Tony George | MLB Money Line Tue, 06/22/10 - 10:10 PM
dime bet 930 SEA (-105) BetUS vs 929 CHC
Analysis:
Seattle -105
Cheap number for the Mariners at home who are flying under the radar screen here, winning 4 in a row and getting staring showings out of Justin Vargas, who toes the rubber tonight. The Cubs are just not bankable about anywhere, especially o the road in this spot. They are 8-12 their last 20 games overall, and are 3rd in MLB in Errors on the season. Seattle off a 3 game sweep of the Reds and this is the first road game for the Cubs in 9 games. Cubbies off a win are 1-8 the next game, and while the Cubs hit left handers well, Vargas is a stud with under a 3 ERA on the season and rarely puts runners in scoring position.
Play 1 Unit on the Mariners. BONUS PLAY – Play a half unit on the TWINS -125 tonight. As Always, listed pitchers only.
dime bet 930 SEA (-105) BetUS vs 929 CHC
Analysis:
Seattle -105
Cheap number for the Mariners at home who are flying under the radar screen here, winning 4 in a row and getting staring showings out of Justin Vargas, who toes the rubber tonight. The Cubs are just not bankable about anywhere, especially o the road in this spot. They are 8-12 their last 20 games overall, and are 3rd in MLB in Errors on the season. Seattle off a 3 game sweep of the Reds and this is the first road game for the Cubs in 9 games. Cubbies off a win are 1-8 the next game, and while the Cubs hit left handers well, Vargas is a stud with under a 3 ERA on the season and rarely puts runners in scoring position.
Play 1 Unit on the Mariners. BONUS PLAY – Play a half unit on the TWINS -125 tonight. As Always, listed pitchers only.
OffshoreInsiders Senior Handicapper Matt Rivers has a baseball pick on the Arizona Diamondbacks getting 130 at home to the NY Yankees.
Sure the Yankees are light years better than the D-Backs and may win the World Series but if I can get some money back at home with a stud in Dan Haren than I'm fine with it.
Haren is a borderline great pitcher who can hurl a gem at anytime. Granted I have no qualms with Andy Pettitte who is having a fine season but the lefty has been a tad shakier of late and on the road across the country like this could spell a little trouble.
Arod and Posada are not 100% and the Bombers will lose a big bopper with this game being in a National League park. Joe Girardi's boys are going to be behind the eight ball a little here at the BOB or whatever this ballpark is now called in Phoenix. It won't be the usual 1 thru 9 Murderer's Row type of a lineup that we see today.
Arizona is not very good but they have been a lot better at home than on the road where they had that 14 game losing streak. The snakes are extremely mediocre but they do give you some potential with Reynolds, Upton, Young and Drew and to get them plus a little bit with Haren in the desert is enough for a small play.
The pick: Arizona +130
Sure the Yankees are light years better than the D-Backs and may win the World Series but if I can get some money back at home with a stud in Dan Haren than I'm fine with it.
Haren is a borderline great pitcher who can hurl a gem at anytime. Granted I have no qualms with Andy Pettitte who is having a fine season but the lefty has been a tad shakier of late and on the road across the country like this could spell a little trouble.
Arod and Posada are not 100% and the Bombers will lose a big bopper with this game being in a National League park. Joe Girardi's boys are going to be behind the eight ball a little here at the BOB or whatever this ballpark is now called in Phoenix. It won't be the usual 1 thru 9 Murderer's Row type of a lineup that we see today.
Arizona is not very good but they have been a lot better at home than on the road where they had that 14 game losing streak. The snakes are extremely mediocre but they do give you some potential with Reynolds, Upton, Young and Drew and to get them plus a little bit with Haren in the desert is enough for a small play.
The pick: Arizona +130
4-Unit Play. Take #652. Take Over 161.5 Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty (Tuesday @ 7:30pm est)
You heard it here first, Minnesota is on an up-curve. As my client, and a future drinking partner as I'm a sucker for a good barley (preferrably irish, those cats know their alky) and peanuts, don't say I never gave you good wagering advice on beaver ball. In seriousness, Minnesota changed the course of their play after being beat 51-89 on their home court as a two point dog to Indiana. Then, although they lost by double-digits to Phoenix, they played well on the road and that is when I noticed this team and its slow ascent. I knew Vegas is favoring this team for a run as they only set them as 5.5 dogs to LA on the road as the 5.5 line is indicative of a dog to win outright both in wnba, the nba, college football and college basketball during my years of tracking that number. This team lost to the Sparks but just by four points 84-88 and covered the line. This team then came back home to defeat Tulsa 78-67 and then went on the road to defeat Tulsa again by fourteen as it is very difficult to defeat a team in back to back ballgames when they are playing a home and home. I'm not saying they will beat New York today, but I am saying they are likely to give-em hell'. These two teams have not met this year and are not familiar with each other's offense as much. Tack that on the fact New York has played four of five overs, and back to back losses, look for the Liberty to put up their fair share of points at home today as well. Plus, with over 60% on New York at home, look for an active dog in Minnesota and a consequent over. Its the old Indian Cowboy philosophy of active dog typically = overs (which works for the nba, nfl and college basketball
4-Unit Play. Take #926. Take Oakland Athletics -120 over Cincinnati Reds (Tuesday @ 10:05pm est)
As I write this, both teams are squaring off right now and it is currently 1-0 Cincy around the fourth inning. Regardless of the result of this game, we will be on Oakland. But, if the Reds do end up winning, that is even better as we can take the A's on the bounce-back. I like the fact that Bronson comes off a win against the Dodgers but even he admitted he was a bit fortunate giving up six walks and still managing to pick up the win. The American League is very familiar with Arroyo during his time with the Redsox and I look for them to have success today. Bear in mind that Bronson has not put together back to back quality starts over his last six efforts and following his career, he has never really put together back to back quality efforts since being with the Reds. Time and time again, I have faded Bronson in years' if he was coming off a brilliant outing, but with the Reds playing so well and Bronson making certain changes, he has been much better than in years' past. Nevertheless, I look for Arroyo to give up around four runs to the A's who come back home after a long road trip and will see more pitches that they can take advantage of which they did not see with Mike Leake the day before. Braden is finally back home where he as pitched well. Dallas has managed to keep a 3.78era in the American League which is impressive but he went through a tough stretch of three non-quality starts against the Twins, Tigers and Angels. However, he went on the road to give up just one run in six innings to the Cubs at Chicago. I look for Braden to step up at home today where he has beat the likes of TampaBay in a complete game shutout. Although Oakland has struggled of late, I look for them to take out some frustration on Bronson and rally behind Braden.
VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER
WNBA PLAYS
3 Unit Play. #651 Take Minnesota +5 ½ over New York (Tuesday 6/22 7:35 PM)
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MLB BASEBALL PLAYS
3 Unit Play. #906 Take Washington -115 over Kansas City (7:05 p.m., Tuesday June. 22)
2 Unit Play. #912 Take NY Mets +110 over Detroit (7:10 p.m., Tuesday June. 22)
3 Unit Play. #916 Take Texas -1 ½ -120 over Pittsburgh (8:05 p.m., Tuesday June. 22)
WNBA PLAYS
3 Unit Play. #651 Take Minnesota +5 ½ over New York (Tuesday 6/22 7:35 PM)
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MLB BASEBALL PLAYS
3 Unit Play. #906 Take Washington -115 over Kansas City (7:05 p.m., Tuesday June. 22)
2 Unit Play. #912 Take NY Mets +110 over Detroit (7:10 p.m., Tuesday June. 22)
3 Unit Play. #916 Take Texas -1 ½ -120 over Pittsburgh (8:05 p.m., Tuesday June. 22)
CAJUN SPORTS
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -130 Detroit Tigers Play Title: Cajun Sports MLB 3-Star Baseline Bash Winner
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The Detroit Tigers will send ace Justin Verlander to the bump with his 8-4 record and ERA of 3.58 on the season. He has won his last three starts since losing back-to-back outings at the end of last month. Justin has given up just seven runs on sixteen hits during that span. He is 4-2 on the highway with an ERA of 4.27. The Mets will counter with Joe Niese who is 4-2 on the year with a 3.64 ERA including 2-1 at home with an ERA of 2.65 in those contests. A check of the database reveals several key team angles and league-wide systems that are active for tonight’s game. The League is 54-23 as a road favorite after a win in which their opponent left fewer than 10 men on base for a profit of $2385. The League is 42-19 as a favorite after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits and it is the first game of a series for a profit of $1498. The Tigers are 24-9 after a win in which their opponent left fewer than 10 men on base for a profit of $1345. The League is 72-128 as a dog after being shutout for a profit of $2341 when playing against them. With the combination of solid fundamental and technical support for the visitor we will back them here as they grab the first game of this series on Tuesday night in New York.
PROJECTED FORECAST: 3* Detroit Tigers 4 New York Mets 2
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -130 Detroit Tigers Play Title: Cajun Sports MLB 3-Star Baseline Bash Winner
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Detroit Tigers will send ace Justin Verlander to the bump with his 8-4 record and ERA of 3.58 on the season. He has won his last three starts since losing back-to-back outings at the end of last month. Justin has given up just seven runs on sixteen hits during that span. He is 4-2 on the highway with an ERA of 4.27. The Mets will counter with Joe Niese who is 4-2 on the year with a 3.64 ERA including 2-1 at home with an ERA of 2.65 in those contests. A check of the database reveals several key team angles and league-wide systems that are active for tonight’s game. The League is 54-23 as a road favorite after a win in which their opponent left fewer than 10 men on base for a profit of $2385. The League is 42-19 as a favorite after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits and it is the first game of a series for a profit of $1498. The Tigers are 24-9 after a win in which their opponent left fewer than 10 men on base for a profit of $1345. The League is 72-128 as a dog after being shutout for a profit of $2341 when playing against them. With the combination of solid fundamental and technical support for the visitor we will back them here as they grab the first game of this series on Tuesday night in New York.
PROJECTED FORECAST: 3* Detroit Tigers 4 New York Mets 2
JIMMY BOYD
St Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Total: 7.5/112 Under Play Title:
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
4* Major Interleague Total of the Week on Cardinals/Blue Jays UNDER 7.5 +112 I'll take the Under in this matchup of quality starters tonight. Garcia toes the rubber for St. Louis, and he has been an automatic Unders bet. The Cards have played to the Under in 12 of his 13 starts this season, including all 7 on the road. Cecil has been a solid Unders play as well. The Jays have played to the Under in 7 of his 11 starts, including 3 of 4 at home. Another thing that can't be overlooked is that Toronto is only hitting .199 and scoring just 2.9 runs per game against southpaw starters this season. The Under is also 33-16-3 in the Cardinals last 52 games vs. a left-handed starter and 6-2-1 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Bet the Under.
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St Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Total: 7.5/112 Under Play Title:
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
4* Major Interleague Total of the Week on Cardinals/Blue Jays UNDER 7.5 +112 I'll take the Under in this matchup of quality starters tonight. Garcia toes the rubber for St. Louis, and he has been an automatic Unders bet. The Cards have played to the Under in 12 of his 13 starts this season, including all 7 on the road. Cecil has been a solid Unders play as well. The Jays have played to the Under in 7 of his 11 starts, including 3 of 4 at home. Another thing that can't be overlooked is that Toronto is only hitting .199 and scoring just 2.9 runs per game against southpaw starters this season. The Under is also 33-16-3 in the Cardinals last 52 games vs. a left-handed starter and 6-2-1 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Bet the Under.
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ROB VINCILETTI -GOLDEN CONTENDER
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. LAA Angels (MLB) - 10:05 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Total: 8/105 Over Play Title: RV: TUESDAY 3X-LARGE MLB 15-1 TOTAL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK
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On Tuesday the 15-1 Totals system play is on the over in the LA. Dodgers at LA. Angels game. Rotation numbers 927/928 at 10:05 eastern. This game fits a solid system that has cashed 15 of the last 16 times. What we want to do is play the over for road favorites like the Dodgers off a road dog loss where trhey scored 4 or less runs and had 5 or more men left on base vs an opponent like the Angels coming off a road game where they had 10 or more hits. These games average a shade over 12 runs per game. Now for some teams angles we note the Dodgers have flown over the total in 5 of 7 games when the posted total is 8 to 8.5 and they average 5 runs per game on the road this year. The Angels have gone over 4 of 5 times off a day off, 4 of 5 times as a home dog in this range and 9 of 12 times in interleague play. The Angels are also averaging 5.7 runs per game in interleague play. This season in the series 2 of the 3 games have gone over the total. The Dodgers should have no problem here against Angels starter E. Santana. Santana has an elevated 5.12 home era and has a 6.19 era over his past 3 starts. Look for this game to go over the posted total.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. LAA Angels (MLB) - 10:05 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Total: 8/105 Over Play Title: RV: TUESDAY 3X-LARGE MLB 15-1 TOTAL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
On Tuesday the 15-1 Totals system play is on the over in the LA. Dodgers at LA. Angels game. Rotation numbers 927/928 at 10:05 eastern. This game fits a solid system that has cashed 15 of the last 16 times. What we want to do is play the over for road favorites like the Dodgers off a road dog loss where trhey scored 4 or less runs and had 5 or more men left on base vs an opponent like the Angels coming off a road game where they had 10 or more hits. These games average a shade over 12 runs per game. Now for some teams angles we note the Dodgers have flown over the total in 5 of 7 games when the posted total is 8 to 8.5 and they average 5 runs per game on the road this year. The Angels have gone over 4 of 5 times off a day off, 4 of 5 times as a home dog in this range and 9 of 12 times in interleague play. The Angels are also averaging 5.7 runs per game in interleague play. This season in the series 2 of the 3 games have gone over the total. The Dodgers should have no problem here against Angels starter E. Santana. Santana has an elevated 5.12 home era and has a 6.19 era over his past 3 starts. Look for this game to go over the posted total.
