DRBOB Opinions, he has 5 best bets
Wednesday NBA Opinion
Orlando (-3) over NEW YORK
Rotation #507 – 4:35 pm Pacific
Orlando clearly hasn’t been as good in 14 games this season without All-Star point guard Jameer Nelson, but the Magic continue to play well after a loss. Orlando is 35-13 ATS after a loss in two seasons under coach Stan Van Gundy, including 4-1 ATS this season without Nelson in the lineup. Orlando also applies to a general 70-25-1 ATS road favorite bounce-back situation. Unfortunately, my ratings only favor the Magic by 1 ½ points with Nelson out, so I’ll just lean with Orlando in this game. I’d take Orlando in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 points or less.
Wednesday College Opinions/Possible Best Bet
William & Mary (+12) over OLD DOMINION
Rotation #531 – 4 pm Pacific
William & Mary is just 2-8 ATS as a road underdog this season, but Old Dominion is only 7-22-1 ATS as a conference home favorite following a game in which they won and covered, including 0-7 ATS the last 2 seasons. ODU also applies to a very negative 7-54-3 ATS last home game situation. My ratings favor Old Dominion by 12 ½ points and I was hoping to get 13 points here. I’ll lean with the Tribe at +12 or +12 ½ points and I’ll take William & Mary in a 2-Star Best Bet at +13 points or more.
MARQUETTE (-1 ½) over Connecticut
Rotation #554 – 4 pm Pacific
Marquette is 16-0 straight up at home, including impressive wins over Villanova and West Virginia, and the Eagles apply to a solid 168-86-9 ATS late season home team situation against a U Conn squad that is 0-3 ATS without the services of guard Jerome Dyson (13.2 ppg, 3.2 apg, and 1.8 steals). My ratings make this game a pick without adjusting for Dyson being out and Marquette by 1 or 1 ½ points is a fair line. I also think U Conn’s ability to block shots (7.6 per game) won’t have as much effect on a Marquette team that doesn’t depend on scoring in the paint. I’ll lean with the Eagles at -1 ½ or -2 points and I’d take Marquette in a 2-Star Best Bet at -1 or better.
Wednesday NBA Opinion
Orlando (-3) over NEW YORK
Rotation #507 – 4:35 pm Pacific
Orlando clearly hasn’t been as good in 14 games this season without All-Star point guard Jameer Nelson, but the Magic continue to play well after a loss. Orlando is 35-13 ATS after a loss in two seasons under coach Stan Van Gundy, including 4-1 ATS this season without Nelson in the lineup. Orlando also applies to a general 70-25-1 ATS road favorite bounce-back situation. Unfortunately, my ratings only favor the Magic by 1 ½ points with Nelson out, so I’ll just lean with Orlando in this game. I’d take Orlando in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 points or less.
Wednesday College Opinions/Possible Best Bet
William & Mary (+12) over OLD DOMINION
Rotation #531 – 4 pm Pacific
William & Mary is just 2-8 ATS as a road underdog this season, but Old Dominion is only 7-22-1 ATS as a conference home favorite following a game in which they won and covered, including 0-7 ATS the last 2 seasons. ODU also applies to a very negative 7-54-3 ATS last home game situation. My ratings favor Old Dominion by 12 ½ points and I was hoping to get 13 points here. I’ll lean with the Tribe at +12 or +12 ½ points and I’ll take William & Mary in a 2-Star Best Bet at +13 points or more.
MARQUETTE (-1 ½) over Connecticut
Rotation #554 – 4 pm Pacific
Marquette is 16-0 straight up at home, including impressive wins over Villanova and West Virginia, and the Eagles apply to a solid 168-86-9 ATS late season home team situation against a U Conn squad that is 0-3 ATS without the services of guard Jerome Dyson (13.2 ppg, 3.2 apg, and 1.8 steals). My ratings make this game a pick without adjusting for Dyson being out and Marquette by 1 or 1 ½ points is a fair line. I also think U Conn’s ability to block shots (7.6 per game) won’t have as much effect on a Marquette team that doesn’t depend on scoring in the paint. I’ll lean with the Eagles at -1 ½ or -2 points and I’d take Marquette in a 2-Star Best Bet at -1 or better.
PointspreadPros plays (Bonus Plays available at site)
**************************************************************************************************
ALL PLAYS (70-44 61% +58 Units for the Season)
3 Unit and higher plays (33-15 YTD)
5 Unit Plays (13-6 YTD)
(Record updated daily on website)
(10 - 1 last 11 plays)
Todays Play(s):
Boston -8 over LA CLIPPERS (2 Units)
SACRAMENTO +3 over Charlotte (1 Unit)
Best of luck!
Pointspreadpros
**************************************************************************************************
ALL PLAYS (70-44 61% +58 Units for the Season)
3 Unit and higher plays (33-15 YTD)
5 Unit Plays (13-6 YTD)
(Record updated daily on website)
(10 - 1 last 11 plays)
Todays Play(s):
Boston -8 over LA CLIPPERS (2 Units)
SACRAMENTO +3 over Charlotte (1 Unit)
Best of luck!
Pointspreadpros
Dr Bob
5 Best Bets for Wednesday.
Rotation #519 charlotte (-3) 3-Stars at -4 or less, 2-Stars at -4 1/2.
Rotation #526 James Madison (+3) 2-Stars at +3 or more.
Rotation #533 St. Louis (pick) 3-Stars at -1 or better, 2-Stars up to -2.
Rotation #573 Villanova (-13) 3-Stars at -13 or less, 2-Stars up to -14.
Rotation #593 Texas Tech (+14 1/2) 2-Stars at +14 or more, 3-Stars at +15.
Marquette (-1 1/2) would be a 2-Star at -1 or better.
3 Star Selection
***Charlotte (-3) over SACRAMENTO
07:05 PM Pacific - Rotation 519
The Bobcats are an average team with Raja Bell and leading scorer Gerald Wallace both in the lineup (10-11 straight up in 21 games and 0.5 points worse than an average team in my ratings) and an average team shouldn’t have any problem taking out their frustrations against the lowly Kings. Charlotte is coming off 3 consecutive losses as underdogs to Orlando, at Houston and at Phoenix last night, but the Bobcats apply to a very strong 72-18-1 ATS road bounce-back situation tonight and they are 6-2 ATS this season the night after a loss. Sacramento, meanwhile, is just 2-18 straight up this season at home against a team with a win percentage of greater than .333 and they are 2-11-1 ATS in those games when not getting at least 7 points. My ratings favor Charlotte by 4 ½ points after adjusting for their lack of rest and I’ll take Charlotte in a 3-Star Best Bet at -4 or less and for 2-Stars at -4 ½ points.
2 Star Selection
**JAMES MADISON (+3) over Virginia Commonwealth
04:00 PM Pacific - Rotation 526
James Madison has been an underrated team most of the season, as the Dukes are 15-4-1 ATS since stud F Juwann James returned from injury in mid-December and they even covered a few games when he was out of the lineup for 4 ½ more games recently. JMU is still being priced based on all their games this season, not just the games in which James has played, as my ratings using all games for both teams would favor VCU by 2 ½ points. However, using only the games with James playing would yield a fair line of JMU by ½ a point. The Dukes will be without starting point guard Devon Moore for a second straight game and his offense will be missed (50% FG), but Moore is not worth more than a point or 1 ½ points and I’d favor VCU by just 1 point. James Madison applies to a solid 59-28-2 ATS last home game situation and I’ll take James Madison in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more.
3 Star Selection
***St. Louis (pick) over ST. BONAVENUTRE
04:00 PM Pacific - Rotation 533
St. Louis has covered the spread in 8 consecutive games and I see that streak continuing tonight, as the Billikens apply to a 41-6-2 ATS subset of a 112-51-3 ATS road momentum situation. St. Bonaventure has never been very good at home (24-54-2 ATS in their last 80 lined home games) and the Bonnies are just 7-12 ATS at home under coach Mark Schmidt. My ratings favor St. Louis by 2 points and I’ll take St. Louis in a 3-Star Best Bet at -1 or better and for 2-Stars at -1 ½ or -2 points.
3 Star Selection
***Villanova (-13) over DePAUL
05:00 PM Pacific - Rotation 573
DePaul has lost their last 7 games by 15 points or more and the Blue Demons are a horrendous 3-18 ATS at home the last two seasons, including 12 consecutive spread losses. DePaul’s most recent 4 home games were losses by margins of 23 points to Seton Hall, 23 points to Pitt, 15 points to Marquette, and 22 points to U Conn. Villanova is 4-1 ATS as a road favorite this season and my ratings favor the Wildcats by 14 ½ points in this game and by 19 points if I used conference games only. DePaul doesn’t match-up well with Villanova either, as the Wildcats’ defense forces teams to shoot 3-pointers (23 per game) while shutting down the interior. DePaul is a horrible shooting team that has made just 28% of their 3-pointers so the Blue Demons are not going to be able to take advantage of the only open shots that they’re get from Villanova. DePaul also applies to a negative 58-118-3 ATS situation that plays against bad teams at home. I’ll take Villanova in a 3-Star Best Bet at -13 or less and for 2-Stars at -13 ½ or -14.
2 Star Selection
**Texas Tech (+14 ½) over TEXAS
06:30 PM Pacific - Rotation 593
Texas Tech is 0-4 straight up and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games and there head coach Pat Knight has been suspended for this game. That could be good news, as I don’t think Knight is a very good coach, and the Red Raiders apply to a 23-2-1 ATS subset of a 50-15-1 ATS big road underdog situation that plays on teams on a straight up and spread losing streak. Texas, meanwhile, applies to a very negative 0-24-3 ATS subset of a 42-103-3 ATS big favorite letdown situation that in part deals with the fact that the Longhorns already beat Texas Tech earlier in the season. I can certainly envision a letdown by the Horns here after just beating #2 Oklahoma and having already beaten Tech by 22 points on the road. Texas hasn’t been very good as a big favorite under coach Barnes (25-31-2 ATS as favorite of more than 13 points) considering how good Barnes’ teams have been when not favored by more than 13 points (143-113-6 ATS). Texas is just 3-18 ATS as a favorite of more than 13 points against a team with a win percentage of greater than .333 that is coming off a loss, so the Red Raiders’ losing streak will make it tough for Barnes to get his team fired up for this rematch. Texas Tech, meanwhile, while just 6-14 ATS overall this season, is 3-1 ATS as a road dog of 12 points or more. My ratings favor Texas by 14 ½ points and I’ll take Texas Tech in a 2-Star Best Bet at +14 points or more and for 3-Stars at +15 or more.
Wednesday NBA Opinion
Orlando (-3) over NEW YORK
Rotation #507 – 4:35 pm Pacific
Orlando clearly hasn’t been as good in 14 games this season without All-Star point guard Jameer Nelson, but the Magic continue to play well after a loss. Orlando is 35-13 ATS after a loss in two seasons under coach Stan Van Gundy, including 4-1 ATS this season without Nelson in the lineup. Orlando also applies to a general 70-25-1 ATS road favorite bounce-back situation. Unfortunately, my ratings only favor the Magic by 1 ½ points with Nelson out, so I’ll just lean with Orlando in this game. I’d take Orlando in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 points or less.
Wednesday College Opinions/Possible Best Bet
William & Mary (+12) over OLD DOMINION
Rotation #531 – 4 pm Pacific
William & Mary is just 2-8 ATS as a road underdog this season, but Old Dominion is only 7-22-1 ATS as a conference home favorite following a game in which they won and covered, including 0-7 ATS the last 2 seasons. ODU also applies to a very negative 7-54-3 ATS last home game situation. My ratings favor Old Dominion by 12 ½ points and I was hoping to get 13 points here. I’ll lean with the Tribe at +12 or +12 ½ points and I’ll take William & Mary in a 2-Star Best Bet at +13 points or more.
MARQUETTE (-1 ½) over Connecticut
Rotation #554 – 4 pm Pacific
Marquette is 16-0 straight up at home, including impressive wins over Villanova and West Virginia, and the Eagles apply to a solid 168-86-9 ATS late season home team situation against a U Conn squad that is 0-3 ATS without the services of guard Jerome Dyson (13.2 ppg, 3.2 apg, and 1.8 steals). My ratings make this game a pick without adjusting for Dyson being out and Marquette by 1 or 1 ½ points is a fair line. I also think U Conn’s ability to block shots (7.6 per game) won’t have as much effect on a Marquette team that doesn’t depend on scoring in the paint. I’ll lean with the Eagles at -1 ½ or -2 points and I’d take Marquette in a 2-Star Best Bet at -1 or better.
5 Best Bets for Wednesday.
Rotation #519 charlotte (-3) 3-Stars at -4 or less, 2-Stars at -4 1/2.
Rotation #526 James Madison (+3) 2-Stars at +3 or more.
Rotation #533 St. Louis (pick) 3-Stars at -1 or better, 2-Stars up to -2.
Rotation #573 Villanova (-13) 3-Stars at -13 or less, 2-Stars up to -14.
Rotation #593 Texas Tech (+14 1/2) 2-Stars at +14 or more, 3-Stars at +15.
Marquette (-1 1/2) would be a 2-Star at -1 or better.
3 Star Selection
***Charlotte (-3) over SACRAMENTO
07:05 PM Pacific - Rotation 519
The Bobcats are an average team with Raja Bell and leading scorer Gerald Wallace both in the lineup (10-11 straight up in 21 games and 0.5 points worse than an average team in my ratings) and an average team shouldn’t have any problem taking out their frustrations against the lowly Kings. Charlotte is coming off 3 consecutive losses as underdogs to Orlando, at Houston and at Phoenix last night, but the Bobcats apply to a very strong 72-18-1 ATS road bounce-back situation tonight and they are 6-2 ATS this season the night after a loss. Sacramento, meanwhile, is just 2-18 straight up this season at home against a team with a win percentage of greater than .333 and they are 2-11-1 ATS in those games when not getting at least 7 points. My ratings favor Charlotte by 4 ½ points after adjusting for their lack of rest and I’ll take Charlotte in a 3-Star Best Bet at -4 or less and for 2-Stars at -4 ½ points.
2 Star Selection
**JAMES MADISON (+3) over Virginia Commonwealth
04:00 PM Pacific - Rotation 526
James Madison has been an underrated team most of the season, as the Dukes are 15-4-1 ATS since stud F Juwann James returned from injury in mid-December and they even covered a few games when he was out of the lineup for 4 ½ more games recently. JMU is still being priced based on all their games this season, not just the games in which James has played, as my ratings using all games for both teams would favor VCU by 2 ½ points. However, using only the games with James playing would yield a fair line of JMU by ½ a point. The Dukes will be without starting point guard Devon Moore for a second straight game and his offense will be missed (50% FG), but Moore is not worth more than a point or 1 ½ points and I’d favor VCU by just 1 point. James Madison applies to a solid 59-28-2 ATS last home game situation and I’ll take James Madison in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more.
3 Star Selection
***St. Louis (pick) over ST. BONAVENUTRE
04:00 PM Pacific - Rotation 533
St. Louis has covered the spread in 8 consecutive games and I see that streak continuing tonight, as the Billikens apply to a 41-6-2 ATS subset of a 112-51-3 ATS road momentum situation. St. Bonaventure has never been very good at home (24-54-2 ATS in their last 80 lined home games) and the Bonnies are just 7-12 ATS at home under coach Mark Schmidt. My ratings favor St. Louis by 2 points and I’ll take St. Louis in a 3-Star Best Bet at -1 or better and for 2-Stars at -1 ½ or -2 points.
3 Star Selection
***Villanova (-13) over DePAUL
05:00 PM Pacific - Rotation 573
DePaul has lost their last 7 games by 15 points or more and the Blue Demons are a horrendous 3-18 ATS at home the last two seasons, including 12 consecutive spread losses. DePaul’s most recent 4 home games were losses by margins of 23 points to Seton Hall, 23 points to Pitt, 15 points to Marquette, and 22 points to U Conn. Villanova is 4-1 ATS as a road favorite this season and my ratings favor the Wildcats by 14 ½ points in this game and by 19 points if I used conference games only. DePaul doesn’t match-up well with Villanova either, as the Wildcats’ defense forces teams to shoot 3-pointers (23 per game) while shutting down the interior. DePaul is a horrible shooting team that has made just 28% of their 3-pointers so the Blue Demons are not going to be able to take advantage of the only open shots that they’re get from Villanova. DePaul also applies to a negative 58-118-3 ATS situation that plays against bad teams at home. I’ll take Villanova in a 3-Star Best Bet at -13 or less and for 2-Stars at -13 ½ or -14.
2 Star Selection
**Texas Tech (+14 ½) over TEXAS
06:30 PM Pacific - Rotation 593
Texas Tech is 0-4 straight up and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games and there head coach Pat Knight has been suspended for this game. That could be good news, as I don’t think Knight is a very good coach, and the Red Raiders apply to a 23-2-1 ATS subset of a 50-15-1 ATS big road underdog situation that plays on teams on a straight up and spread losing streak. Texas, meanwhile, applies to a very negative 0-24-3 ATS subset of a 42-103-3 ATS big favorite letdown situation that in part deals with the fact that the Longhorns already beat Texas Tech earlier in the season. I can certainly envision a letdown by the Horns here after just beating #2 Oklahoma and having already beaten Tech by 22 points on the road. Texas hasn’t been very good as a big favorite under coach Barnes (25-31-2 ATS as favorite of more than 13 points) considering how good Barnes’ teams have been when not favored by more than 13 points (143-113-6 ATS). Texas is just 3-18 ATS as a favorite of more than 13 points against a team with a win percentage of greater than .333 that is coming off a loss, so the Red Raiders’ losing streak will make it tough for Barnes to get his team fired up for this rematch. Texas Tech, meanwhile, while just 6-14 ATS overall this season, is 3-1 ATS as a road dog of 12 points or more. My ratings favor Texas by 14 ½ points and I’ll take Texas Tech in a 2-Star Best Bet at +14 points or more and for 3-Stars at +15 or more.
Wednesday NBA Opinion
Orlando (-3) over NEW YORK
Rotation #507 – 4:35 pm Pacific
Orlando clearly hasn’t been as good in 14 games this season without All-Star point guard Jameer Nelson, but the Magic continue to play well after a loss. Orlando is 35-13 ATS after a loss in two seasons under coach Stan Van Gundy, including 4-1 ATS this season without Nelson in the lineup. Orlando also applies to a general 70-25-1 ATS road favorite bounce-back situation. Unfortunately, my ratings only favor the Magic by 1 ½ points with Nelson out, so I’ll just lean with Orlando in this game. I’d take Orlando in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 points or less.
Wednesday College Opinions/Possible Best Bet
William & Mary (+12) over OLD DOMINION
Rotation #531 – 4 pm Pacific
William & Mary is just 2-8 ATS as a road underdog this season, but Old Dominion is only 7-22-1 ATS as a conference home favorite following a game in which they won and covered, including 0-7 ATS the last 2 seasons. ODU also applies to a very negative 7-54-3 ATS last home game situation. My ratings favor Old Dominion by 12 ½ points and I was hoping to get 13 points here. I’ll lean with the Tribe at +12 or +12 ½ points and I’ll take William & Mary in a 2-Star Best Bet at +13 points or more.
MARQUETTE (-1 ½) over Connecticut
Rotation #554 – 4 pm Pacific
Marquette is 16-0 straight up at home, including impressive wins over Villanova and West Virginia, and the Eagles apply to a solid 168-86-9 ATS late season home team situation against a U Conn squad that is 0-3 ATS without the services of guard Jerome Dyson (13.2 ppg, 3.2 apg, and 1.8 steals). My ratings make this game a pick without adjusting for Dyson being out and Marquette by 1 or 1 ½ points is a fair line. I also think U Conn’s ability to block shots (7.6 per game) won’t have as much effect on a Marquette team that doesn’t depend on scoring in the paint. I’ll lean with the Eagles at -1 ½ or -2 points and I’d take Marquette in a 2-Star Best Bet at -1 or better.
Al DeMarco
Wednesday's Pick
5 Dime - Michigan State
Michigan State is far better than Iowa, but don't expect the Spartans to sleepwalk their way to victory tonight considering Sunday's poor performance at home against Wisconsin, a game in which they found themselves down by a dozen with 12 minutes to play before going on a 32-9 run that secured a 61-50 victory. With the conference season winding down, there is no time for complacency with Michigan State holding just a one-game lead over Purdue and a 1 1/2-game advantage over Illinois in the conference standings.
Iowa will undoubtedly have the Spartans' attention following its 70-60 overtime win against Michigan. But that game was played in Iowa City where the Hawkeyes are 12-3 straight-up. They carry a nine-game road losing streak into Lansing tonight, including an 0-7 mark in Big Ten play. In addition, they've lost 13 in a row at the Breslin Center by an average of 14.8 points a game.
Both teams have been hampered by injuries of late, but Iowa's have left a thin team - one that is coming off an overtime game and playing on the road - in a vulnerable position. Starting point guard Jeff Peterson, who had 14 points in the Hawkeyes' 71-56 home loss in the season's first meeting January 29, has missed two straight games with a hamstring injury and is considered doubtful for tonight's rematch. Making matters worse, fellow guard Jermain Davis is questionable because of a knee injury and might miss his second straight contest, while forward Cyrus Tate, who has missed nine of the past 11 games, is expected to be available for only limited action after making a surprising return against Michigan over the weekend with four minutes of play off the bench. All of these injuries resulted in four Iowa starters playing over 45 minutes in Sunday's overtime win.
Michigan State has been bitten by the injury bug as well with star forward Raymar Morgan slowed recently by a bout of mono, but he's played 14 and 17 minutes the past two games. However, his presence wasn't needed much in the season's first meeting when he played just eight minutes and scored only two points. In that contest, the Spartans' starting forwards outrebounded their Iowa counterparts 21-5. In fact, in the first half of the game Michigan State - which leads the conference in rebounding - dominated on the boards, grabbing 23 rebounds versus only 9 for the host Hawkeyes.
Wednesday's Pick
5 Dime - Michigan State
Michigan State is far better than Iowa, but don't expect the Spartans to sleepwalk their way to victory tonight considering Sunday's poor performance at home against Wisconsin, a game in which they found themselves down by a dozen with 12 minutes to play before going on a 32-9 run that secured a 61-50 victory. With the conference season winding down, there is no time for complacency with Michigan State holding just a one-game lead over Purdue and a 1 1/2-game advantage over Illinois in the conference standings.
Iowa will undoubtedly have the Spartans' attention following its 70-60 overtime win against Michigan. But that game was played in Iowa City where the Hawkeyes are 12-3 straight-up. They carry a nine-game road losing streak into Lansing tonight, including an 0-7 mark in Big Ten play. In addition, they've lost 13 in a row at the Breslin Center by an average of 14.8 points a game.
Both teams have been hampered by injuries of late, but Iowa's have left a thin team - one that is coming off an overtime game and playing on the road - in a vulnerable position. Starting point guard Jeff Peterson, who had 14 points in the Hawkeyes' 71-56 home loss in the season's first meeting January 29, has missed two straight games with a hamstring injury and is considered doubtful for tonight's rematch. Making matters worse, fellow guard Jermain Davis is questionable because of a knee injury and might miss his second straight contest, while forward Cyrus Tate, who has missed nine of the past 11 games, is expected to be available for only limited action after making a surprising return against Michigan over the weekend with four minutes of play off the bench. All of these injuries resulted in four Iowa starters playing over 45 minutes in Sunday's overtime win.
Michigan State has been bitten by the injury bug as well with star forward Raymar Morgan slowed recently by a bout of mono, but he's played 14 and 17 minutes the past two games. However, his presence wasn't needed much in the season's first meeting when he played just eight minutes and scored only two points. In that contest, the Spartans' starting forwards outrebounded their Iowa counterparts 21-5. In fact, in the first half of the game Michigan State - which leads the conference in rebounding - dominated on the boards, grabbing 23 rebounds versus only 9 for the host Hawkeyes.
The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, February 25, 2009
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586 Missouri -9.5 9:00 EST
Date: Wednesday, February 25, 2009
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586 Missouri -9.5 9:00 EST
