Service Plays Tuesday 12/9/08

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exactly.. none of us complain when we see Seabass pull out his 100* to 300* picks. of course we know he ain't capping, but if he can sift through all the junk and grab the good cappers best plays, who are we to complain. in fact, it's like a distilled service thread - best of what's out there, down to 4-5 picks in total.
 

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Thanks chicago1bears.

Can i send you a pm? I think you have the option disable..
 

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Not talking any shit, just answering assumptions. Doesn't matter to me either if he's winning. I joined last week and am down pretty significant off of 7 days. Hopefully he bounces back tonight. :smoker2:
 

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The Jefferson picks are confirmed. Also, let's look at this closer:

kindergartencapper

Toledo +5
Bought the half first off. Wright St. still hasn't covered a game and shoots 35%FG and 20% 3pt. Toledo beat UMass....I see them possibly winning str8 up.

VT -3
Better team. 76% FT won't hurt on the road compared to the 62% for the Dawgs.

VT over 126.5
Have this one in the 130's...but I haven't hit a damn over in awhile.

San Fran +5
Both teams lost @ Cal by the same. Pacific hasn't looked stellar at home, SF looked awful on their last one. SF wins this game 50% of the time.

Montana St. vs CSF under 148
Both teams play above the avg. pace for NCAA. Both teams are in the 200's in Off. Eff. This game will be fast paced, but will they be able to score consistently? Under 6-2 in CSF last 8 road games.

Marist +16
Covered this the last 10 meetings. Won 6 of the last 10 meetings. Siena shoots 58% from the FT. This one is a crap shoot.

Jefferson Picks released at 6:18 PM which were:
NCAA HOOPS
SAN FRANCISCO+5
TOLEDO+4.5
2 out of 3 the same
NBA
SAN ANTONIO-1
Indian Cowboy POD

I've followed for around a week and i'm beginning to believe the assumptions...


If he is copying these guys, then he sure is doing a hell of a job picking the right games, what about 70% in CBB? Can anyone here do that? Kindergarten capper and IC has tons more plays then Jefferson does, maybe both IC and Kindergarten capper should ask Jefferson which ones are the strongest play so we all can :cripwalk:.
 
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Cajun-Sports NBA Executive- Tuesday


TIME: 8:35 PM EST. Tuesday Dec. 9
GAME: Atlanta Hawks @ Houston Rockets -4.5
PLAY: 3* Houston Rockets -4.5
ANALYSIS:

The Toyota Center will be the site of tonight’s matchup between the host Houston Rockets and the visiting Hawks from Atlanta. The Hawks are in the midst of a four-game road trip which includes visits to the teams that make up the Texas Triangle. The Rockets return home after a trip to Memphis last night where they lost 109 to 97 as 6.5 point road favorites.

The Hawks began their four-game road swing with a loss at Dallas on Saturday losing 100 to 98. Atlanta covered the 6.5 point spread as a road underdog and has cashed their last three on the road overall. Prior to recent ATS success they had failed to cover in their previous seven games.

The Rockets swept the season series from Atlanta last year, winning 108 to 89 as a 9.5 point home favorite and 83 to 75 as a 4.5 point road favorite. The last win ended an eight-game straight up winning streak and a seven-game ATS run by the home team in this series, with the Hawks going 0-4 ATS in their last four trips to Houston. The SU winner is 8-0 ATS in the last eight head-to-head meetings and the favorite is 6-1 ATS in the past seven.

The Rockets have responded well after suffering a loss they are 42-27-1 ATS. The Rockets are 56-41-1 ATS after playing on the road and 14-7 ATS if their current game has a line range of 4 to 5.5 points. Houston is 23-8-1 ATS when facing Southeast Division opponents. The Hawks are 41-58-1 ATS on the road and 36-50 ATS if they are installed as an underdog on the highway. The Hawks struggle after covering the spread in their previous game posting a record of 18-30-1 ATS in that situation. The Hawks are 10-22 ATS their last 32 on the highway when facing a team that has a home record of .600 or better. Atlanta is 8-20 ATS on the road after 1 or more consecutive losses the last 2 seasons.

Data base research has uncovered two powerful technical systems that back our position on the Rockets tonight. Play AGAINST NBA teams off a road ATS win where the team lost straight up as an underdog versus an opponent off an upset loss of ten or more points as a road favorite, 28-7 ATS since 1996. Play AGAINST NBA underdogs off an ATS win where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, with the current game involving teams with a win percentage of 60% to 75%, 40-8 ATS since 1996.

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: (3*) Houston Rockets 94 Atlanta Hawks 85
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Dave Malinsky 6*

Bulls

6* Top of the Ticket
REASON FOR PICK: 6* #510 CHICAGO over NEW YORK

One of our favorite situations in all of sports is when we get those rare instances in which a favorite is going to go all-out against a bad opponent. The oddsmakers have a difficult time pricing these games properly because most bad teams are worse than they appear to be, with their scores and statistics getting a boost because often the opposition is coasting against them, especially in the NBA. So tonight we have a line that does not reflect at all the gap between these teams, and also the setting to take full advantage. That means time to step it up.

Yes, the Bulls are only 9-11, but take that with the usual grain of salt for early December – they have already had to take their usual long road trip with the circus in town (this time a seven-game tour), and even without factoring home/away situations they check in at #2 on our schedule ratings. They have also had to play through injuries, which has frustrated the development process, but now not only do they have all hands on deck, but they have the rare setting (for them) of playing back-to-back home games with a couple of practice days in between. They coasted past Washington in the opening salvo for this sequence, leading by as many as 16 points in the fourth quarter, and since they are also off until Friday after this one it means that we see the very best that they have to offer, against an opponent that will allow that best to show.

With a deep corps of talented back-court players the Bulls are at their best when they run, with Derrick Rose (note that his missing practice yesterday was merely a precaution after he needed stitches to close a cut in his arm, and he will be 100 percent here) so adept at finding the open man in transition. And one of those open players tonight will be Luol Deng, who is finally back to full health after missing three games (26 points in Saturday’s win over Washington). Even against a tough schedule Chicago has pushed the pace fast enough to rate #4 on our charting of that part of the game, and now they get to play a team that is #1 in the league in possessions per game. It is part of Mike D’Antoni working more on getting his system in play than winning right now, and in going 3-6 ATS as road underdogs so far we see the difficulty this hodge-podge of a New York roster is going to have in tonight’s role (the Knicks are allowing an unholy 50.3 percent shooting on the road).

While the Bulls are fresh and ready to run for the full 48 minutes, D’Antoni has issues galore here. He was only able to use seven players against Detroit on Sunday afternoon, including Chris Duhon having to go the full 48 minutes for the first time in his career, and with Nate Robinson again not ready to go the Knicks are basically paper-thin. That puts the coach in a bind in terms of playing from behind here, since they have to play at New Jersey on Thursday, losing an hour in the time zone transition to that one. We believe that it could lead to a white flag being raised at some point, as the deeper and more talented Bulls keep running the floor and eventually break this wide open.
 
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just as I thought, dudes with 6 post and 8 posts bashing jefferson

Soleus who has posted jefferson for almost two years on another forum said this last week

Be careful guys, jefferson going on his own is gonna piss some people off. Confirm his plays, people will post others.

Sol
 

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CHASE - for someone who claims to not be Jefferson, you always care TOO MUCH when someone says anything
 

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thanks TIZ just wondering if he had any regular plays his steam plays have been on a sour note as of late.. lost last 3 of 4
 

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Thanks HAP i think its funny seabass always post his plays really late in the day right before game time and always tails big time vegas cappers.. always has exactly same plays kinda funny lol
 

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