Scott Rickenbach
Tuesday MLB 10* Top Play - Boston Red Sox Money Line (+) @ New York
Yankees @ 7:05 ET - Considering that the Yankees are 17-8 at home this season and the Red Sox have a
losing record on the road plus Masahiro Tanaka is 6-2 versus Boston in his career while Drew Pomeranz
is winless in 4 career starts versus the Yanks, you may be surprised to see New York as such a small
favorite here. However, this low line is absolutely justified and I am grabbing the small road dog BoSox
in this one. Pomeranz is 2-0 in his last 3 starts with a 2.12 ERA and he has struck out 25 in the 17 innings
spanning those 3 starts. Conversely, the Yankees have lost 4 straight Tanaka starts and the right-hander
has an 11.21 ERA in these 4 starts. Plus Tanaka has given up 48 hits in the 31 innings spanning his 6
starts since he shutout Boston in late April. Much has changed for Tanaka since that rare shutout win
over the BoSox and they get their revenge here on Tuesday night in a big AL East battle. 10* BOSTON on
the money line
Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 8* OVER 9 runs in Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 7:05 ET - I know
Ivan Nova has a low ERA on the season but he has allowed at least 3 earned runs in 5 of his last 6 starts
plus he has been fortunate the damage hasn't been worse as he has been hit quite hard. In his last 6
starts Nova has given up 51 hits in 41 innings of work. Also, Nova has just 13 strikeouts in the 35 innings
spanning his last 5 starts. A lot of contact from the hitters could quickly lead to trouble for Nova at
hitter-friendly Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Certainly the O's Kevin Gausman is quite likely to also be
struggling tonight. The right-hander, dating back to April 18th, has a 6.65 ERA! Like Nova, Gausman has
been suffering a "hit parade" against opposition hitters of late as he has given up 35 hits in 21 and 1/3
innings spanning his last 4 starts! The over is 5-1 this season, and 29-14 the last 3 seasons, in Pirates
games when they are playing after a day off. Also, the over is 6-2 this season in Bucs road games with a
posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs. Look for the over to improve to 5-2 this season in Orioles inter-league
games. Baltimore has averaged 9.8 hits per game in their last 5 games and Pittsburgh has averaged 10.9
his per game in their last 12 games! Plenty of hits are likely in this one too given the pitching match-up
early
Tuesday evening. 8* OVER 9 runs in Baltimore
Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 8* OVER 7.5 runs +105 in Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox @ 7:10 ET -
Low total posted here because Chris Archer is on the mound for the Rays. I'll step in and take advantage
because Jose Quintana has allowed 15 earned runs in the 7 innings spanning his last two starts for the
White Sox. Also, Archer has a modest 3.86 ERA in his last 3 starts so it's not like he's been absolutely
dominating the opposition of late. Even though Tampa Bay's most recent game stayed under the total it
was preceded by 6 straight overs and was also the 8th straight time a Rays game finished with at least 8
runs scored. Of course 8 runs gets us in the money here and Tampa Bay had scored an average of 6 runs
per game in their 6 games prior to being held to just 1 run Sunday. As for the ChiSox, 6 of their last 7
games have totaled at least 8 runs and the White Sox have given up 9.8 runs per game in their last 5
games! The Rays are 23-14 to the over in night games this season and 4-1 to the over when playing with
a day off. The White Sox are 15-8 this season when playing against a team with a losing record, 5-2 to
the over when playing with a day off, and in the 10 games they've played this season where they've
entered on a losing streak of 3 games or more, only 1 of the 10 stayed under the total! 8* OVER 7.5 runs
+105 in Tampa Bay
Rickenbach
Tuesday MLB 8* OVER 9 runs in Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels @ 7:10 ET - The Angels
will have Jesse Chavez on the mound. This season he is 1-4 with a 5.78 ERA on the road. This is nothing
new as, the past 3 seasons combined, he went 6-17 on the road with a 4.60 ERA. The point is, don't be
surprised if he struggles again Tuesday night at Comerica Park on a cool evening but on a night when the
wind will be blowing out a decent clip and aiding the hitters. As for the Tigers starter tonight, it is Daniel
Norris and, overall, I am fan of the southpaw. However, Norris was fortunate he only gave up 2 earned
runs in his starts against the Angels last month as he did allowed 7 hits in less than 6 innings of work.
Also, Detroit is just 1-3 in the 4 home starts that Norris has made as he has a 5.32 ERA that could easily
be even higher as he has a 1.77 WHIP in those 4 home outings. The over is 6-1 in the Tigers last 7 games.
Also, prior to an under Sunday, the over was on a 6-3 run in Angels games. The over is 34-18 in Tigers
June games the past 2+ seasons and the over is 6-1 this season when Detroit is playing after a day off.
The Angels have won all 9 of their Tuesday games this season and their hitting has led the way as Los
Angeles is 6-3 to the over in games on Tuesdays this year. Look for more of the same in this one. 8*
OVER 9 runs in Detroit
Total Dominator - Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER 10.5 runs +100 in Colorado Rockies vs
Cleveland Indians @ 8:40 ET - I know the Indians Mike Clevinger has surprisingly decent numbers since
moving into the rotation but, in my opinion, the last 2 starts are a sign of things to come. Clevinger has
given up 7 earned runs in the less than 12 innings of work spanning his last 2 starts AND he gave up 2
homers in EACH outing! Now he has to pitch at hitter-friendly Coors Field and this one is offering great
line value with the downward line move from an opener of 11. We're getting some value here because,
just like Clevinger, Antonio Senzatela is over-rated and he is also showing some signs that a bit of an
unraveling is about to take place. Senzatela has just one quality start in his last 4 starts. In the other 3
starts he only worked 5 innings in each start plus allowed 4 innings in each starts. That's a consistent
7.20 ERA in those 3 starts. Senzatela has been fortunate in that he gets a lot of run support and that has
also helped lead the way to a 6-2 run to the over in his last 8 starts. The Rockies game Sunday at San
Diego stayed under the total but that was just the 2nd over in Colorado's last 8 games. The Rockies have
been a surprisingly strong team this season and they have averaged 5.4 runs per game at home this
season. The Indians come into this one hot at the plate and have averaged 5.8 runs per game in their
last 8 games. Senzatela's most recent home start was a gem but his 4 prior home starts went 4-0 to the
over. At hitter-friendly Coors Field, look for the over to improve to 8-3 in Rockies Tuesday games this
season. 10* OVER 10.5 runs in Colorado
Tuesday MLB 10* Top Play - Boston Red Sox Money Line (+) @ New York
Yankees @ 7:05 ET - Considering that the Yankees are 17-8 at home this season and the Red Sox have a
losing record on the road plus Masahiro Tanaka is 6-2 versus Boston in his career while Drew Pomeranz
is winless in 4 career starts versus the Yanks, you may be surprised to see New York as such a small
favorite here. However, this low line is absolutely justified and I am grabbing the small road dog BoSox
in this one. Pomeranz is 2-0 in his last 3 starts with a 2.12 ERA and he has struck out 25 in the 17 innings
spanning those 3 starts. Conversely, the Yankees have lost 4 straight Tanaka starts and the right-hander
has an 11.21 ERA in these 4 starts. Plus Tanaka has given up 48 hits in the 31 innings spanning his 6
starts since he shutout Boston in late April. Much has changed for Tanaka since that rare shutout win
over the BoSox and they get their revenge here on Tuesday night in a big AL East battle. 10* BOSTON on
the money line
Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 8* OVER 9 runs in Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 7:05 ET - I know
Ivan Nova has a low ERA on the season but he has allowed at least 3 earned runs in 5 of his last 6 starts
plus he has been fortunate the damage hasn't been worse as he has been hit quite hard. In his last 6
starts Nova has given up 51 hits in 41 innings of work. Also, Nova has just 13 strikeouts in the 35 innings
spanning his last 5 starts. A lot of contact from the hitters could quickly lead to trouble for Nova at
hitter-friendly Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Certainly the O's Kevin Gausman is quite likely to also be
struggling tonight. The right-hander, dating back to April 18th, has a 6.65 ERA! Like Nova, Gausman has
been suffering a "hit parade" against opposition hitters of late as he has given up 35 hits in 21 and 1/3
innings spanning his last 4 starts! The over is 5-1 this season, and 29-14 the last 3 seasons, in Pirates
games when they are playing after a day off. Also, the over is 6-2 this season in Bucs road games with a
posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs. Look for the over to improve to 5-2 this season in Orioles inter-league
games. Baltimore has averaged 9.8 hits per game in their last 5 games and Pittsburgh has averaged 10.9
his per game in their last 12 games! Plenty of hits are likely in this one too given the pitching match-up
early
Tuesday evening. 8* OVER 9 runs in Baltimore
Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 8* OVER 7.5 runs +105 in Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox @ 7:10 ET -
Low total posted here because Chris Archer is on the mound for the Rays. I'll step in and take advantage
because Jose Quintana has allowed 15 earned runs in the 7 innings spanning his last two starts for the
White Sox. Also, Archer has a modest 3.86 ERA in his last 3 starts so it's not like he's been absolutely
dominating the opposition of late. Even though Tampa Bay's most recent game stayed under the total it
was preceded by 6 straight overs and was also the 8th straight time a Rays game finished with at least 8
runs scored. Of course 8 runs gets us in the money here and Tampa Bay had scored an average of 6 runs
per game in their 6 games prior to being held to just 1 run Sunday. As for the ChiSox, 6 of their last 7
games have totaled at least 8 runs and the White Sox have given up 9.8 runs per game in their last 5
games! The Rays are 23-14 to the over in night games this season and 4-1 to the over when playing with
a day off. The White Sox are 15-8 this season when playing against a team with a losing record, 5-2 to
the over when playing with a day off, and in the 10 games they've played this season where they've
entered on a losing streak of 3 games or more, only 1 of the 10 stayed under the total! 8* OVER 7.5 runs
+105 in Tampa Bay
Rickenbach
Tuesday MLB 8* OVER 9 runs in Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels @ 7:10 ET - The Angels
will have Jesse Chavez on the mound. This season he is 1-4 with a 5.78 ERA on the road. This is nothing
new as, the past 3 seasons combined, he went 6-17 on the road with a 4.60 ERA. The point is, don't be
surprised if he struggles again Tuesday night at Comerica Park on a cool evening but on a night when the
wind will be blowing out a decent clip and aiding the hitters. As for the Tigers starter tonight, it is Daniel
Norris and, overall, I am fan of the southpaw. However, Norris was fortunate he only gave up 2 earned
runs in his starts against the Angels last month as he did allowed 7 hits in less than 6 innings of work.
Also, Detroit is just 1-3 in the 4 home starts that Norris has made as he has a 5.32 ERA that could easily
be even higher as he has a 1.77 WHIP in those 4 home outings. The over is 6-1 in the Tigers last 7 games.
Also, prior to an under Sunday, the over was on a 6-3 run in Angels games. The over is 34-18 in Tigers
June games the past 2+ seasons and the over is 6-1 this season when Detroit is playing after a day off.
The Angels have won all 9 of their Tuesday games this season and their hitting has led the way as Los
Angeles is 6-3 to the over in games on Tuesdays this year. Look for more of the same in this one. 8*
OVER 9 runs in Detroit
Total Dominator - Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER 10.5 runs +100 in Colorado Rockies vs
Cleveland Indians @ 8:40 ET - I know the Indians Mike Clevinger has surprisingly decent numbers since
moving into the rotation but, in my opinion, the last 2 starts are a sign of things to come. Clevinger has
given up 7 earned runs in the less than 12 innings of work spanning his last 2 starts AND he gave up 2
homers in EACH outing! Now he has to pitch at hitter-friendly Coors Field and this one is offering great
line value with the downward line move from an opener of 11. We're getting some value here because,
just like Clevinger, Antonio Senzatela is over-rated and he is also showing some signs that a bit of an
unraveling is about to take place. Senzatela has just one quality start in his last 4 starts. In the other 3
starts he only worked 5 innings in each start plus allowed 4 innings in each starts. That's a consistent
7.20 ERA in those 3 starts. Senzatela has been fortunate in that he gets a lot of run support and that has
also helped lead the way to a 6-2 run to the over in his last 8 starts. The Rockies game Sunday at San
Diego stayed under the total but that was just the 2nd over in Colorado's last 8 games. The Rockies have
been a surprisingly strong team this season and they have averaged 5.4 runs per game at home this
season. The Indians come into this one hot at the plate and have averaged 5.8 runs per game in their
last 8 games. Senzatela's most recent home start was a gem but his 4 prior home starts went 4-0 to the
over. At hitter-friendly Coors Field, look for the over to improve to 8-3 in Rockies Tuesday games this
season. 10* OVER 10.5 runs in Colorado
