Service Plays Tuesday 7/6/10

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Bob Balfe

Netherlands -165

We all saw Uruguay escape by the skin of their teeth last week with a hand ball on the goal line that prevented Ghana from winning. Uruguay will not have the support from any of the refs today who will be looking to give them yellow or perhaps red cards. I do not see it being good for World Cup soccer having a team get to the finals that way. The Netherlands have a solid defense that will frustrate Uruguays strikers. Look for a low scoring and lopsided penalties and free kicks in favor of the Netherlands. Once Holland gets the lead, they will play smothering defense. Take the Netherlands.
 
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DUNKEL MLB

Florida at LA Dodgers

The Marlins look to build on their 5-2 record in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Florida is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Marlins favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Florida (+140). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JULY 6
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: San Diego at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Richard) 14.746; Washington (Hernandez) 14.996
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+100); Over

Game 903-904: Atlanta at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 14.546; Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.039
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135); Under

Game 905-906: Cincinnati at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Harang) 14.861; NY Mets (Santana) 16.025
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-140); Under

Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Lincoln) 15.490; Houston (Rodriguez) 14.643
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+120); Under

Game 909-910: San Francisco at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.350; Milwaukee (Wolf) 14.120
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+130); Over

Game 911-912: St. Louis at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Hawksworth) 16.141; Colorado (Francis) 14.972
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+130); Over

Game 913-914: Chicago Cubs at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Silva) 13.782; Arizona (Enright) 14.835
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+100); Under

Game 915-916: Florida at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Volstad) 16.142; LA Dodgers (Padilla) 14.988
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+140); Under

Game 917-918: Minnesota at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pavano) 14.178; Toronto (Litsch) 14.649
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+120); Under

Game 919-920: Baltimore at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Arrieta) 15.182; Detroit (Galarraga) 14.360
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+170); Under

Game 921-922: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Doubront) 15.025; Tampa Bay (Niemann) 16.170
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-165); Over

Game 923-924: Cleveland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 15.505; Texas (Wilson) 15.084
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-255); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+215); Under

Game 925-926: LA Angels at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 16.785; White Sox (Peavy) 15.959
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-110); Under

Game 927-928: NY Yankees at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 14.477; Oakland (Cahill) 15.972
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+135); Under

Game 929-930: Kansas City at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Greinke) 15.765; Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 15.446
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-115); Under
 
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DUNKEL WNBA

New York at Seattle

The Storm look to build on their 6-0-1 ATS record in their last 7 games against teams with a losing SU record. Seattle is the pick (-9) according to Dunkel, which has the Storm favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-9). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JULY 6
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 601-602: New York at Seattle (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 109.106; Seattle 122.965
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 14; 153
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 9; 150 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-9); Over

Game 603-604: Connecticut at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 110.184; San Antonio 110.261
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 153
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 1 1/2; 156
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+1 1/2); Under

Game 605-606: Indiana at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 115.875; Chicago 113.625
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 2; 142
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 3; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3); Under

Game 607-608: Phoenix at Los Angeles (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 111.504; Los Angeles 109.864
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 3; 178
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+3); Over
 
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Fox Sheets 7/6

Here are all the five and four stars for today. Some contradict, so for those dont play

Tuesday, 07/06/2010 (901) SAN DIEGO vs. (902) WASHINGTON Favoring: WASHINGTON on the run line. Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to +165) (WASHINGTON) - average hitting team (AVG =.255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.00) -NL, playing on Tuesday
(56-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (84.8%, +42.3 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1 +4.1 units).

Tuesday, 07/06/2010 (901) SAN DIEGO vs. (902) WASHINGTON Favoring: SAN DIEGO on the run line. Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SAN DIEGO) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL
(41-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.4%, +31.9 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0 +4.7 units).

Tuesday, 07/06/2010 (901) SAN DIEGO vs. (902) WASHINGTON Favoring: WASHINGTON on the run line. Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (WASHINGTON) - average hitting team (AVG =.255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.00) -NL, playing on Tuesday
(40-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (88.9%, +32.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1 +4.1 units).

Tuesday, 07/06/2010 (901) SAN DIEGO vs. (902) WASHINGTON Favoring: WASHINGTON on the run line. Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to +165) (WASHINGTON) - revenging 2 straight losses where team scored 2 or less runs, off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite
(42-7 since 1997.) (85.7%, +32.7 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0 +4 units).

Tuesday, 07/06/2010 (917) MINNESOTA vs. (918) TORONTO Favoring: TORONTO on the run line. Play On - Home teams against a 1.5 run line (TORONTO) - poor AL offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA<=3.75), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse on the season (AL)
(41-13 since 1997.) (75.9%, +31.6 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1 +3.4 units).

Tuesday, 07/06/2010 (901) SAN DIEGO vs. (902) WASHINGTON Favoring: WASHINGTON on the run line. Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (WASHINGTON) - average hitting team (AVG = .255 to .269) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70) -NL, playing on Tuesday
(83-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.8%, +51.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (10-2 +6.4 units).

Tuesday, 07/06/2010 (929) KANSAS CITY vs. (930) SEATTLE Favoring: SEATTLE on the run line. Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SEATTLE) - terrible offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20) (AL), after a loss by 2 runs or less
(42-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.4%, +30.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (9-2 +7.2 units).

Tuesday, 07/06/2010 (919) BALTIMORE vs. (920) DETROIT Favoring: DETROIT on the money line. Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start, after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings
(59-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.5%, +41.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0 +3 units).

Tuesday, 07/06/2010 (927) NY YANKEES vs. (928) OAKLAND Favoring: OAKLAND on the run line. Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games
(79-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.3%, +49.8 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (8-4 +0.8 units).

Tuesday, 07/06/2010 (925) LA ANGELS vs. (926) CHI WHITE SOX Favoring: CHI WHITE SOX on the run line. Play On - Home teams against a 1.5 run line (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL)
(64-31 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.4%, +44.2 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-3 +1.9 units).

Tuesday, 07/06/2010 (925) LA ANGELS vs. (926) CHI WHITE SOX Favoring: CHI WHITE SOX on the run line. Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts
(65-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.7%, +46 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (11-8 +5.3 units).

Tuesday, 07/06/2010 (915) FLORIDA vs. (916) LA DODGERS Favoring: LA DODGERS on the run line. Play On - All favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 to +160) (LA DODGERS) - after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings against opponent with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.000 the last 5 games
(40-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.8%, +33.6 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1 +3.3 units).

Tuesday, 07/06/2010 (917) MINNESOTA vs. (918) TORONTO Favoring: TORONTO on the run line. Play On - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (TORONTO) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (<=.320) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), in July games
(34-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.9%, +26 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1 units).

Tuesday, 07/06/2010 (925) LA ANGELS vs. (926) CHI WHITE SOX Favoring: CHI WHITE SOX on the run line. Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 3 starts
(80-42 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.6%, +51.7 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (11-8 +4.5 units).

Tuesday, 07/06/2010 (929) KANSAS CITY vs. (930) SEATTLE Favoring: SEATTLE on the run line. Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SEATTLE) - bad offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20) (AL), after a loss by 2 runs or less
(81-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.4%, +47.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (12-4 +7.1 units).
 
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SPORTS WAGERS

Netherlands –1.35 over Uruguay

The "South American World Cup" took a turn for the worse when three of their four teams were eliminated in the quarterfinals at the hands of European teams. Uruguay, the second smallest nation participating in the tournament, is the last South American team standing and now must face the Netherlands for a spot in the final. The 'Oranje' shocked the world (but not us) and knocked off football superpower Brazil with a very impressive 2-1 victory. They trailed 1-0 at halftime and then did the unthinkable in scoring two unanswered goals in the second half. The Brazilians were all over the Netherlands early in the contest, scoring a goal in just the 10th minute, due to a number of Dutch defensive blunders. The Netherlands buckled down defensively and held the Brazilians to just a handful of opportunities as the game progressed. The Dutch hadn't been out of third gear in this World Cup prior to its victory over Brazil but they still entered that match playing impressive football on both sides of the ball. They swept through their group with relatively easy victories over Denmark, Japan and Cameroon. Holland would have kept a clean sheet throughout the group stage if not for a converted penalty kick by Samuel Eto'o. They were robbed of another shutout in their Round-16 match vs. Slovakia when the Slovaks were wrongly awarded a penalty kick in the dying seconds of stoppage time. The Dutch have only allowed 16 shots on target in the entire tournament and only one of its three goals allowed has been surrendered from regular play. The Uruguayans have also played a tight game defensively in this World Cup, surrendering just 18 shots on target and two goals. They shared an auspicious honor with only Portugal in keeping a clean sheet throughout the group stage. Uruguay won their group in impressive fashion, with victories against both Mexico and South Africa and a draw against France. They dominated South Korea in their Round-16 match, even though the score line would only read 2-1. When Uruguay was not just focused on stopping the Koreans, they were nearly impossible to contain and dispossess. They fell behind 1-0, in their quarterfinal match against Ghana, when goalkeeper Nestor Muslera was caught napping on a shot from long range. Diego Forlan netted the equalizer in the second half and Uruguay went on to win, via penalty kicks, in what was certainly the most dramatic game of this World Cup. Diego Forlan and Luis Suarez have announced themselves to the world as one of the most lethal combos in international play. Forlan is a magician with the ball and Suarez is a goal scorer through and through. One problem though... Luis Suarez is not eligible to play in this match, after receiving a red card for "smartly" blocking a Ghanaian match-winning goal with his hand in the final minute of extra time. Forlan is brilliant but a Suarez-less offense should essentially cripple the Uruguayan scoring attack. Uruguay will also be without defender Jorge Fucile due to a one game suspension and it's also a possibility that defensive anchor and captain Diego Lugano will miss the match with a knee injury. Holland will have some personnel issues of their own, with suspensions to both Gregory van der Wiel and Nigel De Jong. The Netherlands enters this match on an incredible 24-game unbeaten streak and they are the only team in this World Cup to have won every match that they have played. Arjen Robben and Wesley Sneijder are two of the best footballers on the planet and you can rest assure they will have a huge impact on this match. With the key losses in the Uruguayan squad it's very likely that the Netherlands will constantly be on the attack. Uruguay has not faced an offense as explosive as the Netherlands and it's hard to imagine that they will be able to hold them off for 90 minutes. Without Suarez it's difficult to envision Uruguay scoring a goal on this stingy Dutch defense. The Uruguayans will also have to avoid a "letdown" after the emotional rollercoaster of their quarterfinal match. The Netherlands is peaking at the right time and enters this match with all kinds of momentum. They are the better team, with a more impressive resume, and they are capable of putting this match out of reach very early. It should be noted that if the unthinkable was to happen and Uruguay was to advance in this match we would have our Uruguay: TO WIN WORLD CUP wager alive at over 17-1. Play: Netherlands –1.35 (Risking 2.7 units to win 2).
 
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Fantasy Sports Gametime

Tuesday Baseball

100* Play Detroit (-180) over Baltimore
Game starts at 7:00 PM EST



Baltimore has lost 4 of the last 5 games and they have also lost 22 of the last 27 road games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs. Baltimore has lost 98 of the last 131 games as an underdog of +150 or higher and pitcher, Jake Arrieta is 0-2 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 9.45.



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50* Play Tampa Bay (-155) over Boston

Game starts at 7:10 PM EST



Tampa Bay has won 5 of the last 6 games and they have also won 63 of the last 86 games as a home favorite of -150 to -200. Jeff Niemann has won 7 of the last 8 games as a favorite of -125 to -175 and he has won 4 consecutive games when playing on a Tuesday.




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50* Play Milwaukee (-150) over San Francisco

Game starts at 8:10 PM EST



San Francisco has lost 7 of the last 9 road games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and they have also lost 15 of the last 21 road games as an underdog of +100 or higher. Milwaukee pitcher, Randy Wolf ahs won 16 of the last 19 home games vs. NL West Division Opponents and he has an ERA of 2.95 over the last 3 starts.



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WNBA Basketball



50* Play Seattle (-9.5) over New York

Game starts at 3:00 PM EST



Seattle has won 14 of their 16 games this season and they have also won 21 of the last 22 home games as a favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. Seattle has won 5 consecutive games coming off a road win and they have also won 8 of the last 9 games when playing their 2nd game in 5 days.

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Tuesday World Cup



50* Play Uruguay (+.5 goals) over Netherlands



***Extra Time and Penalty Kicks does not count towards plays***
 
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TheSportsCapper Baseball

Play Texas (-240) over Cleveland (TOP MLB PLAY)

Play NY Yankees (-155) over Oakland (BONUS MLB PLAY)
 
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WUNDERDOG

Game: Indiana at Chicago (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Indiana -155 (moneyline)

This becomes a big game for Indiana who after last season's run to the WNBA Championship round, find themselves two full games behind Washington for second place in the East. The 9-6 record is good, but since they started 0-2, they have since gone 9-4. This team was out of the gate at 2-3, but has since only lost three games - all to teams with winning records, that combine for a 37-13 mark. Chicago is playing better, but certainly not in the mold of teams that have beaten Indiana now that they have things going. With this being a huge game for the Fever, a win is in order.

I'll go with Indiana on the moneyline.
 
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Stephen Nover

Tuesday's Plays

25 Dime Release on San Diego with Richard over Washington and Hernandez.

20 Dime Release is on Kansas City with Grienke over Seattle and Rowland-Smith.

15 Dime Release is on Oakland with Cahill over the Yankees and Sabathia.


Note that all these schedulad pitchers must start in these games or else this selectiaon is null and void. As these plays are releastd at 8 AM Eastern, the Padres are -115, the A's are +145 and the Royals are -110 both in Las Vegas and offshore.
 

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