SPORTS ADVISORS
Miami (Ohio) (2-6, 3-4 ATS) at Buffalo (4-4, 5-3 ATS)
Buffalo is in the national spotlight on a Tuesday for the second consecutive week, this time serving as host when it welcomes Miami (Ohio) for a Mid-American Conference clash in the first-ever nationally televised game from UB Stadium.
The Bulls traveled to Ohio a week ago and led from start to finish in a 32-19 rout of Ohio as a 1½-point road underdog. Buffalo, which has followed a three-game losing skid with back-to-back wins, took a 24-7 halftime lead and cruised from there thanks to a rushing attack that churned out 277 yards, including 6 yards per carry. However, the Bulls got outgained for the fifth straight game, finishing with 393 yards while allowing 417.
Miami (Ohio) has been idle since Oct. 25, when it lost 54-21 to Kent State despite being a 3½-point home chalk. The Redhawks produced just 318 total yards (147 rushing) while giving up 468 (305 rushing). They’re now 1-8 SU in their last nine games against Division I-A foes and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 lined contests dating to 2007.
The Redhawks are 10-0 all-time against Buffalo, with the average margin of victory being 25 points per game (37-12). Last Year, Miami (Ohio) held on for a 31-28 home win, but the Bulls got the cash as a 6½-point underdog. In fact, Buffalo has cashed in three of the last four meetings, including the last two in a row. Finally, the host is on a 4-1 ATS roll in this series.
In addition to its ongoing 3-8 ATS slump overall, Miami is in ATS funks of 2-7 in MAC play, 0-4 in November and 1-7 when playing on grass, but the Redhawks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 on the road and 3-1 ATS in their last four as an underdog. Meanwhile, Buffalo is on ATS streaks of 10-2 against losing teams, 5-2 in November, 7-3 in conference play and 4-0 after a SU win, but the Bulls have failed to cash in four of their last five home games.
The under is 7-2 in Miami’s last nine road trips and 4-1 in its last five MAC contests. However, the over for Buffalo is on streaks of 3-0 overall, 4-0 at home, 4-1 in MAC action and 4-1 on grass. Also, the over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BUFFALO and OVER
NBA
Boston (2-1, 1-2 ATS) at Houston (3-0, 1-2 ATS)
The unbeaten Rockets figure to face their stiffest test of the season when they welcome the Celtics to the Toyota Center.
Houston has started off the season with three straight double-digit routs, including Saturday’s 89-77 victory over Oklahoma City. However, the Rockets came up short as a 14-point home chalk, and they’re 0-2 ATS as a favorite this year (1-0 ATS as an underdog). Houston has surrendered 77 and 71 points in its two home wins.
The Celtics began the season with consecutive victories over the Cavaliers (90-85) and Chicago (96-80), then hit the road for the first time Saturday and fell flat in a 95-79 loss as a six-point road favorite. Boston shot just 34.6 percent from the field in the defeat, including missing 20 of 24 attempts from three-point range, and committed 24 turnovers.
Boston swept the two-game season series from the Rockets last year, winning 97-93 at home as a hefty 11 ½-point favorite and 94-74 in Houston as a 4½-point road underdog. The visitor has won seven of the last 10 meetings, going 8-2 ATS (4-0 ATS in the last four). Finally, the ‘dog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head clashes, and the winner has cashed in nine of the last 10.
Gong back to last season, the Celtics are on ATS runs of 8-2 overall, 4-1 on the road, 7-1 against the Southwest Division, 19-7 versus the Western Conference and 13-6 on Tuesdays. Meanwhile, the Rockets have failed to cover in four of their last five at home, but otherwise they’re on pointspread hot streaks of 36-16-1 against the Eastern Conference, 10-4 against Atlantic Division foes and 24-9-1 following a SU victory.
Boston sports under streaks of 3-0 this season, 8-1 on the road and 4-1 on Tuesdays, while Houston’s under runs include 10-4 overall (2-1 this year), 10-1 at home, 4-0 against the Eastern Conference and 5-0 on Tuesdays. Finally, the under is 4-0 in the last four meetings between these squads at the Toyota Center.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and UNDER
Dallas (1-2 SU and ATS) at San Antonio (0-2 SU and ATS)
The Spurs try again for their first victory of the season when they welcome the rival Mavericks to the AT&T Center in a Southwest Division battle between struggling teams.
San Antonio, which lost four of its final five games to the Lakers in last year’s Western Conference Finals, has begun 2008-09 with a pair of close losses to the Suns (103-98 at home) and Blazers (100-99), failing to cash as a short favorite in both contests. In Friday’s setback at Portland, the Spurs shot 56 percent from the field (56.2 percent from three-point land) while holding the Blazers to 46.3 percent shooting (35.3 percent from long range) but had a game-winning jump shot fail to drop in at the buzzer.
Dallas bounced back from a 10-point season-opening home loss to the Rockets with a 10-point road win at Minnesota on Sunday (95-85). However, the Mavericks couldn’t carry that momentum over into Monday’s contest against Cleveland, falling 100-81 as a 4½-point home chalk. The Mavs have alternated spread-covers in seven straight games going back to last year’s postseason and they’re 6-12 ATS in their last 18 regular-season contests.
Dallas topped the Spurs 105-92 as a two-point home favorite in last year’s initial meeting, but San Antonio came back to take the last three contests by a total of 12 points, going 2-1 ATS. Dallas is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings dating to November 2006. Also, the visitor is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 head-to-head battles and the underdog is 20-7 ATS in the last 27, including 9-1 ATS in the last 10. Finally, the SU winner is 9-1 ATS in those 10 meetings.
The Spurs have failed to cash in four straight games going back to last year’s playoffs, but they’re still 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 at home and 5-2-2 ATS in their last nine Tuesday contests. Dallas is 39-19-1 ATS in its last 59 games against divisional rivals, but 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven when going on back-to-back nights.
The under is on runs of 5-1 for Dallas overall, 10-4-1 for Dallas on Tuesday, 8-2 for San Antonio overall and 19-8-1 for San Antonio against Southwest Division squads. Finally, the under is 5-2 in the last seven Spurs-Mavericks tussles (3-1 in the past four in San Antonio).
ATS ADVANTAGE: DALLAS and UNDER
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