EasyBaseballBetting
Went 2-1 yesterday, hitting Tigers at +148 and the Royals at +120 and now have 5 plays on tap.
Here are two of those picks, the other three can be purchased below.
Diamondbacks (+260) over Cardinals - We are going to take a little chance here with Dontrelle Willis. The +260 of the D'backs is just too big to pass up. First, the Cardinals are impressive in games 1s going 18-7, +7.6 units. The rest of the series, they are mediocre at best = 22-26, -15 units. So what we basically have here is a below 500 team that is super mondo favorites. They hit lefties a bit better than they do righties but after a win, they are -12 units whereas off a loss are +5 units. So something about this team causes them to lack the motivation to come back and win a second game in a row. This is going to be more important a game for Willis than it is for the Cardinals. With that said, +260 is pure value.
Pirates (+215) over Cubs - These Pirates are not a very good team on the season BUT a lot of their bad record has come from non-divisional rivalry games 8-19, -3.5 units and interleague games 2-13, -11 units. This is a total of 10-32, -14.5 units. In divisional rivalry games, these Pirates are 16-18, +6 units. They are a totally different team when playing rivals. This makes them super value as a +215 dog. Our program always tends to look for these dichotomies. A team that is undervalued perhaps because of a poor record but they have either a super strong home record, record vs lefties, divisional rivalry record, etc that justifies their odds to be much better than it should be. And then by betting those teams, you make money in the long run.