Service Plays Tuesday 4/22/14

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Tuesday's NHL playoffs betting news and notes

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens (-175, 5)

Captain Steven Stamkos avoided what appeared to be a serious injury when he took an accidental knee flush to the side of his head moments after Callahan's goal was negated late in the second period, but he returned to start the third period. Stamkos, who already missed more than four months this season due to a broken leg, picked up his second assist of the contest on defenseman Matt Carle's third-period goal and told reporters at Monday's optional skate that he felt good and expects to be in the lineup for Game 4.

P.K. Subban did not finish the regular season on a high note, failing to hit the scoresheet in his final six games, posting a collective minus-5 in that span and having his ice time cut dramatically in half those contests. However, Subban has provided a stark reminder of why he ranks among the league's elite defensemen with a stellar series against Tampa Bay, posting back-to-back games with two assists and playing a leading role during the decisive stretch of Game 3. Subban prevented a tiebreaking tally by swatting a puck out of mid-air seconds before Callahan's goal was waved off and, minutes later, put his team ahead to stay with a brilliant individual rush to set up a goal by Brendan Gallagher.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1-2 in the last eight meetings.
* Lightning are 2-5 in the last seven meetings in Montreal.
* Canadiens are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.


Boston Bruins vs. Detroit Red Wings (+122, 5)

A stomach bug sidelined defenseman Kevan Miller and Matt Bartkowski in the series opener, but the former quickly made his presence felt in Game 2 by rocking Detroit's Drew Miller and Daniel Aldredsson with big hits in the opening minutes. "Millsy, right from the start, I thought he helped set the tone with a couple of big hits, and I think they were within the first five minutes," veteran forward Jarome Iginla said. "He's a very strong competitor and it was great to have him back on the lineup and set that tone early." Somewhat overlooked thus far in the series has been the play of netminder Tuukka Rask, who has allowed one goal in each contest and beat Detroit on Sunday for only the second time in eight career meetings (2-5-1).

One of the enduring images of Game 2 was a stare-down at the end of the first period between Detroit's Smith and Boston's Zdeno Chara - with the towering Bruins captain laughing at Smith and attempting to goad him into a fight. Smith acknowledged it was not a wise idea to confront the 6-9 Chara, a move backed by Red Wings coach Mike Babcock. "I thought he made a really good decision," Babcock said of taking the high road. "You walk into a bar and there's this beautiful young gal, standing next to this 6-foot-5 monster who you know makes his living fighting for a living and you're the best pool player in the bar. Are you going to play pool? Or are you going to fight. Figure it out, seems pretty simple to me."

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Bruins are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings.
* Bruins are 0-4 in the last four meetings in Detroit.


New York Rangers vs. Philadelphia Flyers (-114, 5)

After struggling to adjust to his new team, Martin St. Louis has hit the ground running in the postseason. The 38-year-old has scored a goal and set up two others in the first two games of the series and has two tallies and eight assists in nine career playoff meetings with the Flyers. St. Louis' three points are tied for the team lead with Brad Richards, who collected a goal and two assists in Game 1.

Philadelphia avenged a series-opening 4-1 setback by rebounding from an early two-goal deficit to post a 4-2 victory on Sunday. Ray Emery will make his third consecutive start in place of the injured Steve Mason, who ruled himself out for Tuesday with an upper-body injury. The Flyers return to the comforts of Wells Fargo Center, where they claimed both regular-season meetings with the Rangers to push their home winning streak in the all-time series to three games.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Philadelphia.
* Rangers are 1-4 in the last five meetings in Philadelphia.


San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings (-125, 5)

Everything is going San Jose's way thus far in the series, as evidenced by its comeback from a 2-0 deficit in Game 2. Known more for their pugilistic skills and questionable hits than their scoring prowess, Mike Brown and Raffi Torres scored less than five minutes apart in the second period to forge a tie and spark the club's run of seven straight tallies. Torres has collected five goals and two assists in seven games this season, including a tally in each of the first two games of the series.

Trevor Lewis is the only Los Angeles forward with a goal in the series. Centers Anze Kopitar and Jeff Carter have recorded two assists apiece while right wings Marian Gaborik, Justin Williams and Dustin Brown and centers Mike Richards and Jarret Stoll have yet to notch a point. Richards received a double-minor for spearing Logan Couture late in the third period Sunday but was not suspended by the league. Los Angeles has won eight straight home meetings with San Jose.

TRENDS:

* Sharks are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles.
* Over is 9-4-2 in the last 15 meetings in Los Angeles.
* Home team is 35-16 in the last 51 meetings.
 
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Game of the Day: Yankees at Red Sox

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox (-104, 7.5)

The Boston Red Sox already got a chance to play against Jacoby Ellsbury when they visited the New York Yankees earlier this month. The home fans will get their first chance to welcome back the two-time World Series champion when the Yankees make their first visit of the season to Boston on Tuesday. Ellsbury is off to a strong start for first-place New York and had five hits against the Red Sox when the Yankees took three of four at home from April 10-13.

Boston went through an emotional weekend at home with several tributes to the one-year anniversary of the Boston Marathon bombings and ended up splitting a four-game set with the Baltimore Orioles. The Red Sox overcame a five-run deficit to take Sunday’s game and nearly overcame a six-run hole before leaving the tying run on third base at the end of Monday’s 7-6 setback. The Yankees dropped two of three to the Tampa Bay Rays over the weekend, allowing 27 runs in the first two games before recovering for a 5-1 victory in 12 innings in Sunday’s finale.

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, MLB Network, YES (New York), NESN (Boston)

LINE HISTORY: The Red Sox opened as -133 home favorites and now sit at -104.

POWER RANKINGS: New York (-186), Boston (-165).

INJURY REPORT: N/A.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (2-0, 2.05 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Jon Lester (2-2, 2.17)

Tanaka will get his first taste of the historic rivalry after his turn did not come up during the first meeting between the teams. The Japan native has been everything New York expected when they brought him in during the offseason and is coming off his best start after holding the Chicago Cubs to two hits over eight scoreless innings last week. Tanaka has notched 28 strikeouts while issuing only two walks in 22 total innings.

Lester retired the first 16 batters he faced and outdueled Chris Sale to earn a win at the Chicago White Sox last week, striking out nine over eight frames. The 30-year-old beat the Yankees in his previous turn, surrendering two runs on six hits in 6 2/3 innings, and has yielded two or fewer earned runs in each of his four starts. Lester gave up a single to Ellsbury and walked him once in the first meeting.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0 in Lester's last four starts vs. Yankees.
* Under is -1 in Lester's last five home starts vs. Yankees.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Boston.
* Yankees are 1-4 in the last five meetings in Boston.

CONSENSUS: The wagers are split 50-50 between the Yankees and Red Sox.
 
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Vegas gunners

(nba) 9:35 pm est – washington wizards vs. Chicago bulls
washington wizards +5 (-110) – risk 10 units
 
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EZWINNERS

2 STAR SELECTION (919) Baltimore Orioles +$120
(Risking $290 to win $240)
(Action)

2 STAR SELECTION (904) New York Mets +$143
(Risking $200 to win $286)
(Action)

2 STAR SELECTION (928) Seattle Mariners -$180
(Risking $360 to win $200)
(Listing Ramirez and Mchugh)
 
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DIAMOND DOG SPORTS MLB

2.5* #905: Marlins: +115
Pitchers: Fernandez / Wood

.5* #925: Rangers: +130
Pitchers: Martinez / Milone

2.5* #901/902: Over Pirates: 6.5 (-115)
Pitchers: Cueto / Volquez

1* #919/920: Under Blue Jays: 8.5 (-110)
Pitchers: Gonzalez / Dickey
 

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FantasySportsGametime

TUESDAY
NBA BASKETBALL

1000* Play Washington +5 over Chicago (NBA TOP PLAY)
9:30 PM EST

Chicago has lost 4 of the last 5 games against the spread and they have also lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread vs. Washington at home.Chicago has lost 53 of the last 88 home games against the spread and they have lost 38 of the last 57 games against the spread when playing as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

50* Play Atlanta +7 over Indiana (NBA BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Brooklyn +4.5 over Toronto (NBA BONUS PLAY)



=========================================


NHL HOCKEY


50* Play NY Rangers +125 over Philadelphia (NHL BONUS PLAY)

50* Play San Jose +135 over Los Angeles (NHL BONUS PLAY)
 

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FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Tampa Bay -185 over Minnesota (MLB TOP PLAY)

David Price has won 46 of the last 68 games coming off a team loss and he has won 41 of the last 67 games when pitching in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half of the season.David Price has won 74 of the last 117 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has an ERA of 2.20 vs. Minnesota over his career.


1000* Play Milwaukee -130 over San Diego (MLB TOP PLAY)

Yovani Gallardo has won 14 consecutive games coming off two or more team wins and he has won 20 of the last 29 games when pitching as a favorite of -125 to -175.Yovani Gallardo has won 7 of the last 9 games when pitching on a Tuesday and he is 2-0 in all starts this season with an ERA of 1.46.

=====================================================



50* Play St. Louis -140 over New York Mets (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Oakland -140 over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)
 

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XpertPicks

TUESDAY


  • Play Brooklyn +4.5 over Toronto (NBA)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
    8:00 PM EST

Toronto has lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread and they have also lost 9 of the last 14 home games against the spread when playing as a favorite of six points or less.Toronto has lost 28 of the last 41 home games against the spread coming off a division home loss and they are allowing an average of 100 points over the last five games.



  • Play Atlanta +7 over Indiana (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
  • Play Washington +5 over Chicago (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL

=========================================================


NHL HOCKEY


  • Play NY Rangers +125 over Philadelphia (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
  • Play San Jose +135 over Los Angeles (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
 

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XpertPicks

TUESDAY BASEBALL



  • Play St. Louis -140 over New York Mets----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
    7:10 PM EST

Dillon Gee has lost 9 of the last 13 games when the total posted is 7 runs or less and he has lost 7 of the last 8 games when pitching on a Tuesday. Dillon Gee has lost 11 of the last 15 games when pitching as a home underdog of +100 or higher and he has lost 12 of the last 16 games after giving up one or less earned runs in his last outing.



  • Play Los Angeles Dodgers -155 over Philadelphia----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
    7:10 PM EST

Hyun-Jin Ryu has won 7 of the last 9 games when pitching as a favorite of -125 to -175 and he has won 4 of the last 5 games when pitching on a Tuesday. Hyun-Jin Ryu has won 6 of the last 8 games vs. NL East Division Opponents and he has won 11 of the last 17 games coming off a team loss.

=======================================================================




  • Play San Francisco -110 over Colorado----RISK 3% OF YOUR BANKROLL
  • Play Miami +125 over Atlanta----RISK 3% OF YOUR BANKROLL

 

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BeatYourBookie

TUESDAY

NBA Basketball


10* Play Atlanta +7 over Indiana (NBA TOP PLAY)
10* Play Brooklyn +4.5 over Toronto (NBA TOP PLAY)
10* Play Washington +5 over Chicago (NBA TOP PLAY)


NHL Hockey


10* Play Montreal -185 over Tampa Bay (NHL TOP PLAY)
10* Play Boston -130 over Detroit (NHL TOP PLAY)
 
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Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = St Louis Cardinals @ New York Mets - METS TO WIN (+158)
Listed Pitchers: Wainwright vs Gee
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 3.16 units)

The Mets shutout the Cards in game one of this series with a 2-0 win last night. The Cardinals will send out Adam Wainwright to the mound who has been stellar over four starts this year. He is 3-1 with a 1.80 ERA, .163 OBA and 0.87 WHIP. Although Wainwright has been great all season, for some reason he struggles with the Mets. Lifetime over 40.1 innings he has posted a 6.02 ERA vs New York. The Mets will go with Dillon Gee tonight on the mound who is 1-0 on the season with a 3.71 ERA, .196 OBA and 0.97 WHIP. Gee has faded in late innings this year and over his career, but manager Terry Collins gave him the yank after 7 shutout innings in his last start where he took the win vs Arizona. Gee holds a career 3.65 ERA vs the Cardinals going 2-1. While the Mets are struggling at the plate, the Cardinals aren't doing much better - especially as of late. St Louis has scored 2 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6 games. Take note that the Cardinals are just 1-4 in Wainwright's last 5 starts vs the Mets. At a nice underdog price I'll back Gee and the Mets.
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT
TUESDAY, APRIL 22nd 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


#915 CHI WHITE SOX @ #916 DETROIT - 7:05 PM
•White Sox LH Charlie Leesman (2013: 0-0, 7.04 ERA, WHIP: N/A ) - Leesman, who pitched 15 1/3 innings over eight games in 2013 - his first major league season, will be called up from Triple-A Charlotte on Tuesday. The 27-year-old Cincinnati native made his only start in his major-league debut Aug. 9, when he allowed one run, four hits and five walks while striking out eight in Chicago's 3-2 loss to Minnesota. Leesman was 0-2 with a 1.59 ERA while allowing 15 hits and striking out 11 in 17 innings over three starts with Charlotte this season.

•Tigers RH Justin Verlander (2-1, 2.08 ERA, WHIP: 1.346) - Verlander left after five innings and 113 pitches Thursday, allowing three unearned runs, six hits and four walks while striking out seven in a 7-5 victory over Cleveland. The 31-year-old Manakin-Sabot, Va., native is 14-12 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 29 career starts against Chicago - 0-2, 5.54, 1.92 last season. The White Sox's roster is hitting .217 against Verlander, with Adam Dunn (5-for-25, three homers, seven RBIs and 11 strikeouts) an all-or-nothing proposition.

--KEY STAT: VERLANDER is 10-18 (35.7%, -21.0 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VERLANDER 4.0, OPPONENT 4.1.

--VERLANDER is 11-21 (34.3%, -25.7 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VERLANDER 4.2, OPPONENT 4.4.

#917 KANSAS CITY @ #918 CLEVELAND - 7:05 PM
•Royals RH James Shields (1-2, 2.00 ERA, WHIP: 0.963) - Shields has allowed only one earned run in each of his last three starts, although seven crossed the plate against him two outings back against Minnesota. The Californian has recorded 26 strikeouts – 12 in his last game -- in 27 innings and opponents are batting .202 against him. Mike Aviles is 10-for-30 with two homers versus Shields, who is 3-5 with a 3.84 ERA in 14 starts against Cleveland.

--KEY STAT: SHIELDS is 11-1 (91.6%, +9.9 Units) against the money line in road games versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 5.3, OPPONENT 1.6.

--SHIELDS is 7-0 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 5.3, OPPONENT 2.1.

•Indians RH Danny Salazar (0-2, 7.71 ERA, WHIP: 1.927) - Salazar has yet to find his groove, failing to get through five innings in each of his last two starts and pitching only 5 2/3 frames in his season debut. The 24-year-old Dominican has struck out 17 in 14 innings but handed out eight walks. Salazar gave up four runs in six innings to lose in his only outing against Kansas City last season.

#919 BALTIMORE @ #920 TORONTO - 7:05 PM
•Orioles RH Miguel Gonzalez (1-1, 6.28 ERA, WHIP: 1.675) - Gonzalez struggled in his first two starts but turned in a strong effort with five scoreless innings against Tampa Bay last time out. The Mexico native allowed only three hits in that start but walked three and needed 98 pitches to get through five frames. Gonzalez is 4-2 with a 3.00 ERA in eight career games - seven starts - against Toronto.

•Blue Jays RH R.A. Dickey (1-3, 6.26 ERA, WHIP: 1.652) - Dickey threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings in his lone win April 5 but has yielded a total of 10 runs in 11 1/3 frames to lose his last two. The knuckleballer battled his command last time out, issuing five walks in 4 1/3 innings at Minnesota. Dickey made three starts against Baltimore in 2013 and went 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA and 10 walks in 18 2/3 innings.

--KEY STAT: DICKEY is 13-3 UNDER (81.2%, +9.6 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DICKEY 3.1, OPPONENT 3.3.

#921 MINNESOTA @ #922 TAMPA BAY - 7:10 PM
•Twins RH Kyle Gibson (3-0, 0.93 ERA, WHIP: 1.086) - Gibson has emerged as one of the league’s best surprises in April while allowing two runs over 19 1/3 innings in three straight wins. The 26-year-old, who was 2-4 in 2013 with a 6.53 ERA, has some room for improvement though after walking nine. Gibson gave up four runs, four hits and four walks in a loss at Tampa Bay on July 9 last season, giving up a two-run single to Matt Joyce.

•Rays LH David Price (2-1, 4.39 ERA, WHIP: 1.200) - Tampa Bay won in Price’s first three starts before the New York Yankees collected six runs on 10 hits in five innings against him Thursday. The 2012 Cy Young Award winner has struck out 28 and walked three in 26 2/3 frames and needs one out to reach 1,000 career innings. Price has controlled Mauer (2-for-14) and is 2-2 in seven games (six starts) versus the Twins with a 2.66 ERA.

--KEY STAT: PRICE is 30-10 UNDER (75.0%, +18.5 Units) in home games versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was PRICE 3.4, OPPONENT 3.3.

#923 NY YANKEES @ #924 BOSTON - 7:10 PM
•Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (2-0, 2.05 ERA, WHIP: 0.773) - Tanaka will get his first taste of the historic rivalry after his turn did not come up during the first meeting between the teams. The Japan native has been everything New York expected when they brought him in during the offseason and is coming off his best start after holding the Chicago Cubs to two hits over eight scoreless innings last week. Tanaka has notched 28 strikeouts while issuing only two walks in 22 total innings.

•Red Sox LH Jon Lester (2-2, 2.17 ERA, WHIP: 1.034) - Lester retired the first 16 batters he faced and outdueled Chris Sale to earn a win at the Chicago White Sox last week, striking out nine over eight frames. The 30-year-old beat the Yankees in his previous turn, surrendering two runs on six hits in 6 2/3 innings, and has yielded two or fewer earned runs in each of his four starts. Lester gave up a single to Ellsbury and walked him once in the first meeting.

--KEY STAT: LESTER is 14-3 (82.3%, +11.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LESTER 5.7, OPPONENT 2.8.

--LESTER is 7-1 against the run line (87.5%, +8.0 Units) in home games versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LESTER 6.1, OPPONENT 2.0.

#925 TEXAS @ #926 OAKLAND - 10:05 PM
•Rangers RH Nick Martinez (0-0, 4.50 ERA, WHIP: 1.167) - Martinez gets his second major-league start after yielding three runs over six innings against Tampa Bay on April 5. The 23-year-old from Hialeah, Fla., walked three and struck out three in his debut while surrendering two homers and throwing 85 pitches. Martinez takes a spot in the rotation after Tanner Scheppers was placed on the 15-day disabled list with right elbow muscle inflammation.

•Athletics LH Tommy Milone (0-1, 4.09 ERA, WHIP: 1.545) - Milone allowed eight runs (five earned) over 11 innings in his first two starts of 2014 as the Athletics dropped both. The USC product struck out eight and walked two over his first two outings and has been better at home in his career (12-8, 3.12 ERA) than on the road (14-12, 4.53). Elvis Andrus (7-for-18, one RBI) has hit well against Milone, who is 1-4 with a 5.06 ERA in six starts versus Texas.

--KEY STAT: MILONE is 12-3 (80.0%, +9.9 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILONE 4.7, OPPONENT 2.7.

--MILONE is 27-14 (65.8%, +14.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILONE 4.7, OPPONENT 3.7.

#927 HOUSTON @ #928 SEATTLE - 10:10 PM
•Astros RH Collin McHugh (2013: 0-4, 10.04 ERA, WHIP: N/A) - The Astros only expect Feldman (2-1, 1.69) to miss two starts and McHugh will be officially recalled from Triple-A Oklahoma City on Tuesday to take Feldman’s turn. The 26-year-old split time with the New York Mets and Colorado Rockies last season and his career numbers aren’t pretty – 0-8 with an 8.94 ERA in 15 appearances (nine starts). McHugh was 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA in four appearances (two starts) at Oklahoma City this season.

•Mariners RH Erasmo Ramirez (1-2, 7.50 ERA, WHIP: 1.778) - Ramirez has pitched five or fewer innings in each of his last three starts, and gave up five runs and six hits in two-plus innings against Texas in his last outing. He has allowed 24 hits and eight walks in 18 innings and opponents are batting .324 against him. Ramirez defeated the Astros last August when he allowed two runs and five hits in 5 2/3 innings.

#929 LA ANGELS @ #930 WASHINGTON - 7:05 PM
•Angels LH Tyler Skaggs (1-0, 3.43 ERA, WHIP: 1.143) - Skaggs has not factored into the decision in either of his last two outings, but Los Angeles improved to 3-0 in his starts following Wednesday’s 5-4 victory over the Oakland Athletics. The Angels’ first-round selection in the 2009 draft, who gave up four runs for the second straight time after tossing eight scoreless frames in his season debut on April 5, also yielded seven hits and three walks in six innings. Skaggs never has faced Washington but is 1-0 with a 2.77 ERA in two career interleague starts.

•Nationals RH Taylor Jordan (0-2, 5.94 ERA, WHIP: 1.741) - After settling for a no-decision in his season debut on April 6 against the Atlanta Braves, Jordan has been roughed up in each of his last two turns - including Thursday’s 8-0 setback against the St. Louis Cardinals. The 25-year-old surrendered seven runs (five earned) on seven hits and two walks, needing 96 pitches to go 5 1/3 innings one turn after tossing 102 pitches to make it through five frames. Jordan, who will make his first-ever interleague start, particularly has struggled against right-handed hitters in 2014 (.367 batting average allowed).
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