SPORTS WAGERS
1st HALF WAGER
L.A. Clippers +7 over ORLANDO
The Clippers play terrific ball for three quarters and always have a meltdown in either the third or fourth period and it’s for that reason the play here is in the first half. You look at the Clip Joints past results and what you see is a whole bunch of lopsided scores but misleading one’s too. A close look reveals that the Clip Joint has dropped five of its last six but a closer look reveals that at the half they were down four in Phoenix and a week later were up one on the Suns at the half in L.A. Against Ok City they were down five at the half and in Utah on Saturday they were down a single point at the half. Those are some damn tough teams indeed and the Clip Joint did not look a bit out of place against any of them. Now they’ll play in Orlando against a Magic squad coming off that big win on ABC over the Lakers on Sunday. The Magic have won five in a row and when you combine that with the aforementioned win over the Lakers what we have is a very vulnerable spot that they’re in. The line is Orlando –12 but we can take back +7 in the first half with the Clip Joint and their current form suggests that’s the right way to go. Play: L.A. Clippers +7 in the first half (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
WEBER ST. –7½ over Portland St.
It’s been a heck of ride for the Big Sky conference this season, as they produced three legitimate teams that posted big wins over quality opponents and whose regular season crown came down to the final game. As with all small conferences however, the winner of the conference tournament is the only school getting the automatic bid and I believe the Weber State Wildcats are getting that birth. The Wildcats finished the season at 36.1% from three point land while hoisting 40% of their shots from that distance, a remarkable success and a statistic opponents must be aware of. Unfortunately for Portland State, it’s one thing to say “we need to stop the three” and another to actually go out and do it. After 31 games of evidence, it’s safe to say Portland State won’t come close to stopping the Wildcats on offense and I say that because the Vikings were without a doubt the worst defensive team in the NCAA this season. They allowed opponents to shoot a staggering 40.7% on three’s, 53.5% on two’s, finished 340th out of 347 in defensive efficiency and allowed 90 or more points seven times this season. It was a complete abomination at the defensive end and it’s the main reason why it’s impossible to trust them with your money. The only way Portland State stays in this game is with ridiculously hot shooting. It’s possible the game stays close for about 20 minutes or so but to have to score on every trip down the court just to stay close is unrealistic and with the intensity level rising because of postseason play it makes it that much harder. Look for Weber State and Northern Colorado to meet in the final with a tournament birth on the line. Play: #592 Weber State –7½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
1st HALF WAGER
L.A. Clippers +7 over ORLANDO
The Clippers play terrific ball for three quarters and always have a meltdown in either the third or fourth period and it’s for that reason the play here is in the first half. You look at the Clip Joints past results and what you see is a whole bunch of lopsided scores but misleading one’s too. A close look reveals that the Clip Joint has dropped five of its last six but a closer look reveals that at the half they were down four in Phoenix and a week later were up one on the Suns at the half in L.A. Against Ok City they were down five at the half and in Utah on Saturday they were down a single point at the half. Those are some damn tough teams indeed and the Clip Joint did not look a bit out of place against any of them. Now they’ll play in Orlando against a Magic squad coming off that big win on ABC over the Lakers on Sunday. The Magic have won five in a row and when you combine that with the aforementioned win over the Lakers what we have is a very vulnerable spot that they’re in. The line is Orlando –12 but we can take back +7 in the first half with the Clip Joint and their current form suggests that’s the right way to go. Play: L.A. Clippers +7 in the first half (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
WEBER ST. –7½ over Portland St.
It’s been a heck of ride for the Big Sky conference this season, as they produced three legitimate teams that posted big wins over quality opponents and whose regular season crown came down to the final game. As with all small conferences however, the winner of the conference tournament is the only school getting the automatic bid and I believe the Weber State Wildcats are getting that birth. The Wildcats finished the season at 36.1% from three point land while hoisting 40% of their shots from that distance, a remarkable success and a statistic opponents must be aware of. Unfortunately for Portland State, it’s one thing to say “we need to stop the three” and another to actually go out and do it. After 31 games of evidence, it’s safe to say Portland State won’t come close to stopping the Wildcats on offense and I say that because the Vikings were without a doubt the worst defensive team in the NCAA this season. They allowed opponents to shoot a staggering 40.7% on three’s, 53.5% on two’s, finished 340th out of 347 in defensive efficiency and allowed 90 or more points seven times this season. It was a complete abomination at the defensive end and it’s the main reason why it’s impossible to trust them with your money. The only way Portland State stays in this game is with ridiculously hot shooting. It’s possible the game stays close for about 20 minutes or so but to have to score on every trip down the court just to stay close is unrealistic and with the intensity level rising because of postseason play it makes it that much harder. Look for Weber State and Northern Colorado to meet in the final with a tournament birth on the line. Play: #592 Weber State –7½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
ThisProGambler
Who Let the Dogs Out! Take the Heat and Raptors Posted on March 9, 2010 by ThisProGambler
It’s a great NBA card tonight, with lots of possible plays to choose from. Perhaps the best game on the schedule will be the Boston Celtics visiting the Milwaukee Bucks. Who would have predicted at the beginning of this season that the Bucks would be a favorite to win this game. But, while I’ll be watching that game, I’m going elsewhere to make some money.
Take Miami Heat +3 1/2 at Charlotte Bobcats. The Heat have played in streaks since the end of January – Lose 5, Win 5, Lose 4 (missing Wade for 3 of those), now Win 3. They started the most recent streak, all at home, beating the injured Golden State Warriors, but then defeated a full strength Lakers team followed by the playoff bound Atlanta Hawks. Tonight they head to Charlotte, where the Bobcats dealt them their most embarrassing defeat of the year on January 20 by a score of 104-65. Only a couple of weeks before, Charlotte had beat the Heat in Miami by 10 points. Playing well, Wade and company will have revenge on their minds. Although 4-6 in their last 10, the Bobcats have won 2 in a row defeating the Lakers and the Warriors. But, the Heat had actually softened up both teams for Charlotte. Take the Heat +3 1/2.
TakeToronto Raptors +11 at Los Angeles Lakers. Both of these teams are at a crossroads. No, I don’t think the Lakers are in trouble of blowing the season, but there is some danger of losing the No. 1 seed in the West to Dallas. There’s tension in the locker room and the team is feeling some heat to break their 3 game losing streak. Ron Artest has now shaved his Dennis Rodman “do” (although you can see the purple dye in his scalp from the calligraphy). Players are standing around on offense, waiting for Kobe to shoot instead of pass. And, in spite of Phil Jackson’s talk about defense, they struggled all through the road trip. The D did improve in the second half of the Orlando game and that should continue to-night. But, a defensive game will allow the Raptors to stay close. Toronto was flying high until Chris Bosh went down. They got him back in the lineup Sunday only to lose Hedo Turkoglu; the result was a loss to the 76ers. Toronto has now been passed in the standings by the Bucks, and has Miami and Chicago breathing down their neck. The result: both of these teams are going to be focused and playing hard tonight. The Lakers haven’t been great at covering the spread all year; they’re 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Raptors put up equally bad numbers ATS with Bosh out of the line, but that was so last week. Take the Raptors +ll.
Who Let the Dogs Out! Take the Heat and Raptors Posted on March 9, 2010 by ThisProGambler
It’s a great NBA card tonight, with lots of possible plays to choose from. Perhaps the best game on the schedule will be the Boston Celtics visiting the Milwaukee Bucks. Who would have predicted at the beginning of this season that the Bucks would be a favorite to win this game. But, while I’ll be watching that game, I’m going elsewhere to make some money.
Take Miami Heat +3 1/2 at Charlotte Bobcats. The Heat have played in streaks since the end of January – Lose 5, Win 5, Lose 4 (missing Wade for 3 of those), now Win 3. They started the most recent streak, all at home, beating the injured Golden State Warriors, but then defeated a full strength Lakers team followed by the playoff bound Atlanta Hawks. Tonight they head to Charlotte, where the Bobcats dealt them their most embarrassing defeat of the year on January 20 by a score of 104-65. Only a couple of weeks before, Charlotte had beat the Heat in Miami by 10 points. Playing well, Wade and company will have revenge on their minds. Although 4-6 in their last 10, the Bobcats have won 2 in a row defeating the Lakers and the Warriors. But, the Heat had actually softened up both teams for Charlotte. Take the Heat +3 1/2.
TakeToronto Raptors +11 at Los Angeles Lakers. Both of these teams are at a crossroads. No, I don’t think the Lakers are in trouble of blowing the season, but there is some danger of losing the No. 1 seed in the West to Dallas. There’s tension in the locker room and the team is feeling some heat to break their 3 game losing streak. Ron Artest has now shaved his Dennis Rodman “do” (although you can see the purple dye in his scalp from the calligraphy). Players are standing around on offense, waiting for Kobe to shoot instead of pass. And, in spite of Phil Jackson’s talk about defense, they struggled all through the road trip. The D did improve in the second half of the Orlando game and that should continue to-night. But, a defensive game will allow the Raptors to stay close. Toronto was flying high until Chris Bosh went down. They got him back in the lineup Sunday only to lose Hedo Turkoglu; the result was a loss to the 76ers. Toronto has now been passed in the standings by the Bucks, and has Miami and Chicago breathing down their neck. The result: both of these teams are going to be focused and playing hard tonight. The Lakers haven’t been great at covering the spread all year; they’re 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Raptors put up equally bad numbers ATS with Bosh out of the line, but that was so last week. Take the Raptors +ll.Craig Davis
Tuesday's Lineup
40 Dime – WEBER STATE
WEBER STATE --- To me, this one is pretty simple. There's a reason one of these teams is 13-18 and the other one is 19-9... because one of them (Weber State) is clearly better than the other one (Portland State). I am fully aware that Portland State won their previous matchup last week with Weber St., but let's keep two things in mind: First, Weber State wasn't motivated at all in that game. Second, Portland State was at home where they were a respectable 8-4. The other meeting between these two was back in January where Weber State held on for a three-point win. However, Weber State actually held a ten-point advantage at halftime and actually led by 15 in that game before "taking it easy" and allowing Portland State to hit some late threes to get back into the game.
What you might also not know is that this same Portland State team won the Big Sky Conference Tournament Championship last season by virtue of the Wildcats overlooking Montana State in the semi-finals. Montana State, a large underdog, upset Weber State and went on to the title game where it was beaten by eventual-champion Portland State. So I think it's safe to say the Wildcats are hungry for a big win tonight. I can guarantee you these players and coaches have been saying "remember last year" for the last 24 hours in an attempt to make sure they start AND finish tonight's game strong. No more slip ups. No more taking anyone lightly. It's business as usual for the Wildcats on their own home floor.
Portland State has one glaring weakness that has been exploited by its opponents all season and will be exploited again tonight... they are dead last in scoring defense. That's right, teams score 80 PPG vs. the Vikings and it's even worse when the Vikes travel (82.2 PPG). They've proven they can't stop anyone, so if they aren't shooting a high percentage from the field and from the line, it's going to be a long night for the road team. 8 points might seem like a lot to give, but not when this much is on the line and we're backing a team that is 12-1 at home and 7-3 ATS in 10 lined games. Weber State wins this by at least 12.
FOR THOSE OF YOU WHO WANT THE WRITE-UP!
Tuesday's Lineup
40 Dime – WEBER STATE
WEBER STATE --- To me, this one is pretty simple. There's a reason one of these teams is 13-18 and the other one is 19-9... because one of them (Weber State) is clearly better than the other one (Portland State). I am fully aware that Portland State won their previous matchup last week with Weber St., but let's keep two things in mind: First, Weber State wasn't motivated at all in that game. Second, Portland State was at home where they were a respectable 8-4. The other meeting between these two was back in January where Weber State held on for a three-point win. However, Weber State actually held a ten-point advantage at halftime and actually led by 15 in that game before "taking it easy" and allowing Portland State to hit some late threes to get back into the game.
What you might also not know is that this same Portland State team won the Big Sky Conference Tournament Championship last season by virtue of the Wildcats overlooking Montana State in the semi-finals. Montana State, a large underdog, upset Weber State and went on to the title game where it was beaten by eventual-champion Portland State. So I think it's safe to say the Wildcats are hungry for a big win tonight. I can guarantee you these players and coaches have been saying "remember last year" for the last 24 hours in an attempt to make sure they start AND finish tonight's game strong. No more slip ups. No more taking anyone lightly. It's business as usual for the Wildcats on their own home floor.
Portland State has one glaring weakness that has been exploited by its opponents all season and will be exploited again tonight... they are dead last in scoring defense. That's right, teams score 80 PPG vs. the Vikings and it's even worse when the Vikes travel (82.2 PPG). They've proven they can't stop anyone, so if they aren't shooting a high percentage from the field and from the line, it's going to be a long night for the road team. 8 points might seem like a lot to give, but not when this much is on the line and we're backing a team that is 12-1 at home and 7-3 ATS in 10 lined games. Weber State wins this by at least 12.
FOR THOSE OF YOU WHO WANT THE WRITE-UP!
Response to TripleJ's question.
In my book only fade material. With that said, I never strictly fade a service, but will fade if several cappers I do not like who are on the same side or opposite of cappers/players I respect.
This stops you from being killed by a hot streak. Any capper, no matter how crappy or unethical can go on a hot streak.
Good luck.
In my book only fade material. With that said, I never strictly fade a service, but will fade if several cappers I do not like who are on the same side or opposite of cappers/players I respect.
This stops you from being killed by a hot streak. Any capper, no matter how crappy or unethical can go on a hot streak.
Good luck.
JOHNNY GUILD
Tuesday, March 9th, 2010 8:00 PM EST.
Boston Celtics (40-21) at Milwaukee Bucks (33-29)
The Bucks are on fire. Milwaukee has won nine of their last ten games, going 10-0 ATS.
Milwaukee beat Boston in the last meeting at home on March 15, 86-77 and is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings against the Celtics.
Take the hot Bucks tonight at the Bradley Center. Milwaukee has been lucrative at home, 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games. The Celtics are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 versus Eastern Conference.
Milwaukee Bucks -1
Tuesday, March 9th, 2010 (Eastern Times)
Time Selection
2:00 PM Connecticut Huskies -4.5
9:00 PM Butler Bulldogs -7.5
Tuesday, March 9th, 2010 8:00 PM EST.
Boston Celtics (40-21) at Milwaukee Bucks (33-29)
The Bucks are on fire. Milwaukee has won nine of their last ten games, going 10-0 ATS.
Milwaukee beat Boston in the last meeting at home on March 15, 86-77 and is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings against the Celtics.
Take the hot Bucks tonight at the Bradley Center. Milwaukee has been lucrative at home, 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games. The Celtics are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 versus Eastern Conference.
Milwaukee Bucks -1
Tuesday, March 9th, 2010 (Eastern Times)
Time Selection
2:00 PM Connecticut Huskies -4.5
9:00 PM Butler Bulldogs -7.5
