Service Plays Wednesday 07/29/09

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Primetime Sports Advisors

0-2 Yesterday 42 of last 61 in MLB (69%)

Pittsburgh Pirates-Duke vs San Francisco Giants-Cain -150
Event Date: 07/29/2009
Event Time: 03:35 PM EST
Play: San Francisco Giants-Cain -150
Comments: Top Play Selection--Risking 3.00 to win 2.00
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Cleveland Indians-Laffey vs Los Angeles Angels-Lackey
Over/Under: 9.5 (u -120)
Event Date: 07/29/2009
Event Time: 03:35 PM EST
Play: Cleveland/L.A. Angels Under 9.5 -120
Comments: Risking 1.50 to win 1.25
 

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

301 - 196 run 60 % 49-25 run here

WED Tampa Bay
 

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Scott Delaney
Wednesday ... 10-Dime Blue Jays -1' Runs (WITH Halladay over the M's) - Analysis due back by 2 p.m. eastern

5-Dime Pirates (WITH Duke and Cain) -





GL---------GUYS:103631605
 

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fat stu fininer
<TABLE id=Table_01 border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" height=29><TBODY><TR><TD class=banner3 width="100%">Stu's 1000 Dime Baseball </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE id=Table_01 border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD align=left><TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD id=dnn_ctr754_ContentPane class=DNNAlignleft width="100%" align=left><!-- Start_Module_754 -->

COLORADO ROCKIES @ NEW YORK METS 7:10 ET
METS ARE 10-7 THE LAST THREE YEARS AGAINST COLORADO. THEY ARE 7-1 AT HOME AGAINST COLORADO AND 2-0 THIS YEAR. SANTANA GETS THE START TONIGHT FOR NEW YORK AND WILL POST HIS 12TH WIN OF THE YEAR. HE IS 7-3 AT HOME WITH AN ERA 1.86. HAMMELS LAST 3 STARTS HAVE BEEN BELOW AVERAGE. HE IS 0-1 WITH AN ERA OF 5.52. THE METS ARE 27-20 AT HOME AND WILL WIN THIS ONE GOING AWAY.
METS -140 FOR A 1000 DIME SELECTION


</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
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<o:p></o:p>
COLORADO ROCKIES @ NEW YORK METS 7:10 ET <o:p></o:p>
METS ARE 10-7 THE LAST THREE YEARS AGAINST COLORADO. THEY ARE 7-1 AT HOME AGAINST COLORADO AND 2-0 THIS YEAR. SANTANA GETS THE START TONIGHT FOR NEW YORK AND WILL POST HIS 12TH WIN OF THE YEAR. HE IS 7-3 AT HOME WITH AN ERA 1.86. HAMMELS LAST 3 STARTS HAVE BEEN BELOW AVERAGE. HE IS 0-1 WITH AN ERA OF 5.52. THE METS ARE 27-20 AT HOME AND WILL WIN THIS ONE GOING AWAY. <o:p></o:p>
METS -140 FOR A 1000 DIME SELECTION



BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY IRONHORSE AND ME---------------------GL GUYS:103631605
 

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Matt Rivers

Matt Rivers

150,000* UNDERDOG 3PACK
Your winners here are on:



1. 50,000♦ A's

2. 50,000♦ Indians

3. 50,000♦ Braves





1. Just a few weeks back Brett Anderson hurled a gem, a complete game shutout to be exact, here at Fenway and to get a number like this today is fine with me.



I'm not saying at all that the lefty will repeat that feat because the professional hitting Sox will make some adjustments but Brad Penny is far from being the Brad Penny from years ago and to get a confident Anderson today and this price back, even with the well inferior overall team in the A's, is still worth a go for sure.



Anderson is a young kid that has really good stuff. It didn't show early on but over the last month the southpaw has been great. He was hit a little in that last start at Yankee Stadium but all in all this guy is really blossoming into a top flight hurler and a guy that is a must play when getting a chunk of change back.



Obviously Boston wins this game more times than they don't as they are that much better than the now Matt Holliday-less Athletics but Oakland does have enough to plate some runs against a fairly now mediocre Penny and therefore Hairston, Cust, Cabrera and the visitors have my backing today.





2. John Lackey scares me as he is a bulldog who seems to have shaken off the rust after missing the first month on the DL. Early on the perennial All-Star struggled but the last three outings have been of the quality variety and now seems to be the Lackey of old.



But with the above said it's still a bit too steep of a price if you ask me as the Indians have finally started to play some decent baseball.



I don't love Aaron Laffey but I also do not buy into this Angel offense without Vlad or Hunter. They have been great for sure winning a bunch of games without their guys but I still do not think this is a good offense, I just don't.



Cleveland had been in a freefall mode but looked excellent in Safeco and came back nicely in that first game in the 9th against Fuentes. Are they for sure going to win this game as well? No of course not but at this price with a decent enough southpaw on the hill and talented hitters like Sizemore, Hafner, Choo and Martinez there is without a doubt a chance and at this price I'm all for it!





3. Nobody is a bigger Josh Johnson fan then I am because this kid is really really really good. he seems to hurl quality starts every time out and is clearly superior to Kenshin Kawakami. But I still believe that Bobby Cox' squad is superior to the Fish and to get such a handsome price back is a no-brainer.



Nate McClouth has really added a nice dimension to the Bravos and Chipper Jones and Brian McCann are clearly upper eschelon players. Throw in a Yunel Escobar and a few others and you can see how the boys from Hotlanta are a better team than they showed for a lot of the first half.



The Marlins bullpen is pretty poor unlike the Braves who have a guy in Soriano closing who has been great. Add in Mike Gonzalez, Peter Moylan and a few others and Atlanta's bullpen is not bad.



All in all the Braves plus anything tonight, even against a half stud in Johnson, is a very solid value. And if you know me you know how I love teams coming off of bad losses and last night's walkoff loss was just that for the Braves.

PAID FOR BY MYSELF,CORK AND MARFA

GOOD LUCK!!!!
 

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Al DeMarco

Al DeMarco
Wednesday's Play
5 Dime - New York Mets

Johan Santana was hit hard in his last start, allowing five runs and 12 hits in 6.2 innings in a loss at Houston. His last bad outing prior to that one occurred on June 30 when he was rocked for nine hits and six runs in six innings in a loss at Milwaukee. In between, he went 2-1 with a 0.86 ERA in three starts, scattering 13 hits over 21 innings.

Tonight Santana looks to rebound against a Colorado club the Mets have owned in New York, where they've won 20 of the last 22 meetings, including five in a row. And Santana has pitched his best at Citi Field this season, going 7-2 with a 1.86 ERA in 10 starts compared to a 4-6 mark and 4.48 ERA in the same number of road outings.

Colorado's Jason Hammel is the opposite of Santana; the righthander has performed much better on the road (4-2 with a 2.08 ERA) than at home (1-3 with a 7.23 ERA), but no matter the location he's struggled of late, going 0-2 with a 4.45 ERA in his last five starts. In four of those outings, the Rockies have provided him with two or fewer runs of support.

The Mets enter having won four in a row. More importantly, their injury-wrecked offense has flourished during the stretch, putting 29 runs on the board.

Colorado is 5-9 on the road this year versus lefthanders. Considering Santana's home domination, and my abundant bankroll, I'm in the position of paying the elevated price to back to Mets in this spot. Although the run line option is tempting, especially at huge plus money, considering New York's offensive woes all season, the wiser move - again considering my winning streak and bankroll - is laying the price with Santana on the moneyline.

Paid & confirmed by Cork & me.

GL!
 

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Chris Jordan has 3 Plays

Chris Jordan
Chris Jordan Wednesday's trifecta ...
200♦ BALTIMORE ORIOLES (LIST Tillman) - How many Baltimore pitchers will make their Major League debuts this season? I’ll be there every time, I can tell you that much, and tonight I’m banking on right-handed Chris Tillman. Six of the 16 players to make their first appearance with the Orioles this season also made their Major League debuts. Tillman joins pitchers Brad Bergesen, Jason Berken, Koji Uehara and David Hernandez on the list of Baltimore's rookie pitchers.

The 21-year-old has gone 8-6 with a 2.70 ERA for Triple-A Norfolk and has recorded an impressive 99 strikeouts over 96-2/3 innings. Tillman, who was acquired from the Mariners in the Erik Bedard deal, has allowed four runs or more just twice and has lasted at least six innings in seven of his past eight starts.

I’ve told you plenty of times why we make this choice, to take a pitcher making his debut in the bigs, as there is no clear-cut scouting report. That’s the case once again, especially against a Royals offense that has been horrendous throughout this season. Take the home team here.

200♦ TEXAS RANGERS (Action) - Not listing anyone here, just going to continue to ride the Rangers, who are playing well and should be able to keep the momentum flowing against the jungle stripes and Justin Verlander. I know Detroit’s prize pitcher is going for his 12th win of the season, but the Tigers haven’t looked like a division-leading team lately. Detroit has dropped three in a row, scoring just six runs, and come in after losing 7-3 to the Rangers last night. The loss dropped the Tigers to 4-8 since the All-Star break.

On the flip side, the Rangers have scored 19 runs in their last three games and could send Verlander to the showers early with this offense surge. Texas has been a team you can count on to erupt for a handful of games when it gets hot, and now is the time to strike.

Yes, the Tigers have won both of Verlander’s starts against the Rangers this season, as he is 1-0 in those outings with a 1.64 ERA over 11 innings pitched. And yes, he is 4-0 with a 1.16 ERA in his last five starts versus Texas. But that’s a sign it’s time for Texas to make good on the scouting report and should get to Verlander with ease based on the way it’s hitting. Take the Rangers.

200♦ MINNESOTA TWINS (Action) - Three straight wins, the Twins make it four in a row with a surge of momentum after knocking off Mark Buehrle and the White Sox last night. The victory was the 16th in 20 games at the Metrodome for the Twins against the South Siders, as Chicago has given up 35 runs on the road to Minnesota this season. With last night’s win, the Twins pulled into a second-place tie with Chicago in the American League Central, two games behind first-place Tigers. The White Sox have lost five of six after entering last weekend tied for first place with Detroit – actually, since the perfect game Buehrle throw – and this is bad spot to be in during a downturn.

Minnesota has always been a team that wins in the second half and factors into the division race. I’m not listing either pitcher, I’m going off of pure momentum, and the fact is the Twins have a great shot at making a nice little run to the top of the division. The Angels are coming to town, and there will be plenty of revenge on the brain after a 1-3 stint in Anaheim over the weekend. Then it’s off to Cleveland and Motown for a six-game road trip.

This is a game the Twins need, and should get tonight.


Paid by and confirmed by me. GL...Thx for getting Fazzini! :toast:





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GoodFella

| MLB Money Line Wed, 07/29/09 - 3:45 PM ';
double-dime bet ml954 SFG (-152) vs 953 PIT
 

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I got lillefty!!

I bought lillefty for today why not he is 19-1 L20 and his free pick of over cubs had 6 runs in the 1st...lol . Unless they stop scoring, he paid for those picks already.

He had
3* on san francisco
1* on det/tex under

good luck to us. Hope he continues to kill it.
 

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DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS
7/29/09- Wednesday

past 30 days
71 wins
46 losses
61%

10*detroit-105
10*cws/minn. over 9.5
7*marlins-148
5*tb/yankees over 8.5
5*la dodgers+105
 

nic

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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Big Easy Total .... triple dime CWS/Twins over 9.5
 

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Chris Jordan

200♦ BALTIMORE ORIOLES (LIST Tillman) -

200♦ TEXAS RANGERS (Action) -

200♦ MINNESOTA TWINS (Action) -
 
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SCOTT FERRALL

MLB FREE PICKS FOR WEDNESDAY PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


Atlanta (Kawakami)

FLORIDA (JOHNSON) -150 (1)



DODGERS (KERSHAW) EVEN (2)

St. Louis (Pineiro)



Detroit (Verlander)

TEXAS (FELDMAN) +110 (3)



RUN TOTALS



Pittsburgh / San Francisco UNDER 7 ½

Washington / Milwaukee OVER 9
 

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Jack Jones

15* on Oakland A's +167

The A's are worth a small play against the struggling Red Sox right now. Boston has lost 2 of their last 3 and 4 of 7. Over the last week they are scoring just 4.4 runs per game, more than half a run less than they have all season. Meanwhile, Oakland has been on a tear offensively, hitting .312 as a team and averaging 6.4 runs over the last 7 days. Oakland Starter, Brett Anderson is winless in his last 3 starts, but has a 1.93 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 18 2/3 innings pitch over that span. The Red Sox throw Brad Penny, who has been consistent, but who has a 4.71 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 19 starts this season, where the Red Sox are just 10-9 in his 19 starts. The Sox have been very beatable lately, making the A's a quality bet tonight.

15* on Texas Rangers +105

The Tigers have the pitcher with the better stuff on the mound tonight, but Rangers' starter, Scott Feldman, may be the best pitcher you never hear of this season. Feldman is 9-3 in 17 starts for Texas with a 3.04 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. He's been dominating in his last 3 starts, earning a 2.18 ERA and 0.97 WHIP and going 2-1 over that stretch. The Rangers continue to be on of best home teams in the American League with a 34-19 record, while the Tigers have struggled at 21-31 on the road. Neither team is hitting especially well, but the Tigers have been the worse of the two lineups, averaging just 2.9 runs per game while batting .231 as a team over the last 7 games. I expect the Rangers complete a 3-game sweep of the Tigers Wednesday.

20* No-Brainer on Tigers/Rangers UNDER 8.5

This total doesn't make much sense with these two pitchers on the mound. You have Justin Verlander for the Tigers, who has a 3.12 ERA on the season, not to mention a 0.78 ERA over his last three starts. Then you have Scott Feldman for Texas, who has a 3.04 ERA this season and a 2.18 ERA over his last 3 starts. We also have a Detroit team hitting .231 and scoring 2.9 runs per game as a team over their last 7 games, while the Rangers are hitting only slightly better at 4.4 runs per game on a team batting average of .247 over the last week. We got caught with the under in this series last night as it went over by a half of a run. Tonight it shouldn't even be close. The under is a no-brainer here.
 

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Premier Capper

Dodgers and Cards Under 8 –115 for 4 units

Looking at this pitching matchup I just don’t know of a better under bet this season I have made the way Pineiro and Kershaw have been pitching. Pineiro (9-9 2.95 ERA) and Kershaw (9-9 2.95 ERA) have been lights out this season for each team. Kershaw last 10 games he has only given up 3 runs two times and in the other 8 games have held opponents to 2 runs or less. Pineiro last 6 games 5 of them of gone under the total with him giving up 7 ER in that span. The Under is 8-1 in the Cardinals last 9 games as a favorite and 9-4 in their last 13 games overall. Runs will be hard to come by in this game and I think both teams need this win with the Dodgers losing 4 of their last 5 games and Cardinals having a half game lead in the NL Central. This is a big game for both teams and with two hot pitchers on the mound I just can’t see many runs here. The Cardinals have struggled against left handed pitching this season while the Dodgers are not hitting the ball as well and that is a good combo for an under in this game.
 

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Half Bets

SSG play for tonight

Atlanta v. Florida 7pm
PICK: OVER 8 +105 (8*) Best Bet

Dodgers and Cards Under 8 –115 for 4 units (Bookmaker)
 

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Evan Altemus
I couldn't decide on what to do with today's baseball card because every play I liked had large favorites. Instead of releasing all these plays, I decided to narrow them down and wait to see what lines changed. I like these two selections as premium plays, but because they are being released later in the day, I am giving them out for free and going to focus on tomorrow's MLB.

Colorado at NY Mets 7:10pm EST
Selection: NY METS -136
Profile: New York has now won four games in a row and has temporarily overcome their injuries for a small winning streak. Meanwhile, Colorado has cooled down recently since their extended hot streak. The Rockies have lost the first two games of this series and now have to face the Mets ace, Johan Santana. Santana has pitched very well this season, and is coming off of a slightly less than stellar performance. Therefore, I look for him to be focused in this outing. In addition, the Rockies have yet to face him since he has come to the National League, so I look for them to struggle against his stuff. Meanwhile, Jason Hammel has been hit slightly harder recently than earlier in the season. Washington, Atlanta, and San Francisco combined for twenty six hits in those recent three starts. In addition, Colorado's bullpen has been struggling recently as well, which could have an impact late in the game. Look for the Mets to get their fifth win in a row.
2 UNIT SELECTION
Philadelphia at Arizona 9:40pm EST
Selection: PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -105
Profile: Philadelphia should be very motivated for this game because of the addition of pitcher Cliff Lee from Cleveland. The Phillies also have a huge starting pitching advantage in this game with J.A. Happ going against Yusmeiro Petit. Happ was a little shaky in his last start mainly because of the on-going trade talks that had him involved in. However, Happ can now relax because he is secure in Philadelphia. I look for him to be focused tonight against a weak hitting Diamondbacks line-up. The Phillies hitters have been much better in this series, so I expect them to use superior advantages in hitting line-ups and starting pitching to get another dominant win tonight.
2 UNIT SELECTION
 

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igz1 sports

Wednesday Card
Tuesday Recap: 3-1 MLB

MLB
3* Under 8.5 (-120) Detroit (Verlander) vs Texas (Feldman)
 

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