STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
TUESDAY, APRIL 29th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Tuesday, 4/29/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Betting Notes - Tuesday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Niese is 1-1, 2.25 in his last three starts. Hamels allowed two runs in six IP in his first '14 start.
-- Wood is 2-3, 1.54 in five starts this season. Fernandez is 1-0, 1.80 in his last couple starts.
-- Samardzija has a 2.04 RA in five starts, but no wins. Simon is 3-1, 1.63 in his four starts this month.
-- Lohse is 4-0, 3.00 in his last four starts. Lynn is 2-1, 1.80 in his last three.
-- Stults is 1-0, 2.38 in his last couple starts.
-- Sabathia is 2-0, 2.77 in his last two starts.
-- Verlander is 3-0, 3.32 in his last three starts.
-- Perez hasn't allowed a run in his last 26 innings (4-0, 1.11 in last four starts). Oakland is 5-0 when Kazmir starts (3-0, 1.87).
-- Vargas is 2-0, 1.80 in five starts this season.
-- Weaver is 1-0, 1.50 in his last couple starts. Kluber is 2-1, 3.71 in his last four starts.
-- Tillman is 3-1, 3.94 in four starts this season.
-- GGonzalez is 3-1, 3.00 in five starts this season.
-- Greinke is 4-0, 2.45 in five starts this season. Gibson is 2-0, 0.63 in his two home starts this month.
•Cold Pitchers
-- Bolsinger is 1-1, 6.75 in two starts this season. Chatwood has a 4.74 RA in three starts.
-- Cain is 0-3, 4.94 in five starts this season.
-- Young is 0-0, 3.94 in three starts this season.
-- Lackey is 1-2, 6.16 in his last three starts. Bedard is 0-1, 9.39 in two starts.
-- Quintana is 1-2, 6.16 in his last three starts.
-- McGowan is 1-3, 6.88 in four starts this season.
-- Morton is 0-3, 6.16 in his last three starts.
-- Cosart is 0-1, 7.71 in his last three starts.
•Totals
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Mets' last seven road games.
-- Four of five Wood starts stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Cub road games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Milwaukee road games went over.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Arizona home games.
-- Eight of last ten San Diego road games stayed under.
-- Seven of last nine New York home games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Boston games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven White Sox games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Oakland road games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Toronto games went over the total.
-- Eight of nine Angel home games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Pittsburgh games stayed under.
-- Last seven Washington road games went over.
-- Six of last seven Minnesota games went over.
•Hot Teams
-- Mets/Phillies both won six of their last eight games.
-- Braves won 12 of their last 15 games.
-- Brewers won eight of last ten games. St Louis won four of last six at home.
-- Rockies won nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Giants won four of last five games; San Diego won six of its last nine on the road. .
-- Yankees won six of its last seven home games.
-- Rangers won seven of its last nine home games.
-- White Sox won six of last nine home games.
-- Royals won six of its nine home games.
-- Angels won three of their last four home games.
-- Orioles are 7-1 in game following their last eight losses.
-- Nationals are 6-1 in game after its last seven losses.
-- Twins won six of its last eight home games.
•Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost five of last six games, but are 8-4 at home.
-- Reds lost its last three games, scoring five runs. Chicago lost six of their last seven road games.
-- Diamondbacks lost 11 of its last 12 home games.
-- Mariners lost their last six away games.
-- Rays lost six of its last seven away games. Boston is 2-6 in first game of a series.
-- Tigers lost five of last six series openers.
-- Athletics lost five of its last eight games.
-- Blue Jays lost four of their last five games.
-- Indians lost its last five road games.
-- Pirates lost five of their last six games.
-- Astros lost six of their last eight home games.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last seven games.
•Umpires Trends
-- Mil-StL-- Four of last five Reyburn games stayed under.
-- Col-Az-- Five of last six Demuth games stayed under.
-- SD-SF-- All three Hernandez games went over total.
-- A's-Tex-- All three Pattillo games stayed under total.
-- Cle-LAA-- Home team won ten of last thirteen Rackley games.
Diamond Trends - Tuesday
•PITTSBURGH is 8-0 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 5.9, OPPONENT 3.4.
•BOSTON is 10-0 OVER (+10.2 Units) with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 8.5, OPPONENT 4.7.
•ARIZONA is 1-11 (-14.5 Units) against the run line versus an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.
The average score was ARIZONA 2.9, OPPONENT 6.6.
•KYLE LOHSE is 20-3 (+17.2 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LOHSE 4.6, OPPONENT 2.4.
•JON NIESE is 26-9 OVER (+16.7 Units) in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997.
The average score was NIESE 5.6, OPPONENT 5.4.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (SAN DIEGO) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing.
(79-17 since 1997.) (82.3%, +49.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (58-38)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -173
The average score in these games was: Team 5, Opponent 4 (Average run differential = +1)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 58 (60.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0, +4 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-4, +20.5 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (41-5, +32.6 units).
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