Steve Merril
NCAA Basketball
(3% play) TEXAS A&M -9.5 (vs. Mississippi) - 9:00 pm ET (ESPN-U) #546
Mississippi is 3-1 SU during their last four games, but they are in a terrible scheduling and situational spot for tonight’s game at Texas A&M. The Rebels come in off five consecutive big games with their last culminating in a 76-60 home win over Arkansas. Prior to that game, Mississippi played three of four games on the road. The Rebels lost by 5 points at Kansas State, won by 3 points at Missouri, and lost by 5 points at Florida. Mississippi beat Vanderbilt as a 2.5-point home underdog in between those road games. Now the Rebels must go back on the road and play their fourth road game over their last six games. Mississippi’s defense has been poor on the road all season as they are giving up 73.6 points per game on 44.8% shooting from the field and 36.2% shooting from three-point land.
Texas A&M returns home off back-to-back road losses at LSU and at Alabama. The Aggies have played three of their last four games on the road, and since they also lost their previous home game, we expect a peak performance in this game. Texas A&M is a strong 13-1 SU at home where they own an excellent +18.1 point differential this season. The Aggies’ defense has been solid at home as they are holding opponents to just 63.3 points per game on 39.7% shooting from the field and 30.5% shooting from three-point land. Texas A&M’s offense has been phenomenal at home where they are averaging 81.4 points per game on 48.1% shooting from the field and 36.8% shooting from three-point land. Texas A&M is in a terrific spot for a bounce-back win, so we’ll lay the points with the Aggies in this home game on Tuesday night.
Play TEXAS A&M (-) as a 3% play.