SPORTS INSIGHTS
2009-10 NBA Games to Watch: 9-12, 42.9%*
*Source: SportsInsights.com
New Orleans Hornets +5 over Oklahoma City Thunder
The Thunder have been favorites of Marketwatch recently. They've been known for a few years as a beleaguered franchise with a revolving door for inconsistent young players. That they recently struck NBA Draft gold with Kevin Durant, Jeff Green and Russell Westbrook was beside the point until recently, when a 5-game win streak included victories over Phoenix and Utah and roughly coincided with a 7-game, 69-assist stretch for the young point guard, Westbrook. Aside from moving to Oklahoma City, the team also put itself in a nice position to be public darlings, as the 3 aforementioned players were all faces of elite and storied college basketball programs (Texas, Georgetown and UCLA respectively). All this is just to say that Oklahoma City is set to improve and succeed in a major, long-term way... But it may soon become harder than a frozen diamond to find value in betting on them.
Westbrook is touted as being a great defender, but he'll have his hands full tonight with Chris Paul, whose Hornets have rebounded from a disappointing start to win 3 in a row against the likes of Miami, Houston and Utah. New Orleans opened at CRIS at 5-point underdogs, and despite only receiving 38% of spread bets, the line now sits at +4.5 at most offshore books. There has been quite a bit of negative steam on both sides, and the number has been moving between 4 and 5 all day. However, we've also triggered a Smart Money play on New Orleans from Matchbook (+4.38 Units Won). Play on the Hornets to keep this one tight with the young Thunder. You can still find an extra half point at a few books, including CRIS, BetUS, BetJamaica and BetOnline.
New Orleans +5
Memphis Grizzlies +5.5 over Utah Jazz
Memphis management is largely responsible for the NBA's current power structure, as their gift of Pau Gasol to the Lakers (yes, Pau once played for another team) a couple of seasons ago for draft picks and expiring contracts has done much to determine recent playoffs and championships. However, they aren't looking quite as gullible or silly now, as another once-trampled-upon franchise is going through a bit of a resurrection. Rudy Gay was never quite enough to carry them, but surrounding him with O.J. Mayo, Zach Randolph and the younger Gasol has the Grizz off to a 17-16 start, more than respectable in the competitive West and only 1.5 games out of the playoff picture. Tonight they'll face a Utah team without their star point guard, Deron Williams, who suffered a wrist injury on Monday in a loss to New Orleans.
Utah opened as 7-point home favorites at CRIS and are getting a solid public backing, with 64% of spread, 58% of moneyline and 57% of parlay wagers. The Deron Williams injury news, which broke this afternoon, certainly has a part in the reverse line movement we've seen, as the Jazz are now -5.5 virtually across the board. However, we also have recorded a positive Smart Money play on the Grizzlies from Bet Jamaica (+6.36 Units Won). Zach Randolph has averaged 26.8 points and 16.1 rebounds over the last eight games, seven of them Memphis victories. That's a hot streak we're ready to ride.
Memphis +5.5
Games to Watch: 9-12 = 42.9%
New Orleans +5
Memphis +5.5
2009-10 NBA Games to Watch: 9-12, 42.9%*
*Source: SportsInsights.com
New Orleans Hornets +5 over Oklahoma City Thunder
The Thunder have been favorites of Marketwatch recently. They've been known for a few years as a beleaguered franchise with a revolving door for inconsistent young players. That they recently struck NBA Draft gold with Kevin Durant, Jeff Green and Russell Westbrook was beside the point until recently, when a 5-game win streak included victories over Phoenix and Utah and roughly coincided with a 7-game, 69-assist stretch for the young point guard, Westbrook. Aside from moving to Oklahoma City, the team also put itself in a nice position to be public darlings, as the 3 aforementioned players were all faces of elite and storied college basketball programs (Texas, Georgetown and UCLA respectively). All this is just to say that Oklahoma City is set to improve and succeed in a major, long-term way... But it may soon become harder than a frozen diamond to find value in betting on them.
Westbrook is touted as being a great defender, but he'll have his hands full tonight with Chris Paul, whose Hornets have rebounded from a disappointing start to win 3 in a row against the likes of Miami, Houston and Utah. New Orleans opened at CRIS at 5-point underdogs, and despite only receiving 38% of spread bets, the line now sits at +4.5 at most offshore books. There has been quite a bit of negative steam on both sides, and the number has been moving between 4 and 5 all day. However, we've also triggered a Smart Money play on New Orleans from Matchbook (+4.38 Units Won). Play on the Hornets to keep this one tight with the young Thunder. You can still find an extra half point at a few books, including CRIS, BetUS, BetJamaica and BetOnline.
New Orleans +5
Memphis Grizzlies +5.5 over Utah Jazz
Memphis management is largely responsible for the NBA's current power structure, as their gift of Pau Gasol to the Lakers (yes, Pau once played for another team) a couple of seasons ago for draft picks and expiring contracts has done much to determine recent playoffs and championships. However, they aren't looking quite as gullible or silly now, as another once-trampled-upon franchise is going through a bit of a resurrection. Rudy Gay was never quite enough to carry them, but surrounding him with O.J. Mayo, Zach Randolph and the younger Gasol has the Grizz off to a 17-16 start, more than respectable in the competitive West and only 1.5 games out of the playoff picture. Tonight they'll face a Utah team without their star point guard, Deron Williams, who suffered a wrist injury on Monday in a loss to New Orleans.
Utah opened as 7-point home favorites at CRIS and are getting a solid public backing, with 64% of spread, 58% of moneyline and 57% of parlay wagers. The Deron Williams injury news, which broke this afternoon, certainly has a part in the reverse line movement we've seen, as the Jazz are now -5.5 virtually across the board. However, we also have recorded a positive Smart Money play on the Grizzlies from Bet Jamaica (+6.36 Units Won). Zach Randolph has averaged 26.8 points and 16.1 rebounds over the last eight games, seven of them Memphis victories. That's a hot streak we're ready to ride.
Memphis +5.5
Games to Watch: 9-12 = 42.9%
New Orleans +5
Memphis +5.5
SPORTS INSIGHTS
2009 NHL Games to Watch: 7-4, 63.6%, +5.7 units*
*Source: SportsInsights.com
Sports MarketWatch – NHL Games to Watch
Toronto Maple Leafs +165 over Philadelphia Flyers
We will be taking the Toronto Maple Leafs (15-19-9) to beat the Philadelphia Flyers (19-19-3) in the first of their four meetings this season. Both of these teams have been hanging around the bottom of the league this season and are currenty sitting at 12th (Philadelphia) and 14th (Toronto). The Maple Leafs have hit a patch of injuries as of late, with Mike komisarek, Wayne Primeau and Mikail Grabovski all leaving their game Saturday against Calgary. The Flyers, who have gone 4-4-2 in their past 10 games, had started to increase their level of play but have since leveled off with a losses to Boston in the New Years Day Winter Classic and a 7-4 loss to Ottawa Sunday.
The Flyers opened at -175 at CRIS and has stayed strong at that number despite the public taking the Flyers in 71% of moneyline bets. With the line hanging around -175 at most book with little to no movemt and such a large percentage going one way we will take that as a strong sign and take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline to beat the Flyers in tonights game.
Toronto Maple Leafs +165 (Cata/VegasVic)
Games to Watch (7-4, +5.7 units)
Toronto Maple Leafs +165
2009 NHL Games to Watch: 7-4, 63.6%, +5.7 units*
*Source: SportsInsights.com
Sports MarketWatch – NHL Games to Watch
Toronto Maple Leafs +165 over Philadelphia Flyers
We will be taking the Toronto Maple Leafs (15-19-9) to beat the Philadelphia Flyers (19-19-3) in the first of their four meetings this season. Both of these teams have been hanging around the bottom of the league this season and are currenty sitting at 12th (Philadelphia) and 14th (Toronto). The Maple Leafs have hit a patch of injuries as of late, with Mike komisarek, Wayne Primeau and Mikail Grabovski all leaving their game Saturday against Calgary. The Flyers, who have gone 4-4-2 in their past 10 games, had started to increase their level of play but have since leveled off with a losses to Boston in the New Years Day Winter Classic and a 7-4 loss to Ottawa Sunday.
The Flyers opened at -175 at CRIS and has stayed strong at that number despite the public taking the Flyers in 71% of moneyline bets. With the line hanging around -175 at most book with little to no movemt and such a large percentage going one way we will take that as a strong sign and take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline to beat the Flyers in tonights game.
Toronto Maple Leafs +165 (Cata/VegasVic)
Games to Watch (7-4, +5.7 units)
Toronto Maple Leafs +165
AC2008
RX Member
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: condo
Posts: 560
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote:
Originally Posted by Born2Booze
Tally:
Troy - 29
C. Mich - 19
Over - 9
Under -4
is this tally FROM THIS FORUM ? add em up and not even close to this please dont copy other tallies i have
Troy : 12
C Mich 21
OV 5
UN 3
i could be wrong someone dublecheck the math in this forum
AC- the totals listed were real close. I had troy 30 central 23 and over 11 and under 2.
RX Member
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: condo
Posts: 560
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote:
Originally Posted by Born2Booze
Tally:
Troy - 29
C. Mich - 19
Over - 9
Under -4
is this tally FROM THIS FORUM ? add em up and not even close to this please dont copy other tallies i have
Troy : 12
C Mich 21
OV 5
UN 3
i could be wrong someone dublecheck the math in this forum
AC- the totals listed were real close. I had troy 30 central 23 and over 11 and under 2.
GMAC Bowl
Mobile, AL
Last seven GMAC bowls were all decided by 17+ points, with favorites covering all seven; MAC teams lost last three GMAC bowls, are 0-15 in last 15 bowl games. Central Michigan is best MAC team, with 4-year starting QB Lefevour ending stellar career; Chippewas lost their coach to Cincinnati (again) but they chose to play in this bowl rather than Motor City Bowl, so both sides are happy to be here, since Troy is fired up to be in home state. Partly cloudy skies, 33 degrees is the kickoff forecast. Dogs are 21-10-1 vs spread in bowls this year; under is 18-13. MAC favorites are 2-7 vs spread in non-league games. Sun Belt underdogs are 11-16 vs spread. Average total in eight-year history of this game is 67.8
Mobile, AL
Last seven GMAC bowls were all decided by 17+ points, with favorites covering all seven; MAC teams lost last three GMAC bowls, are 0-15 in last 15 bowl games. Central Michigan is best MAC team, with 4-year starting QB Lefevour ending stellar career; Chippewas lost their coach to Cincinnati (again) but they chose to play in this bowl rather than Motor City Bowl, so both sides are happy to be here, since Troy is fired up to be in home state. Partly cloudy skies, 33 degrees is the kickoff forecast. Dogs are 21-10-1 vs spread in bowls this year; under is 18-13. MAC favorites are 2-7 vs spread in non-league games. Sun Belt underdogs are 11-16 vs spread. Average total in eight-year history of this game is 67.8
MAXIMUS REPORT
NCAA BB 01/06/09
BEST BET OF THE DAY
Take Indiana Hoosiers (7-6) +13vs. Ohio St. Buckeyes (10-4)
Location:* Value City Arena - Columbus, OH** Time 8:30pm EST
TELEVISION:* BIG 10 NETWORK
EVALUATION:** Both of these teams have lost their top scorers for the season, with Evan Turner (OSU) being injured 7 games ago against Eastern Michigan, and Maurice Creek (IU) being injured just two games ago against Bryant.* Turner is going to be missed a lot more now that the BIG 10 schedule has begun for the Buckeyes who have already lost two road games in the conference to Wisconsin and Michigan.* Ohio St. had been rolling in their early non-conference schedule, and now they have lost half their games since Turner's injury (3-3), also the Buckeyes have only been scoring just under 64 ppg without Turner. * Indiana head coach Tom Crean has to be happy the way his Hoosiers have been playing so far, as they went .500 play in their non-conference schedule, and opened BIG 10 conference play with a big win over Michigan at home.* The upside for the Hoosiers is that they have scored at least 65 points in every game they have played this season, which means if this holds up that the Buckeyes have to put up over 80 points to cover this number.** They Buckeyes are capable of this, they have only put up over 80 points 4 times this year, and lets say those teams are no where near the competitive level that Indiana plays at.* Against better competition this year the Buckeyes have only been scoring about 64.4 ppg against teams such as North Carolina, California, Butler, Wisconsin, and Michigan.* * Now we are not putting Indiana in those teams league, but their huge win over the surging Pittsburgh Panthers shows that Indiana can play good basketball against top competition.* Only two teams have beaten the Hoosiers by over 14 points and both teams were Top 25 teams when they played.* Mississippi won by 18, and Kentucky smacked the Hoosiers 90-63 back on 12/12/09.* The only thing we don't like, is that Indiana has played a majority of their games at home this year, and this is only their 5th game away from the Assembly Hall in Bloomington.* In those 5 road games, the Hoosiers lost that game to Mississippi in the San Juan, Puerto Rico shootout.* They also lost to George Mason by 3 in that same tournament, and they sandwiched between those two losses a win against Boston University in that same tournament. The Hoosiers then shocked a lot of people with a huge win over Pittsburgh in a Neutral Court game in Madison Square Gardens.* * The Buckeyes are 10-1 SU at the Value City Arena, and are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. We do expect the Buckeyes to win this game, but we expect it to be closer than 14 points.
PROJECTION:*** Ohio St.* 71** Indiana 67
OTHER BEST BETS:
Take Charlotte (10-3) +12 vs. Tennessee Volunteers (10-2)
LOCATION: Thompson Boiling Arena - Knoxville, TN** Time:* 7:00pm EST
EVALUATION:* This game is all about the Volunteers, and how they are going to handle being shorthanded on the bench and on the court.* Four of Tennessee's players were arrested, and have been suspended indefinetly by HC Bruce Pearl; after a traffic stop and arrest the day after beating a fairly good Memphis team.* Tyler Smith, Cameron Tatum, Melvin Goins, and Brian Williams were those four players and they average 33ppg out of 81 ppg that the Volunteers normally average.* We just don't see how the rest of the Volunteer team is going to make that up.* All four of these men saw substantial playing time and they were all in the top 8 average scorers on this team.* Charlotte had been on a really good non conference schedule run with their only loss coming to Duke prior to the game before Christmas break.* They then lost to Old Dominion in that game before Christmas break 48-81 and came back from Christmas break with a win over Mercer, and a loss to Georgia Tech 67-76.* Charlotte is 3-2 SU on the road, with big wins over Louisville and Hofstra.* What we don't like is those two losses to Duke and Old Dominion were blow outs where they lost by 41 and 33.* We expect Charlotte to show up enthused tonight, and Tennessee to be a little flat with all the turmoil in the program right now.
PROJECTION:* Tennessee 68* Charlotte 63*
SOLIDS:* --------------------------------------Projections:
Tennessee Chattanooga +3 vs. Georgia Southern ____ Chattanooga 69-64
UMASS -15 vs. Fordham _________________________ U MASS 80-57
Appalachian St. -6 vs. The Citadel __________________ App St. 71 - 57
OVER/UNDERS:
OVER 122 Air Force/TCU _______________________ 136
OVER 127James Madison/Old Dominion __________ 142
UNDER 159 ½ Louisville/Providence ________________ 147
MONEYLINE:
Providence +155 ________________________________ Providence 78-69
Bonus Play:
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS -1 vs. Northern Iowa ___________ S. Illinois 72-69
Other Projections:* Not Recommended Plays just how we see the games.
AWAY-----------------------------Home Spread -------------------------HOME
Wisconsin 72 ______________ - 6 _____________________ Michigan St. 79
Rutgers 64 ________________ - 19 ____________________ W. Virginia 79
VCU 72 ___________________ + 1 ____________________ Drexel 66
James Madison 65 __________ - 15 ½ __________________ Old Dominion 77
Towson 68 ________________ - 11 ____________________ Hofstra 75
William & Mary 71 __________ + 6 ½ ___________________ Delaware 63
Memphis 65 _______________ - 9 _____________________ Syracuse 76
Georgia St. 65 ______________ - 5 ½ ___________________ UNC Wilmington 69
St. Josephs 66 ______________ - 14 ____________________ Temple 79
Richmond 63 _______________ + 2 ____________________ Duquesne 70
George Washington 66 _______ -3 ½ ___________________ St. Bonaventure 73
Tulane 60 _________________ -14 ½ __________________ Tulsa 79
Cornell 65 _________________ - 22 ____________________Kansas 86
Illinois St. 67 _______________ + 4 ½ ___________________ Evansville 71
Indiana St. 66 ______________ - 4 ½ ____________________ Bradley 71
Drake 60 __________________ -13 ½ ___________________ Creighton 73
Wichita St. 62 _______________ - 2 ½ ___________________ Missouri St. 68
Colorado St. 67 _____________ - 3 _____________________ Wyoming 80
Depaul 61 __________________ - 18 ½ __________________ Villanova 79
East Carolina 63 _____________ - 18 ____________________ UAB 81
Georgetown 68 ______________ - 3 ____________________ Marquette 74
Seton Hall 75 ________________ - 7 ____________________ U Conn 85
Air Force 64 _________________ - 8 ½ ___________________ TCU 73
Houston 77 _________________ + 6 ____________________ Rice 75
SMU 63 ____________________ - 18 ___________________ UTEP 81
Duke 78 ___________________ + 13 _Neutral-Chicago,IL ____ Iowa St. 66
USC 64 ____________________ PK _____________________ Stanford 66
UNLV 69 ___________________ - 9 _____________________ BYU 85
UCLA 65 ___________________ -15 ½ ___________________ California 84
Princeton 58 ________________ + 4 ____________________ Marist 61
NCAA BB 01/06/09
BEST BET OF THE DAY
Take Indiana Hoosiers (7-6) +13vs. Ohio St. Buckeyes (10-4)
Location:* Value City Arena - Columbus, OH** Time 8:30pm EST
TELEVISION:* BIG 10 NETWORK
EVALUATION:** Both of these teams have lost their top scorers for the season, with Evan Turner (OSU) being injured 7 games ago against Eastern Michigan, and Maurice Creek (IU) being injured just two games ago against Bryant.* Turner is going to be missed a lot more now that the BIG 10 schedule has begun for the Buckeyes who have already lost two road games in the conference to Wisconsin and Michigan.* Ohio St. had been rolling in their early non-conference schedule, and now they have lost half their games since Turner's injury (3-3), also the Buckeyes have only been scoring just under 64 ppg without Turner. * Indiana head coach Tom Crean has to be happy the way his Hoosiers have been playing so far, as they went .500 play in their non-conference schedule, and opened BIG 10 conference play with a big win over Michigan at home.* The upside for the Hoosiers is that they have scored at least 65 points in every game they have played this season, which means if this holds up that the Buckeyes have to put up over 80 points to cover this number.** They Buckeyes are capable of this, they have only put up over 80 points 4 times this year, and lets say those teams are no where near the competitive level that Indiana plays at.* Against better competition this year the Buckeyes have only been scoring about 64.4 ppg against teams such as North Carolina, California, Butler, Wisconsin, and Michigan.* * Now we are not putting Indiana in those teams league, but their huge win over the surging Pittsburgh Panthers shows that Indiana can play good basketball against top competition.* Only two teams have beaten the Hoosiers by over 14 points and both teams were Top 25 teams when they played.* Mississippi won by 18, and Kentucky smacked the Hoosiers 90-63 back on 12/12/09.* The only thing we don't like, is that Indiana has played a majority of their games at home this year, and this is only their 5th game away from the Assembly Hall in Bloomington.* In those 5 road games, the Hoosiers lost that game to Mississippi in the San Juan, Puerto Rico shootout.* They also lost to George Mason by 3 in that same tournament, and they sandwiched between those two losses a win against Boston University in that same tournament. The Hoosiers then shocked a lot of people with a huge win over Pittsburgh in a Neutral Court game in Madison Square Gardens.* * The Buckeyes are 10-1 SU at the Value City Arena, and are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. We do expect the Buckeyes to win this game, but we expect it to be closer than 14 points.
PROJECTION:*** Ohio St.* 71** Indiana 67
OTHER BEST BETS:
Take Charlotte (10-3) +12 vs. Tennessee Volunteers (10-2)
LOCATION: Thompson Boiling Arena - Knoxville, TN** Time:* 7:00pm EST
EVALUATION:* This game is all about the Volunteers, and how they are going to handle being shorthanded on the bench and on the court.* Four of Tennessee's players were arrested, and have been suspended indefinetly by HC Bruce Pearl; after a traffic stop and arrest the day after beating a fairly good Memphis team.* Tyler Smith, Cameron Tatum, Melvin Goins, and Brian Williams were those four players and they average 33ppg out of 81 ppg that the Volunteers normally average.* We just don't see how the rest of the Volunteer team is going to make that up.* All four of these men saw substantial playing time and they were all in the top 8 average scorers on this team.* Charlotte had been on a really good non conference schedule run with their only loss coming to Duke prior to the game before Christmas break.* They then lost to Old Dominion in that game before Christmas break 48-81 and came back from Christmas break with a win over Mercer, and a loss to Georgia Tech 67-76.* Charlotte is 3-2 SU on the road, with big wins over Louisville and Hofstra.* What we don't like is those two losses to Duke and Old Dominion were blow outs where they lost by 41 and 33.* We expect Charlotte to show up enthused tonight, and Tennessee to be a little flat with all the turmoil in the program right now.
PROJECTION:* Tennessee 68* Charlotte 63*
SOLIDS:* --------------------------------------Projections:
Tennessee Chattanooga +3 vs. Georgia Southern ____ Chattanooga 69-64
UMASS -15 vs. Fordham _________________________ U MASS 80-57
Appalachian St. -6 vs. The Citadel __________________ App St. 71 - 57
OVER/UNDERS:
OVER 122 Air Force/TCU _______________________ 136
OVER 127James Madison/Old Dominion __________ 142
UNDER 159 ½ Louisville/Providence ________________ 147
MONEYLINE:
Providence +155 ________________________________ Providence 78-69
Bonus Play:
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS -1 vs. Northern Iowa ___________ S. Illinois 72-69
Other Projections:* Not Recommended Plays just how we see the games.
AWAY-----------------------------Home Spread -------------------------HOME
Wisconsin 72 ______________ - 6 _____________________ Michigan St. 79
Rutgers 64 ________________ - 19 ____________________ W. Virginia 79
VCU 72 ___________________ + 1 ____________________ Drexel 66
James Madison 65 __________ - 15 ½ __________________ Old Dominion 77
Towson 68 ________________ - 11 ____________________ Hofstra 75
William & Mary 71 __________ + 6 ½ ___________________ Delaware 63
Memphis 65 _______________ - 9 _____________________ Syracuse 76
Georgia St. 65 ______________ - 5 ½ ___________________ UNC Wilmington 69
St. Josephs 66 ______________ - 14 ____________________ Temple 79
Richmond 63 _______________ + 2 ____________________ Duquesne 70
George Washington 66 _______ -3 ½ ___________________ St. Bonaventure 73
Tulane 60 _________________ -14 ½ __________________ Tulsa 79
Cornell 65 _________________ - 22 ____________________Kansas 86
Illinois St. 67 _______________ + 4 ½ ___________________ Evansville 71
Indiana St. 66 ______________ - 4 ½ ____________________ Bradley 71
Drake 60 __________________ -13 ½ ___________________ Creighton 73
Wichita St. 62 _______________ - 2 ½ ___________________ Missouri St. 68
Colorado St. 67 _____________ - 3 _____________________ Wyoming 80
Depaul 61 __________________ - 18 ½ __________________ Villanova 79
East Carolina 63 _____________ - 18 ____________________ UAB 81
Georgetown 68 ______________ - 3 ____________________ Marquette 74
Seton Hall 75 ________________ - 7 ____________________ U Conn 85
Air Force 64 _________________ - 8 ½ ___________________ TCU 73
Houston 77 _________________ + 6 ____________________ Rice 75
SMU 63 ____________________ - 18 ___________________ UTEP 81
Duke 78 ___________________ + 13 _Neutral-Chicago,IL ____ Iowa St. 66
USC 64 ____________________ PK _____________________ Stanford 66
UNLV 69 ___________________ - 9 _____________________ BYU 85
UCLA 65 ___________________ -15 ½ ___________________ California 84
Princeton 58 ________________ + 4 ____________________ Marist 61
Rick Lang - "Bettor Moves"
COLLEGE BOWL GAME
(GMAC Bowl) – Troy (+3) vs Central Michigan – The Troy Trojans were 8-0 in the rugged and competitive Sun Belt this year, and though that conference doesn’t often get as much mid-major coverage as Central Michigan’s MAC, in-the-know scouts tend to believe that overall the potency of the Sun Belt might be a tad higher. Obviously Chippewas signal caller LeFevour will be the focus tonight (41 TDS on the season – 27 through the air & 14 on the ground) but Trojan counter-part Levi Brown might be the most underrated QB in College FB in 2009 as he broke Troy and Sun Belt records with 3,668 yards passing. The belief here is that CMU, without HC Jeff Quinn (took over for the departed Brian Kelly at Cincinnati…who was himself replaced by Quinn here in 2006) might be a bit behind the curve in adjusting to Troy’s difficult to stop spread offense, therein allowing the Sun Belters to match Lefevour and company point for point. Take the 3 points in an outright Troy Win.
COLLEGE HOOPS
Seton Hall (+7.5) at *UConn – 9:00 pm (e) – Seton Hall was down 10 points with a minute left against West Virginia and sent it to overtime. Instead of bouncing badly they took Syracuse to the end before bowing out and in Cancun on Saturday were down 5 with 36 seconds left before extending Virginia Tech to OT. Coach Bobby Gonzalez says, “sooner or later we gotta win one of these.” They’ll do that before they quit. Take the points.
UNLV (+9) at *BYU – 10:00 pm (e) – These two Mountain West rivals always hook up in a dandy. Last year the Rebels won here by 4 and at home by a point. Is BYU better this year…yes…but the Rebels had won 5 straight before suffering a one point loss to the smothering defense (held Arizona St. to 35 last time) of USC on Christmas day. The Rebels can score and BYU won’t harass them as the Trojans did. Plus BYU’s early success has made them a bit pricey. Take the generous points.
Citadel (+7.5) at *Appalachian State – 7:30 pm (e) – Once the Bulldogs got into conference play last year they were one of the best kept dog play secrets until into February. They’ve been in and out this year, but still know the workings of the host Mountaineers well enough to keep this one close against that defensively suspect group. Each enters tonight’s Southern Conference play 1-1 in the league so it goes right to the wire. Take the points.
*UNC-Wilmington (-6) vs Georgia State – 7:00 pm (e) – After suffering devastating injuries last year the Seahawks got the troops back this year, but getting familiar with one and another and a brutal pre-conference schedule that included the likes of Wake Forest, Penn State, Miami and more didn’t reflect well on the W-L statement. But Monday night’s SU win at a very solid William & Mary as a 9 point dog could very well be the buy sign against an inconsistent and poor travelling Colonial rival. Lay the points.
NBA HOOPS
*Utah Jazz (-5.5) vs Memphis Grizzlies – 9:05 pm (e) – This is the NBA isn’t it? So believe it or not, tonight is the night in the cycle where the Jazz…losers of two straight at home tighten up and leave it all on the floor vs a Memphis Grizzlies team that comes in with three straight road wins, the last two as a dog. Young Grizzlies get a little full of themselves and the Jazz knuckle down. Lay the points.
COLLEGE BOWL GAME
(GMAC Bowl) – Troy (+3) vs Central Michigan – The Troy Trojans were 8-0 in the rugged and competitive Sun Belt this year, and though that conference doesn’t often get as much mid-major coverage as Central Michigan’s MAC, in-the-know scouts tend to believe that overall the potency of the Sun Belt might be a tad higher. Obviously Chippewas signal caller LeFevour will be the focus tonight (41 TDS on the season – 27 through the air & 14 on the ground) but Trojan counter-part Levi Brown might be the most underrated QB in College FB in 2009 as he broke Troy and Sun Belt records with 3,668 yards passing. The belief here is that CMU, without HC Jeff Quinn (took over for the departed Brian Kelly at Cincinnati…who was himself replaced by Quinn here in 2006) might be a bit behind the curve in adjusting to Troy’s difficult to stop spread offense, therein allowing the Sun Belters to match Lefevour and company point for point. Take the 3 points in an outright Troy Win.
COLLEGE HOOPS
Seton Hall (+7.5) at *UConn – 9:00 pm (e) – Seton Hall was down 10 points with a minute left against West Virginia and sent it to overtime. Instead of bouncing badly they took Syracuse to the end before bowing out and in Cancun on Saturday were down 5 with 36 seconds left before extending Virginia Tech to OT. Coach Bobby Gonzalez says, “sooner or later we gotta win one of these.” They’ll do that before they quit. Take the points.
UNLV (+9) at *BYU – 10:00 pm (e) – These two Mountain West rivals always hook up in a dandy. Last year the Rebels won here by 4 and at home by a point. Is BYU better this year…yes…but the Rebels had won 5 straight before suffering a one point loss to the smothering defense (held Arizona St. to 35 last time) of USC on Christmas day. The Rebels can score and BYU won’t harass them as the Trojans did. Plus BYU’s early success has made them a bit pricey. Take the generous points.
Citadel (+7.5) at *Appalachian State – 7:30 pm (e) – Once the Bulldogs got into conference play last year they were one of the best kept dog play secrets until into February. They’ve been in and out this year, but still know the workings of the host Mountaineers well enough to keep this one close against that defensively suspect group. Each enters tonight’s Southern Conference play 1-1 in the league so it goes right to the wire. Take the points.
*UNC-Wilmington (-6) vs Georgia State – 7:00 pm (e) – After suffering devastating injuries last year the Seahawks got the troops back this year, but getting familiar with one and another and a brutal pre-conference schedule that included the likes of Wake Forest, Penn State, Miami and more didn’t reflect well on the W-L statement. But Monday night’s SU win at a very solid William & Mary as a 9 point dog could very well be the buy sign against an inconsistent and poor travelling Colonial rival. Lay the points.
NBA HOOPS
*Utah Jazz (-5.5) vs Memphis Grizzlies – 9:05 pm (e) – This is the NBA isn’t it? So believe it or not, tonight is the night in the cycle where the Jazz…losers of two straight at home tighten up and leave it all on the floor vs a Memphis Grizzlies team that comes in with three straight road wins, the last two as a dog. Young Grizzlies get a little full of themselves and the Jazz knuckle down. Lay the points.
wunderdog cbb
Game: St. Joesph's at Temple (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on St. Joesph's +14.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Game: Fordham at Umass (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Fordham +15 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Game: Princeton at Marist (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Princeton -4.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Game: Houston at Rice (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Houston -6 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Game: Air Force at TCU (9:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Air Force +9 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)
Game: St. Joesph's at Temple (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on St. Joesph's +14.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Game: Fordham at Umass (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Fordham +15 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Game: Princeton at Marist (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Princeton -4.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Game: Houston at Rice (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Houston -6 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Game: Air Force at TCU (9:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Air Force +9 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)
