Jason Sharpe game of the month
6 Unit play Take #966 San Francisco -137 over Colorado (10:15pm est):
The Colorado Rockies are much different team on the road then they are at home as they have the biggest home/road differential in batting average in baseball. Take this team away from Coors field and it's like they almost forget how to hit as they are hitting under .230 on the road this year. Now add in going up against a left-hander and things get even worse. The big thing for them now is injuries as they just lost 2 of their top 6 hitters over the weekend to injuries and come into this series with a much different looking lineup then usual. Already a bad hitting team on the road they looked like a mere image of themselves last night as they were shutout for 8 innings only breaking through in the 9th to pull out the big come from behind 2-1 win.
Now the Rockies will throw a rookie to the hill tonight against a Giants team who is furious for letting such a huge game slip last evening. The Rockies have been just awful road dogs all year going 17-36 in this role the past 53 games. When their starter Esmil Rogers pitches, the Rocks have went 1-4 as a dog with him and are 1-4 on the road. Rogers comes in off a bad outing last and has an ERA of 5.66 on the season. You get the feeling that the stage may be too big for Rogers in this one and during this time of the year.
The Giants will come in focused as they usually take care of bad road teams, going 12-5 against them their past 17 games against teams with a road win pct below .400. Madison Bumgarner gets the call here for the Giants and he has been consistenly very good. For only being 20 years old, this kid has loads of talent and has been very consistent along the way, having only allowed more then 3 runs in a game just 3 of his 12 starts this year.
The Giants were crushed last night in their big late inning loss. They knew it was a chance to put another nail in the Rockies coffin and get one step closer to San Diego. They will be extra focused tonight with the task at hand and going up against a depleted Rockies lineup, a rookie pitcher while playing at home should make the this a game the Giants win easy.
Take San Francisco here. My football season is off and rolling at almost 80% winners thus far. The first big week of the year is this week and I have spent a lot of time with my in-town Las Vegas contacts going over each and every game on the card. I will be locked and loaded for a big week 1 splash. It's all about information, especially this time of the year with teams not having any games under their belts yet. Get on board with all sorts of week 1 specials we have going this week at Doc's Sports and get your football season off on the right foot. Know that you will have the best of it this week by following a professional sports bettor and his best investements.
Thank you and good luck,
Jason Sharpe
6 Unit play Take #966 San Francisco -137 over Colorado (10:15pm est):
The Colorado Rockies are much different team on the road then they are at home as they have the biggest home/road differential in batting average in baseball. Take this team away from Coors field and it's like they almost forget how to hit as they are hitting under .230 on the road this year. Now add in going up against a left-hander and things get even worse. The big thing for them now is injuries as they just lost 2 of their top 6 hitters over the weekend to injuries and come into this series with a much different looking lineup then usual. Already a bad hitting team on the road they looked like a mere image of themselves last night as they were shutout for 8 innings only breaking through in the 9th to pull out the big come from behind 2-1 win.
Now the Rockies will throw a rookie to the hill tonight against a Giants team who is furious for letting such a huge game slip last evening. The Rockies have been just awful road dogs all year going 17-36 in this role the past 53 games. When their starter Esmil Rogers pitches, the Rocks have went 1-4 as a dog with him and are 1-4 on the road. Rogers comes in off a bad outing last and has an ERA of 5.66 on the season. You get the feeling that the stage may be too big for Rogers in this one and during this time of the year.
The Giants will come in focused as they usually take care of bad road teams, going 12-5 against them their past 17 games against teams with a road win pct below .400. Madison Bumgarner gets the call here for the Giants and he has been consistenly very good. For only being 20 years old, this kid has loads of talent and has been very consistent along the way, having only allowed more then 3 runs in a game just 3 of his 12 starts this year.
The Giants were crushed last night in their big late inning loss. They knew it was a chance to put another nail in the Rockies coffin and get one step closer to San Diego. They will be extra focused tonight with the task at hand and going up against a depleted Rockies lineup, a rookie pitcher while playing at home should make the this a game the Giants win easy.
Take San Francisco here. My football season is off and rolling at almost 80% winners thus far. The first big week of the year is this week and I have spent a lot of time with my in-town Las Vegas contacts going over each and every game on the card. I will be locked and loaded for a big week 1 splash. It's all about information, especially this time of the year with teams not having any games under their belts yet. Get on board with all sorts of week 1 specials we have going this week at Doc's Sports and get your football season off on the right foot. Know that you will have the best of it this week by following a professional sports bettor and his best investements.
Thank you and good luck,
Jason Sharpe
jeff benton tuesday
0-2 yesteray minus 30 dimes minus $355..overall, 1-1-126-4 minus 490 dimes.
Tuesday's Plays ...
25 DIME selection on the Cardinals-Astros game to remain <b>UNDER</b> the posaed total of 6½ runs. The odds for this total are shaded to the “over” so you should be able to get at least an even-money take-back, if not slight plus-money on the UNDER. Note that MLB totals requeire both starting pitchers to be listed. So St. Louis’ Chris Carpenter and Houston’s Wandy Rodriguez must start or this play is VOID!
10 DIME selection on the <b>MINNESOTA TWINS (-1½ runs)</b> (run-line) over the Tigers from Target Field. Minnesota is a +105 to +110 unrerdog on the run line. Note that you must list Detroit’s Armando Galarraga and Minnesota’s Brian Duensing as the starting pitchers. If either does not start, this play is VOID!
<b>Cardinals-Astros UNDER</b>
Here are the final scores of Houston’s last nine games: 2-1, 3-2, 4-2, 3-2, 5-1, 2-1, 4-1, 5-1 and 3-0. That’s nine games in a row with six combined runs or fewer, and all nine stayed UNDER the total – and six of those contests had over/under totals of 7½!
Meanwhile, St. Louis has stopped hitting. It has tallied just 11 runs in its last four games, and if you elimanate Thursday’s 11-10 win at Washington, the Cardinals have scored 16 runs in their last six games, all against teams way under .500 (Pittsburgh, Washington, Houston).
Two outstanding starting pitchers are on the mound tonight, with Chris Carpenter (14-4, 2.93 ERA) matching up against Wandy Rodriguez (10-12, 3.87 ERA). Carpenter did give up six runs in that 11-10 loss at Washington, but only three were earned. That gives him nine straight quality starts, during which the right-hander has allowed a total of 16 earned runs in 64 2/3 innings (2.23 ERA). He’s pitched at least six innings in 10 consecutive contests and 26 of his 28 starts this season.
As great as Carpenter has been lately, Rodriguez has been even better. Over his last seven starts, the southpaw has surrendered just six earned runs in 48 1/3 innings – that’s a 1.12 ERA. And going back to June 24, Rodriguez has allowed one or zero earned runs in nine of his last 12 outings, with 11 of those 12 being quality starts. His ERA over this two-month stretch: 1.79.
Carpenter is 8-4 with a 2.84 ERA in 18 career starts against Houston, pitching at least six innings in the last 17 in a row (going seven or more innings in 14 of those games). And while Rodriguez’s recent history against St. Louis hasn’t been pretty (17 earned runs in his last four starts covering 21 1/3 innings), his six previous starts against the Redbirds resuleted in six earned runs allowed in 36 1/3 innings.
The under is 8-3-1 in Rodriguez’s last 12 starts against St. Louis, 5-2-2 in his last nine home starts against St. Louis, 4-1 in Carpenter’s last five starts against the Astros, 29-14-1 in the last 44 meetings overall between these squads and 4-1 in the last five clashes at Minute Maid Park. Furthermore, Houston – whose pitching staff has recorded a 1.72 ERA over its last 10 games – is on “under” runs of 16-5 overall (9-0 last nine), 5-0 at home, 9-0 as an underdog and 13-6-1 in Rodriguez’s last 20 starts against division rivals.
Finally, the under is 19-7 in umpire James Hoye’s 26 games behind the plate this season, with an average combined runs of 7.04. And going back two seasons, the under is 44-19-2 when Hoye works the dish!
Bottom line: Last night the Astros beat the Cardinals 3-0 in a game where the starters were Jake Westbrook and J.A. Happ. If the two offenses can muster up just three runs against those mediocre pitchers, how are they going to more than DOUBLE that total tonight with Carpenter and Rodriguez on the bump?
<b>Twins (-1½ runs)</b>
The Twins are coming off a losing seven-game road trip (they went 3-4), but now they’re back in brand-new Target Field, where they’ve won 40 of 62 games, including 11 of the last 13 dating back to a 6-0 win over Cleveland on July 21. In fact, starting with that victory over the Indians, Minnesota is on a 26-11 overall roll to take complete control of the A.L. Central.
Detroit is also playing decent baseball of late, taking seven of its last 10. However, five of those victories came against the Indians and Royals – and those five were at home. That’s key because the Tigers are one of the worst road teams in baseball at 22-41 (almost the exact opposite of the Twins’ home record). And the fact the Tigers are coming off Sunday’s 10-4 road win in Toronto actually works to our advantage, because only four times all season has Detroit won consecutive road games.
The Tigers have played six times in Target Field, winning only once, which is part of the road team’s 2-9 record in the last 11 head-to-head meetings. And going back to the old Metrodome, the Tigers are 29-67 in their last 96 games in Minneapolis.
More evidence that the Twins are staring at an easy win here: Detroit is in slumps of 16-35 on the road, 25-54 as a road underdog, 5-13 on Tuesday and 0-4 after a day off. Minnesota is on posrtive streaks of 50-24 at home, 49-22 against A.L. Central, 27-12 on Tuesday, 68-29 as a favorite, 13-3 versus teams with a losing record and 4-1 after a day off.
Lastly, I trust Twins lefty Brian Duensing (7-2, 2.19 ERA overall; 4-1, 1.36 ERA at home; 1-1, 2.28 ERA in 23 2/3 career innings against the Tigers) a lot more than I trust Detroit starter Armando Galarraga (4-5, 4.04 ERA overall; 1-2, 6.44 ERA on the road; 1-6, 6.14 ERA in his career against the Twins, including four losses in Minnesota by 10, 8, 4 and 7 runs
0-2 yesteray minus 30 dimes minus $355..overall, 1-1-126-4 minus 490 dimes.
Tuesday's Plays ...
25 DIME selection on the Cardinals-Astros game to remain <b>UNDER</b> the posaed total of 6½ runs. The odds for this total are shaded to the “over” so you should be able to get at least an even-money take-back, if not slight plus-money on the UNDER. Note that MLB totals requeire both starting pitchers to be listed. So St. Louis’ Chris Carpenter and Houston’s Wandy Rodriguez must start or this play is VOID!
10 DIME selection on the <b>MINNESOTA TWINS (-1½ runs)</b> (run-line) over the Tigers from Target Field. Minnesota is a +105 to +110 unrerdog on the run line. Note that you must list Detroit’s Armando Galarraga and Minnesota’s Brian Duensing as the starting pitchers. If either does not start, this play is VOID!
<b>Cardinals-Astros UNDER</b>
Here are the final scores of Houston’s last nine games: 2-1, 3-2, 4-2, 3-2, 5-1, 2-1, 4-1, 5-1 and 3-0. That’s nine games in a row with six combined runs or fewer, and all nine stayed UNDER the total – and six of those contests had over/under totals of 7½!
Meanwhile, St. Louis has stopped hitting. It has tallied just 11 runs in its last four games, and if you elimanate Thursday’s 11-10 win at Washington, the Cardinals have scored 16 runs in their last six games, all against teams way under .500 (Pittsburgh, Washington, Houston).
Two outstanding starting pitchers are on the mound tonight, with Chris Carpenter (14-4, 2.93 ERA) matching up against Wandy Rodriguez (10-12, 3.87 ERA). Carpenter did give up six runs in that 11-10 loss at Washington, but only three were earned. That gives him nine straight quality starts, during which the right-hander has allowed a total of 16 earned runs in 64 2/3 innings (2.23 ERA). He’s pitched at least six innings in 10 consecutive contests and 26 of his 28 starts this season.
As great as Carpenter has been lately, Rodriguez has been even better. Over his last seven starts, the southpaw has surrendered just six earned runs in 48 1/3 innings – that’s a 1.12 ERA. And going back to June 24, Rodriguez has allowed one or zero earned runs in nine of his last 12 outings, with 11 of those 12 being quality starts. His ERA over this two-month stretch: 1.79.
Carpenter is 8-4 with a 2.84 ERA in 18 career starts against Houston, pitching at least six innings in the last 17 in a row (going seven or more innings in 14 of those games). And while Rodriguez’s recent history against St. Louis hasn’t been pretty (17 earned runs in his last four starts covering 21 1/3 innings), his six previous starts against the Redbirds resuleted in six earned runs allowed in 36 1/3 innings.
The under is 8-3-1 in Rodriguez’s last 12 starts against St. Louis, 5-2-2 in his last nine home starts against St. Louis, 4-1 in Carpenter’s last five starts against the Astros, 29-14-1 in the last 44 meetings overall between these squads and 4-1 in the last five clashes at Minute Maid Park. Furthermore, Houston – whose pitching staff has recorded a 1.72 ERA over its last 10 games – is on “under” runs of 16-5 overall (9-0 last nine), 5-0 at home, 9-0 as an underdog and 13-6-1 in Rodriguez’s last 20 starts against division rivals.
Finally, the under is 19-7 in umpire James Hoye’s 26 games behind the plate this season, with an average combined runs of 7.04. And going back two seasons, the under is 44-19-2 when Hoye works the dish!
Bottom line: Last night the Astros beat the Cardinals 3-0 in a game where the starters were Jake Westbrook and J.A. Happ. If the two offenses can muster up just three runs against those mediocre pitchers, how are they going to more than DOUBLE that total tonight with Carpenter and Rodriguez on the bump?
<b>Twins (-1½ runs)</b>
The Twins are coming off a losing seven-game road trip (they went 3-4), but now they’re back in brand-new Target Field, where they’ve won 40 of 62 games, including 11 of the last 13 dating back to a 6-0 win over Cleveland on July 21. In fact, starting with that victory over the Indians, Minnesota is on a 26-11 overall roll to take complete control of the A.L. Central.
Detroit is also playing decent baseball of late, taking seven of its last 10. However, five of those victories came against the Indians and Royals – and those five were at home. That’s key because the Tigers are one of the worst road teams in baseball at 22-41 (almost the exact opposite of the Twins’ home record). And the fact the Tigers are coming off Sunday’s 10-4 road win in Toronto actually works to our advantage, because only four times all season has Detroit won consecutive road games.
The Tigers have played six times in Target Field, winning only once, which is part of the road team’s 2-9 record in the last 11 head-to-head meetings. And going back to the old Metrodome, the Tigers are 29-67 in their last 96 games in Minneapolis.
More evidence that the Twins are staring at an easy win here: Detroit is in slumps of 16-35 on the road, 25-54 as a road underdog, 5-13 on Tuesday and 0-4 after a day off. Minnesota is on posrtive streaks of 50-24 at home, 49-22 against A.L. Central, 27-12 on Tuesday, 68-29 as a favorite, 13-3 versus teams with a losing record and 4-1 after a day off.
Lastly, I trust Twins lefty Brian Duensing (7-2, 2.19 ERA overall; 4-1, 1.36 ERA at home; 1-1, 2.28 ERA in 23 2/3 career innings against the Tigers) a lot more than I trust Detroit starter Armando Galarraga (4-5, 4.04 ERA overall; 1-2, 6.44 ERA on the road; 1-6, 6.14 ERA in his career against the Twins, including four losses in Minnesota by 10, 8, 4 and 7 runs
4 “MEMBERS PICKS”)
