Service Plays Tuesday 2/9/10

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The Duke's Sports

George Mason (+4) for 3 Units

Pretty good spot for the Patriots to get back on the winning track here. GM is coming off two straight road losses but can still stay in the hunt for the CAA title with a win here. GM got swept in this series last year and the revenge minded Patriots are catching VCU off four straight comfortable CAA wins. It won't be easy for the Rams here where the Patriots are 6-0 ATS as a home dog in this spread range moreover, the Patriots are 13-6-1 ATS vs teams with a winning SU record. The defensive minded Patriots should give VCU all that they can handle after all, Rams' freshmen Daniels and Theus are prone to making mistakes on the road and GM will look to slow the Rams down. Home team is 4-1 ATS in this series and we'll grab the Patriots.
 
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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Detroit / St. Louis Under 5.5

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this game is on the "under":

Detroit entered this season searching for its ninth straight Central Division title and 19th consecutive playoff berth. The Red Wings, who lost three key scorers in the offseason to two NHL clubs and a Russian team, have had another six spend time on injured reserve since Johan Franzen tore his left ACL on Oct. 8.

In part because of those injuries, Detroit (27-21-10) is ninth in the Western Conference with 64 points, two behind Nashville.

Detroit faltered early in a 3-1 loss to Anaheim on Wednesday night, but Saturday’s 4-3 loss to Los Angeles might have been even more deflating.

Goaltender Jimmy Howard took the blame, but this loss could be attributed to the defense's problems around the net and its inability to clear rebounds or box out; I expect a huge effort from both Howard and the defense tonight though.

It's interesting to point out that Detroit has in fact seen the total go "under" the posted number in 14 of 20 games this season when playing against a team with a losing record.

On the other side of the rink: At the start of a three-game homestand, St. Louis (25-25-9) is 9-16-5 at the Scottrade Center and has dropped four in a row there, one shy of matching its worst skid from Dec. 18-Jan. 2; it's coming off a poor 5-2 drubbing by the hands of the Avalanche last night.

St. Louis has suffered its past three losses by a 11-5 margin but has outscored the Red Wings 13-9 this season while winning three of four. Right wing Brad Boyes has a team-leading three goals in those games, but has scored once in his last 24 games; I expect another offensive letdown tonight against a determined Detroit team.

Ty Conklin will most likely get the start in this back-to-back situation.

Keep in mind that the total has in fact gone "under" the posted number in six of St. Louis's last eight overall.

Bottom line: When taking all of the above into account, I believe the goaltenders take center stage this evening and believe we're getting excellent value on the UNDER!

8* UNDER
 

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Larry Ness' PERFECT STORM *10* - CBB
At 8:05 ET my *10* PERFECT STORM is on Creighton.

These teams last played on New Years Day this year and Indiana State won both SU and ATS, 70-64. In their last game, the undermanned Sycamores lost 76-70 to Wichita State. The Shockers trailed 58-43 with 9 minutes to play. J.T. Durley scored 14 of his 15 points in the second half. Indiana State (14-10, 6-7) suited up just eight players and was without three of its top four scorers due to injuries. But the Sycamores went on an early 15-1 run and led by 16 early. Jordan Printy scored 10 of his team-high 16 points in the first half. The Sycamores led 37-28 at halftime. Wichita State went on a 20-5 run to pull even at 63-63 with 3:54 remaining (note: Indiana State always struggles against Creighton; 2-4 ATS its last six on the road vs. the Blue Jays). Creighton shot a school-record 66.7 percent on Feb. 3 against Evansville, making 10 of 18 shots from beyond the arc while blitzing the Purple Aces, 84-71. Four days later, a different Creighton showed up in Springfield, Mo. The Bluejays shot 36.5 percent from the field and were held to a season-low output in a 70-52 loss to Missouri State; I expect a rebound tonight. After three games with at least 10 3-pointers, Creighton went 4-for-21 from distance in a 70-52 loss at Missouri State on Feb. 6. As Justin Carter goes so goes Creighton? Maybe. In the Bluejays’ six Missouri Valley Conference losses through Feb. 6, Carter was averaging 5.0 points. Conversely, Carter scored 13.6 points in Creighton’s league victories (note: Creighton is 5-0 SU its last five at the Qwest Center; also keep in mind it is already a perfect 3-0 ATS revenging a road loss vs. an opponent). Creighton needs to get hot in February or its streak of 11 straight years with 20 or more victories is history; I believe they start tonight though with a concerted effort; lay the points.

Good luck...Larry.

Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider - NBA
At 7:30 ET my *9* LV Insider is on the New York Knicks.

The Kings opened a three-game trip Sunday afternoon and lost 115-104 to Toronto, falling to 3-22 away from home with their sixth straight defeat overall. Sacramento has dropped 20 of 23 since being a surprising one game under .500 in late December. Against the Raptors, Sacramento (16-34) led by three heading into the fourth quarter before being outscored 31-17 in the final 12 minutes; I expect a similar letdown this evening (note: Sacramento is a poor 3-7 ATS its last ten on the road). The Knicks (19-31) return home after losing 113-106 to Cleveland on Saturday night, allowing LeBron James to score 47 in losing for the fifth time in six games. New York was also playing unexpectedly well earlier this season, going 12-6 from Dec. 1-Jan. 7 before dropping 11 of its last 15. Despite that poor stretch, the Knicks remain just 4 1/2 games behind the last playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. New York has many advantages over Sacramento coming into this one; the Knicks have the rebounding advantage at 44.3 to 42.1. The Knicks are committing fewer turnovers at 12.9 vs 16.2 for the Kings. The Kings are making 6.2 three pointers on 36.4 percent from three point range. The Knicks are making 8.4 three pointers on 36.5 percent (note: New York is 14-13 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record). The Kings have been outscored 57-38 in the fourth quarter of their last two road losses and will be in tough again tonight; lay the points.

Good luck...Larry.

Larry Ness' CBB Total of the Week!
At 10:00 ET my *8* CBB "TOW" is on the CS/AF OVER.

Falcons coach Jeff Reynolds was disappointed that his team played with “no energy” in Saturday’s loss to TCU. They’ll need plenty of energy to have a chance against a Colorado State team that has won three of its past four and beat Air Force by 22 points Jan. 9th. Against TCU, Evan Washington and Grant Parker led the Falcons with 16 and 11 points, respectively. The first half featured multiple runs. TCU took a 13-4 lead early before Air Force answered with a 15-4 run—capped by Todd Fletcher 3-pointer—for a 19-17 lead with 7:47 remaining. The Horned Frogs then put together a 14-5 run and went into halftime up 31-24. For the Rams, F Andy Ogide, the 6-foot-9 junior, has averaged 13.5 points and 8.3 rebounds in the Rams’ past four games. In the Rams’ first meeting with Air Force, Ogide scored 11 of his game-high 13 points in the second half. “Ogide is playing the best basketball he’s played since he’s been at Colorado State,” Reynolds said of him. Colorado State is big and strong, specifically inside. In the teams’ previous meeting, the Rams out-rebounded Air Force 32-26, scored 11 second-chance points and tallied 30 points in the paint (note: very important to point out that the total has in fact gone "over" the posted number in four of these teams last six games vs. each other). Expect Air Force to push the tempo in this one; play on the OVER.

Good luck...Larry.
 

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Thank you for your purchase.

The information you paid for is below:
Youngstown Connection
Date: Tuesday, February 9, 2010
$25.00 Guaranteed Selection:
NCAA Play #1
Texas Tech +6 8:00PM Eastern
18-3 In February and currently on a 32-9-1 run
Line as of 3:45AM Eastern 2/9/10
 

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Jefferson

Illinois st-1.5
small play

FYI- they have been very cold lately, but I actually like this play.
 

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You ask politely and we 'The People' go to our sources and find it on our dime...

Rocky Atkinson | NBA Sides Ranked #2 at TSM for NBA:dancefool

516 MIL -8.0 (-110) Bodog vs 515 DET
Analysis:
Detroit @ Milwaukee 8:05 PM EST
Play On: 3* Milwaukee -8

Detroit is 1-7 SU and 1-6 ATS this year against division opponents. Detroit is 5-18 SU on the road this year while Milwaukee is 16-7 SU at home this season. Detroit has lost 6 of their last 8 overall while Milwaukee has won 5 of their last 6. Pistons are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Pistons are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Pistons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Bucks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Bucks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. Bucks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Favorite is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. We'll play Milwaukee for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky


Who is this guy?

20-9 Detroit early! :dancefool
 

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Does anyone know if Kalin Lucas is definatley playing for michigan st? Thanks in advance for the help
 

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Does anyone know if Kalin Lucas is definatley playing for michigan st? Thanks in advance for the help

Listed as Probable so that is as close to YES as you are going to get until just before tip when its official. Ive read that he is definitely playing
 

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Rocky is also known as Rocketman...do not have $ on the Pistons or Milwaukee, but with the NBA there's bound to be a run by the Bucks. Case in point: last night's game between Dallas and Golden State.
 

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Ignore Mr U he is always counting games out in the 1st quarter. Should bode well for Milwaukee fans
 

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Dave Malinsky

Dave Wrote to his Clients about his recent MOMENTUM

<!-- start left col-->
Malinsky-head.jpg

Tuesday: Dribbling for Dollars Continues

The momentum has returned on the Hardwoods over the last couple of days and the Tuesday board is going to bring us the pieces to keep that roll going - we have a couple of prime late-season situations in the Colleges that will make our ticket, and also at least one NBA situation, with the potential of more to come over the course of the day.


Sunday dave was a stellar 2-1
Monday dave was a stellar 2-1 again

4-2 the last couple of days builds a ton of MOMENTUM off These numbers

NBA YEAR TO DATE MINUS 90.8 Units
CBB YEAR TO DATE MINUS 55.0 Units



Can ya feel that momentum !!!

4* #526 WAKE FOREST over BOSTON COLLEGE

You will be hard-pressed to find anyone playing better defense than
Wake Forest right now. A combination of size, athleticism, tenacity
and excellent fundamentals have them playing at a stifling level,
allowing just 38.8 percent shooting through their first pass in
A.C.C. play, and a microscopic 33.3 in the four games on this court,
all victories. Only a surging Maryland team was able to even reach 60
on this floor against the Demon Deacons. And that spells bad news
tonight for a Boston College team that is going to have all kinds of
difficulties getting into an offensive flow. When the road team can
not score early to establish a rhythm they naturally fall behind. And
when they do not have the tools to close the gap, the margin only
grows.

Wake Forest dominated B.C. LY, winning 83-63 on the road and 93-76 on
this court, but if you think there is going to be any complacency
because of that it is simply not an issue. Hee is Dino Gaudio?s take
after Sunday practice, a practice he decided to hold despite having
won in O.T. at Virginia the previous day (the discipline and focus to
do that speaks volumes as to where this team is right now), - <i>"Ish
Smith raises his hand and starts talking about Boston College and how
bad they beat us up there two years ago. They crushed us. And he
talked about how tough their guys are and how physical they play. And
all of a sudden, L.D. (Williams) starts talking. And when we've got
those players expressing themselves about the next opponent, I think
it means even more than when we as coaches say it."</i> And when
Smith speaks, the others listen. There are few things better than
having a savvy SR point guard that has been through the A.C.C.
battles, and Smith has been stepping up big time, with only 26
turnovers in 348 minutes of conference play.

There is a difference to the matchup this time, however ? the Eagles
are not necessarily all that physical this season. Al Skinner has
been trying to make the chemistry work, but outside of sweeping Miami
they are 1-6 in all other conference games, and they are not
physically dominating anyone, allowing 46.5 percent shooting in
A.C.C. play, losing the battle of the boards, and only forcing 98
turnovers, an awful count through nine games. Now he has to adjust to
the absence of Joe Trapani, the team leaders in scoring and
rebounding, who did not make the trip because of an illness. It makes
for an awkward rotation in this matchup, with few easy chances around
the basket only exacerbating that 26.2 conference tally from 3-point
range.



4* #548 OKLAHOMA over TEXAS TECH

To call Texas Tech ?soft? would be an understatement ? in going 0-4
SU and 1-3 ATS on the Big 12 road every loss has come in double
figures, and the Red Raiders have allowed 85, 95, 89 and 81 points in
those failures. You do not get bigger and stronger at this time of
the season, and you do not get any fresher, which leaves them wide
open to be exploited again tonight.

While Texas Tech has to gut out the remainder of the schedule with
the limited pieces that are in place, Oklahoma has not played its
best basketball yet. Developing a young rotation has led to the usual
growing pains for Jeff Capel, especially with injuries side-tracking
things, but there is big-time talent in the rotation, which is how
they have still managed to go 4-0 at home in Big 12 play. But now the
injuries start to work in their favor, instead of against them, with
Tony Crocker back to 100 percent and Willie Warren ready to rejoin
the starting lineup tonight, and also the insertion of Ryan Wright
paying solid dividends in Saturday?s 80-71 win over Texas. Wright
added more of a physical presence defensively than they were getting
from FR Tiny Gallon, and his intensity helped set the tone for an
explosive opening stanza that saw an 18-point lead get built by
halftime. Wright provided a key missing piece to a puzzle that has
outstanding perimeter players, but needed that bit of glue in the
middle to hold it together, and there is an excitement about how it
all now fits. First, from Cade Davis - <i>"He was incredible, just
coming in and getting us huge points, boosting the offensive game,
and on defense there coming in early and getting on (Texas' Dexter)
Pittman and those guys. We needed somebody like that to step up and
really be a physical because this was a man's game. And he really
stepped up and did a great job for us."</i> And Capel - <i>"No one
deserves it more than him because we don't have a kid in our program
that works harder than Ryan Wright."</i>

That hard work pays off again here in a game that brings a major
focus from the home team. The Sooners led by 11 in the second half at
Lubbock in their earlier loss to Texas Tech, a game in which they
lost their poise late without having Warren on the floor to steady
things, and the pendulums of the long range shooting stretched to an
extreme (Oklahoma was 5-22 from 3-point range; Tech 7-13). That puts
a chip on their shoulder for this one, and it brings the kind of
energy level that the Red Raiders lack the athleticism to cope with.
And while there is still a chance that Capel may suspend Steven
Pledger and Andrew Fitzgerald after they were picked up for
shoplifting on Saturday night, the Oklahoma rotation is fine without
them (they have scored a combined 51 points through eight Big 12
games). They did take part in the full practice on Monday, which
would seem to indicate that Capel will have them available tonight,
but our play goes regardless.

4* #519 OKLAHOMA CITY over PORTLAND

This is not just another regular season road game for Oklahoma City.
The Thunder come in confident off of winning at New Orleans and
Golden State to open this three-game road trip, and are about as
fresh as a team can ever be when playing on the west coast, with this
only the second game in five nights. That means two full practice
days to put together a game plan against an opponent that creates
some bitter memories, and since the Thunder do not play again until
next Tuesday, it also means letting it all hang out. That is too much
for the limited Trail Blazers to overcome, and in a pointspread range
in which we only need to ask the better team to win the game to bring
home the money we are in.

Oklahoma City already has 13 road wins this season, and in going 8-4
SU in the last dozen road games note that the Thunder trailed by a
combined four points at the end of regulation in the defeats. It is
sign of how good the chemistry and work ethic are, and while Kevin
Durrant gets a deserved amount of attention, it is Russell Westbrook
was just named Western Conference Player of the Week, a three-game
stretch in which he averaged 19.7 points, 9.7 assists, 8.0 rebounds
and 3.3 steals. That is awfully good basketball, and it is his
ability to defend Andre Miller and take the Trail Blazers out of
their preferred offensive rhythm that helps to dictate this flow. And
then we rely on Durrant, who brings a special focus after that awful
3-20 outing in the earlier 83-74 home loss to Portland, arguably the
worst night of his career, and a game in which the Thunder shot an
icy 34.3 percent. It is that defeat that creates the major focus
here, turning this into a stand-alone playoff game, especially with
the extra prep time making it easier to break down the patchwork
Trail Blazer rotation.

While Oklahoma City brings a high energy level tonight, the All Star
break can not come soon enough for Nate McMillan and his team. They
have showed real signs of being worn down in allowing 51.5 percent
shooting over the last three games, with only that dramatic late
rally to escape vs. San Antonio (they trailed by 10 in the fourth
quarter) preventing an 0-3 collar. They also do not have the schedule
luxury that the Thunder possess, having to play again at Phoenix
tomorrow before taking the All Star break off, and that forces Nate
McMillan to have to manage his rotation in a way that Jeff Brooks
does not, which will show over the course of 48 minutes.

sorry, thought i posted this in the morning

 

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Guys,
Linechangers and Betting Jesus are tearing up hoops (somehow). Anyone subscribing? Would be interested in sharing cost.

Also, someone suggested I chance my nickname. No way to do that apparently.
 

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Jeff Benton

Tuesday's Action
25 DIME: OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER





Thunder



Let’s start with the fact these are two squads going in completely opposite directions. The Thunder have won five straight games, including a pair of road wins Wednesday (103-99 at New Orleans as a 2½-point favorite) and Golden State (104-95 as a 3½-point chalk). Yep, that’s how far Oklahoma City has come: It was favored in its last two road games, and it came through with the spread-cover both times.



As for Portland, it has dropped five of its last eight games as it continues to try to survive with a patchwork roster that’s been devastated by injuries. First, power forward Travis Outlaw went down with a foot injury in mid-November, then improving big man Greg Oden suffered that devastating dislocated kneecap in early December and is out for the season. Three weeks later, Oden’s backup, Joel Pryzbilla (7.9 ppg; 4.1 rpg, 43 blocks) went down with his own season-ending knee injury.



Despite those three bad breaks, the Blazers were able to hang in there because they have one of the best players in the league running the point in Brandon Roy … then Roy tweaked his hamstring in mid-January and has missed 12 of his team’s last 13 games, including the last 10 in a row.



Roy won’t play again until after the All-Star game, and without him tonight, I don’t see how in the world Portland slows down emerging Oklahoma City star Kevin Durant. Durant has scored at least 25 points in 24 consecutive games and is now averaging a tick less than 30 points per game. One of the few teams this year to hold Durant in check was Portland way back on Nov. 1 (the first week of the season). That night in Oklahoma City, the Blazers cruised to an 83-74 victory, as Durant shot just 3-for-20 from the field (0-for-4 from three-point land) and finished with only 16 points (10 of which came from the free-throw line).



Here’s the thing, though: Even though Roy (one of the NBA’s top defenders) didn’t specifically guard Durant in that game, he did play a team-high 38½ minutes and his presence on both ends of the court – I’m talking controlling the ball on offense and setting up guys on defense – lifts the level of play of his entire team. Think about this, too: In that nine-point win over the Thunder, Roy (16 points, 5 assists, 3 rebounds), Oden (12 points, 10 rebounds) and Outlaw (12 points, six rebounds) combined for 40 of Portland’s 83 points and 19 of 40 rebounds. That’s a lot of slack for the Blazers’ reserves to pick up tonight, ESPECIALLY since Oklahoma City is a totally different team right now then it was back in the first week of the season.



To that last point, consider this: The Thunder started the season 3-4 SU and 4-3 ATS. Since then, they’re 26-17 SU and 27-16-1 ATS. Since Dec. 23, they’ve won 16 of their last 23 games. And since a 111-108 loss at the Lakers as a 10-point underdog one day earlier, Oklahoma City is 16-8 ATS, including 11-2 ATS on the road! That last number is the surest sign of all of a team maturing? In fact, this is really impressive: When you break down those last 13 road games, the Thunder have eight wins and the following losses: 100-99 at Cleveland, 86-84 at Memphis, 99-89 at Dallas, 103-97 at Milwaukee (in overtime) and 111-108 at the Lakers. That’s five losses – four against playoff contenders – by a total of 13 points.



Finally, the Thunder have cashed in five straight games as a small favorite (less than five points), eight straight games against opponents that have a winning record, six straight games on the road against opponents with a winning road record and seven of eight when coming off two days of rest. Speaking of rest, this is only Oklahoma City’s third game since last Wednesday, so they come into the Rose Garden tonight very fresh.



Bottom line: On Saturday, the ailing, Roy-less Blazers suffered a 17-point loss to the Lakers, who didn’t have the services of Kobe Bryant. Well, if they’re losing by 17 to the Kobe-less Lakers, how are they going to compete against Durant and the up-and-coming Thunder? Answer: They’re not!



Oklahoma City – which gets a week off after this game (its last before the All-Star break) – wins this one going away and trounces the Blazers, who have an up-tempo game tomorrow night in Phoenix and very likely will pull their starters to conserve energy if/when this gets out of hand.


Paid and Confirmed by me .. GOOD LUCK ALL
 

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Thank you for your purchase.

The information you paid for is below:
Youngstown Connection
Date: Tuesday, February 9, 2010
$25.00 Guaranteed Selection:
NCAA Play #1
Texas Tech +6 8:00PM Eastern
18-3 In February and currently on a 32-9-1 run
Line as of 3:45AM Eastern 2/9/10

great purchase.
money in the bank :dancefool
 
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MONITORING

Erin Rynning

2/9/10 NBA LA Clippers Over 201.5 -110 (522)

2/9/10 NBA Houston +5 -110 (509)

2/9/10 NBA Sacramento +5.5 -110 (511)

2/9/10 NBA Memphis +1 -110 (514)

2/9/10 NBA Denver -7 -110 (518)
 

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PITTVIPER

NBA: Minnesota +6.5

NBA: Milwaukee -7.5

CBK: Central Michigan +3

Well look what we have again today, this Spartan douche once again steals from PittViper, like he has been for several weeks now, so pathetic.

<DL><DT class=dtPgTop>Tue, 02/09/10 - 8:05 PM spartan | NBA Sides <DT class=dtPgSub>dime bet 516 MIL -8.0 (-110) BetUS vs 515 DET <DT class=dtPgLow> </DT></DL>
 

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