Service Plays Tuesday 2/15/11

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA
Write-Up


Tuesday, February 15

Hot Teams
-- Pacers are 7-1 since changing coaches, with only loss by 5 at Miami. Heat won seven of last eight games, but they're 3-11 vs spread in game following a loss this season.
-- Grizzlies won 11 of their last 14 games. 76ers won nine of last 12.
-- Kings are 6-0-1 vs spread in last seven games as a road underdog.
-- Chicago won/covered eight of last ten games. Bobcats won last two games, allowing 86-89 points; they covered four of last five contests.
-- Suns won/covered six of their last eight games.
-- Warriors won five of their last seven games.

Cold Teams
-- Oklahoma City covered one of last five as a home favorite.
-- Utah lost 11 of its last 15 games.
-- Hornets lost seven of their last nine games.

Totals
-- Last four Indiana games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Memphis games.
-- Over is 9-2-1 in last dozen Oklahoma City home games.
-- Five of last seven Charlotte games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Phoenix games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Golden State games stayed under total. Five of last six New Orleans games went over.

Back-to-Back-- Charlotte is 3-4 vs spread if it won the night before.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB
Write-Up


Tuesday, February 15

Drexel won four of last five games, but covered just two of last six when favored; Dragons won two of last three visits here- road team is 4-2 last six series games. NC-Wilmington is 4-3 at home in CAA- they won last game in OT at 0-15 Towson, after being down 22 in second half. CAA home underdogs of 4 or less points are 1-8 vs spread.

VCU is 11-2 in last 13 games vs George Mason, beating Patriots in last two CAA tourneys; Mason lost last five visits here, by 24-8-14-12-5 points, but they've won last 11 games overall, covering last 10 games as a favorite. Rams are 12-3 in CAA but split last four games; they're 2-2 as a dog. CAA home teams are 6-19-1 when spread is less than 4 points.

Underdogs are 10-1 vs spread in Ohio's MAC games, 5-0 when Bobcats are on road; Ohio won five of last six games, but are just 2-3 on road in MAC, with losses by 12-6-2 points- they lost 73-68 (-2) to Buffalo at home, after leading by 18 at half. MAC favorites of 7+ points are 9-12 vs spread. Buffalo lost two of its last three games.

Kentucky beat Mississippi State twice LY, both times in OT; its been five years since Wildcats beat State by more than 6 points. Kentucky is 2-2 as SEC home favorite, winning by 24-38-6-12 points. Bulldogs lost last game at Auburn after leading by 18; they scored only 62 ppg in last four games. SEC home favorites of 11+ points are 6-9 vs spread.

Missouri is 2-3 in last five games, but covered last four games as home favorite, winning by 8-16-33-16-23 points- they won last three games vs Texas Tech by 11-21-5 points, winning last two played here by 13-11 points. Tech covered five of last six games, losing last three, by 22-16-3 points. Double digit home favorites are 5-6 vs spread in Big 12 games.

Virginia Tech (+5) held Maryland to 36% from floor in easy 74-57 road win Jan 20; four of last six series games were decided by 6 or less points, with Terps winning here LY in double OT. Tech is 5-2 last seven games, 3-2 as home favorite. Maryland is 1-3 in ACC games decided by seven or less points. Faves are 10-5-1 in ACC when spread is 4 or less points.

Villanova won its last eight games vs Seton Hall, winning last three here by 14-9-4ot points; Wildcats are hampered with sharp-shooting Stokes injured (toe)- they're 2-4 in last six games, blowing 10-point lead in 2:52 at Rutgers in last road game. Big East home underdogs of 5 or less points are 6-3 vs spread. Pirates covered four of their last five games.

Wichita State is 7-0 as MVC road favorite this season- they pounded on Evansville 91-57 (-12) in MVC opener, shooting 62% from floor, going 11-23 on arc. Aces are 7-3 in last ten games, covering five of last seven as an underdog. MVC home underdogs of less than 6 points are 9-6 vs spread. Evansville won its last five home games.

Butler is just 3-4 on Horizon road, 1-5 as road favorite, winning by 12-2-24 points on foreign soil; underdogs covered six of Butler's Horizon League games. Horizon League home dogs of 5 or less points are 9-8 vs spread. Green Bay lost its last three games overall, but this is first home game this month- they've won four of their last five at home.

St John's won last three Big East games; they're 3-3 on road in league, with losses by 15-25-25 points. Marquette is 4-1 as Big East home fave, with home wins by 5-22-30-6 points (lost to UConn), but they've lost four of last six gamespverall. Big East home favorites of 7 or less points are 19-21 vs spread. At this point, a bigger game for Marquette.

Ohio State lost its first game Saturday; they're 2-3 as home favorite in Big 11 games, with three of five home wins by 9 or less points. OSU is 6-4 in last ten games vs Michigan State, winning three of last five played here. Spartans are 1-9 vs spread in last ten games, 0-3 as an underdog in Big 11 games. Big 11 double digit home favorites are 5-9 vs spread.

UNLV covered one of last seven games, is 1-5 as MWC home favorite; Rebels (-11) won 64-52 at Air Force Jan 15, their 6th win in row vs Air Force, which lost last four visits here by 10-7-3-10 points. MWC home favorites of 15+ points are 2-6 vs spread. Falcons are 5-0 vs spread as a MWC road dog, losing road games by 10-13-3 points, with two wins.

Austin Peay won seven in row, 14 of last 15 vs Jacksonville State; they are 6-1 here, winning last three visits by 11-12-2 points; Governors won first meeting this year 80-66 (-13) at home. OVC road favorites of 6 or less points are 11-5 vs spread. Gamecocks covered four of last five as an underdog; five of their seven OVC home losses are by 7 or less points.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL
Write-Up


Tuesday, February 15

Hot Teams
-- Sabres won seven of their last ten games.
-- Islanders won last three games, scoring 16 goals in last two.
-- Tampa Bay won eight of last ten games. Flyers won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Minnesota won three in row, nine of last 11 games. Canucks are 7-2 in their last nine games.
-- Predators won three of their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Bruins, Toronto both lost three of their last four games.
-- Montreal lost three of its last four games.
-- Senators lost 11 of their last 12 games.
-- Sharks lost last two games, scoring three goals, after winning eight of previous nine games.
-- Dallas Stars lost seven of their last nine games. Oilers lost seven of their last eight games, outscored 13-4 in last three.

Totals
-- Four of last five Boston games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Buffalo games went over the total.
-- Last five games went over the total for both Ottawa, Islanders.
-- Last five Philly games stayed under the total. Tampa Bay's last four games all went over.
-- Three of last four Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Nashville games.
-- Five of last seven Dallas games stayed under the total.

Back-to-Back
-- Vancouver is 6-0 on road if it played the night before.

Series records
-- Bruins won 11 of last 14 games against Toronto.
-- Canadiens won four of last five games against Buffalo.
-- Islanders won their last four games against Ottawa.
-- Flyers are 0-3 vs Tampa Bay this season: 2-3/7-8/0-3.
-- Canucks lost their last four visits to Minnesota.
-- Sharks lost four of last five visits to Nashville.
-- Oilers lost their last five games against Dallas.

 

[lastguyoffthabench]

Chris Jordan 100* Trifecta; ODU -14. St. Johns +6.5. GSW/NO over 20

 

[tinfw17]

MREAST NCAAB TUESDAY UNDER THE RADAR SPECIAL

#525 TOLEDO ROCKETS @ #526 BALL ST. CARDINALS 7:00PM EST

PLAY ON #525 TOLEDO ROCKETS +14.5 -110 FOR 3 UNITS

The Toledo Rockets are 4-21 on the season, and have lost 7 straight games, and 12 of their last 13. The wins are few and far between but at the same time, for the purposes here, we don't measure teams that way. What they have been is 11-5 ATS taking 9.5 or more points in their last 16. They are also 10-1 ATS when taking 11-18.5 points. Ball St. opened the season at 13-4, but have since really gone sour as they have gone 1-6 in their last 7, with the lone win by a single point. It has been 12 games since the Cardinals have beaten anyone by more than 10 points. I'll go with Toledo in this one.

 

[jdsabre]

TMB SPORTS PICKS
TUESDAY FEBRUARY 15th, 2011
10 UNIT* Ohio Bobcats +9 (7pm)
3 UNIT* Drake Bulldogs +14 (8pm)
3 UNIT* Villanova Wildcats -3 (8pm)

 

[jdsabre]

Don Wallace


NBA
Tuesday Febtuary 15th, 2011
Release Time - 7:36 AM (CST)

ROTATION - 502# - 3UNIT* - INDIANA +5 (7:05 EST)
ROTATION - 504# - 3UNIT* - MEMPHIS -3.5 (8:05 EST)
ROTATION - 505# - 3UNIT* - SACRAMENTO +9.5 (8:05 EST)

 

[jdsabre]

Jimmy Boyd
NBA GOM

Bulls -9 BIG PLAY

NCAAB

Evansville +6 Medium
Marquette -6 small

 

[canadianbookie]

SPORTSHANDICAPPERKING


Pair of 10 dime CBK/NHL Plays


10 dime CBK Maryland +4.5

10 dime NHL Philadelphia

NHL Freeplay Montreal

 

[jdsabre]

Power Play Wins

Virginia Tech -4

 

[skyjake]

ATS INSIDER

vt
akron

 

[skyjake]

ras

drexel

 

[tinfw17]

Sports Wagers

Philadelphia –104 over TAMPA BAY Pinnacle
Picking up Kris Versteeg can only help the Flyers for their quest to win a Stanley Cup. One of the teams they’re going to have to beat to get there is these Bolts. Philly has lost all three times they’ve played the Lightning this season and you can be damn sure the Flyers are fully aware of that. They need to send a message and chances are they will. It’s difficult to beat the same team four times in a row under any circumstance and you can triple that against a superior club. The Flyers are more balanced, much better defensively and we’re still not convinced that 41-year-old Dwayne Roloson is the answer to the Bolts goaltending problems. Philly begins a four-game trip here but this is the one they want the most. What we’re assured to get is a strong effort from the Flyers with a better chance of winning than the host. Play: Philadelphia –104 (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).

NASHVILLE –106 over San Jose Pinnacle
The Sharkies conclude a two-week, seven-game trip here and thus far they’re 4-2 on said trip. However, they lost the last two games in New Jersey and Florida and scored just three times. The Sharks return home to host the Caps on Saturday night and playing the rugged Preds in the final leg of a two-week trip has to be considered a daunting task. The Sharkies have always had difficulty at this venue, as do most teams, and in a game in which the situation is an unfavorable one at best, it’s certainly not going to be easier. Nashville has won three of its last four games and absolutely dominated both Colorado and Edmonton in two of those last four games. The Oilers had no right winning that game. The Preds also beat Detroit twice over that stretch and come into this one healthy and very confident after the acquisition of Mike Fisher. The Preds have scored nine goals over its last two games and that, too, adds to a team’s confidence. This is an underlay on a Preds team with an outstanding home record in a very good spot. Play: Nashville –106 (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).

N.Y. Islanders +122 over OTTAWA Pinnacle
The Sens have two wins in their past 19 games and one of those wins came in their latest, a 5-3 victory over the last place Oilers. Now they’re –132 favorite over a team that’s playing some very decent hockey and that’s been undervalued for two months. The Islanders have won three in a row and four of its last five. They’ve scored 16 goals over their last two games, nine on Pittsburgh and seven on the Sabres and they’ve scored four or more in all but one of its past five. The Sens are tooth and nails to score anything. Also, Ottawa returns home from a four-game trip minus Mike Fisher. The final three games of that trip came in Western Canada and the Edm-Cal-Van trip is considered by most NHL players to be the physically toughest three-game stretch of the season. Regardless of the outcome, the value here is on the Islanders. They dominated the Sens on Feb 5 in a game they won 5-3 and chances are they’ll be the better team on the ice again. Play: NY Islanders +122 (Risking 2 units).

EDMONTON +130 over Dallas Pinnacle
These two have played three times this season with Dallas winning all three. That’s not very interesting or surprising but what is interesting is that the Oilers deserved a better fate in all three games. In fact, one could argue that the Oilers should be 3-0 against this intruder and not 0-3. In two games in Dallas, the Oilers dominated both times, outshooting the Stars, 41-20 and 35-21. In the game in Edmonton they also outshot them 25-24 and out-chanced them in all three games. If nothing else, the Oilers know they deserve better and after back-to-back lame efforts at home against Anaheim and Ottawa, expect the Oilers to play with a whole lot more fire here in a matchup that appears to favor them. It’s not like the Stars are going good either like they were before. They have two wins in their past nine games. One of those wins was against Edmonton and one was against Chicago in a game they trailed 3-0 and eventually won in OT. Conceivably, the Starts could be on a 0-9 streak right now and laying road juice in this spot with the Stars is a recipe for a bad wager. Play: Edmonton +130 (Risking 2 units).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LT Profits

NCAAB

Towson +7 -105
Drake +14 -107

NBA

Indiana Pacers +5.5 -110

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

APPLE HANDICAPPERS
------------------------
James(Red-Hot)Dotson
3 Dime Indiana Pacers+5.5

 

[goldencontender]

Tuesday NCAAB Play- GC

On Tuesday the Free NCAAB Play is on the North Carolina Tarheels. Game 536 at 8:00 eastern. North Carolina lost here the last time these 2 played. Tonight they come in off a win on the road vs Clemson as they bounced back from the Duke loss. They have won and covered 5 of 7 off a win this season and take on a Wake Forest team that is struggling. Wake was just blown out at home by North Carolina St by 25 points. The Deacons are 2-8 ats in conference play, good for last place. They also are 0-6 straight up and ats as a road dog from 18.5 to 24 since 1997. They are 1-12 vs winning teams going just 4-8-1 ats in those games. Look for North Carolina to get the win and cover here. On Tuesday I have 4 large plays including the highest rated Colonial conference Game of the Year + the 28-1 Big East Game of the Month and Perfect system NBA Side. For the Bonus Play take North Carolina. GC

 

[skyjake]

trushel

20 g st

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MICHAEL CANNON

BIG EAST BOOKIE BASHER
25 DIME* Seton Hall +3.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CRAIG DAVIS

COLONIAL ATHLETIC CONFERENCE ABSOLUTE LOCK
75 DIME* George Mason -1.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

EZ WINNERS

NCAAB
2* Seton Hall
2* Marquette