NCAAB
Wednesday, January 22
UMass beat Richmond 79-68/70-65 last two years; they're 2-3 in their last five visits here; 16-1 Minutemen won last six games, with four wins by 5 or less points- they're 4-0 in true road games, with three wins by 10+ points. Spiders are 7-2 at home, losing to Minnesota/Ohio; they're 2-6 vs top 100 teams, beating Delaware/Dayton. A-13 favorites are 6-2 vs spread when number is 4 or less points.
Michigan won 10 of last 12 games with Iowa, which lost its last four in Crisler Arena by 15-14-14-28 points. Wolverines won last seven games, are 5-0 in league, winning home games by 23-13 points; they're making 62% of 2-point shots in league. Iowa won last three games, scoring 90.3 ppg; they won at Ohio State, after losing at Iowa State/Wisconsin in true road games. Iowa is making 40.3% from arc in league games. Big Dozen home favorites of less than 10 points are 0-8.
VCU is 14-4 but 1-2 in true road games, with only win at Belmont back on Dec 1- they lost at Northern Iowa/GW, their only two losses in last dozen games. Rams force turnovers 28.1% of time, #1 in US, 25.6% in league games- their three A-13 foes shot 18% from arc. Dayton lost two of first three league games, losing to Saint Louis at home; they're 2-2 vs top 50 teams, beating Gonzaga/California.
Akron won 11 of last 13 games with Eastern Michigan, winning the last three by 14-30-8 points; Zips won four of last five games, winning last road game in double OT at Ohio- they're turning ball over 20.8% of time. Eagles are 3-1 in MAC, beating WMU by 19 in only home game- they're forcing turnovers 22% of time (#22 in US). MAC single digit home favorites are 3-7 against the spread.
Duke lost both its true road games this year, allowing 79-72 points in losses at Notre Dame/Clemson; Blue Devils lost two of last three games with Miami, after winning 11 of previous 12 meetings- they've got no inside presence (last in ACC in blocked shots). Miami's 40.8eFG% is #1 in ACC- Hurricanes are 2-2 in ACC, despite allowing 52.8 ppg. ACC home underdogs are 3-7 vs spread, 1-5 if number was less than 5 points.
West Virginia (-1) won 89-86 in OT at Texas Tech Jan 6, after trailing by 3 with 0:27 left; Mountaineers were +7 in turnovers, but made only 13-22 on foul line- they won three of four series games, with three of four games decided by 3 or less points. Big X single home favorites are 3-5 against spread. Tech won last two games by 10-11 points, with win at TCU. West Virginia lost its last three games since beating Tech.
Last three Arkansas games all went OT, with Hogs losing twice; they're 1-3 in SEC, beating Kentucky at buzzer, losing road games at A&M by 16, Georgia by 5. Home side won five of last six Arkansas-Tennessee games; Razorbacks lost last three visits here, by 22-7-19 points. Vols are turning ball over 23.1% of time in SEC games. SEC home favorites are 11-7 vs spread, 5-3 if they laid 7 or less points.
Wichita State won 10 of last 11 games with Illinois State, winning 66-47 at home two weeks ago, when Redbirds were 7-26 from arc, Shockers 11-22 on foul line. Wichita won last three visits here by 14-1-13 points; Shockers are 6-0 in Valley, winning road games by 15 at SIU, 3 in OT at Missouri State. Illinois State won last three Valley games, won seven in a row at home overall. MVC home underdogs are 4-5-1 vs spread.
Ole Miss swept Vandy LY by 10ot-12 points, after going 1-10 against Vandy in previous 11 meetings; they won here LY despite being down 13 with 8:39 left, ending 4+-game skid here. Commodores lost three of last four games but beat Missouri in last home game. SEC home teams are 9-1-1 vs spread in games with spread of 3 or less points. Ole Miss has best eFG% defense in SEC, blocking 17.4% of shots so far.
Wisconsin lost last two games, allowing 76 ppg after 16-0 start; they're forcing least turnovers in league games and lost at Indiana despite making 68% of shots inside arc. Minnesota beat Purdue/Ohio State in last two home games after losing by 3 to Michigan; Gophers are 3-3 in league, 2-4 vs top 25 teams. Big Dozen home dogs are 6-5 vs spread, 0-3 if number was less than 3 points.
LaSalle won its last three games vs St Bonaventure, with two of wins in OT; Explorers are 5-0 this month, with three A-13 wins and two more in Big 5- they're 1-2 in road games outside of Philly, winning at Duquesne by 19. Bonnies lost last three games by 5-6-8 points; they're shooting 28.6% from arc, turning ball over 22.3% of time in league games. A-13 home favorites of 4 or less points are 4-1 vs spread.
Home side won Utah State's first five games in Mountain West; Aggies lost last three road games by 1-8-4 points- they're making 43.8% from arc in league games. UNLV lost itslast two home games, to Air Force, Nevada, then played better in road trip at New Mexico/San Diego State; they've made 22.9% from arc in conference games. MW home favorites are 9-14 vs spread, 4-1 if they're laying 7 or less points.
USC is 0-5 in Pac-12, losing all five games by 18+, but if Golden Bears look ahead to UCLA game, they could lose to team they've beaten four times in row, winning last two visits here 75-49/72-64. Cal won its first three Pac-12 road games by 7-13-5 points. Pac-12 home underdogs are 6-4 against spread. USC lost by 19-20 to Arizona schools in its first two Pac-12 home games; they're shooting 25.4% from arc in league.
