Dr. Bob
Wednesday NBA Opinions/Possible Best Bets
New York (+2 ½) over HOUSTON
Rotation #719 - 6:05 pm Pacific
The Knicks are a team that tends to letdown against lesser teams while saving their best efforts for better competition. New York is coming off consecutive home losses to Sacramento (as a 9 point favorite) and Phoenix (as a 6 ½ point favorite) and the Knicks are now just 6-7 straight up and 3-9-1 ATS when favored by 3 points or more this season. New York is 16-11 straight up and 21-5-1 ATS in games when not favored by 3 points or more. The Knicks are also 21-4 ATS as an underdog of more than 2 points following consecutive losses and a spread loss, so they’re due to bounce-back with a good effort tonight. I’ll lean with New York at +2 or more and I’d take the Knicks in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 or more.
Oklahoma City (+3 ½) over DENVER
Rotation #719 - 6:05 pm Pacific
Oklahoma City tends to play their best after a loss, as the Thunder are now 65-30-1 ATS after a loss since Russell Westbrook joined the starting lineup in late November of 2008 – including 9-4 ATS this season after a setback. That’s enough for me to lean with the Thunder in this game at +3 or more.
Wednesday College Opinions/Possible Best Bets
Iowa (+20) over OHIO STATE
Rotation #727 – 3:30 pm Pacific
Iowa lost by just 5 points at home to Ohio State a couple of weeks ago and the Hawkeyes apply to a very good 137-45-4 ATS big road underdog situation tonight. Ohio State has been struggling lately, with 4 straight wins of 5 points or less – all against unranked teams. However, my ratings still favor the Buckeyes by 21 ½ points and I’m not willing to give up the line value even with Iowa in a very strong situation. However, I’ll still lean with the Hawkeyes in this game and I’d take Iowa in a 2-Star Best Bet at +21 points or more.
SOUTHERN MISS (-6) over Memphis
Rotation #742 – 4 pm Pacific
Memphis played their best game of the season on Saturday against Marshall, but the Tigers had failed to cover their previous 7 lined games and they’re just 12-29-1 ATS in two seasons since coach John Calipari skipped town to coach at Kentucky. Southern Miss, meanwhile, is 29-13 ATS as a conference favorite under coach Larry Eustachy and Memphis is still overrated. My ratings favor Southern Miss by 7 ½ points before adjusting for Memphis being without Wesley Witherspoon (suspended), who is the Tigers’ #2 scorer, top rebounder, shoots 50.5% from the field and averages 1.4 steals per game.
Akron (+2 ½) over MIAMI-OHIO
Rotation #745 – 4 pm Pacific
Akron is 35-13-2 ATS after a loss under coach Keith Dambrot (3-1 ATS this season) and the Zips are 41-16-1 ATS under Dambrot against losing teams as long as they’re not favored by 17 points or more. My ratings favor Miami-Ohio by 2 ½ points, so the line is fair, and I’ll lean with Akron at +2 points or more based on the team trends.
Western Michigan (-9 ½) over TOLEDO
Rotation #751 – 4 pm Pacific
Toledo is one of the worst 20 teams in all of Division 1 basketball and the Rockets apply to a negative 71-157-2 ATS weak home court situation. Western Michigan, meanwhile, applies to a 165-70-5 ATS big road favorite situation and the Broncos have a history of beating up on really bad teams (15-6 ATS against conference opponents with a win percentage of .250 or less). My problem with this game is that my ratings only favor Western Michigan by 8 points. The situation is so strong that I’ll still lean with the Broncos in this game.
My 3-Star Best Bets are 25-14 for the season and I also have a Wednesday 3-Star College Best Bet
Wednesday NBA Opinions/Possible Best Bets
New York (+2 ½) over HOUSTON
Rotation #719 - 6:05 pm Pacific
The Knicks are a team that tends to letdown against lesser teams while saving their best efforts for better competition. New York is coming off consecutive home losses to Sacramento (as a 9 point favorite) and Phoenix (as a 6 ½ point favorite) and the Knicks are now just 6-7 straight up and 3-9-1 ATS when favored by 3 points or more this season. New York is 16-11 straight up and 21-5-1 ATS in games when not favored by 3 points or more. The Knicks are also 21-4 ATS as an underdog of more than 2 points following consecutive losses and a spread loss, so they’re due to bounce-back with a good effort tonight. I’ll lean with New York at +2 or more and I’d take the Knicks in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 or more.
Oklahoma City (+3 ½) over DENVER
Rotation #719 - 6:05 pm Pacific
Oklahoma City tends to play their best after a loss, as the Thunder are now 65-30-1 ATS after a loss since Russell Westbrook joined the starting lineup in late November of 2008 – including 9-4 ATS this season after a setback. That’s enough for me to lean with the Thunder in this game at +3 or more.
Wednesday College Opinions/Possible Best Bets
Iowa (+20) over OHIO STATE
Rotation #727 – 3:30 pm Pacific
Iowa lost by just 5 points at home to Ohio State a couple of weeks ago and the Hawkeyes apply to a very good 137-45-4 ATS big road underdog situation tonight. Ohio State has been struggling lately, with 4 straight wins of 5 points or less – all against unranked teams. However, my ratings still favor the Buckeyes by 21 ½ points and I’m not willing to give up the line value even with Iowa in a very strong situation. However, I’ll still lean with the Hawkeyes in this game and I’d take Iowa in a 2-Star Best Bet at +21 points or more.
SOUTHERN MISS (-6) over Memphis
Rotation #742 – 4 pm Pacific
Memphis played their best game of the season on Saturday against Marshall, but the Tigers had failed to cover their previous 7 lined games and they’re just 12-29-1 ATS in two seasons since coach John Calipari skipped town to coach at Kentucky. Southern Miss, meanwhile, is 29-13 ATS as a conference favorite under coach Larry Eustachy and Memphis is still overrated. My ratings favor Southern Miss by 7 ½ points before adjusting for Memphis being without Wesley Witherspoon (suspended), who is the Tigers’ #2 scorer, top rebounder, shoots 50.5% from the field and averages 1.4 steals per game.
Akron (+2 ½) over MIAMI-OHIO
Rotation #745 – 4 pm Pacific
Akron is 35-13-2 ATS after a loss under coach Keith Dambrot (3-1 ATS this season) and the Zips are 41-16-1 ATS under Dambrot against losing teams as long as they’re not favored by 17 points or more. My ratings favor Miami-Ohio by 2 ½ points, so the line is fair, and I’ll lean with Akron at +2 points or more based on the team trends.
Western Michigan (-9 ½) over TOLEDO
Rotation #751 – 4 pm Pacific
Toledo is one of the worst 20 teams in all of Division 1 basketball and the Rockets apply to a negative 71-157-2 ATS weak home court situation. Western Michigan, meanwhile, applies to a 165-70-5 ATS big road favorite situation and the Broncos have a history of beating up on really bad teams (15-6 ATS against conference opponents with a win percentage of .250 or less). My problem with this game is that my ratings only favor Western Michigan by 8 points. The situation is so strong that I’ll still lean with the Broncos in this game.
My 3-Star Best Bets are 25-14 for the season and I also have a Wednesday 3-Star College Best Bet
I have been playing REDD the last month. He is one of those cappers that are extremely hot or cold. Wed Thurs Friday last week he was 0-7. For those that are just going to follow him tonight BEWARE; whenever he takes games with a smaller first half bonus bet; Clippers from Friday. Mich St (vs Bama), MTSU (vs Miami OH), Navy (vs. SD State) all lost both bets. Texans (100 dimer hit but he pushed with 75 1st half vs Jags). When he gets on a good run he plays with the house money and gives it right back. Just cause its 100 dimer, dont overextend your wallet here. Good luck to everyone and lets hope it hits!
