Service Plays Tuesday 11/2/10

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Keith Fredrick

Middle Tennessee at Arkansas State
Pick: Arkansas State +2

ASU is better than their 3-5 record indicates, as losses have come to Auburn, Indiana (ASU dominated stats in that one), and Troy - and they are 3-2 in the league, with a 4-1 record a real possibility with a break or two. On the other hand MSTU is 3-4 (2-1 in the league) but really have not played a "good" game all year long in this view. Finally, note that the home team has won seven of nine in this series.
 
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The Duke's Sports

Arkansas State (+2) for 2.5 Units

The home team has covered 5 of the last 6 in this series and we're going with the home dog tonight. Ark State, which is on a 5-1 ATS roll, has a veteran team that's been in every game this season, including a cover at #2 Auburn. QB Ryan Aplin is making sound decisions running the offense. He also gives the Red Wolves the running dimension in which he has gained nearly 300 yards with 7 TDs this season. On the other hand, Dwight Dasher and Logan Kilgore, who have split duty do to ineffectiveness at the QB position, have a combined 5 TD / 11 INT margin. Defensively, the Blue Raiders have a slight edge but not meaningful enough to warrant laying points on the road in this series, especially walking into revenge. MTSU, which won 38-14 at home last season, is just 1-5 ATS vs an opponent with revenge. Moreover, they're also just 1-5 ATS as a favorite of less than 12 points off a double-digit SU win vs a sub .500 opponent. Good situation for Ark State her under veteran HC Roberts who is 31-11 ATS at ASU Stadium.
 
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hammer the book

college football plays
3 units each
rotation 301/302 :::middle tennessee state @ arkansas state (under 58 1/2 @ bet jamaica, bookmaker, cris, the greek, betus, carib & sbg)

nba plays
3 units each
rotation 701/702 :::atlanta hawks @ cleveland cavaliers (over 190 @ most all books)
rotation 705/706 :::boston celtics @ detroit pistons (under 188 1/2@ sbg)
rotation 709/710 ::: Orlando magic @ new york knicks (under 201 1/2@ carib)

nhl plays
3 units each
rotation 051/052 :::ottawa senators @ toronto maple leafs (under 5 1/2@ most all books)
 

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