Richie Carrera
MLB
5 Dimes (Risk 6/Win 5)
Boston/TORONTO OVER 7.5 (-120) (List Lester/Drabek)
I like just one total today as we watch a no-doubt talented young righty in Kyle Drabek toe the rubber against a Boston team that is 6-3 this month and starting to figure things out. Drabek, who started off brilliantly, has been involved in some lack-luster starts of late, failing to last 6 innings in 4 of his last 5. If Toronto can post a couple off of Lester, then I think this game sails over the posted total rather easily.
MLB
5 Dimes (Risk 6/Win 5)
Boston/TORONTO OVER 7.5 (-120) (List Lester/Drabek)
I like just one total today as we watch a no-doubt talented young righty in Kyle Drabek toe the rubber against a Boston team that is 6-3 this month and starting to figure things out. Drabek, who started off brilliantly, has been involved in some lack-luster starts of late, failing to last 6 innings in 4 of his last 5. If Toronto can post a couple off of Lester, then I think this game sails over the posted total rather easily.
WUNDERDOG (MLB)
1 OF 11
Game: Detroit at Minnesota (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Minnesota -115 (moneyline)
A pair of disappointing teams opens a series in Minnesota tonight as the Tigers invade the Twin Cities. The Twins' bad start can certainly be credited to playing 23 of their first 33 on the road. That is because they no longer have the dome, and weather in Minnesota in April isn't typically conducive for baseball. The Tigers are playing good baseball of late, but Porcello has struggled on the road, leaving them with a 7-15 mark in his last 22 road starts. The Twinkies respond big time after a long road trip of seven days or more, coming home and feasting to a 52-20 mark in the home stand lid-lifter.
Play Minnesota to win this series opener.
1 OF 11
Game: Detroit at Minnesota (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Minnesota -115 (moneyline)
A pair of disappointing teams opens a series in Minnesota tonight as the Tigers invade the Twin Cities. The Twins' bad start can certainly be credited to playing 23 of their first 33 on the road. That is because they no longer have the dome, and weather in Minnesota in April isn't typically conducive for baseball. The Tigers are playing good baseball of late, but Porcello has struggled on the road, leaving them with a 7-15 mark in his last 22 road starts. The Twinkies respond big time after a long road trip of seven days or more, coming home and feasting to a 52-20 mark in the home stand lid-lifter.
Play Minnesota to win this series opener.
GC MLB Play
Tuesday Triple Pack. MLB Dog of the Week with Perfect system + Double NBA Power System Side and 18-2 MLB Road Warrior System. MLB Sweeps on Monday. Free System Play below.
On Tuesday the Free MLB System Play is on the Cleveland Indians. Game 920 at 7:05 eastern. This game fits a solid system that plays on home favorites off a road dog loss that scored 5 or more runs on 10+ hits vs an opponent that scored 5 or more runs on 10+ hits in a road win. Cleveland is a solid 13-3 at home averaging over 6 runs per game. They have won all 4 times as a home favorite from -125 to -150. Tampa Bay is just 2-5 vs winning teams this season. In the pitching match up Tampa has Sonnanstine and he has a 1-3 record with a 9.90 era vs Cleveland. The Indians counter with J. Tomlin and he has a solid 2.37 home era this season. The Indians also have a solid home bullpen era at 2.76. Look for then to take Game 1 here tonight. On Tuesday I have 3 solid Plays. The MLB Dog of the week, an 18-2 MLB Road Warrior System Play + Double System NBA Play with a perfect Angle. MLB Swept the board last night. . For the Bonus Play take the Cleveland Indians. GC
SU: 7-1 (3.5 rpg) average line:
Runs Hits Errors Walks Strike Outs Grounders Fly Balls Team left on base
Team: 6.9 12.4 0.62 4.2 6.4 10.0 8.0 8.5
Opp: 3.4 8.1 0.75 2.4 7.9 9.0 10.5 6.5
view 06-01-2004 home Yankees Mussina - R Orioles Ponson - R 8-7 1 W 5.0 O 13-14 1-1 5-2 -190 10.0 9
view 08-31-2004 home Rays Bell - R Orioles Chen - L 6-10 -4 L 6.5 O 11-17 1-0 0-5 -120 9.5 10+
view 04-15-2005 home White Sox Garland - R Mariners Pineiro - R 6-4 2 W 1.0 O 9-5 0-0 5-0 -120 9.0 9
view 09-29-2005 home Mets Glavine - L Rockies Kim - R 11-0 11 W 2.0 O 15-2 1-2 11-0 -160 9.0 9
view 06-20-2006 home Rays Hendrickson - L Diamondbacks Batista - R 8-5 3 W 3.5 O 16-10 1-0 6-0 -125 9.5 9
view 07-04-2008 home Brewers Sheets - R Pirates Gorzelanny - L 9-1 8 W 1.0 O 14-9 0-2 8-0 -210 9.0 9
view 08-20-2010 home Tigers Galarraga - R Indians Masterson - R 6-0 6 W -3.0 U 16-3 0-1 6-0 -145 9.0 9
view 04-18-2011 home Cubs Zambrano - R Padres Stauffer - R 1-0 1 W -6.0 U 5-5 1-0 1-0 -140 7.0 10+
05-10-2011 home Indians Tomlin - R Rays Sonnanstine - R -127 8.5
Tuesday Triple Pack. MLB Dog of the Week with Perfect system + Double NBA Power System Side and 18-2 MLB Road Warrior System. MLB Sweeps on Monday. Free System Play below.
On Tuesday the Free MLB System Play is on the Cleveland Indians. Game 920 at 7:05 eastern. This game fits a solid system that plays on home favorites off a road dog loss that scored 5 or more runs on 10+ hits vs an opponent that scored 5 or more runs on 10+ hits in a road win. Cleveland is a solid 13-3 at home averaging over 6 runs per game. They have won all 4 times as a home favorite from -125 to -150. Tampa Bay is just 2-5 vs winning teams this season. In the pitching match up Tampa has Sonnanstine and he has a 1-3 record with a 9.90 era vs Cleveland. The Indians counter with J. Tomlin and he has a solid 2.37 home era this season. The Indians also have a solid home bullpen era at 2.76. Look for then to take Game 1 here tonight. On Tuesday I have 3 solid Plays. The MLB Dog of the week, an 18-2 MLB Road Warrior System Play + Double System NBA Play with a perfect Angle. MLB Swept the board last night. . For the Bonus Play take the Cleveland Indians. GC
SU: 7-1 (3.5 rpg) average line:
Runs Hits Errors Walks Strike Outs Grounders Fly Balls Team left on base
Team: 6.9 12.4 0.62 4.2 6.4 10.0 8.0 8.5
Opp: 3.4 8.1 0.75 2.4 7.9 9.0 10.5 6.5
view 06-01-2004 home Yankees Mussina - R Orioles Ponson - R 8-7 1 W 5.0 O 13-14 1-1 5-2 -190 10.0 9
view 08-31-2004 home Rays Bell - R Orioles Chen - L 6-10 -4 L 6.5 O 11-17 1-0 0-5 -120 9.5 10+
view 04-15-2005 home White Sox Garland - R Mariners Pineiro - R 6-4 2 W 1.0 O 9-5 0-0 5-0 -120 9.0 9
view 09-29-2005 home Mets Glavine - L Rockies Kim - R 11-0 11 W 2.0 O 15-2 1-2 11-0 -160 9.0 9
view 06-20-2006 home Rays Hendrickson - L Diamondbacks Batista - R 8-5 3 W 3.5 O 16-10 1-0 6-0 -125 9.5 9
view 07-04-2008 home Brewers Sheets - R Pirates Gorzelanny - L 9-1 8 W 1.0 O 14-9 0-2 8-0 -210 9.0 9
view 08-20-2010 home Tigers Galarraga - R Indians Masterson - R 6-0 6 W -3.0 U 16-3 0-1 6-0 -145 9.0 9
view 04-18-2011 home Cubs Zambrano - R Padres Stauffer - R 1-0 1 W -6.0 U 5-5 1-0 1-0 -140 7.0 10+
05-10-2011 home Indians Tomlin - R Rays Sonnanstine - R -127 8.5
DAVID MALINSKY
4 UNIT* MILWAUKEE -1.5 +140 over SAN DIEGO
The San Diego Padres walked off the field for the 35th time last night, without a single player from the Monday lineup batting better than Chase Headley’s .245. This late into the season it is not just a slump, but rather an indictment of who you are, and a team that is last in the Major’s in Runs Per Game and Hits Per Game faces an uphill battle to get much at all on the scoreboard tonight. Having been held to two runs or less in 16 of 35 games, it is a mad matchup against Shaun Marcum.
The Padres have tried to use patience as their way to overcome a lack of lumber, drawing 132 W’s, but Marcum pounds the strike zone, with a sparkling 1.62 W’s per 9 over his last six starts, a span in which he has worked to a 3-0/1.15 tune. The projected San Diego lineup lacks any appreciable experience against him, so look for a lot of soft contact outs as he consistently works the corners of the strike zone.
Meanwhile Clayton Richard brings the kind of stuff you can get by with in Petco Park, which masks his mediocrity on the road. Over the past two seasons it has been a 4.62 allowance in road games, and that makes this a prime setting for what has been an under-achieving Milwaukee offense to break out – five different Brewers had an extra-base hit in winning the series opener on Monday, and they will make the kind of quality contact to break this one open. With the Run Line offering a nice rate of return, that is the best way to take advantage of this setting.
4 UNIT* MILWAUKEE -1.5 +140 over SAN DIEGO
The San Diego Padres walked off the field for the 35th time last night, without a single player from the Monday lineup batting better than Chase Headley’s .245. This late into the season it is not just a slump, but rather an indictment of who you are, and a team that is last in the Major’s in Runs Per Game and Hits Per Game faces an uphill battle to get much at all on the scoreboard tonight. Having been held to two runs or less in 16 of 35 games, it is a mad matchup against Shaun Marcum.
The Padres have tried to use patience as their way to overcome a lack of lumber, drawing 132 W’s, but Marcum pounds the strike zone, with a sparkling 1.62 W’s per 9 over his last six starts, a span in which he has worked to a 3-0/1.15 tune. The projected San Diego lineup lacks any appreciable experience against him, so look for a lot of soft contact outs as he consistently works the corners of the strike zone.
Meanwhile Clayton Richard brings the kind of stuff you can get by with in Petco Park, which masks his mediocrity on the road. Over the past two seasons it has been a 4.62 allowance in road games, and that makes this a prime setting for what has been an under-achieving Milwaukee offense to break out – five different Brewers had an extra-base hit in winning the series opener on Monday, and they will make the kind of quality contact to break this one open. With the Run Line offering a nice rate of return, that is the best way to take advantage of this setting.
DR BOB SPORTS
2 Star Best Bet
**CHICAGO (-8 ½) over Atlanta
05:05 PM Pacific - Rotation 734
The Bulls are 16-5-1 ATS this season after a loss, including 2-0 in the post-season with wins of 27 points over Indiana and by 13 points over Atlanta in game 2 of this series. I expect Chicago to bounce back tonight from their 88-100 game 4 loss in Atlanta, as the Bulls apply to a 16-1 ATS subset of a 66-27-3 ATS playoff bounce-back situation. My ratings favor Chicago by 9 ½ points in this game, so there is a little bit of value to go along with the good situation. I’ll take Chicago in a 2-Star Best Bet at -9 points or less and for 3-Stars at -8. I have no opinion on the total.
2 Star Best Bet
**CHICAGO (-8 ½) over Atlanta
05:05 PM Pacific - Rotation 734
The Bulls are 16-5-1 ATS this season after a loss, including 2-0 in the post-season with wins of 27 points over Indiana and by 13 points over Atlanta in game 2 of this series. I expect Chicago to bounce back tonight from their 88-100 game 4 loss in Atlanta, as the Bulls apply to a 16-1 ATS subset of a 66-27-3 ATS playoff bounce-back situation. My ratings favor Chicago by 9 ½ points in this game, so there is a little bit of value to go along with the good situation. I’ll take Chicago in a 2-Star Best Bet at -9 points or less and for 3-Stars at -8. I have no opinion on the total.
