Service Plays Tuesday 6/8/10

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JR ODonnell | NBA Money Line Tue, 06/08/10 - 9:00 PM

triple-dime bet 705 LAL (+125) BetUS vs 706 BOS
Analysis:
Lakers $$$$$ line winner

Fading the Killer C's tonight !!

We are on the Lake show tonight as JR O knocks down the Lakers outright!





Lakers ML + 125 winner...game 3 winner @ 9

We're on the Lakers on the $$$$ line tonight as the world is on the Boston Celtics at home in game 3 tonight. The Lakers will take the Paul Pierce locker room material and use a sound defensive plan and stop the Ray Allen show from going off as he did last game. The Rondo triple double really got to Coach Jackson's boy's & Ray Allen offensive out put will not happen tonight as the D will be stepped up. The Lakers respond well after a poor outing and the we note that the Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5. The Boys from Boston will be the public side as a 7-2 home ats spread run will have the public take notice!! Let’s roll out the boys from California as we will ca~ll for an outright Lakers W
 
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King Creole | NBA Total Tue, 06/08/10 - 9:00 PM

double-dime bet 705 LAL / 706 BOS Under 193.0 Bodog
Analysis: Tuesday, June 8th / Game Three / NBA Finals / 9:00pm ET
Los Angeles Lakers @ Boston Celtics
2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
 
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Andre Gomes | NBA Total Tue, 06/08/10 - 9:00 PM

double-dime bet 705 LAL / 706 BOS Under 193.0 Bookmaker.com
Analysis:

*Double Dime Play*

I have to admit that this play was already on my mind before the series started just because this is a strong spot for both teams struggle to score so it’s just a matter of grading the play into a Single, Double or Triple Dime Play. Luckily for us, game 2 ended with the Over cashing so for game 3 we are getting a better line (193 points) than in game 1 and 2.

The Lakers defense has doing a good overall job in defending the Celtics. In game 1 the Celtics shot 43.3% from the field while scoring just 30 points in the paint, in game 2 the Celtics shot 42.9% from the field and scored 36 points in the paint. However the Celtics went from scoring 89 points in G1 for 103 points G2, the X factor was obviously Ray Allen and his “treys” as the Celtics shot 11-16 behind the arc with Allen connecting a NBA Finals record of 8-11. It’s hard (however I can’t say impossible) for Allen to have such incredible numbers and so it will be tough for the Celtics to score against the Lakers defense.

On the other end the Celtics defense showed up in game 2 after being pounded in the first game. After allowing 48 points in the paint and being completely outrebounded and outmuscled they bounced back and gave up only 26 points in the paint while they dominated the glass. It’s even more impressive if we take in account that due to foul trouble Kevin Garnett played only 24 minutes and their four frontcourt players KG, Perkins, Wallace and Davis had all 4 personal fouls at the end of the 3rd quarter so I have to say as well that it will be tough for the Lakers to score against the Celtics defense.

Saying this I believe that we have two strong factors that we can add to the discussion and both will favor a low scoring outcome:

1) The referees were blasted for their performance in the first two games of the series, basically there are whistling too much. Kobe Bryant’s “fouls” got the attention from the media but we should not forget that the Lakers went to the charity line 41 times in game 2! The Celtics went a respectable mark of 26 times as well! These are strange numbers because we are dealing with two terrific defensive teams that usually don’ foul much. I expect the referees to be more “conservative” in this contest which will turn the game more physical and less prone to the free throws.

2) The Finals schedule. Ok, both teams had 4/5 days to prepare for game 1 and then 2 days to prepare game 2. Now that they have to travel from LA to Boston in a huge trip they have only 1 day to rest! A quick look for the game 2’ minutes logged:

Derek Fisher 34:40
Kobe Bryant 34:18
Pau Gasol 41:58
Ron Artest 40:31
Andrew Bynum 39:00

Ray Allen 43:30
Rajon Rondo 41:58
Paul Pierce 40:01
Kevin Garnett 23:43
Kendrick Perkins 31:47

As you can see both coaches aren’t using the bench as all the starters (besides Kevin Garnett due to foul trouble) received heavy minutes. For this contest I expect both teams to have tired legs and I believe that we will be dealing with a physical and ugly game.

Curiously we had a similar spot in the 2008 Finals in game 3 between these two teams and I was with the Under in that game. The totals line was 195.5 points and the final score was…87-81!

NOTE: I’m taking the Under as my Double Dime Play but there is a chance for this play to be upgraded into a Triple Dime Play. We might also have a side play but the decision will be made only tomorrow - 05PM EST, thanks


Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on Under 193
 
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PNR

Under 8.5 OAK/LAA @ 1.83 (-125 American)
Under 8 MIN/KC @ 1.91 (-110 American)
Under 7½ NYM/SD @ 1.80 (-125 American)
Under 7.5 LAD/STL @ 1.77 (-130 American
 

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CURRENT PLAYS
2010
SYSTEMPLAYS CURRENT PLAYS:
Tues 6/8
MLB
Phi -134 ov Fla
Cin +125 ov SF
Min -127 ov KC
YTD: 112 W 107 L -.18 UNITS
 

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The Vegas Killers - (Comps)

John Harrison - Braves -105 (2 UNITs)
Nolan Fernandez - Marlins/Phillies OVER 9.5
Richie Parker - Angels/A's UNDER 8.5 -105 (2 UNITs)
Dave Eckstein - Twins -127
Chad Greene - Angels -1.5 EVEN
 

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Sports Investment Group

Colorado -1.5 +105.....let's stay with the hot hand

(9-2 last 11)
 
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Benjamin lee Eckstein

Ben lee had Np on Monday.

For Tuesday "Mr Chalk" likes two the Mets -$140/Padres and the Brewers -$140/Cubs.

"Mr Chalk" is 36-29 -$880 for the 2010 MLB season.
 

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St. Bernadine Sports
Andrew Bucciarelli
26-8 run (76%)
Thu 2-0
Fri 2-1
Sat 2-1
Sun 3-0
Mon 1-2
Tue 3-0
Wed 3-0
Thu 1-1
Fri 2-1
Sat 3-0
Sun 2-1
Mon 2-1
Tue
1* Tigers
1* Twins
3* LA Angels

 
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Bill Marzano

Matchup: Pittsburgh at Washington
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Tue)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) KARSTENS, J vs. (R) STRASBURG, S

Play: Washington (-1.5 +110)

I really like the Washington Nationals in this game vs the Pittsburgh Pirates...believe the hype! S.Strasburg is the real deal and so is their No.1 overall pick B.Harper...the nations capital will be buzzing tonight and you can believe the Nationals players are excited as well...although I believe Strasburg will be on a limited pitch count, he will shut down the Pirates bats...I also think the Nats bats will come to life giving Strasburg plenty of run support and turning it over to the pen...Strasburg run line is the play here
 
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Foxsheets 6/8

Super Situations

CHC at MIL
Play On - Home teams (MILWAUKEE) cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts
181-123 over the last 5 seasons. ( 59.5% | 64.0 units )
18-16 this year. ( 52.9% | 2.9 units )

Situational Power Trends

SDG at NYM
SAN DIEGO is 18-8 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was: SAN DIEGO (3.9) , OPPONENT (3.1)

LAA at OAK
LA ANGELS are 21-7 (+14.7 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season.
The average score was: LA ANGELS (5.1) , OPPONENT (3.9)
 
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Dave Cokin

Matchup: Florida at Philadelphia
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Tue)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) VOLSTAD, C vs. (R) KENDRICK, K

Play: Florida (ML +130)

The Phillies are the two-time defending NL Champs, and they're a good bet to be there again come playoff time this season. But right now, this team's offense is stuck in a big time funk. They got completely shut down again on Monday by Wade LeBlanc. He's a lefty, and that's where this attack really struggles, but even against righties it's not as though Philly is crushing the ball. Add in the fact that they are sending out their #5 starter tonight in Kyle Kendrick, and I see the Phils being a little overpriced tonight. Chris Volstad has been pretty steady for the Marlins, so I like their chances of scoring a road win here. Grab the price with the Florida side.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Matchup: St Louis at L.A. Dodgers
Time: 10:10 PM EDT (Tue)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) CARPENTER, C vs. (R) KURODA, H

Play: St Louis (ML -115) Solid Gold Play

The Dodgers are on a pretty substantial roll right now, so betting against this team at home is not the easiest proposition on the planet. But if there's a night to do so, this looks to be it. Chris Carpenter is in his usual machine-like form for the Cardinals, and he has absolutely owned LA. In six career starts against the Dodgers, Carpenter is 5-0 with a glittering 2.20 ERA. The hosts counter with Hiroki Kuroda, who's usually good enough to keep his team in it, but who also has not been at his best lately. This is a cheap price for Carpenter, and it's low enough for me to step forward with a call on the Cardinals.
 

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The Prez

NBA FINALS GAME 3 BEST BET *CELTICS-LAKERS*

8* Play on Boston -2.5
 
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HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-June 8th

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[912] Colorado |8*|-200|B+0|Network N/A|8:40 pm EST

[924] Texas |5*|-115|B+0|Network N/A|8:05 pm EST

[915] St Louis |5*|-125|B+0|Network N/A|10:10 pm EST
 
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randall the handle MLB


Kansas City +1.27 over MINNESOTA
Play: Kansas City +1.27 (Risking 2 units).

CHICAGO –1½ +1.74 over Detroit
Play: Chicago –1½ +1.74 (Risking 2 units).

Florida +1.29 over PHILADELPHIA
Play: Florida +1.29 (Risking 2 units).

COLORADO –1½ +1.09 over Houston
Play: Colorado –1½ +1.09 (Risking 2 units).

Toronto +1.83 over TAMPA BAY
Play: Toronto +1.83 (Risking 2 units).


Randall the handle NBA 6.8

Game 3
BOSTON –2½ over Los Angeles
Play: Boston –2½ (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).
 

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