SPORTS WAGERS
Cleveland +111 over KANSAS CITY
The Indians are now 12-4, they’ve won four in a row after a recent seven-game winning streak and in two games since returning from a lengthy stint on the DL, Grady Sizemore is 5 for 9 with two doubles, a homer and two RBIs. The Indians are also 5-1 against southpaws and will face one here in Bruce Chen. Chen is 2-0 with a 2.37 ERA but don’t buy into it. In his last game against the Mariners, Chen went eight full innings and struck out one batter. Everything the M’s hit (they hit every ball) was right at someone. There is nothing that stands out about Chen in his beneath the surface stats and we expect a noticeable decline in his surface stats. Chen’s groundball/fly-ball ratio is 38%/54%. His xERA is 4.97. Big warning signs say Chen is unlikely to find the same magic that allowed him to outpitch his typically mediocre skills again in 2011. Jeanmar Gomez went 4-5 with a 4.68 ERA in 57.2 IP for the Indians last year. He had four good starts to begin his MLB career, but then things went south. He gets his second crack at the majors after a strong start at AAA-Columbus in which he posted a 2-0 record with a 1.42 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 11 K/3 BB in 12.2 frames. He’s obviously improved his craft and thus, we much prefer and up n comer to the overrated veteran. Play: Cleveland +111 (Risking 2 units).
Chicago –104 over TAMPA BAY
With three consecutive seasons of double-digit wins and a sub-4.00 ERA, John Danks seems like he should be getting more attention. Is this the year he gets noticed? The good news, in terms of the price, is that Danks is still pitching under the radar. He’s 0-1 in three starts but he’s pitched well enough to have at least two wins and maybe three. He’s been outstanding against righties and the Rays are 0-2 at home against lefties. Danks's bullpen stuck him with a no-decision after a fantastic start Wednesday against the Athletics. Danks went eight innings, allowing only one run on five hits and striking out seven. He owns a 3.15 ERA and 1.25 WHIP after three starts and he continues to be one of the most consistent and reliable starters in the league. James Shields has had nothing but grief against the Chisox his entire career with a 5.53 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. Current Sox hitters have 162 career AB’s against Shields and they’ve already seen him once this season. In that game Shields went six full and did not whiff a single batter. He also surrendered five runs and allowed eight hits with three of those knocks going yard. Shields can’t fool this foe while his counterpart should dazzle. Play: Chicago –107 (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).
SPORTS WAGERS
Portland +158 over DALLAS
The Mavericks pulled one out of their hats on Saturday when they rallied from six down with under three minutes to go to win by a misleading seven points. What’s really interesting about this game is the updated series line. Dallas opened as a –186 favorite to win this series. After winning game one and being up 1-0 in the series, the oddsmakers increased the series price by only 40 cents (the pointspread has also dropped by a couple of points). By contrast, the Thunder series price went up 80 cents and the Celtics series price went up two dollars. What that strongly suggests is the oddsmakers saw something they really didn’t like about the Mav’s and who can blame them. Dallas needed a furious fourth quarter, not to mention six three-pointers from Jason Kidd to pull off the comeback. If you were thinking of playing Dallas and laying 3½-points we urge you to back-off. The updated series price is sending too strong of a message. Play: Portland +158 (Risking 2 units).
SPORTS WAGERS
San Jose -½ +143 over LOS ANGELES
It's perplexing how a team as strong as the Sharks could come out so unbelievably flat in a playoff game, especially one against a division rival, playing without two essential centers. Simply put, the Sharks were dreadful and they know it. If the Sharks are truly a contender, tonight’s game could be a defining moment for them. The NHL playoffs is lined with champions that took nights off. Last season, Chicago lost to Vancouver 5-1 in game one. No big deal - Blackhawks turned it around and eliminated the Canucks in Game 6. In 2009, the Penguins lost 5-0 to the Red Wings in the pivotal game 5. The Penguins were outplayed in every facet of the game but they shocked the hockey world and overcame the adversity by winning the next two games to claim their next Stanley Cup championship. That 4-0 loss in game two allows San Jose to rally behind a forgetful experience that they shared together. The Sharks will rebound tonight. They have to take advantage of their superior forward and scoring depth. Tonight we find out who the Sharkies are and we expect them to be strutting their best stuff. Play: San Jose -½ +143 (Risking 2 units).