Service Plays Tuesday 2/2/10

[ugk]

VERNON CROY Handicapper: Vernon Croy
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Memphis Grizzlies @ Cleveland Cavaliers - Tuesday February 2, 2010 7:05 pm
Pick: 5 units ATS: Cleveland Cavaliers -10.5 (-110)

Take the Cleveland Cavaliers ATS, This pick falls into one of my top NBA systems and I have the Cavaliers victorious by at least 20 points at home tonight because the Grizzlies just beat the Lakers last night at home. This may sound strange to some but they beat a tired Lakers team last night who were coming off a big win against the Celtics. Memphis is just 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games when their 5 starters combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day. The Cavaliers are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing with 1 days rest and they are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the Grizzlies. The Cavaliers also have revenge on their mind since Memphis beat them in their last meeting back in December however that game was in Memphis and the Cavaliers have dominated teams at home this season.

 

[joeduffy]

OffshoreInsiders.com Matt Rivers:

Tonight he has a pick on Rhode Island minus the points. They are laying four-points at LaSalle.

Here is why:

It’s not going to be fruitful in the long run to play a lot of road favorites but in this fairly small play I’ll take my chances with the red hot and legitimately very good Rhode Island Rams today.

LaSalle is very average and at home I guess could put up some resistance in this spot but Keith Cothran, Delroy James and today’s visitors are really good right now. URI has won at both Dayton and Boston College and are a team that will be at the very worst on the bubble this season.

LaSalle’s Rodney Green will get his as he always seems to do but John Giannini’s Explorers have lost seven of their last 11 games and are pretty much toiling in mediocrity at 11-10 overall and 3-4 in the A-10. They just played a pretty spirited game in a cover at Temple but also spent a lot of energy in that thing which came after a dreadful performance at Fordham in a game that the Rams almost lost on the road to the terrible other Rams in Fordham.

The Explorers are just not very good and not very consistent. If they bring their A-Game they can stay in this thing, as they are at home, but that’s only if Rhode Island does not come all guns a blazing and that is the best case scenario for the home squad here.

The Rams have not yet cracked that top 25 but they are only a win or two max away from doing so. Coming to play should not be a problem for Jim Baron’s boys and in the end I expect a 6-8 point URI victory.

Pick: Rhode Island -4

 

[ugk]

JOEY TORELLI

Free Pick:

TCU +19.5 (5* Play)

Premium Pick:

Wisconsin -2 (10* Play)

 

[pure]

Lac+7.5 is bookiebill slick bet or fade bet?
thanks

Its Not BookieBill, its another one of Vrs many private sources he uses

 

[goldencontender]

Tuesday NCAAB Play GC

On Tuesday the Bonus Play is on Rhode Island. Game 515 at 7;00 eastern. RIU has better numbers statistically in this one and they have handled winning teams well this year going 10-3. They have dominated the series of late winning 12 of the last 15 and have been real good on the road with 8 wins this year. Lasalle is just 2-9 ats vs winning teams this year and have struggled vs teams who score 77 or more points per game with a 2-12 record including 0-4 ats this year. When the posted total is 140 to 150 Lasalle is a pathetic 0-8 ats. Look for a win and cover tonight for Rhode Island. On the late phone card I have a huge Colonial conference play backed with 4 power angles and an NBA cutting edge system play. Last night both top plays cashed and tonight we will do even more damage. For the NCAAB play take Rhode Island. BOL GC

 

[ugk]

JEFF BENTON
Tuesday's Action

25 DIME: AIR FORCE (plus the points)

I’m not going to claim that Air Force is a top-notch basketball team, because it isn’t. But at least the Falcons have gotten progressively better with each passing conference game. Since a nine-point loss to TCU to start the Mountain West season, Air Force has lost by 22 points (at Colorado State), 18 points (vs. BYU), 23 (vs. New Mexico), 17 (at Utah) and 10 (at UNLV) before breaking through with Saturday’s 70-63 over Wyoming. And after failing to cover in four straight games, the Falcons have now cashed in back-to-back contests, including as a whopping 18½-point underdog at UNLV.

Now the Falcons are catching a similar price at San Diego State, which is just 4-3 SU and 3-4 ATS in Mountain West action. In their three conference road games, the Aztecs have defeated New Mexico (74-64) and TCU (67-62) and lost to BYU (71-69). Do you see a blowout win there? In fact, San Diego State’s biggest conference win to date was Saturday’s 64-52 triumph at Colorado State, and that margin was a bit misleading because the Aztecs extended a single-digit advantage late because of foul shots. In fact, SDSU took 33 free throws in that game … and yet made just 18 (54.5 percent).

Which brings me to my next point: The Aztecs are one of the worst free-throw shooting teams in the nation, ranking 344th out of 347 Division I teams by making just 59.2 percent of their foul shots. And at home, that free-throw percentage actually drops to 54.3 percent! How can a team that shoots THAT poorly from the charity strip cover a 17-point-plus spread? Especially in what is certain to be a defensive game (Air Force yields just 62.5 ppg, while SDSU gives up just 63.5 ppg)? And especially when Air Force can actually make free throws (the Falcons shoot 66.1 percent from the charity stripe overall and 66.3 percent on the road)?

Again, guys, make no mistake that San Diego State is the more talented team – that’s not up for debate. But the Aztecs haven’t pummeled a single league opponent yet. In fact, they struggled against two lower-level Mountain West teams, blowing a 14-point halftime lead in losing 85-83 at Wyoming as a six-point road favorite and rallying from a nine-point halftime deficit to barely upend TCU 67-62, falling well short as a 13-point home chalk.

One final note: Air Force has been a big moneymaker lately, cashing in 12 of its last 17 games overall, 10 of its last 12 on the road (all as an underdog), eight of nine when catching 13 points or more and 11 of its last 12 after a SU victory. Meanwhile, San Diego State has failed to cover in five of its last six games when laying 13 points or more. Throw in the fact this is going to be a low-scoring contest (the last eight meetings have stayed under the total – with the last seven featuring 107 points or less – and as noted above, both teams play great defense), and this underdog price becomes even more enticing. Take the points, and look for San Diego State to win this game in the 8-12 point range.

 

[ugk]

BRANDON LANG
Tuesday's Selections ...

15 DIME - NORTHEASTERN HUSKIES -

The best team in the league is the play here tonight.

Not only have they covered every single true road game this year with exception of a push on the road at Drexel, but they are one of the best pointspread teams in all of college hoop.

Yes, they lost their first conference game to Drexel at home but to show you what they are made of they bounced right back to handle Old Dominion at home by 10 as a 1 point favorite.

They have covered every single game this year but 4, and considering they are facing the 2nd worst team in the CAA in Delaware, a team they let hang around in the first meeting, I see a full effort tonight.

At home against the Blue Hens, Northeastern led by 6 at the half only to sleepwalk their way thru a boring 2nd half winning by 4 failing to cover the 15 1/2 point number.

That can happen when you shoot 0-10 from behind the arc at home.

With a 6-0-1 mark ATS away from home and facing a team you know you can handle, winning by 10 won't be a problem when you have won your last 4 road games by 12, 12, 5 at VCU and 25 at Towson State.

Looking for Northeastern to get the double digit win tonight.

5 DIME -DREXEL DRAGONS -Coming back with the Drexel Dragons tonight.

Off their loss but cover at William and Mary, they now get this Towson team at home in the friendly confines of their own gym.

In the first meeting at Towson, the Dragons won by 3 failing to cover the 5 1/2 number as they shot 0-10 from behind the arc allowing Towson to stay within the number.

On their home floor tonight playing an inferior opponent, only the worst team in the CAA, I fully expect a solid 20-point win for Drexel as they look to take out some frustrations on an opponent they know they can handle.

Rememeber, the best team in this league is Northeastern and Drexel just won there by double digits and I trust they will come back here and handle their business against the worst team in the league.

The last 3 games they have been getting double digits Towson has lost by 16 at home to Old Dominion catching 13 1/2, 16 on the road to Hofstra catching 12, and a 59 point loss to VCU catching 18 1/2.

I don't care if they beat the 2nd worst team in the league last game out in NC Wilmington, this is a 20 point loss waiting to happen.

Play on Drexel

FREE SELECTION - DRAKE BULLDOGS

 

[ugk]

NSA....

CBB Providence @ Syracuse 7:00 PM EST 20* OVER 168
CBB Seton Hall @ Villanova 7:00 PM EST 20* Seton Hall +10.5
NBA Atlanta @ Oklahoma City 8:00 PM EST 20* Atlanta +1
NBA Golden St @ Houston 8:30 PM EST 10* OVER 219
NBA Memphis @ Cleveland 7:00 PM EST 10* Cleveland -10.5
CBB Michigan St @ Wisconsin 9:00 PM EST 10* Wisconsin -2

 

[GOFOR2]

Its Not BookieBill, its another one of Vrs many private sources he uses

Is it confirmed the LAC game IS NOT bookie bill?

 

[pure]

Is it confirmed the LAC game IS NOT bookie bill?

Confirmed

 

[ugk]

DENVER MONEY NHL

3* Nashville Predators -140

2* Dallas Stars -135

2* Vancouver / Montreal OVER 5.5 +110

"Bonus Play" tonight: Boston Bruins +120

 

[ugk]

ATS LOCK CLUB

4 N. Western -2
3 Drexel -14
3 Wake -6

 

[ugk]

5 STAR-SPORTS...

3* Providence + 15'

 

[jonnyangel]

sportsbetsnow

NCAAB

1 unit Seton Hall +10
1 unit Michigan +2
1 unit Nebraska +3
1 unit Tennessee St. -1
1 unit San Diego St. -17

 

[pure]

VR's Morning Moves | NBA Sides
dime bet 511 LAC 7.5 (-110) Bodog vs 512 CHI
Analysis:
** NBA 1* BOOKIE BET ** (Possible 2* Premium Upgrade...Always a Possibility w/ 1* Bets)

Although I've been using Bookie Bill exclusively since May, for our Biggest Bookie Bets...the bottom line is that we have a couple of very strong sources of information...who are bookmakers, that help me Confirm my work...And I speak with them all a couple of times a day and will use what I'm able to gather "early"...for these "Morning Moves"...

This is a situation where the books that I spoke with are already getting an overwhelming amount of "public money' on the Favorite...And although we know that the majority of bettors don't make their wagers until much later in the day...there are plenty that do so early...And when these books begin to see a patern develop, it's almost a certainty that later on...when the rest of their "public" bettors get down...they will be on the very same plays...

And so far, I've confirmed that not only is there plenty of straight bets and teasers already wagered...but more importantly, I've been informed that a handful of "sharp" bettors went ahead and grabbed the +8 as soon as the line went up...

According to my own Numbers/Ratings...this line is still too high and we are getting plenty of Value with the Clippers...due to BOTH teams recent ATS mark...

So I will go ahead and follow those books, who are willing to take a position on this game by actually showing more respect to


VR's Morning Moves | CBB Sides
double-dime bet 548 Tennessee St. 1.0 (-110) SportBet vs 547 Jacksonville St.
Analysis:
** CBB 2* TOP "TRUE STEAM" PLAY OF THE DAY **

Rather than pass along the way this Line is Moving...I will instead pass along my reasoning behind this bet, especially since this "Buy-Order" has not yet been fully executed...VR



Even though this is an Added Board Game...the betting public is expected to bet the Favorite, Jax St...Which I believe may actually go off as the Dog...Because I know for fact, that TENN ST is definitely a "Buy-Order" that will be sent out sometime this morning, or at the very latest...this afternoon...

And according to my own Ratings/Numbers...TENN ST should be the Favorite...But this line is based heavily on "perception"...Especially after their 1st meeting earlier this year...

TENN ST has played a much more difficult schedule...and I mean it's not even close...Which is why the overall records, and even the conference records are very misleading...And I am certain that this is one of the main reasons the Wiseguys are looking to take this exact position...

TENN ST has won 3 of the L/4 in this series...And I expect the Wiseguys are correct, when they take the position that this will be 4 of 5 when this game goes final...

So let's go ahead and make TENN ST +1...our 2* TOP "TRUE STEAM" BET...And see if we can make it 2 Straight...TRUE STEAM is now 42-22 (66% ATS) Overall...VR

 

[ugk]

Michael Cannon

50 C FLa

 

[RawAdreneline]

Mark Roth

1-1 Yesterday -1 Units

10 Units Cleaveland (-10.5)
10 Units Indiana (+1)
10 Units Air Force (+17)

Good Luck

 

[Born2Booze]

trushel

okla. city/20*

 

[ugk]

NHL PRO PICKS

Tampa Bay +122
Phoenix +129
Columbus +150
NY Rangers +144
Detroit +163

 

[ugk]

THE BOOOOJ
NBA
10* Oklahoma City Thunder -1