Service Plays Tuesday 3/8/11

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Tuesday, March 8

Hot Teams
-- Edmonton won three in row, seven of last ten games.
-- Sabres won five of their last seven games.
-- New Jersey won its last four games, allowing five goals. Senators won three of their last four road games.
-- Toronto won four of its last five road games.
-- Montreal won last four games, allowing six goals. Bruins won seven of their last eight games.
-- Blackhawks won their last eight games, outscoring foes 35-19.
-- Vancouver won five of its last seven road games.
-- San Jose won eight of its last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Flyers lost their last four games, outscored 19-6.
-- Pittsburgh lost six of its last eight games.
-- Islanders lost five of their last seven games.
-- Florida lost its last five games, the last two in OT.
-- Avalanche lost their last five games, scoring eight goals. Wild is 4-7 in its last eleven games.
-- Coyotes lost five of their last six games.
-- Predators lost six of their last eight games.

Totals
-- Under is 6-2 in Philadelphia's last eight games.
-- Under is 8-2 in Buffalo's last ten games.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in New Jersey's last six games.
-- Four of last five Islander games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Chicago games went over the total. Five of Florida's last six games stayed under.
-- Under is 8-3 in Colorado's last eleven road games.
-- Last seven Vancouver games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-0-1 in Nashville's last ten road games.

Back-to-Back
-- None

Series records
-- Flyers lost their last three games against Edmonton.
-- Sabres lost their last five games against Pittsburgh.
-- Devils won 10 of their last 12 games against Ottawa.
-- Maple Leafs lost six of last nine visits to Long Island.
-- Canadiens won five of last six games against Boston.
-- Chicago-Florida split a pair of games on neutral ice LY.
-- Avalanche lost five of last seven visits to Minnesota.
-- Canucks lost three of last four visits to Phoenix.
-- Predators lost seven of last nine visits to San Jose.
 

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TODAY'S NHL PICKS

Boston at Montreal
The Bruins look to build on their 6-0 record in their last 6 road games. Boston is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Bruins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-110). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MARCH 8
Time Posted 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Edmonton at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.687; Philadelphia 10.132
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-270); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+230); Over

Game 3-4: Buffalo at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 10.682; Pittsburgh 12.270
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115); Under

Game 5-6: Ottawa at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.648; New Jersey 11.236
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-260); 5
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+220); Over

Game 7-8: Toronto at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 12.027; NY Islanders 10.728
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-120); Under

Game 9-10: Boston at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.629; Montreal 11.216
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-110); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-110); Under

Game 11-12: Chicago at Florida (7:030 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.023; Florida 11.345
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-225); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+185); Over

Game 13-14: Colorado at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 9.684; Minnesota 11.221
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-185); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-185); Over

Game 15-16: Vancouver at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.030; Phoenix 12.194
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+110); Under

Game 17-18: Nashville at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.809; San Jose 12.779
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-185); 5
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-185); Over
 

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TODAY'S NCAABB PICKS

Butler at WI-Milwaukee
The Bulldogs look to take advantage of a Wisconsin-Milwaukee team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games as an underdog from 1 to 6 1/2 points. Butler is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulldogs favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Butler (-3). Here are all of today's games.

TUESDAY, MARCH 8
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 563-564: Princeton at Pennsylvania (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 57.301; Pennsylvania 53.808
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Princeton by 2
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-2)

Game 565-566: DePaul vs. Connecticut (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 56.100; Connecticut 68.200
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 12
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 16
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+16)

Game 567-568: Rutgers vs. Seton Hall (2:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 63.155; Seton Hall 65.368
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 2
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 4
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+4)

Game 569-570: South Florida vs. Villanova (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 58.687; Villanova 70.832
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 12
Vegas Line: Villanova by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-9 1/2)

Game 571-572: Providence vs. Marquette (9:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 57.983; Marquette 71.185
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 13
Vegas Line: Marquette by 7
Dunkel Pick: Marquette (-7)

Game 573-574: LaSalle vs. St. Bonaventure (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 55.736; St. Bonaventure 59.073
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (+5 1/2)

Game 575-576: St. Joseph's at George Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 52.379; George Washington 57.684
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: George Washington by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (+7 1/2)

Game 577-578: St. Louis at Rhode Island (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 58.659; Rhode Island 63.507
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 5
Vegas Line: Rhode Island by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (-3 1/2)

Game 579-580: Dayton at Massachusetts (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 59.552; Massachusetts 54.237
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Dayton by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-1 1/2)

Game 581-582: Northern Illinois at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 44.485; Bowling Green 52.943
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-7 1/2)

Game 583-584: Eastern Michigan at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 46.483; Akron 57.788
Dunkel Line: Akron by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Akron by 13
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+13)

Game 585-586: Central Michigan at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 47.579; Buffalo 61.306
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 13
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-13)

Game 587-588: Toledo at Ohio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 38.014; Ohio 55.155
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 17
Vegas Line: Ohio by 19
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+19)

Game 589-590: AR-Little Rock vs. North Texas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Little Rock 53.508; North Texas 54.682
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 1
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 591-592: Butler at WI-Milwaukee (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 64.094; WI-Milwaukee 58.296
Dunkel Line: Butler by 6
Vegas Line: Butler by 3
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-3)

Game 593-594: Weber State vs. Montana (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 52.253; Montana 57.089
Dunkel Line: Montana by 5
Vegas Line: Montana by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana (-2 1/2)

Game 595-596: Northern Arizona at Northern Colorado (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 57.443; Northern Colorado 59.064
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+4 1/2)

Game 597-598: MD-Eastern Shore vs. Florida A&M (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: MD-Eastern Shore 38.081; Florida A&M 38.930
Dunkel Line: Florida A&M by 1
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 599-600: South Carolina State vs. Delaware State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina State 39.117; Delaware State 36.617
Dunkel Line: South Carolina State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 681-682: Oral Roberts vs. Oakland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oral Roberts 58.095; Oakland 62.524
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
 

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TODAY'S NBA PICKS

Golden State at Cleveland
The Warriors look to build on their 11-2 ATS record in their last 13 games against a team with a winning percentage of less that .400. Golden State is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Warriors favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MARCH 8
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 551-552: Milwaukee at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 114.434; Washington 110.106
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 4 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 553-554: Philadelphia at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 118.532; Indiana 121.001
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 2 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 1 1/2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-1 1/2); Over

Game 555-556: Golden State at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 117.108; Cleveland 110.275
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 7; 220
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 3 1/2; 216
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-3 1/2); Over

Game 557-558: LA Lakers at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 123.136; Atlanta 115.923
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7; 178
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 4 1/2; 185
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-4 1/2); Under

Game 559-560: Portland at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 114.576; Miami 126.461
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 12; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 8 1/2; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-8 1/2); Under

Game 561-562: Houston at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 121.441; Phoenix 122.782
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 221
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 5; 216 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+5); Over
 

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OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Writer Vegas Matty previews Los Angeles Lakers at Atlanta Hawks from the standpoint of the bettor.

The defending NBA champion Los Angeles Lakers (45-19) started a seven-game winning streak after the All-Star break with a 104-80 rout of the Atlanta Hawks (37-26) at home two weeks ago. The Lakers (-5.5) will try to remain the hottest team in the league on Tuesday when they visit the Hawks during the second stop of a four-game road trip.

Los Angeles is coming off arguably its biggest statement game of the season on Sunday, ripping San Antonio 99-83 to end a franchise-record 22-game home winning streak for the Spurs. The Lakers built a monstrous 65-37 halftime lead and cruised from there behind a game-high 26 points from MVP candidate Kobe Bryant while Pau Gasol added 21 points and Andrew Bynum grabbed a game-high 17 rebounds for the second time in a row.

Defense has been the secret to LA’s success during the winning streak, as the team has held opponents to 87 points or less five times, including four straight. The UNDER has cashed five times over that period in which the Lakers have also gone 5-1 against the spread.

After losing in Los Angeles, Atlanta went 2-2 in the final four games of a seven-game road trip to finish up 3-4. The Hawks have played their last three games at home, losing the last two after rallying back from a 19-point deficit to beat Chicago 83-80 last Wednesday. Al Horford scored a game-high 31 points and grabbed a game-high 16 rebounds against the Bulls but has totaled 19 points and 19 rebounds in losses to Oklahoma City (111-104) and New York (92-79) since then.

Atlanta has had trouble scoring in the last 13 games, breaking the century mark only once during that stretch. That came in the loss to the Thunder last Friday, which is also the only time the Hawks scored more than 90 in their last five games. The UNDER is 5-1 in their last six games and 9-2 in their past 11.

The Lakers had failed to cover the spread in the three previous meetings with Atlanta before the latest game between the teams. They have split the last four meetings straight-up, losing both games in Atlanta and failing to register a victory in their past three trips there. Bryant has struggled offensively in the last three road games in the series, averaging just 18.7 points on 41.1 percent shooting. However, Bynum did not play in any of those games.

Top expert pick on today’s card: The Center of the Handicapping Universe GodsTips is now 16-7 the last 23 with five straight winning days. Mr. March has two locks for tonight in college basketball. One is a Wise Guy side, the other a Major. Again, both night games at OffshoreInsiders.com

It isn’t quite NCAA Tournament time but, for many NCAA hoops betting fans, the Big East Tournament is the next best thing. It’s virtually peerless among the conference tourneys, with an incredibly deep field and possibility 10 teams out of that conference alone that could make the field of 68 for the NCAA Tournament.

The Big East tourney starts Tuesday. Who has the inside track to win it all? Here’s a look at the top contenders and, of course, a betting pick.

PITTSBURGH PANTHERS (27-4)

Sportsbook odds: +200

After edging out Notre Dame for the conference title, the Panthers are viewed as the favorite or at least the co-favorite by most sports betting sharps. Pittsburgh gets the job done with outstanding backcourt play from Ashton Gibbs and Brad Wanamaker. But the Panthers will need guys like Gilbert Brown and Gary McGhee to step up under the basket if they want to hold off the other powerhouses.

NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH (25-5)

Sportsbook odds: +200

The Irish will be just as popular of a pick as Pittsburgh this year. Ben Hansbrough has matured into a great team leader and Notre Dame is hot, with just one loss in its last 12 games. The win over UConn after Hansbrough fouled out also proved that this isn’t a one-man team.

SYRACUSE ORANGE (+25-6)

Sportsbook odds: +300

Syracuse is a perennial contender in the Big East but does it have the horses to run with the other big boys? Scoop Jardine and Rick Jackson are good at what they do – passing and rebounding, respectivley – but Syracuse arguably lacks the gamebreaking scorer that teams like Pittsburgh, Notre dame and UConn have.

ST. JOHN’S RED STORM (20-10)

Sportsbook odds: +650

Sniff around any betting circle and you’ll quickly learn that St. John’s is the hottest sleeper pick to win the Big East Tournament. The Red Storm went 7-1 at Madison Square Garden, the host venue, this season and beat both Notre Dame and Pittsburgh there. St. John’s is another team that does have that elite go-to guy that can make a difference: Dwight Hardy.

GEORGETOWN HOYAS (21-9)

Sportsbook odds: +1200

Georgetown limps into the tourney having lost four of five, all within Big East play, and its main ball distributor, Chris Wright, is out indefinitely after hand surgery. This sports betting blog suggests you stay away from the Hoyas.

WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS (20-10)

Sportsbook odds: +1200

Last year, West Virginia was the talk of the country leading up to March Madness and won the Big East. This year, the Mountaineers are relegated to sleeper status. However, we shouldn’t count them out. Yeah, they’ve struggled against juggernauts like Pittsburgh, but Casey Mitchell really showed some clutch ability down the stretch. He could lead West Virginia to some upsets in this tournament.

CONNECTICUT HUSKIES (21-9)

Sportsbook odds: +2000

Instead of Cincinnati or Villanova, I’ll go with UConn as the final team to consider in the Big East. The Huskies are struggling badly, losing four of five to enter the tourney, but they still have that crucial X-factor in Kemba Walker. I know Cincy is the hotter team but UConn’s one win over its last five came against the Bearcats.

THE PICK

It feels like every team has a shot to win the uber-competitive Big East. St. John’s and West Virginia feel like the most intriguing sleepers; Pittsburgh and Notre Dame stand out among the top contenders. In the end, I like the Irish. They knocked out Pittsburgh last year and I think the inside presence of Hansbrough and guys like Carleton Scott will be too much for Pitt to handle should they meet in the final.

Today’s pick from OffshoreInsiders.com: Notre Dame +200
 
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WUNDERDOG
1 OF 5
Game: Depaul vs. Connecticut (12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 136 -110

The University of Connecticut has really gone cold, and this young team of freshman and sopomores has fallen rapidly. They finished the regular season on a 4-7 note, and the offense has been really struggling, especially against a zone defense, which eliminates their strongest offensive sets of dribble drive penetration by Walker and Nappier. They have scored under 60 twice in their last five games. DePaul is just 1-12 on the road this year thanks to scoring only 63.3 per game. DePaul is also 6-0 to the UNDER in their last six vs. a winning team. UConn's struggling offense has led to a 12-3-1 UNDER mark in their last 16. The UNDER has cashed six straight times in this series.
Play on the UNDER.
 

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WUNDERDOG

Game: Depaul vs. Connecticut (12:00 PM Eastern)

Pick: 5 units on Depaul +15 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total UNDER 136 -110 (risk 4 to win 3.6)
The University of Connecticut has really gone cold, and this young team of freshmen and sophomores has fallen rapidly. They finished the regular season on a 4-7 note, and the offense has been really struggling, especially against a zone defense, which eliminates their strongest offensive sets of dribble drive penetration by Walker and Nappier. They have scored under 60 twice in their last five games. DePaul is just 1-12 on the road this year thanks to scoring only 63.3 per game. DePaul is also 6-0 to the UNDER in their last six vs. a winning team. UConn's struggling offense has led to a 12-3-1 UNDER mark in their last 16. The UNDER has cashed six straight times in this series. Play on Depaul and the UNDER.​
Game: La Salle at St. Bonaventure (5:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on St. Bonaventure -195 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 1.5)
LaSalle finished the regular season on a down note, losing six of their last nine games. They are breaking through on the road by just a single point for their lone road win in the nine games. The Bonnies have been strong at home especially of late as they have now won each of their last five on home hardwood. One of those wins was a 21-point pasting of LaSalle. There has been only one team with a losing record beating the Bonnies here at home all season, and hat was just about three months ago. Play St. Bonaventure on the moneyline in this one.​
Game: Princeton at Penn (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total UNDER 127.5 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)
This game has been a rivalry forever as the Princeton Tigers and the Penn Quakers are usually doing battle for Ivy League honors. That is not the case this time around, but this is the Quakers’ NCAA Tourney game right here. Princeton still is deliberate, but does open things up from time to time. But in the end this is a team that has played seven of their last 11 vs. Ivy competition this year to the UNDER. They are also now 16-5 to the UNDER as a favorite of -6.5 or less. Penn has gone 5-2 to the UNDER over the last half of the Ivy season, and the last six in this series has posted a 5-1 mark to the UNDER as well. I like the UNDER in this one.​
Game: Weber State vs. Montana (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total UNDER 127 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)
The Weber State Wildcats have held five of their last 10 opponents to the 50s or less, and have been in this position before. They understand that the defense is going to play a big role in what happens tonight vs. Montana. The Grizzlies are no stranger to the defensive end either, as they have held 15 opponents in the 50s or less on the season themselves. Weber State is now 6-1 to the UNDER in their last seven games vs. an opponent with a winning record on the season and the Grizzlies are 15-5 to the UNDER when facing a team with a winning percentage of over .600. This series has also seen six of the last seven play to the UNDER as well. This one plays UNDER the total.​
 
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SPORTS WAGERS

Buffalo +104 over PITTSBURGH

There’s so much to like about the Sabres here. First, the Penguins return home from a five-game trip and that’s never easy. Secondly, the last four games of the trip all went into OT and that, too, takes a toll. In fact, seven of the Penguins last nine games have all gone into OT and this team hasn’t won a game in regulation since they lost Evgeni Malkin 14 games ago. In other words, they could be on a 14-game losing streak had they lost all those OT games (just sayin’). Since switching ownership, the Sabres have not lost in regulation and that streak now stands at seven games. Buffalo has also won six of its last seven road games and picked up points in all seven. There’s really not a single reason to not back the pooch here. The Sabres have run into some injuries recently and they’ll be without Patrick Kaleta, Jochen Hecht and Mike Grier but the Penguins list of injuries is much longer and much more damaging. Play: Buffalo +104 (Risking 2 units).


Colorado +188 over MINNESOTA

The Av’s are reeling, that’s for sure. They have one win in their last 16 games but let’s not forget that they were fourth in the conference not long ago. These two usually play close games and in five games this season the Wild hold a slim 3-32 margin. The Av’s are coming off an ugly 5-1 loss against Edmonton. It was the second 5-1 loss to the Oilers in two weeks and that’s just the jolt the Av’s needed. Prior to that second loss to the Oilers the Av’s played three straight games at L.A., Anaheim and San Jose and lost them all by a single goal, the latter in OT. That alone tells us they can have not quit competing. The real kicker here, however, is the tag. The Minnesota Wild should not be favored by this much over anyone, period. They rarely outplay anyone and it’s not like they’re going good right now. The Wild have two wins in their last six games and one of them was in OT in Anaheim they had no business winning. Minnesota struggles to score goals and without Mikko Koivu you can double that. Koivu’s linemates, Andrew Brunette and Antti Miettinen have not scored a goal in 11 and 12 games respectively. So yeah, the Wild can win here but there’s way more pressure on them to do so and they’re just not that good. Throw in this sweet tag on an Av’s team that would love to make life miserable for this rival and what you have is a value bet that has a very good chance of cashing. Play: Colorado +188 (Risking 2 units).


SPORTS WAGERS

Rutgers +4 over Seton Hall

The Pirates stock has really shot up the past two weeks with two big wins over the then hottest team in the Big East, the Johnny’s and they subsequently beat desperate and talented Marquette team this past Saturday. Those two attention-grabbing wins have the Pirates overpriced despite the fact that they’re just a small favorite. After knocking off that duo, the Pirates take a big step down in class when facing the Scarlet Knights so the question becomes why are they such a small favorite. The reason is because SHU is just not that good. They’ve been wildly inconsistent all season long and have not put forth back-to-back-to-back strong efforts all season long and that includes their non-conference schedule. Geographically, neither team has an edge, as both schools are in New Jersey and both will make the very short trip to MSG. Rutgers isn’t much, that’s for sure. They’re a frustrating team to wager on because of a lack of scoring that results in missed bunnies and prolonged losing streaks. Having said that, they can compete with the Pirates and they can beat them too. They had a lot of close misses late this season that includes a four-point OT loss at Syracuse, a two-point loss at St. John’s in this building, a win in Villanova and a three-point loss to the Panthers. This is a classic case of selling high on the Pirates and that’s precisely what we’re doing. Play: Rutgers +4 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).


MASSACHUSETTS +118 over Dayton

The Dayton Flyers have talent, however, something has been missing from this guest all season long and there’s not a light switch in the world that can turn it on. Half the time the team doesn’t show up. They’ve had a whole slew of ugly losses this season that includes a five-point home loss against East Tennessee St and a 34-point point loss at Cinci among others. The only teams they’ve been able to put away early were the two A-10 bottom feeders, Fordham and Charlotte. They played at UMass on Jan 9 and lost by five, scoring just 50 points in the contest. The total here is 126, which is a strong indication that this, too, is going to be a low scoring game and that’s because the Flyers are one of the worst shooting teams in the nation with an ugly .403 FG percentage. It’s simply bad strategy to lay points on the road with a team that can’t hit a shot. The Minutemen is a dog at home because they lost their last game of the regulkar season at Fordham, a team that was previously 0-14 in the conference and had lost 41 conference games in a row. Incredible. Thing is, the game meant squat to UMass and it’s difficult to get up for a game against a team like that with the conference tourney on deck three days later. UMass can’t score either. In fact, one could argue that these two are mirror images of one another but the difference is that the Minutemen are at home and they’re very likely to be the team that wants it more. Play: Massachusetts +112 (Risking 2 units).
 

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