Service Plays Tuesday 5/18/10

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DCI

Season: 444-301 (.596)

Eastern Conference Playoffs, Finals
Game 2, best-of-7 series
PHILADELPHIA 3, Montreal 2
Western Conference Playoffs, Finals
Game 2, best-of-7 series
Chicago vs. SAN JOSE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
 
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DUNKEL NBA

Boston at Orlando

The Celtics look to follow up their Game 1 win and build on their 8-3 ATS record in their last 11 playoff games as an underdog of 5 to 10 1/2 points. Boston is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: Boston (+7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MAY 18
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST
Game 505-506: Boston at Orlando (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 127.525; Orlando 127.073
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 7 1/2; 189
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+7 1/2); Under
 
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DUNKEL MLB

Minnesota at Toronto

The Blue Jays look to bounce back from yesterday's 8-3 loss and build on their 6-1 record in Shaun Marcum's last 7 starts against the AL Central. Toronto is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jays favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MAY 18
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Milwaukee at Cincinnati (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Parra) 13.617; Cincinnati (Bailey) 16.866
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3; 10
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-130); Over

Game 953-954: Arizona at Florida (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Buckner) 14.337; Florida (Johnson) 15.919
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-200); Under

Game 955-956: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 13.805; Philadelphia (Halladay) 17.806
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 4; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-300); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-300); Over

Game 957-958: NY Mets at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 15.765; Atlanta (Medlen) 14.426
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-120); Over

Game 959-960: Colorado at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 14.377; Cubs (Silva) 15.164
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-115); No Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-115); N/A

Game 961-962: Washington at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Lannan) 15.597; St. Louis (Carpenter) 14.626
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-260); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+220); Over

Game 963-964: San Francisco at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Sanchez) 16.285; San Diego (Latos) 15.479
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-110); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-110); Over

Game 965-966: Houston at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 15.207; LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.118
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-220); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+180); Over

Game 967-968: Minnesota at Toronto (12:37 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pavano) 15.824; Toronto (Marcum) 16.805
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Toronto (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-120); Under

Game 969-970: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Garcia) 15.040; Detroit (Porcello) 17.216
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-140); Under

Game 971-972: Cleveland at Tampa Bay (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Huff) 16.434; Tampa Bay (Price) 15.603
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-250); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+210); Over

Game 973-974: Boston at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 16.424; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.300
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+170); Under

Game 975-976: Kansas City at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Greinke) 15.220; Baltimore (Millwood) 14.085
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-110); Under

Game 977-978: LA Angels at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 15.254; Texas (Wilson) 16.172
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-130); Over

Game 979-980: Seattle at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 14.936; Oakland (Sheets) 13.530
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-140); Over
 
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DUNKEL NHL

Chicago at San Jose

The Sharks look to bounce back from their 2-1 loss in Game 1 and build on their 4-0 record in their last 4 games when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in the previous game. San Jose is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Sharks favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-140). Here are all of today's picks.
TUESDAY, MAY 18
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 55-56: Montreal at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 12.790; Philadelphia 12.672
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-155); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+135); Over

Game 57-58: Chicago at San Jose (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 13.154; San Jose 13.303
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-140); Over
 

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Vegas Runner's record since 4/14/10:

23 Wins 26 Losses 2 Ties in NBA since 4/14 -$2580
31 Wins 32 Losses 1 Tie in MLB since 4/14 -1895.
0 Wins 1 Loss in NHL Since 4/14 -500
Total Paid plays since 4/14, 53 Wins 58 Losses 3 Ties Down $-4975 on 116 plays
 
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Fantasy Sports Gametime

Tuesday Baseball

100* Play Tampa Bay (-240) over Cleveland
Game starts at 1:10 PM EST

Tampa Bay has won 5 of the last 6 games and they have also won 80 of the last 105 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher. David Price has won 11 of the last 12 day games and he is 5-1 this season with an ERA of 2.03.

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50* Play Florida (-190) over Arizona
Game starts at 1:10 PM EST

Florida has won 6 of the last 8 games and they have also won 5 of the last 6 home games as a favorite of -150 or higher. Josh Johnson has won 11 of the last 13 games as a home favorite of -150 to -200 and he is 3-0 at home this season with an ERA of 2.18.


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Tuesday NHL Hockey Plays

25* Play Montreal (+135) over Philadelphia

25* Play Chicago (+120) over San Jose
 
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SPORTS WAGERS

CINCINNATI –1½ +1.56 over Milwaukee

Note the 12:35 PM EST start. The Brewers are in big, big trouble. They sent out its ace last night, Yovani Gallardo and were crushed 6-3 (it was 6-1 going to the ninth). The Brewers have now dropped seven straight and they’ve allowed eight runs or more in five of those seven losses and have been outscored 57-23. Now the Brewers are making the call to the bullpen for today’s starter, Manny Parra. Parra has been given many opportunities to start and it’s not like this rotation is a tough one to crack with Dave Bush, Doug Davis and Christopher Narverson in it. In fact, one could argue that the Brewers possess the worst rotation in the majors and perhaps the worst bullpen too. Over the last 10 games, the Brewers pen has an ERA of 7.88 over the final three innings. Anyway, Parra was sent to the minors last season after he compiled a 5.17 ERA in 140 IP and a close look at his numbers over the years is rather horrifying at hitter friendly venues. At Philadelphia his career ERA is 16.88, at Wrigley it’s 9.00, at Coors Field it’s 11.57, at Dolphin Stadium it’s 22.50, at Minute Maid it’s 6.41 and at Great American it’s 5.73. Parra has started 58 games in the majors before this year and has been used exclusively out of the pen this year. He’s had four good outing in 10 appearances and a close look at that reveals that he pitched well when the Brewers were up 20-0 against Pitt and then two days later when they were up 17-3. His next two strong appearances occurred when the Brewers were down 8-1 against the Cubbies and subsequently when they won in Arizona 17-3. This guy pitches well when there’s a 10-run winning or losing margin. In all of his other appearances he was shaky as hell and that’s precisely what you can expect today. The Reds are the hottest team in the majors with nine wins in its last 10 and for the first time in years, this team can’t wait to get to the park. Play: Cincinnati –1½ +1.56 (Risking 2 units).


Colorado +1.08 over CHICAGO

The Cubbies have won two in a row but this is another team in big, big trouble. The Cubbies are an older squad that really is below average at everything they do. They, too, have a toxic pen and that pen is very likely to get called upon here. Carlos Silva is 4-0 with a 3.40 ERA in seven starts and while that’s very nice, it’s not going to last. This guy is not a winning pitcher, never has been and never will be. Despite his decent numbers, his charmed life is about to come to an end at any time. Silva has been extremely fortunate but you can see it beginning to unravel. He’s allowed 25 hits over his last 16 frames and LH’s have absolutely crushed this guy. Carlos Silva is the reason that Carlos Zambrano’s bullpen stint will not be permanent. The sample size is small for Jhoulys Chacin but his numbers are not. He has six walks and 19 K’s in 20 innings of work. Prior to his last start he did not allow a single runs in 15.1 innings. He certainly does not have overpowering stuff but he features a great changeup and he throws strikes and that alone gives him a great chance for success especially against a team like the Cubs. The Cubbies as a favorite with Silva on the hill is about as risky as it gets and all the value here is on the Rocks. Play: Colorado +1.08 (Risking 2 units).


Kansas City –1.09 over BALTIMORE

Does this one really need much explanation? Here we have one of the top five pitcher’s in the game laying a dime against one of the two worst teams in the AL. Greinke is 1-4 because of poor run support but Camden Yards is one of the better hitting parks in the AL and that has to work to Greinke’s advantage because the chances of Kevin Millwood allowing runs is much higher than Greinke’s chances. Furthermore, the Royals have woke up with four wins in five games since firing its manager while the O’s continue to lose at an alarming rate. Millwood has been pitching good but he’s not in the same caliber as Greinke, not even close and the Royals know him well with a combined 227 AB’s against him. Play: Kansas City –1.09 (Risking 2 units).
 

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dozo games handicapping

steve "young gun" p

Early Soccer Release

2* Millwall FC over Huddersfield -120
 
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Greg Shaker | MLB Money Line Tue, 05/18/10 - 8:05 PM ƒŠ

triple-dime bet 978 TEX (-123) BetUS vs 977 ANA
Analysis: MLB: Anaheim Angels at Texas Rangers - Rangers (Weaver/Wilson)(Best Bet) -123 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 5/18/2010
I just have to play Texas one more time.
 
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Lenny Del Genio | MLB Money Line Tue, 05/18/10 - 10:05 PM ƒŠ

triple-dime bet 964 SDP (-110) Bodog vs 963 SFG
Analysis: 
Play on San Diego at 10:05 EST – Play on SD.
 
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Evan Altemus | NBA Total Tue, 05/18/10 - 8:30 PM ƒŠ

triple-dime bet 505 BOS / 506 ORL Over 188.5 Sportbet
Analysis: These two teams combined for 180 points in Game 1, mainly because of Orlando’s horrible offensive performance in the 1st half. However, they were still able to get to 88 points, which is very telling. I don’t expect them to struggle that much again in the 1st half, and I expect them to make adjustments to score more points. However, the Magic are not a physical and dominant defensive team, so I expect Boston to score at least 90 points in this game. I lean toward Orlando for the side because I think Boston will be a little lackadaisical after winning Game 1. If the game is an Orlando blowout then it will definitely go over the total. Also, it was the first game of the series for both teams, which is why they played sluggish on offense. Look for Orlando to much better offensively and for both teams to be in better offensive rhythm.
 
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Foxsheets 5/18
Super Situations

METS at ATLANTA
Play Against - Road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (NY METS) with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game on the season
41-21 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.1% | 25.5 units )
5-4 this year. ( 55.6% | 1.8 units )

Power Trends

MINN at TORONTO
MINNESOTA is 24-7 (+17.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: MINNESOTA (4.9) , OPPONENT (4.2)


Super Situations

BOS/ at ORL
Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) after 1 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)
93-48 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.0% | 40.2 units )
23-13 this year. ( 63.9% | 8.7 units )

BOS at ORL
Play On - Any team vs the money line (ORLANDO) off an upset loss as a home favorite, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days
189-118 since 1997. ( 61.6% | 65.4 units )
15-12 this year. ( 55.6% | 3.4 units )

BOS at ORL
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points after allowing 35 points or less in the first half last game against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less
39-14 since 1997. ( 73.6% | 23.6 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
 
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Jim Feist

Early Walkoff Wipeout - Tuesday!
12:05 (969) CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS (970) DETROIT TIGERS
Take: 3-Star (970) DETROIT TIGERS
 

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BIG AL
Baseball Plays for Tuesday, May 18

3* White Sox/Tigers 'under' 9 (Garcia/Porcello)
3* Blue Jays -120 (Marcum/Pavano)
3* Reds/Brewers 'over' 9.5 (Bailey/Parra)
Opinion Cubs -117 (Silva/Chacin)
Opinion Mets -115 (Santana/Medlen)

Basketball Plays for Tuesday, May 18

3* Magic/Celtics 'over' 188.5
 

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