Service Plays Wednesday 08/05/09

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SSG picks;
Boston v. Tampa Bay 7pm
PICK: OVER 9.5 -110 (7*)
 

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Trace Adams
1000* - NY Yankees w/Mitre over Rzepczynski, 500* - Tampa Bay w/Price over Penny Sergio Mitre has struggled in the Yankees rotation, and while I am not crazy about laying road wood with him on the hill, I think the Yankees proved last night by beating Roy Halladay that they can certainly beat Toronto rookie Marc Rzepczynski.

New York has won 6 of the 8 season series meetings with Toronto, and they know Boston is battling Tampa Bay again tonight before the Sox come to the Bronx for a crucial 4 game set tomorrow.

The Yanks MUST win this game even with Mitre's shortcomings as a starer, and Joe Girardi has already let his bullpen know to be ready early tonight.

The Blue Jays have dropped 7 of their last 11, and while they may get a few runs off of Mitre, expect New York to get a few more over Rzepczynski.

1000♦ - NY Yankees w/Mitre over Rzepczynski

♦♦Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!♦♦

Tampa has Boston's number, plain-and-simple!

Last night the Rays battled from 2-0 down to win a 4-2 extra-innings decision, as Tampa Bay is now 4-1 at home against Boston this season, and 12-2 at home during the regular season at home against the Beantowners since last year.

All 4 of David Price's wins this season have come at home where he is 4-1 with an ERA of 2.67. Compare that to his road mark which stands at 0-3 with an over 8 ERA, and you can see "there is no place like home" for the southpaw.

Brad Penny has been very inconsistent for Boston, and in 2 of his last 3 starts, he has allowed 13 runs in 10 innings for a pair of losses.

Critical game once again for Tampa, as Boston in the next team in front of them in the standings, and with a 35-18 home mark, I will take my chances once again with the Rays to win out.

500♦ - Tampa Bay w/Price over Penny

♦♦Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!♦♦




BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY IRONHORSE AND MYSELF------GL----------GUYS:103631605
 

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EDDIEROMAN<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 background=/pix/g_bkg_title_blue.gif align=center><TBODY><TR><TD height=30 vAlign=center width=420>$10,000 MLB Run Line Lock #3 in a Row</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 align=center><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD width=420>
$10,000 MLB Run Line Lock #3 in a Row
LA DODGERS -1.5 RUNS +155 W/ SCHMIDT
over MILWAUKEE W/ LOOPER


$5000 AL East Game of the Week
NEW YORK YANKEES -105 W/ MITRE
over TORONTO W/ RZEPCZYNSKI


Really like this Dodgers run line play tonight. I'l llay the run and a half gladly even though they were only -135 to begin with. To get this team, coming off a 17 run effort last night against a Milwaukee team that has been struggling lately at +155 just because we lay the run and a half is a score in my book.
Schmidt is under valued. This guy was one of the better pitchers in baseball before dealing with injuries that forced him to miss all of last season and half of this season however, he hasn't forgotten how to pitch and he is off a nice confidence building effort against Atlanta where he went 6 and allowed 1 hit and no earned runs. Milwaukee is batting just .213 in their last 10 games and has lost 10 of their last 16 games with 9 of those losses coming by at least 2 runs so I am confident Schmidt can give us a quality start here.
If we do indeed get that quality start from Schmidt, this game should be easy because I do feel the Dodgers will hit Looper. The last time they saw him they scored 5 earned runs in his 6 innings of work plus Looper has allowed 11 earned runs in his last 11 innings of work and those outings came against San Diego and Atlanta, two teams not known for hitting the ball.
The Dodgers have scored 31 runs in their last 3 games so they are in a groove when it comes to offense. They have been great at home all season long and Milwaukee hasn't played well on the road so look for an easy 4 to 6 run winner tonight by the Dodgers.

As for the Yankees, I know Mitre strikes fear in some of you because he hadn't pitched in a while and hasn't been overly good since coming back but here's the way I looked at this game. At this price, which is the Yankees -105 now, I'd rather be on the better team, New York, then be on the worse team. This isn't a bad pitching match-up for us as the Yankees hit left handed pitching very well and Rzepczynski isn't a stud. It could be a high scoring affair but in the end, we're on the team with the better lineup and the better bullpen. Mitre will do enough and the Yankees bats will do the rest. Secondary play on NY.


</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 background=/pix/g_bkg_title_blue.gif align=center><TBODY><TR><TD height=30 vAlign=center width=420>$10,000 MLB Run Line Lock #3 in a Row</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 align=center><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD width=420>
$10,000 MLB Run Line Lock #3 in a Row
LA DODGERS -1.5 RUNS +155 W/ SCHMIDT
over MILWAUKEE W/ LOOPER


$5000 AL East Game of the Week
NEW YORK YANKEES -105 W/ MITRE
over TORONTO W/ RZEPCZYNSKI


Really like this Dodgers run line play tonight. I'l llay the run and a half gladly even though they were only -135 to begin with. To get this team, coming off a 17 run effort last night against a Milwaukee team that has been struggling lately at +155 just because we lay the run and a half is a score in my book.
Schmidt is under valued. This guy was one of the better pitchers in baseball before dealing with injuries that forced him to miss all of last season and half of this season however, he hasn't forgotten how to pitch and he is off a nice confidence building effort against Atlanta where he went 6 and allowed 1 hit and no earned runs. Milwaukee is batting just .213 in their last 10 games and has lost 10 of their last 16 games with 9 of those losses coming by at least 2 runs so I am confident Schmidt can give us a quality start here.
If we do indeed get that quality start from Schmidt, this game should be easy because I do feel the Dodgers will hit Looper. The last time they saw him they scored 5 earned runs in his 6 innings of work plus Looper has allowed 11 earned runs in his last 11 innings of work and those outings came against San Diego and Atlanta, two teams not known for hitting the ball.
The Dodgers have scored 31 runs in their last 3 games so they are in a groove when it comes to offense. They have been great at home all season long and Milwaukee hasn't played well on the road so look for an easy 4 to 6 run winner tonight by the Dodgers.

As for the Yankees, I know Mitre strikes fear in some of you because he hadn't pitched in a while and hasn't been overly good since coming back but here's the way I looked at this game. At this price, which is the Yankees -105 now, I'd rather be on the better team, New York, then be on the worse team. This isn't a bad pitching match-up for us as the Yankees hit left handed pitching very well and Rzepczynski isn't a stud. It could be a high scoring affair but in the end, we're on the team with the better lineup and the better bullpen. Mitre will do enough and the Yankees bats will do the rest. Secondary play on NY.



BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED-----------GL GUYS:103631605


</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 background=/pix/g_bkg_title_blue.gif align=center><TBODY><TR><TD height=30 vAlign=center width=420>$10,000 MLB Run Line Lock #3 in a Row</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 align=center><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD width=420>
$10,000 MLB Run Line Lock #3 in a Row
LA DODGERS -1.5 RUNS +155 W/ SCHMIDT
over MILWAUKEE W/ LOOPER


$5000 AL East Game of the Week
NEW YORK YANKEES -105 W/ MITRE
over TORONTO W/ RZEPCZYNSKI


Really like this Dodgers run line play tonight. I'l llay the run and a half gladly even though they were only -135 to begin with. To get this team, coming off a 17 run effort last night against a Milwaukee team that has been struggling lately at +155 just because we lay the run and a half is a score in my book.
Schmidt is under valued. This guy was one of the better pitchers in baseball before dealing with injuries that forced him to miss all of last season and half of this season however, he hasn't forgotten how to pitch and he is off a nice confidence building effort against Atlanta where he went 6 and allowed 1 hit and no earned runs. Milwaukee is batting just .213 in their last 10 games and has lost 10 of their last 16 games with 9 of those losses coming by at least 2 runs so I am confident Schmidt can give us a quality start here.
If we do indeed get that quality start from Schmidt, this game should be easy because I do feel the Dodgers will hit Looper. The last time they saw him they scored 5 earned runs in his 6 innings of work plus Looper has allowed 11 earned runs in his last 11 innings of work and those outings came against San Diego and Atlanta, two teams not known for hitting the ball.
The Dodgers have scored 31 runs in their last 3 games so they are in a groove when it comes to offense. They have been great at home all season long and Milwaukee hasn't played well on the road so look for an easy 4 to 6 run winner tonight by the Dodgers.

As for the Yankees, I know Mitre strikes fear in some of you because he hadn't pitched in a while and hasn't been overly good since coming back but here's the way I looked at this game. At this price, which is the Yankees -105 now, I'd rather be on the better team, New York, then be on the worse team. This isn't a bad pitching match-up for us as the Yankees hit left handed pitching very well and Rzepczynski isn't a stud. It could be a high scoring affair but in the end, we're on the team with the better lineup and the better bullpen. Mitre will do enough and the Yankees bats will do the rest. Secondary play on NY.


</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

The Degenerate Gambler
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DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS
8/5/09-Wednesday

10*bos/tb over 9.5
10*texas-126
7*sea./kc under 9.5
7*philly-140
5*florida-114
 

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Fazzini

Wednesday's play 10 Dime -- Rangers (Padilla) over ATHLETICS (Reineke)

RANGERS
NOTE: List only Padilla as Texas' starting pitcher

Rangers starter Vicente Padilla (8-5, 4.66 ERA) is often plagued with inconsistency, but he has been on a roll lately.

The right-hander, who was put on waivers earlier in the season, is 7-3 with a 3.69 ERA over his last 12 starts, and has pitched at least six innings in 11 of his last 14 outings.

Padilla allowed three runs and six hits in six innings Friday against Seattle, and is 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA over his last three starts. He has been especially good on the road, going 4-1 with a 3.18 ERA in seven starts, including 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA in his last three outings away from Texas.

He is 5-2 in his career vs. the Athletics, and allowed three runs and eight hits in six innings against them in a 4-2 loss on April 30.

Dallas Braden was scheduled to start for Oakland, but he was scratched with an inflamed left ankle. He will be replaced by right-hander Chad Reineke (0-0, 0.00), who was recalled from Triple-A Sacramento.

Reineke, 27, went 2-1 with a 5.00 ERA in four games (three starts) for San Diego last season. He was 5-4 with a 4.37 ERA in 24 games (16 starts) for Sacramento this year.

Texas is 7-3 in Padilla's last 10 starts vs. Oakland, and 21-6 in Padilla's last 27 road starts. The Rangers were shut out by the A's on Tuesday, and have managed only two runs in the first two games of this series. I think that all changes today with the inexperienced Reineke on the mound for Oakland. Take the Rangers in this one.
 

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Mike Neri

Ariznona w/Davis +100
Risk 1 Unit to make 1 Unit

Chicago Cubs w/Harden -180
Risk 1 Unit to make .55 Units

LA Dodgers w/Schmidt -135
Risk 1 Unit to make .74 Units
 

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Jake Timlin
Wednesday's Action
400♦ Chicago Cubs (Harden) -1 ½ Runs over Cincinnati Red (Lehr)

Take the Cubs minus the Run Line as they sweep the Reds in a blowout.

Struggling big time don’t expect the Reds who have lost their last 8 games and 14 of their last 15 games to pull the upset tonight. Not when the Reds have now lost the last six series meetings and 8 of 11 meeting this year and now turn to Lehr who will be making his second start after earning the no decision in a 5-3 team loss to Colorado last week.

Now to keep the Reds down will be Harden who will counter going 2-0 with an ERA of 1.50 over his last four starts and 4-1 with a 2.19 ERA in 8 road games this season. Even better it’s Harden who is 4-0 with a 2.59 ERA in four career outings against Cincinnati, including 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA against the Reds this season.

Simple, given that the Reds are beyond bad right now I don’t see them snapping their losing streak tonight against a red hot pitcher in Harden.

All Chicago -1 ½ Runs!




BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY IRON HORSE AND ME-----GL GUYS:103631605
 

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Lillefty

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angels Dodgers over 9.5
New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays over 9.5
Bonus Play Chicago Cubs RL (even)
 

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last day of my free subscription

here are the lillefty plays for today.

todays plays:

Bonus Play: cubs RL(+100)

other plays include:
1* yankees vs toronto - 7:07 pm - over 9.5
1* milwaukee vs dodgers - 10:10 pm - over 9.5

BOL to everyone on their plays tonight<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
 

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<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%"><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>The Hammer</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Wednesday, August 05, 2009
$25.00 Guaranteed: Last year we were 80-43 for PLUS $3490 in Baseball and that is playing just $100 per game, my Dime Players made over $34,900 in Baseball Last Year! Get my PRIVATE INVESTORS CLUB BASEBALL MONEY LINE WINNER for just $25 and pay only after you win! We are currently on a 63-40 baseball run this year!
</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>8/5/2009</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>PRIVATE INVESTORS CLUB BASEBALL MONEY LINE WINNER
LA Dodgers w/Schmidt -135 10:10 EST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

If someone is interested in split the cost The Millionaires Club and Dr Baseball (with 3 more people), both from YWN. PM me.

Millionaires Club is:

23W-12L since the BREAK
31W-17L in JULY
110W-56L THIS YEAR.

Dr. Baseball is doing like last year: 82W-52L.


PM ME!!
 

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Added Wunderdog MLB

Game: Colorado at Philadelphia (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Colorado +130 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.9)



Game: Colorado at Philadelphia (7:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Colorado +1.5 runs -160 (runline) (risk 5 to win 3.1)
 

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So far from another the site

Night

Tampa Bay x16
/ Boston x3
over x4 / under
Colorado x4 / Phillies x6 (1 is RL)
over x2 / under x2
Texas x9 / Oakland
over
White Sox x3 / Angels x2
under x2
Toronto x7 / Yankees x7
over x5 / under
Cubs ML x15 RL x5 / Cincinnati
under x3/ over
Seattle x7
under Pittsburgh x5 / Arizona x3
under x4
Detroit x5 (2 are RL) / Baltimore
over / under
Minnesota x9 / Cleveland x2
over x2
Florida x6 / Washington x3
underx4
Dodgers x11 (1 is RL)
/ Milwaukeeoverx3
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
 

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Marc Lawrence MLB Top Play Revenge Game! - Wednesday 8/5:
Play On: Pittsburgh w/Ohlendorf vs Davis
 

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Russ Laribee

Red Sox at Rays

Pick: Rays -1.5

The Rays got a big lift as Evan Longoria smashed a 2 run HR that gave the Rays an extra-frame win against the Red Sox. They will send lefthander David Price to the mound in tonight's game. The Red Sox are not a team built for field turf, as they have struggled to a 12-28 mark in their last 40 played on this surface. The Red Sox are now 0-5 in their last 5 played against a team with a winning record, and just 2-6 in Penny's last 8 road starts. Rays bumped their home dominance vs teams with a winning record to 53-19, and overall now stand at 93-38 in their last 121 at home. They are also 4-0 with Price on the hill vs the AL East. Sox just 1-5 in their last 6 in Tampa. I'm going with Tampa Bay on the runline here.
 

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Dr. Baseball is doing like last year: 82W-52L.
In the interest of fairness, you posted the month, since the break, and year long records for millionaire but not for Dr. Baseball.

If you want people to join your group you should be honest with them about how Dr. Baseball has been doing since the All-Star break.

I have Dr. Baseball since the break at 18-18 for approx. -3.74 units(betting to risk).

In short, he has been awful since the break.

Millionaire is 24-15 since the break for about +4 units(again betting to risk).
 

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In the interest of fairness, you posted the month, since the break, and year long records for millionaire but not for Dr. Baseball.

If you want people to join your group you should be honest with them about how Dr. Baseball has been doing since the All-Star break.

I have Dr. Baseball since the break at 18-18 for approx. -3.74 units(betting to risk).

In short, he has been awful since the break.

Millionaire is 24-15 since the break for about +4 units(again betting to risk).
x2, dr baseball is 50% at best.
 

Sitting Chilly
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Lillefty Sports

Milwaukee-Dodgers Over 9.5
Yankees-Toronto Over 9.5


Chicago Cubs -1.5 (Bonus Play)

:toast:
 
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same as yesterday

Freddy Wills. His is POD

The Bottom Line:
Take Marlins -114 4-DIME POD
Some may think I'm taking this because of last nights loss and I'm a little mad the Marlins blew a 4-0 lead in the 8th, but not at all. I really like the pitching match up here today for several reasons.

Let's start with Lanan who relies on pin point control. He had two starts in early April against the Marlins and they hit him hard in the first start and he backed it up with a 6.1 IP 3H 1ER performance but gave up HR in each start. The Marlins are 17-8 in their last 25 road starts vs. LH starters and they will have the confidence of knowing that Lannan had his worst start against him earlier in the year. More importantly for me is the umpire behind the plate that makes this a pitching mismatch. Fieldin Culbreth not known to be finesse pitchers best friends and that is true for Lannan. In Lannan's two starts with Culbreth back there he has a 12.07 ERA over just 8.2 IP. It came in 2 starts in 2008 where Lannan went only 5.2IP giving up 9H and 6ER 3BB's against the Phillies and then 3IP 6H 5ER and 2BB against the Pirates. Look for the Marlins to have a good day especially on revenge here from last night.

VandenHurk will take the mound for the Marlins and has been solid in 3 starts this year going 17 innings iwth a 2.65 ERA. His problem has been his control, but he is off his best start yet against the Braves with 9K's and 1BB in 6IP. Hurk came off the DL earlier in the season after suffering elbow issues from pitching in the WBC and has proven himself in AAA where he had a 4-1 record with a 2.79ERA over 10 starts. Best of all his WHIP 0.97 and a 44:14 K:BB ratio in 51.2 innings pitched. Manager Gonzalez said he has brought his velocity down a bit to sacrifice for control and it has rewarded him. Nationals are 28-66 in their last 94 games vs. a RH starter and the Marlins are still 10-2 in their last 12 trips to Washington. Expect the Marlins to come out swinging when Lannan is forced by Culbreth to throw strikes. That will translate into runs!
 

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