (55-35).
--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (SOUTHERN MISS) - an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games.
(53-17 since 1997.) (75.7%, +34.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (72-1)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 13.9
The average score in these games was: Team 73.9, Opponent 56.8 (Average point differential = +17.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (27.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (26-9).
--PLAY ON - Home teams as a favorite or pick (UNLV) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after a combined score of 125 points or less 2 straight games.
(31-10 since 1997.) (75.6%, +20 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (37-4)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 10.2
The average score in these games was: Team 75.4, Opponent 62.2 (Average point differential = +13.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 9 (22% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3).
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less.
(32-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.4%, +19.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (7-38 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 12.9
The average score in these games was: Team 63.9, Opponent 72.7 (Average point differential = -8.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (38.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (71-49).
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• HIGHEST RATED OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS CBB - Display the Highest Rated Active CBB - Over/Under Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
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3* SAN DIEGO ST/TCU UNDER 136.5 - (79.5%)
3* UAB/DUKE UNDER 140.5 - (75.0%)
3* BYU/UNLV UNDER 145 - (74.0%)
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (SAN DIEGO ST) - after 10 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (>= 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%).
(31-8 since 1997.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 134.7
The average score in these games was: Team 68.9, Opponent 57.3 (Total points scored = 126.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 22 (57.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-4).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UAB) - after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games against opponent after 4 straight wins by 10 points or more.
(27-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +17.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 144.3
The average score in these games was: Team 67, Opponent 71.4 (Total points scored = 138.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 19 (52.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (39-21).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UNLV) - after allowing 60 points or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games.
(37-13 since 1997.) (74.0%, +22.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 144.2
The average score in these games was: Team 67.2, Opponent 70 (Total points scored = 137.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 29 (56.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-9).
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• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF ATS SUPER SITUATIONS CBB - Display the Highest Rated Active CBB - First Half Line Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
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4* ST JOSEPHS +2 - (88.0%)
4* LASALLE -0.5 - (85.2%)
4* PENN ST +3.5 - (79.6%)
4* ARK-LITTLE ROCK +0.5 (79.6%)
3* HARVARD +6 - (78.4%)
3* MARIST +10 - (78.1%)
3* MICHIGAN +6.5 - (75.9%)
3* CS-NORTHRIDGE +8.5 - (75.0%)
3* NORTHEASTERN +8 - (74.5%)
3* TCU +5 - (74.2%)
3* UAB +10 - (72.3%)
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (DUQUESNE) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%).
(22-3 over the last 5 seasons.) (88.0%, +18.7 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 31.4, Opponent 28.1 (Average first half point differential = +3.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-2).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (39-23).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (GEORGE WASHINGTON) - off an road win scoring 85 or more points, playing only their 3rd game in a week.
(23-4 since 1997.) (85.2%, +18.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 37.6, Opponent 29.4 (Average first half point differential = +8.2)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (PURDUE) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average shooting team (42.5-45%), good rebounding team (+3 to +6 reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game).
(43-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.6%, +30.9 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.4, Opponent 29.3 (Average first half point differential = +1.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-7).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (87-65).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (ST BONAVENTURE) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average shooting team (42.5-45%), good rebounding team (+3 to +6 reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game).
(43-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.6%, +30.9 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.4, Opponent 29.3 (Average first half point differential = +1.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-7).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (87-65).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (BOSTON COLLEGE) - in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (>=20/game), after a game making 13 or more 3 point shots.
(29-8 since 1997.) (78.4%, +20.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 32, Opponent 35.6 (Average first half point differential = -3.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-4).
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (MARIST) - terrible shooting team (<=40%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's).
(25-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.1%, +17.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.6, Opponent 33.8 (Average first half point differential = -3.2)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-4).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (37-21).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (MICHIGAN) - excellent ball handling team - committing <=12 turnovers/game, after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers.
(41-13 since 1997.) (75.9%, +26.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 29.3, Opponent 32.7 (Average first half point differential = -3.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (28-10).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (LONG BEACH ST) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (20-40%).
(42-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +26.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.7, Opponent 31.9 (Average first half point differential = -1.2)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (52-23).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (OLD DOMINION) - poor pressure defensive team - forcing <=14 turnovers/game, after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers.
(35-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.5%, +21.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 29.1, Opponent 32.3 (Average first half point differential = -3.2)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-8).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (55-26).
--PLAY AGAINST - A favorite vs. the 1rst half line (SAN DIEGO ST) - good FT shooting team (69-73%) against an average FT shooting team (65-69%) after 15+ games, dominant rebounding team (>=+6 Reb/G) vs. an average rebounding team (+/-3 Reb/G) after 15+ games.
(46-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.2%, +28.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 31.5, Opponent 32.6 (Average first half point differential = -1.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-7).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (107-81).
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (UAB) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, in a game involving two top-level teams (>= 80%).
(34-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.3%, +19.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.8, Opponent 35.3 (Average first half point differential = -4.5)
The situation's record this season is: (2-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (60-51).
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• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS CBB - Display the Highest Rated Active CBB - First Half Line Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
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3* PURDUE/PENN ST UNDER 59.5 - (79.4%)
3* SETON HALL/LOUISVILLE UNDER 65.5 - (73.7%)
3* MICHIGAN/WISCONSIN OVER 54 - (71.4%)
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is 55.5 to 60.5 (PURDUE) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a winning record.
(27-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.4%, +19.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 58.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 27, Opponent 26.6 (Total first half points scored = 53.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-4).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (37-15).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 (LOUISVILLE) - after a loss by 15 points or more against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less.
(56-20 since 1997.) (73.7%, +34 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 62.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 29.3, Opponent 29.1 (Total first half points scored = 58.4)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (34-10).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 55.5 or less (WISCONSIN) - in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (<=40%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's).
(60-24 since 1997.) (71.4%, +33.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 53.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 28.3, Opponent 28.3 (Total first half points scored = 56.6)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-12).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (42-14).
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STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 1/5/11
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••• GETTING THE JOB DONE! •••
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On Wednesday night we’re treated to a textbook battle between offense and defense. Duke heads into the game averaging 89.3 points per game, which puts them second in the country, while the Blazers are giving up only 58.6 points per contest. Despite the big number here, UAB has proven to be a good bet early this season in most situations, sitting 9-2 against the spread overall while going 9-1-1 ATS in the club’s last 11 road games. The hot start probably came as a surprise to bettors after the club lost four players from the 25-win team from last year, but the Blazers are getting it done anyway.
Coach Mike Davis attributes UAB’s success to changing to an offense that utilizes screens more and is committed to sharing the ball. "This year, the majority of our offense comes off screens," Davis told reporters. "I called a lot of my coaching friends and asked them what was the toughest screen to defend. They all had different answers. So I just tried to incorporate as many as possible in our offense." They coming off a huge 79-44 win at home to George Washington, covering easily as 12.5-point favorites and should stay within this number if they can get out to a quick start.
Make Sure you have the Advantage you need to win this Season! Did you know that the Stat/Systems Report is the #1 rated sports betting publication in the country today. Offering complete analysis and predictions for every game on the board including game logs, betting trends, key injuries, vital statistics, lines and odds, and more the daily publication is everything that you need to win each and every day!
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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•••QUICK HITS•••
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--Purdue won eight of last nine games vs Penn State, winning last four by 14-14-20-4 points; they're 3-1 in last four visits here, winning by 10-22-4 points. Boilers are 3-0 on road, winning by 3 at Virginia Tech, by 18 at Valparaiso, by 23 at Michigan. Lions lost three of their last four games, including home loss to Maine- they're 1-3 as an underdog.
--VCU won seven of last eight games vs Drexel, winning last three here by 2-14-19 points. CAA home favorites are 1-5 vs spread, as dogs covered nine of first ten conference games. Rams are just 3-3 in last six games after getting upset at Georgia State Monday night. Drexel is 9-3 but lost to Hofstra Monday; they're 3-1 as an underdog this year.
--George Mason won its last four games vs Hofstra by 7-24-4-18 points, winning 86-78ot/67-63 in last two visits here. Patriots won eight of last nine games, winning first two CAA tilts by 28-9 points. Hofstra is also 2-0 in CAA after winning at Drexel Monday as 13-point dogs. CAA home underdogs are 4-0 vs spread.
--Marshall won six of last eight games vs Central Florida, winning three in row by 5-6-6 points; they beat UCF in triple OT at home last meeting, but Knights are unbeaten this year, covering four of last five games- they are 3-2 as favorite. Herd is 2-3 in last five visits here, with losses by 17-14-18 points. UCF coach Jones left Marshall to coach the Knights.
--San Diego State won nine of last ten games vs TCU, winning last four by average score of 70-60; Aztecs are 4-1 in last five visits here, winning by 19-5-2-17 points- they're 3-0 on road, winning by 16 at Long Beach, 3 at Gonzaga, 20 at Cal. Horned Frogs are 2-3 as an underdog- four of their six losses this season are by nine or more points.
--Dayton lost last three games to Saint Louis by 8-3-5 points; they lost in double OT here LY. Five of last ten series games went OT. Flyers beat New Mexico in double OT last game; they're 2-2 on road, winning by 7 in OT at Ole Miss, by 4 at Seton Hall, losing by 34 at Cincinnati, by 3 at ODU. Billikens are without two best players, who are suspended.
--Ark-Little Rock (+6) lost 77-64 at St Bonaventure on Nov 14, in game where both teams shot 3-17 from arc, but Trojans made 17-20 from foul line, Bonnies 30-37. Sun Belt teams are 10-17 vs spread when number is 4 or less points, 3-5 at home. A-14 teams are 18-17, 8-4 on road. UALR is 2-5 in last seven games, losing by hoop at Denver last game Sunday.
--Wisconsin won its last six games vs Michigan, winning last five here by 11-26-13-3-5 points; Badgers had 7-game win streak snapped at Illinois Sunday- they're 4-3 vs spread as a favorite. 10-3 Wolverines won only true road game, 69-61 at Clemson- they lost twice on neutral floor, by 3 to Syracuse, by 9 to Texas-El Paso.
--Marquette won its last four games vs Rutgers by average score of 77-58, covering three of the four games- they won 81-76 last visit here. Eagles are 1-4 as a favorite- six of their 14 games were decided by five or less points. Rutgers is 9-4 but lost its last two games to North Carolina by 23 and by 16 at Villanova- they're 2-2 as an underdog this season.
--Houston is 6-3 in last nine games vs Southern Mississippi- they beat the Golden Eagles 74-66 in semis of C-USA tourney last March, but are 1-3 in last four visits here, losing by 22-5-7 points. Cougars are 1-4 on road, 0-3 as road underdogs, losing by 6 at Louisiana Tech, 16 at TCU, 16 at LSU and 3 at Corpus Christi. USM is 2-2 as a favorite.
--Tennessee is struggling; this is last game Pearl coaches until Jan 22nd at UConn; Vols are 2-4 in last six games, winning by total of 7 points vs Belmont/UT-Martin. C-USA road underdogs of 7 or less points are 12-6 vs spread; SEC home favorites of less than 9 points are 8-12 vs spread. Memphis is 11-2 vs #208 sked (lost to Kansas by 13/Hoyas by 18).
--UNLV won seven of last nine games vs BYU, winning last eight played here, with six of the eight by 8+ points. Rebels covered only one of last five games as a favorite- they allowed 49 ppg in winning last three tilts. BYU is 3-1 on road, losing by 7 to UCLA in Anaheim, which is Cougars' only loss this season. This is their first game as an underdog.
--Irvine lost seven of last nine games vs Fullerton, losing three of last four visits here, with losses by 15-10-6 points; Anteaters lost last four games overall, losing last two games as favorite. Fullerton lost four of last five vs D-I teams; they're 6-4 vs spread as an underdog. Road team is 5-2 vs spread in Big West games early in conference play.
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•••SITUATIONAL TEAM POWER TRENDS•••
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The Stat/Systems Sports Situational Team Power Trends uncover certain situations where a team outperforms or underperforms their normal level of play. Unlike the Stat/Systems Super Situations, all trend records listed apply to the team in question. These trends are great indicators of how teams react to certain situations (i.e. coming off a close win, against division opponents, after a loss giving up a high number passing yards, etc.)
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--SETON HALL is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SETON HALL 68.4, OPPONENT 72.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--ST BONAVENTURE is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ST BONAVENTURE 69.7, OPPONENT 70.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--APPALACHIAN ST is 22-4 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season since 1997.
The average score was APPALACHIAN ST 70.9, OPPONENT 68.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--SETON HALL is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SETON HALL 70.7, OPPONENT 76 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 73.4, OPPONENT 70 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 15-43 ATS (-32.3 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals since 1997.
The average score was UTAH 62.8, OPPONENT 66.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--AIR FORCE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was AIR FORCE 53.1, OPPONENT 60.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOFSTRA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOFSTRA 66.2, OPPONENT 70.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--SETON HALL is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SETON HALL 70.7, OPPONENT 76.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--SETON HALL is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SETON HALL 74.9, OPPONENT 73.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--SETON HALL is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SETON HALL 68.5, OPPONENT 76.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--PRINCETON is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PRINCETON 62.2, OPPONENT 52.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--PRINCETON is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PRINCETON 64.9, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 3*)
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--WM & MARY is 16-2 UNDER (+13.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WM & MARY 58, OPPONENT 60.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--TCU is 11-0 UNDER (+11 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TCU 58.4, OPPONENT 63.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--UAB is 10-0 UNDER (+10 Units) in road games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing >=18 turnovers/game since 1997.
The average score was UAB 69, OPPONENT 74.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--UNC-WILMINGTON is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UNC-WILMINGTON 64.9, OPPONENT 65.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--UNC-WILMINGTON is 9-0 UNDER (+9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UNC-WILMINGTON 58.4, OPPONENT 64 - (Rating = 4*)
--BYU is 15-2 OVER (+12.8 Units) after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BYU 87.2, OPPONENT 70.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--MICHIGAN is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MICHIGAN 61.3, OPPONENT 60 - (Rating = 4*)
--ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 23-7 OVER (+15.3 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARK-LITTLE ROCK 72.9, OPPONENT 68.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 8-0 OVER (+8 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARK-LITTLE ROCK 68.8, OPPONENT 69.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARK-LITTLE ROCK 75.8, OPPONENT 67.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--WM & MARY is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WM & MARY 57.9, OPPONENT 58 - (Rating = 3*)
--WM & MARY is 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WM & MARY 61.2, OPPONENT 63.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--UAB is 15-3 UNDER (+11.7 Units) after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UAB 68, OPPONENT 58.2 - (Rating = 3*)
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--TEMPLE is 22-2 (+21.9 Units) against the money line when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TEMPLE 67.1, OPPONENT 56.9 - (Rating = 9*)
--TEMPLE is 19-1 (+20 Units) against the money line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TEMPLE 68.3, OPPONENT 56.8 - (Rating = 8*)
--N TEXAS is 13-1 (+16.4 Units) against the money line after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N TEXAS 78.7, OPPONENT 72.7 - (Rating = 8*)
--N TEXAS is 11-1 (+14.4 Units) against the money line off a home win over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was N TEXAS 79.4, OPPONENT 72.7 - (Rating = 8*)
--N TEXAS is 14-1 (+16.7 Units) against the money line after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was N TEXAS 75.9, OPPONENT 68.5 - (Rating = 8*)
--PRINCETON is 12-1 (+15.5 Units) against the money line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PRINCETON 64.9, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 8*)
--PRINCETON is 15-2 (+17.5 Units) against the money line after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PRINCETON 62.2, OPPONENT 52.5 - (Rating = 7*)
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--TEMPLE is 79-48 (+26.2 Units) against the 1rst half line versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game since 1997.
The average score was TEMPLE 32.3, OPPONENT 28.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--DUKE is 96-65 (+24.5 Units) against the 1rst half line off a home win by 10 points or more since 1997.
The average score was DUKE 41.6, OPPONENT 31.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 45-21 (+21.9 Units) against the 1rst half line as a road underdog or pick vs. the 1rst half line since 1997.
The average score was MEMPHIS 33.2, OPPONENT 33.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 1-9 (-8.9 Units) against the 1rst half line after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ARK-LITTLE ROCK 29.2, OPPONENT 37.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--DAVIDSON is 0-7 (-7.7 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DAVIDSON 30.1, OPPONENT 33.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--JAMES MADISON is 3-12 (-10.2 Units) against the 1rst half line as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was JAMES MADISON 31.5, OPPONENT 32.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--JAMES MADISON is 1-9 (-8.9 Units) against the 1rst half line as a home favorite or pick vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was JAMES MADISON 31, OPPONENT 32.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--LOUISVILLE is 5-16 (-12.6 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 32.7, OPPONENT 35 - (Rating = 3*)
--PRINCETON is 12-3 (+8.7 Units) against the 1rst half line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PRINCETON 31.4, OPPONENT 24.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MARSHALL is 19-5 (+13.5 Units) against the 1rst half line versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=39% since 1997.
The average score was MARSHALL 33.8, OPPONENT 32.5 - (Rating = 3*)
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--ELON is 62-26 UNDER (+33.4 Units) the 1rst half total when playing only their 2nd game in a week since 1997.
The average score was ELON 27.8, OPPONENT 31.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--FORDHAM is 10-0 OVER (+10 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FORDHAM 33.6, OPPONENT 44.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--FORDHAM is 11-0 OVER (+11 Units) the 1rst half total after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FORDHAM 33.9, OPPONENT 41.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--NC STATE is 9-0 UNDER (+9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NC STATE 28, OPPONENT 26.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--LONG BEACH ST is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1997.
The average score was LONG BEACH ST 24.9, OPPONENT 28.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--UNC-WILMINGTON is 10-0 OVER (+10 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games since 1997.
The average score was UNC-WILMINGTON 29.9, OPPONENT 28.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--W CAROLINA is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite of 3 points or less vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was W CAROLINA 29.9, OPPONENT 26.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--UAB is 26-9 UNDER (+16.1 Units) the 1rst half total versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UAB 30.4, OPPONENT 27.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--UAB is 20-6 UNDER (+13.4 Units) the 1rst half total after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UAB 30.2, OPPONENT 27.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--UAB is 26-9 UNDER (+16.1 Units) the 1rst half total versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UAB 30.4, OPPONENT 27.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--UAB is 16-4 UNDER (+11.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UAB 29.5, OPPONENT 26.5 - (Rating = 3*)
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NOTE: College Basketball betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand College Basketball Lines, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these College Basketball Lines with the public in mind. They know the general public is going to bet on the popular teams every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like this.
It is always best to shop around when looking for the best College Basketball Lines. Many different books release different numbers and College Basketball Lines always tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the best College Basketball Lines, it is always best to have funded accounts at - at least five sportsbooks.
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*** SAN DIEGO ST @ TCU ***
Tip-off: Wednesday, 7:30 p.m. EDT
Line: San Diego State -8.5, Total: 136
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GAME BREAKDOWN: San Diego State will look to extend the best start in school history when it opens Mountain West Conference play at TCU on Wednesday night. The Aztecs are 15-0 after beating Division III school Occidental, 93-50, last Friday for their most lopsided victory of the season. SDSU, third in the nation with a 51.0% FG Pct., shot a season-best 61.0% and outrebounded the Tigers, 42-13. Eight of San Diego State's 15 wins have come away from home, including a 79-76 triumph at Gonzaga on Nov. 16. The Aztecs went 4-4 on the road in the MWC last season.
They're led by Kawhi Leonard, who scores 15.7 PPG and pulls down 9.6 RPG. Leonard has scored in double-figures in 13 of 15 games and has nine double-doubles on the season. Billy White (10.5 PPG) averaged a team-high 16.5 points in two wins over TCU last season. He did not play against Occidental because of a sprained ankle, but should be in the lineup against the Horned Frogs.
TCU's leading scorer Ronnie Moss (15.3 PPG) is questionable for Wednesday after suffering a concussion in a 69-66 loss to Tulsa last Thursday. The Horned Frogs are coming off a 70-61 loss at Rice on Sunday without Moss. Hank Thorns (9.4 PPG, 5.7 APG) picked up the scoring in Moss' absence with a career-best 18 points and eight assists against the Owls. Garlon Green, who ranks second on TCU in scoring (11.9 PPG, 51.3% three-pointers), had 11 points versus Rice, but shot only 4-of-11 from the field.
Last season, San Diego State posted a 68-51 victory at Fort Worth on Feb. 16. Leonard had 18 points and White added 17 for the Aztecs, while Moss scored 15 for the Horned Frogs. TCU is 7-1 at home this season, but its history hasn't been good versus San Diego State. The Horned Frogs have lost nine out of the last 10 meetings, including four straight. SDSU leads the series 9-4, and its only loss at TCU came on Feb. 9, 2008, 68-62. Look for the Aztecs to continue its undefeated season with another win over the Horned Frogs on Wednesday.
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
-----------------------------------
--Steve Fisher is 47-17 ATS (73.4%, +28.3 Units) after a win by 15 points or more as the coach of SAN DIEGO STATE.
The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 72.4, OPPONENT 65.6 - (Rating = 4*).
--SAN DIEGO ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 68.8, OPPONENT 58.0 - (Rating = 3*).
--TCU is 11-0 UNDER (+11.0 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TCU 58.4, OPPONENT 63.9 - (Rating = 5*).
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN DIEGO ST) - an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after a blowout win by 20 points or more.
(79-39 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.9%, +36.1 units. Rating = 3*).
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (97-24 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.4
The average score in these games was: Team 73.8, Opponent 64 (Average point differential = +9.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 40 (33.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (11-6).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (45-15).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (173-142).
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*** BYU @ UNLV ***
Tip-off: Wednesday, 10:00 p.m. EDT
Line: UNLV -3.5, Total: 145
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GAME BREAKDOWN: BYU hopes to end an eight-game losing streak at UNLV when it visits the Runnin' Rebels on Wednesday night in the MWC opener for both teams. The Cougars have lost the last eight games at the Thomas & Mack Center, dating back to 2005, and that includes three setbacks in the conference tournament. The Rebels are 16-7 ATS versus BYU, including 9-3 ATS at home since 2001.
BYU ranks ninth in the nation in offense (83.9 PPG) and are led by the explosive Jimmer Fredette, who scores 24.1 PPG and shoots 37.5% from long range. Fredette has scored in double-digits in every game this season and had 13 points in 22 minutes against Fresno Pacific on Saturday, a 93-57 BYU rout. But he hasn't lived up to his own lofty standards versus UNLV, as he's been limited to 14.9 PPG on 35.6% shooting in eight career meetings with the Rebels. Jackson Emery is second on the Cougars in scoring with 11.8 PPG, while Brandon Davies chips in with 10.9 PPG and 5.2 RPG. BYU's only loss this season came against UCLA, 86-79, on Dec. 18 at the Wooden Classic, but since that setback, it has won four straight games.
Meanwhile, UNLV has rebounded from consecutive losses at Louisville, 77-69, and at home to UC Santa Barbara, 68-62, with three straight victories, including a 63-59 win over Kansas State on Dec. 21. Chace Stanback leads the Runnin' Rebels in scoring with 12.5 PPG, but he's struggled with his shot recently. Stanback is 14-for-44 (31.8%) from the field in his past five games and has failed to score in double-figures in three consecutive games and four of the last five. Oscar Bellfield averages 11.6 PPG and 4.3 APG, while Tre'Von Willis scores 11.3 PPG and has hit double-digits in scoring in six of his past seven games. He also likes to face BYU, as he's averaged 19.6 PPG in five career meetings against the Cougars.
Last season, the two teams met three times with UNLV holding a 2-1 advantage. The Cougars won at home, 77-73 on Jan. 6, but they lost the rematch in Vegas, 88-74, on Feb. 6, thanks to Willis' 33 points. BYU also dropped a 70-66 decision to the Runnin' Rebels in the MWC semifinals, despite Fredette's 30 points.
UNLV has held eight of its 14 opponents below 60 points, but that won't be an easy task against BYU's high-scoring offense, which has not been held under 72 points all season. The Cougars have dropped seven straight to Top 25 teams. Their last win over a ranked squad came in a 78-76 victory over then-No. 6 Louisville on Nov. 23, 2007. BYU last won at UNLV on Feb. 5, 2005, when it claimed an 82-72 overtime victory. But the Rebels don't lose at home very often. UNLV is 35-5 at home in regular-season conference games since the 2005-06 season. The home-court edge should make the difference on Wednesday night versus BYU.
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
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--Lon Kruger is 50-20 ATS (71.4%, +28.0 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread as the coach of UNLV.
The average score was UNLV 73.1, OPPONENT 65.0 - (Rating = 4*).
--BYU is 15-2 OVER (88.2%, +12.8 Units) after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BYU 87.2, OPPONENT 70.9 - (Rating = 4*).
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play On - A favorite (UNLV) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after a combined score of 125 points or less 2 straight games.
(50-20 since 1997.) (71.4%, +28 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (59-11)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 8.3
The average score in these games was: Team 73.8, Opponent 63.5 (Average point differential = +10.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (25.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
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• HIGHEST RATED ATS SUPER SITUATIONS CBB - Display the Highest Rated Active CBB - Against the Spread Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
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5* DUKE -18 - (84.6%)
4* HARVARD +10.5 - (83.3%)
3* FORDHAM +16.5 - (79.4%)
3* CS-NORTHRIDGE +15 - (77.1%)
3* N TEXAS -2.5 - (75.9%)
3* SOUTHERN MISS -14.5 - (75.7%)
3* UNLV -3.5 - (75.6%)
3* CHARLOTTE +14 - (74.4%)
--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs of 10 or more points (UAB) - excellent team - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% on the season, after a game making 13 or more 3 point shots.
(22-4 since 1997.) (84.6%, +17.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (26-0)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 14.5
The average score in these games was: Team 82.3, Opponent 62.3 (Average point differential = +20.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 9 (34.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-2).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 10 or more points (HARVARD) - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off an road win scoring 85 or more points.
(30-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.3%, +23.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (7-30 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 15.3
The average score in these games was: Team 67.9, Opponent 76.8 (Average point differential = -8.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 16 (44.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-2).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (59-50).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (FORDHAM) - after 2 straight losses by 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games.
(27-7 since 1997.) (79.4%, +19.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (6-29)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 13.9
The average score in these games was: Team 65.8, Opponent 75.2 (Average point differential = -9.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 12 (35.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-3).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (LONG BEACH ST) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (20-40%).
(27-8 since 1997.) (77.1%, +18.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (5-30)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 13.1
The average score in these games was: Team 64.8, Opponent 73.6 (Average point differential = -8.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 11 (31.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-3).
--PLAY ON - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (N TEXAS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games.
(22-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.9%, +14.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (23-7 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.1
The average score in these games was: Team 75.7, Opponent 71.5 (Average point differential = +4.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 10 (35.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (55-35).
--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (SOUTHERN MISS) - an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games.
(53-17 since 1997.) (75.7%, +34.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (72-1)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 13.9
The average score in these games was: Team 73.9, Opponent 56.8 (Average point differential = +17.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (27.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (26-9).
--PLAY ON - Home teams as a favorite or pick (UNLV) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after a combined score of 125 points or less 2 straight games.
(31-10 since 1997.) (75.6%, +20 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (37-4)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 10.2
The average score in these games was: Team 75.4, Opponent 62.2 (Average point differential = +13.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 9 (22% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3).
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less.
(32-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.4%, +19.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (7-38 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 12.9
The average score in these games was: Team 63.9, Opponent 72.7 (Average point differential = -8.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (38.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (71-49).
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• HIGHEST RATED OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS CBB - Display the Highest Rated Active CBB - Over/Under Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
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3* SAN DIEGO ST/TCU UNDER 136.5 - (79.5%)
3* UAB/DUKE UNDER 140.5 - (75.0%)
3* BYU/UNLV UNDER 145 - (74.0%)
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (SAN DIEGO ST) - after 10 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (>= 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%).
(31-8 since 1997.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 134.7
The average score in these games was: Team 68.9, Opponent 57.3 (Total points scored = 126.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 22 (57.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-4).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UAB) - after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games against opponent after 4 straight wins by 10 points or more.
(27-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +17.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 144.3
The average score in these games was: Team 67, Opponent 71.4 (Total points scored = 138.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 19 (52.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (39-21).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UNLV) - after allowing 60 points or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games.
(37-13 since 1997.) (74.0%, +22.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 144.2
The average score in these games was: Team 67.2, Opponent 70 (Total points scored = 137.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 29 (56.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-9).
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• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF ATS SUPER SITUATIONS CBB - Display the Highest Rated Active CBB - First Half Line Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
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4* ST JOSEPHS +2 - (88.0%)
4* LASALLE -0.5 - (85.2%)
4* PENN ST +3.5 - (79.6%)
4* ARK-LITTLE ROCK +0.5 (79.6%)
3* HARVARD +6 - (78.4%)
3* MARIST +10 - (78.1%)
3* MICHIGAN +6.5 - (75.9%)
3* CS-NORTHRIDGE +8.5 - (75.0%)
3* NORTHEASTERN +8 - (74.5%)
3* TCU +5 - (74.2%)
3* UAB +10 - (72.3%)
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (DUQUESNE) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%).
(22-3 over the last 5 seasons.) (88.0%, +18.7 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 31.4, Opponent 28.1 (Average first half point differential = +3.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-2).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (39-23).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (GEORGE WASHINGTON) - off an road win scoring 85 or more points, playing only their 3rd game in a week.
(23-4 since 1997.) (85.2%, +18.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 37.6, Opponent 29.4 (Average first half point differential = +8.2)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (PURDUE) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average shooting team (42.5-45%), good rebounding team (+3 to +6 reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game).
(43-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.6%, +30.9 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.4, Opponent 29.3 (Average first half point differential = +1.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-7).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (87-65).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (ST BONAVENTURE) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average shooting team (42.5-45%), good rebounding team (+3 to +6 reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game).
(43-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.6%, +30.9 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.4, Opponent 29.3 (Average first half point differential = +1.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-7).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (87-65).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (BOSTON COLLEGE) - in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (>=20/game), after a game making 13 or more 3 point shots.
(29-8 since 1997.) (78.4%, +20.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 32, Opponent 35.6 (Average first half point differential = -3.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-4).
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (MARIST) - terrible shooting team (<=40%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's).
(25-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.1%, +17.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.6, Opponent 33.8 (Average first half point differential = -3.2)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-4).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (37-21).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (MICHIGAN) - excellent ball handling team - committing <=12 turnovers/game, after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers.
(41-13 since 1997.) (75.9%, +26.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 29.3, Opponent 32.7 (Average first half point differential = -3.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (28-10).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (LONG BEACH ST) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (20-40%).
(42-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +26.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.7, Opponent 31.9 (Average first half point differential = -1.2)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (52-23).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (OLD DOMINION) - poor pressure defensive team - forcing <=14 turnovers/game, after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers.
(35-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.5%, +21.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 29.1, Opponent 32.3 (Average first half point differential = -3.2)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-8).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (55-26).
--PLAY AGAINST - A favorite vs. the 1rst half line (SAN DIEGO ST) - good FT shooting team (69-73%) against an average FT shooting team (65-69%) after 15+ games, dominant rebounding team (>=+6 Reb/G) vs. an average rebounding team (+/-3 Reb/G) after 15+ games.
(46-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.2%, +28.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 31.5, Opponent 32.6 (Average first half point differential = -1.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-7).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (107-81).
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (UAB) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, in a game involving two top-level teams (>= 80%).
(34-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.3%, +19.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.8, Opponent 35.3 (Average first half point differential = -4.5)
The situation's record this season is: (2-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (60-51).
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• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS CBB - Display the Highest Rated Active CBB - First Half Line Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
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3* PURDUE/PENN ST UNDER 59.5 - (79.4%)
3* SETON HALL/LOUISVILLE UNDER 65.5 - (73.7%)
3* MICHIGAN/WISCONSIN OVER 54 - (71.4%)
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is 55.5 to 60.5 (PURDUE) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a winning record.
(27-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.4%, +19.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 58.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 27, Opponent 26.6 (Total first half points scored = 53.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-4).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (37-15).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 (LOUISVILLE) - after a loss by 15 points or more against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less.
(56-20 since 1997.) (73.7%, +34 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 62.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 29.3, Opponent 29.1 (Total first half points scored = 58.4)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (34-10).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 55.5 or less (WISCONSIN) - in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (<=40%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's).
(60-24 since 1997.) (71.4%, +33.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 53.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 28.3, Opponent 28.3 (Total first half points scored = 56.6)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-12).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (42-14).
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