Service Plays Tuesday 9/16/08

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METS (STEAM PLAY)
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Teddy June

5* Chicago Cubs -105

An interesting 3 game series opens up here at Wrigley with CC Sabathia getting the start for the Brewers and Ryan Dempster for the Cubs. Brewers who have been in midst of a major late season collapse including getting swept in 4 games over the week have lost 7 of their last 8 and 12 of their last 15. In an unprecedented move they fired manager Ned Yost yesterday and 3B coach Dale Sveum will take over as the interim manager. According to ESPN this is the first time in MLB history except the 1981 strike season a manger has been fired in August or later with his team in playoff contention. Things dont look to be getting any better this week for them as the man who has normally been their stopper this season, Sabathia, will face off against a squad that has hammered him. While Sabathia has been able to smoke through some of the NL cupcakes the Cubs have hit him hard. In 9 career innings against the Cubs in two starts he has given up 17 hits, 12 ER, an ERA of 12.00, a whip of 2.33 and against BA of .378. It doesn?t help tonight that he faces them at Wrigley where the Cubs have absolutely smashed left-handed pitching. At home this season Chicago has hit .308 and scored 6.48 runs per game against left-handers. On the other side Ryan Dempster is starting and he has been having a great year at 15-6 with a 3.02 ERA. But more importantly for us he loves to pitch against the Brewers. In his career he is 7-2 with 10 saves and has a 2.45 ERA including .197 BAA. Combine that with his already strong home numbers this season posting a 2.90 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and .222 BAA against and he should be poised for a great outing tonight. He should also be helped tonight by a Brewers ball club that has been ice cold at the plate batting a mere .181 against right-handed pitching in their last 10 ball games including only scoring 2.54 runs per game. The wind is blowing out a bit tonight at Wrigley so we should see a few runs here. Brewers are going to need a miracle to make the playoffs at this point after the Phillies series and I just think they are coming into this really deflated. Cubs are the better club, playing better right now as they have won 4 straight, have the better the bullpen, are looking to seal their fate in the playoffs and are at a value price tonight.


5* SF Giants/Arizona Diamondbacks Over 7.5

The Diamondbacks continue to tailspin out of the playoffs as they have lost 8 of their last 10 ball games and now sit 4.5 games behind. The Giants meanwhile have been quietly playing pretty good baseball as they have won 8 of 10. Diamondbacks send Dan Haren to the hill tonight who has a number things going against him. For one he has gotten caught up in this weird scheduling situation where for about a month now he has faced the same 3 ball clubs. He faced SD twice in a row, then LA twice in a row and now SF twice in a row. To compound the issues Haren as I chronicled in August has been a terrible 2nd half pitcher in his career particularly the last two seasons. In August he had a 5.63 ERA including 1.59 WHIP and a BAA of .337. In September it has only gotten worse as he owns a 6.75 ERA, 2.38 WHIP and .324 BAA. This is nothing new for Haren as last season he owned an ERA in the high 4's in August and September and in his career owns a post all star break ERA 1 run higher in the 2nd half than first of the year. It wont help him today that the Giants bats have been red hot as of late against right-handers as they have hit .318 against them and averaged 6.75 runs per game. On the other side Matt Cain gets the start for the Giants and you?ll notice if you follow Cain closely he's either hot or cold and there's really no in-between with him. Lately he has been getting absolutely rocked as he owns a 9.00 ERA in his last 3 starts which has included him giving up 27 hits in only 15 innings and 7 walks during that as well. In his last two road starts he has given up 11 ER, 17 hits and only last 8.1 innings. The Diamondbacks have no question struggled at the plate recently but in their friendly confines at home their bats have been alive this year. Before going on the woeful road trip recently they were hot at home with their bats and I expect that to resume here again. It is noteworthy that the over is 8-3 the last 11 meetings between these two ball clubs
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Charlies

500* Astros/Marlins Under 7½
30* Braves EV
20* Cards -110
20* Brewers -105
10* Yankees -145
10* Royals -110
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WiseGuyHandicapping

3 UNITS Los Angeles Angels -135
2 UNITS Minnesota Twins -160
1 UNIT Milwaukee Brewers -105
1 UNIT Sox/Rays Under 9
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METS (STEAM PLAY)
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Is steam play his highest rated play?
 

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<dl><dt class="dtPgTop">Tue, 09/16/08 - 8:10 PM vegas-runner | MLB Money Line </dt><dt>double-dime bet 927 SEA (-102)SportBet vs 928 KAN </dt><dd>Analysis: ** 2* ML WAGER ** (Morrow vs Duckworth)</dd><dt class="dtPgTop">Tue, 09/16/08 - 7:10 PM vegas-runner | MLB Money Line </dt><dt>triple-dime bet 923 BOS (-140)Sportsbetting.com vs 924 TAM </dt><dd>Analysis: *** 3* MLB BEST BET of the DAY *** (Beckett vs Sonnanstine)</dd><dt class="dtPgTop">Tue, 09/16/08 - 7:05 PM vegas-runner | MLB Money Line </dt><dt>double-dime bet 919 MIN (-155)Sportsbetting.com vs 920 CLE </dt><dd>Analysis: ** 2* ML WAGER ** (Liriano vs Jackson)</dd><dt class="dtPgTop">Tue, 09/16/08 - 7:05 PM vegas-runner | MLB Money Line </dt><dt>double-dime bet 922 TOR (-185)Sportsbetting.com vs 921 BAL </dt><dd>Analysis: ** 2* ML WAGER ** (Marcum vs Waters)
</dd><dt class="dtPgTop">Tue, 09/16/08 - 7:05 PM vegas-runner | MLB Money Line </dt><dt>double-dime bet 901 LOS (+145)Sportsbetting.com vs 902 PIT </dt><dd>Analysis: ** 2* MLB PARLAY PLAY of the DAY **

TM 1: LA DODGERS -180 (Lowe vs Karstens)
TM 2: ROCKIES -175 (Jimenez vs Estes)
</dd></dl>
 

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VICTORIOUS PLAY

LA Dodgers @ Pittsburgh
1* Over 8.5

Baltimore @ Toronto
2* Over 9.5

Houston @ Florida
1* Over 7.5

LA Angels @ Oakland
3* Over 7.5
 
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Southcoast Sports

Los Angeles Angels -130

Now that the Angels have clinched the MLB's first playoff spot, they will not feel pressured to make things happen. Sometimes that is a good thing, as players get more relaxed and just play to have fun. However, the Athletics can't be happy that John Lackey will be facing them on Tuesday night. In 25 career starts against Oakland, Lackey is 14-3 while maintaining a low 2.67 Era. He has been even more impressive over his last 10 starts vs the Athletics, going 8-1 with a 1.71 Era. Oakland's Sean Gallagher will get the start opposite of Lackey. Gallagher pitched well in his first start back from the DL with shoulder fatigue, and he has won his only start vs the Angels. The Athletics are 1-6 in Gallaghers last 7 starts, and are 0-4 in his last 4 starts against teams with winning records. It's probably worth noting that Lackey is 7-2 with a 2.76 Era in his night starts, while Gallagher is 1-2 with a 7.52 Era in games he started at night. All the numbers point towards an Angels victory, and we are getting them at a decent price.

Take the Los Angeles Angels -130 for 3-Units.
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READING MATERIAL FOR THOSE OF YOU THAT LIKE TO READ:

ARMVIN SPORTS MLB LOS ANGELES DODGERS (D.Lowe) at
PITTSBURGH PIRATES (J.Karstens) Over 8.5

Speculating Sports MLB LOS ANGELES DODGERS -1.5 (-105)

kerbysbaseball MLB LOS ANGELES DODGERS -172

OppositeBet MLB LOS ANGELES DODGERS -172

Who2beton - LT Profits MLB LOS ANGELES DODGERS (D.Lowe) at
PITTSBURGH PIRATES (J.Karstens) Under 8.5

Mike Devine Sports MLB LOS ANGELES DODGERS -1.5 (-112)

Big Kahuna Sports MLB LOS ANGELES DODGERS -172

Crazy Cajun Sports, Inc. MLB LOS ANGELES DODGERS -172

Crazy Cajun Sports, Inc. MLB LOS ANGELES DODGERS -1.5 (-112)

GameDay - Aaron Kurczi MLB
Best Bet! LOS ANGELES DODGERS -1.5 (-112)

ARMVIN SPORTS MLB CHICAGO WHITE SOX 125

HeadWaiter Sports MLB CHICAGO WHITE SOX 125

Mike Anthony MLB
Best Bet! NEW YORK YANKEES -144

Crazy Cajun Sports, Inc. MLB NEW YORK YANKEES -144

Crazy Cajun Sports, Inc. MLB NEW YORK YANKEES -1.5 (147)

GameDay - Aaron Kurczi MLB CHICAGO WHITE SOX 134

ARMVIN SPORTS MLB
Best Bet! MINNESOTA TWINS -165

OppositeBet MLB MINNESOTA TWINS -158

Big Kahuna Sports MLB MINNESOTA TWINS -158

Crazy Cajun Sports, Inc. MLB MINNESOTA TWINS -158

Crazy Cajun Sports, Inc. MLB MINNESOTA TWINS -1.5 (-105)

ARMVIN SPORTS MLB TORONTO BLUE JAYS -167

Crazy Cajun Sports, Inc. MLB TORONTO BLUE JAYS -176

Crazy Cajun Sports, Inc. MLB TORONTO BLUE JAYS -1.5 (111)

GameDay - Aaron Kurczi MLB TORONTO BLUE JAYS -1.5 (111)

ARMVIN SPORTS MLB TAMPA BAY RAYS 124

Valley Sports MLB TAMPA BAY RAYS 124

Speculating Sports MLB BOSTON RED SOX -134

kerbysbaseball. MLB BOSTON RED SOX -134

Mike Devine Sports MLB BOSTON RED SOX -134

3G-Sports MLB
Best Bet! BOSTON RED SOX -134

Crazy Cajun Sports, Inc. MLB TAMPA BAY RAYS 124

Crazy Cajun Sports, Inc. MLB TAMPA BAY RAYS 1.5 (-135)

K and B SPORTS, INC- Ken A. MLB BOSTON RED SOX -140

Big Kahuna Sports MLB TEXAS RANGERS -127

Crazy Cajun Sports, Inc. MLB TEXAS RANGERS -127

Crazy Cajun Sports, Inc. MLB TEXAS RANGERS -1.5 (145)

Dennis Macklin - Triple Crown Sports MLB TEXAS RANGERS -127
 
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