Wunderdog Sports Free Pick
Game: Atlanta at Indiana (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Atlanta +10.5 (-110) at Bookmaker
The Pacers are now the favorite to win the NBA title with odds that are shorter than the Heat. They are coming off a rare home loss before the All-Star break. This team is loaded with talent and bettors want to back them. We get some value getting double-digits on the Hawks here. That value is increased by the fact that Atlanta has lost five straight games and their offense in those games has looked horrible. But the Hawks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games vs. teams above .600. This is purely a contrarian play. Take the points with the Hawks.
Game: Atlanta at Indiana (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Atlanta +10.5 (-110) at Bookmaker
The Pacers are now the favorite to win the NBA title with odds that are shorter than the Heat. They are coming off a rare home loss before the All-Star break. This team is loaded with talent and bettors want to back them. We get some value getting double-digits on the Hawks here. That value is increased by the fact that Atlanta has lost five straight games and their offense in those games has looked horrible. But the Hawks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games vs. teams above .600. This is purely a contrarian play. Take the points with the Hawks.
STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NCAACB KNOWLEDGE
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________
•Situational Trends of The Day
-- VIRGINIA TECH is 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 69.4, OPPONENT 69.2.
-- VIRGINIA TECH is 14-1 UNDER (+12.9 Units) after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 61.4, OPPONENT 65.5.
-- SAN JOSE ST is 2-12 (-11.2 Units) against the 1rst half line after 2 straight games where they made 37% of their shots or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN JOSE ST 24.6, OPPONENT 34.8.
-- NC STATE is 10-0 UNDER (+10.0 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after a game where they made 53% of their free throws or worse since 1997.
The average score was NC STATE 31.2, OPPONENT 31.2.
-- RICK PITINO is 13-33 against the 1rst half line (-23.3 Units) after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half as the coach of LOUISVILLE.
The average score was PITINO 33.5, OPPONENT 31.7.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- IOWA ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.
The average score was IOWA ST 77.5, OPPONENT 80.0.
-- SAN DIEGO ST is 15-4 UNDER (+10.6 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 69.6, OPPONENT 59.2.
-- TEXAS is 10-1 against the 1rst half line (+8.9 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season.
The average score was TEXAS 40.5, OPPONENT 34.5.
-- GEORGIA TECH is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 31.1, OPPONENT 35.8.
-- ANDY KENNEDY is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games as the coach of OLE MISS.
The average score was KENNEDY 76.4, OPPONENT 71.1.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Any team versus the money line (S ILLINOIS) - after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game).
(24-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.7%, +39.7 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +155
The average score in these games was: Team 68.3, Opponent 64.9 (Average point differential = +3.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3, +22.2 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (38-27, +33 units).
-- Play Against - Home teams as a favorite or pick (LOUISVILLE) - a very good team (>=+8 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG differential), after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games.
(64-24 since 1997.) (72.7%, +37.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (6-82)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 18.8
The average score in these games was: Team 64, Opponent 79.6 (Average point differential = -15.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 29 (33.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (7-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (20-6).
-- Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ILLINOIS ST) - a good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's), after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team.
(66-26 since 1997.) (71.7%, +37.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (79-16)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.8
The average score in these games was: Team 77.4, Opponent 67.4 (Average point differential = +10)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 38 (40.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-10).
-- Play Over - Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (VIRGINIA TECH) - cold team - having lost 12 or more of their last 15 games, after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record.
(53-20 since 1997.) (72.6%, +31.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 123.2
The average score in these games was: Team 62.8, Opponent 66.5 (Total points scored = 129.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 36 (49.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-10).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-13).
-- Play Against - Home favorites versus the 1rst half line (NEVADA) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing <=12 turnovers/game, after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season.
(72-28 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.0%, +41.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 31.5, Opponent 31.9 (Average first half point differential = -0.3)
The situation's record this season is: (9-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (37-10).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (153-103).
-- Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 (DRAKE) - a good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts on the season, in a game involving two good free throw shooting teams (69-73%), after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better.
(47-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.3%, +32.7 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 67.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 32.3, Opponent 30.9 (Total first half points scored = 63.2)
The situation's record this season is: (9-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (105-64).
Note: Get today’s complete NCAACB report by heading on over to Tuesday’s (2/18/14) service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...
________________________________
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________
•Situational Trends of The Day
-- VIRGINIA TECH is 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 69.4, OPPONENT 69.2.
-- VIRGINIA TECH is 14-1 UNDER (+12.9 Units) after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 61.4, OPPONENT 65.5.
-- SAN JOSE ST is 2-12 (-11.2 Units) against the 1rst half line after 2 straight games where they made 37% of their shots or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN JOSE ST 24.6, OPPONENT 34.8.
-- NC STATE is 10-0 UNDER (+10.0 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after a game where they made 53% of their free throws or worse since 1997.
The average score was NC STATE 31.2, OPPONENT 31.2.
-- RICK PITINO is 13-33 against the 1rst half line (-23.3 Units) after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half as the coach of LOUISVILLE.
The average score was PITINO 33.5, OPPONENT 31.7.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- IOWA ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.
The average score was IOWA ST 77.5, OPPONENT 80.0.
-- SAN DIEGO ST is 15-4 UNDER (+10.6 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 69.6, OPPONENT 59.2.
-- TEXAS is 10-1 against the 1rst half line (+8.9 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season.
The average score was TEXAS 40.5, OPPONENT 34.5.
-- GEORGIA TECH is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GEORGIA TECH 31.1, OPPONENT 35.8.
-- ANDY KENNEDY is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games as the coach of OLE MISS.
The average score was KENNEDY 76.4, OPPONENT 71.1.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Any team versus the money line (S ILLINOIS) - after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game).
(24-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.7%, +39.7 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +155
The average score in these games was: Team 68.3, Opponent 64.9 (Average point differential = +3.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3, +22.2 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (38-27, +33 units).
-- Play Against - Home teams as a favorite or pick (LOUISVILLE) - a very good team (>=+8 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG differential), after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games.
(64-24 since 1997.) (72.7%, +37.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (6-82)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 18.8
The average score in these games was: Team 64, Opponent 79.6 (Average point differential = -15.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 29 (33.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (7-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (20-6).
-- Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ILLINOIS ST) - a good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's), after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team.
(66-26 since 1997.) (71.7%, +37.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (79-16)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.8
The average score in these games was: Team 77.4, Opponent 67.4 (Average point differential = +10)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 38 (40.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-10).
-- Play Over - Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (VIRGINIA TECH) - cold team - having lost 12 or more of their last 15 games, after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record.
(53-20 since 1997.) (72.6%, +31.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 123.2
The average score in these games was: Team 62.8, Opponent 66.5 (Total points scored = 129.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 36 (49.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-10).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-13).
-- Play Against - Home favorites versus the 1rst half line (NEVADA) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing <=12 turnovers/game, after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season.
(72-28 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.0%, +41.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 31.5, Opponent 31.9 (Average first half point differential = -0.3)
The situation's record this season is: (9-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (37-10).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (153-103).
-- Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 (DRAKE) - a good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts on the season, in a game involving two good free throw shooting teams (69-73%), after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better.
(47-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.3%, +32.7 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 67.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 32.3, Opponent 30.9 (Total first half points scored = 63.2)
The situation's record this season is: (9-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (105-64).
Note: Get today’s complete NCAACB report by heading on over to Tuesday’s (2/18/14) service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...
________________________________
Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Road undrdogs of +145 to +350 versus the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG), after a game where they covered the spread, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days.
(39-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (95.1%, +35.2 units. Rating = 5*)
When the moon rises in the east and the teams best player gets laid 2 nights in a row and the bus driver runs over a black cat and the coach
wears a red tie on Saturday! C'mon ,this I nothing but hindsight !
-- Play Against - Road undrdogs of +145 to +350 versus the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG), after a game where they covered the spread, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days.
(39-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (95.1%, +35.2 units. Rating = 5*)
When the moon rises in the east and the teams best player gets laid 2 nights in a row and the bus driver runs over a black cat and the coach
wears a red tie on Saturday! C'mon ,this I nothing but hindsight !
Steve's Outright Winner Picks
GRAHAM DELAET 45 TO 1
IAN POULTER 30 TO 1
JORDAN SPIETH 25 TO 1
JASON DUFNER 55 TO 1
DUSTIN JOHNSON 19 TO 1
KEEGAN BRADLEY 45 TO 1
Head to Head Daily Match Up Picks
Round 1 Match Up Picks
3 UNITS - IAN POULTER (-170) over Rickie Fowler
2 UNITS - JASON DUFNER (-140) over Scott Stallings
1 UNIT - DUSTIN JOHNSON (-180) over Peter Hanson
GRAHAM DELAET 45 TO 1
IAN POULTER 30 TO 1
JORDAN SPIETH 25 TO 1
JASON DUFNER 55 TO 1
DUSTIN JOHNSON 19 TO 1
KEEGAN BRADLEY 45 TO 1
Head to Head Daily Match Up Picks
Round 1 Match Up Picks
3 UNITS - IAN POULTER (-170) over Rickie Fowler
2 UNITS - JASON DUFNER (-140) over Scott Stallings
1 UNIT - DUSTIN JOHNSON (-180) over Peter Hanson
bob balfe
2/18/2014 7:05 PM
SELECTION:
CLEVELAND CAVS -3.5
The Cavs are playing great basketball, but even worse there has not a team in the NBA that is playing any worse than this Sixers team. It is not even funny how bad they were smoked during their road trip. This team is playing as bad as you can and I just don’t see them winning anytime soon. Take the Cavs.
Discussion 0 Comments
2
2/18/2014 9:00 PM
SELECTION:
TENNESSEE -10
Simply put this Georgia team just does not have enough gas to score on the road against a Vols team that plays great at home. Tennessee plays great defense and I think they put this one away early. Tennessee needs to start beefing up their resume if they want to go dancing. Home wins are a must. Take
AWAY:HOME:ODDS:TIME:
Cleveland CavsPhiladelphia 76ersCleveland Cavs -3.5, 2122/18/2014 7:05 PM
CLEVELAND CAVS -3.5
The Cavs are playing great basketball, but even worse there has not a team in the NBA that is playing any worse than this Sixers team. It is not even funny how bad they were smoked during their road trip. This team is playing as bad as you can and I just don’t see them winning anytime soon. Take the Cavs.
Discussion 0 Comments
2
AWAY:HOME:ODDS:TIME:
GeorgiaTennesseeTennessee -10, 1322/18/2014 9:00 PM
TENNESSEE -10
Simply put this Georgia team just does not have enough gas to score on the road against a Vols team that plays great at home. Tennessee plays great defense and I think they put this one away early. Tennessee needs to start beefing up their resume if they want to go dancing. Home wins are a must. Take
