Dave Essler, NL Game of The Month
911 COL 1.5 (-145) Greek vs 912 LOS
Analysis: You can quite easily split this with the ML or play -1, or just do what I did. There are always options - In 2016 the Dodgers won the NL West going away, and in fact won 96 games. Over the course of the entire season the played 49 games against left handed starters, finishing with a record of 22-27. That pales in comparison to the 74-50 record against right handed starters. Looking even further, as a team against any LHP (starter or reliever) the hit .213. Turn things around and they had the fourth BEST batting average against right handed pitching.
This season they've already faced more left handed starters than any team in baseball and are hitting .225. History does repeat itself, and we need to look no further than this season's W/L record against lefties - two wins and four losses. Make that five after losing to Ray last night.
Since the Dodgers are a very public team, we can almost always get a great price on them, and and even better value when they face lefties. And when is the next time they'll face a lefty, you ask. Well, tonight against the Rockies. The Rockies who are also starting to hit. Los Doyas will start Ryu, someone that has already beaten the Rockies this season - and we LOVE to go the other way in rematches, especially when they're this recent.
They've posted a total of 8 runs which is juiced closer to 7.5, and the ML opened as the Dodgers at roughly -165, and this morning is more. The RL is ALWAYS correlated to the total so if we're betting the Rockies +1.5 we're getting 18% of the expected games' runs before the first pitch. That's awful hard to pass up, especially with the Rockies having Monday off while the Dodgers did not.
Yes, it's Kyle Freeland pitching for the Rockies in his third major league start. But, he's thrown his first two games in Coors Field, which has to be difficult. Plus, it almost wouldn't matter who or where he threw, he's left handed. We're taking the Rockies tonight and that's something to keep in mind all season long - fade the Dodgers against lefties.
911 COL 1.5 (-145) Greek vs 912 LOS
Analysis: You can quite easily split this with the ML or play -1, or just do what I did. There are always options - In 2016 the Dodgers won the NL West going away, and in fact won 96 games. Over the course of the entire season the played 49 games against left handed starters, finishing with a record of 22-27. That pales in comparison to the 74-50 record against right handed starters. Looking even further, as a team against any LHP (starter or reliever) the hit .213. Turn things around and they had the fourth BEST batting average against right handed pitching.
This season they've already faced more left handed starters than any team in baseball and are hitting .225. History does repeat itself, and we need to look no further than this season's W/L record against lefties - two wins and four losses. Make that five after losing to Ray last night.
Since the Dodgers are a very public team, we can almost always get a great price on them, and and even better value when they face lefties. And when is the next time they'll face a lefty, you ask. Well, tonight against the Rockies. The Rockies who are also starting to hit. Los Doyas will start Ryu, someone that has already beaten the Rockies this season - and we LOVE to go the other way in rematches, especially when they're this recent.
They've posted a total of 8 runs which is juiced closer to 7.5, and the ML opened as the Dodgers at roughly -165, and this morning is more. The RL is ALWAYS correlated to the total so if we're betting the Rockies +1.5 we're getting 18% of the expected games' runs before the first pitch. That's awful hard to pass up, especially with the Rockies having Monday off while the Dodgers did not.
Yes, it's Kyle Freeland pitching for the Rockies in his third major league start. But, he's thrown his first two games in Coors Field, which has to be difficult. Plus, it almost wouldn't matter who or where he threw, he's left handed. We're taking the Rockies tonight and that's something to keep in mind all season long - fade the Dodgers against lefties.
