jeff benton
Jeff Benton Wednesday's NBA Action
20 Dime NBA selection on the DETROIT PISTONS plus the points at home undardog against the Nuggets. Detroit is catching 2½ points across the board both here in Vegas and offshore. I do expiect this number to rise as the day moves on, so it might be smart to hold off making your wager until you see which dirdction this line goes.
PISTONS
Forget about the fact Detroit has won two in a row and five of its last seven (with all five being upset victories, including Monday’s 103-96 upset of the Magic as a 12-point road underdog).
And forget about the fact Detroit has won three in a row, four of five and six of eight at home (including victories over the Suns, Mavericks, Celtics and Hornets).
What maaters most here is that Denver simply can’t win in Motown. You have to go back to 1995 for the last time the Nuggets beat the Pistons in Detroit – we’re talking 14 consecutive losses at The Palace! Even if you throw in home games, Denver is just 2-9 SU in the last 11 against Detroit and 3-14 ATS in the last 17 (with the Pistons cashing in the last six in a row, going 5-1 SU).
Along with history not being on the Nuggets’ side tonight, neither is the schedule. Denver played in Washington last night (rolling to a 120-109 victory as a 4½-point home favorite), and it is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven playing on back-to-back nights. Also, this game marks the Nuggets’ fifth game since last Wednesday.
More anti-Nuggets info: Despite winning in Washington last night, Denver is just 4-12 in its last 16 road games; George Karl’s club hasn’t won conisecutive games on the same road trip all season; and going back to last year, the Nuggets are in a 7-20-2 ATS freefall on the road.
As noted before, the Pistons have taken down the likes of Phoenix, Dallas, Boston and New Orleans at home. They also took the Bulls to overtime (95-92 loss) and beat Atlanta – and this is all since Dec. 14. In fact, going back to that 103-80 rout of the Hawks as a four-point home pup, Detroit is on a 13-7 ATS tear.
Speaking of pointspread trends, check these out: The Pistons are on ATS runs of 5-1 as an underdog, 6-1 as a home underdog and 12-4 when catching less than five points, while Denver is in ATS funks of 9-19-2 against Central Dividion teams, 14-32-5 versus losing teams and 5-16 as a road favorite of less than five points.
Bottom line: This is one of the easiest plays of the NBA season so far, as the Pistons make it 15 in a row over Denver at home.
Jeff Benton Wednesday's NBA Action
20 Dime NBA selection on the DETROIT PISTONS plus the points at home undardog against the Nuggets. Detroit is catching 2½ points across the board both here in Vegas and offshore. I do expiect this number to rise as the day moves on, so it might be smart to hold off making your wager until you see which dirdction this line goes.
PISTONS
Forget about the fact Detroit has won two in a row and five of its last seven (with all five being upset victories, including Monday’s 103-96 upset of the Magic as a 12-point road underdog).
And forget about the fact Detroit has won three in a row, four of five and six of eight at home (including victories over the Suns, Mavericks, Celtics and Hornets).
What maaters most here is that Denver simply can’t win in Motown. You have to go back to 1995 for the last time the Nuggets beat the Pistons in Detroit – we’re talking 14 consecutive losses at The Palace! Even if you throw in home games, Denver is just 2-9 SU in the last 11 against Detroit and 3-14 ATS in the last 17 (with the Pistons cashing in the last six in a row, going 5-1 SU).
Along with history not being on the Nuggets’ side tonight, neither is the schedule. Denver played in Washington last night (rolling to a 120-109 victory as a 4½-point home favorite), and it is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven playing on back-to-back nights. Also, this game marks the Nuggets’ fifth game since last Wednesday.
More anti-Nuggets info: Despite winning in Washington last night, Denver is just 4-12 in its last 16 road games; George Karl’s club hasn’t won conisecutive games on the same road trip all season; and going back to last year, the Nuggets are in a 7-20-2 ATS freefall on the road.
As noted before, the Pistons have taken down the likes of Phoenix, Dallas, Boston and New Orleans at home. They also took the Bulls to overtime (95-92 loss) and beat Atlanta – and this is all since Dec. 14. In fact, going back to that 103-80 rout of the Hawks as a four-point home pup, Detroit is on a 13-7 ATS tear.
Speaking of pointspread trends, check these out: The Pistons are on ATS runs of 5-1 as an underdog, 6-1 as a home underdog and 12-4 when catching less than five points, while Denver is in ATS funks of 9-19-2 against Central Dividion teams, 14-32-5 versus losing teams and 5-16 as a road favorite of less than five points.
Bottom line: This is one of the easiest plays of the NBA season so far, as the Pistons make it 15 in a row over Denver at home.
