Service Plays Tuesday 11/17/09

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The Degenerate Gambler
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Doc's NBA

3-Unit Play #701 Take Golden State +14 ½ Over Cleveland (7 p.m. EST, Tuesday)

5-Unit Play – Totals Game of the Week - #713 Take Chicago/Sacramento UNDER 198 (10 p.m. EST, Tuesday)
 
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DCI
Season
Straight Up: 104-36 (.743)
ATS: 89-59 (.601)

CLEVELAND 115, Golden State 98
MIAMI 100, Oklahoma City 90
Indiana vs. NEW JERSEY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
NEW ORLEANS 101, L.A. Clippers 91
HOUSTON 109, Phoenix 103
DENVER 111, Toronto 99
Chicago 108, SACRAMENTO 104
L.A. LAKERS 103, Detroit 88
 
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DCI
Season: 103-68 (.602)

Washington vs. N.Y. RANGERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
MONTREAL 3, Carolina 2
Toronto vs. OTTAWA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
San Jose vs. NASHVILLE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
CALGARY 3, Colorado 2
 
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DUNKEL
Toronto at Ottawa

The Senators look to take advantage of a Toronto team that is coming off a 5-2 loss to Calgary and is 0-5 in its last 5 games following a loss by 3 or more goals. Ottawa is the pick (-160) accordng to Dunkel, which has the Senators favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-160). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 17
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 51-52: Washington at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.180; NY Rangers 11.981
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 53-54: Carolina at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 10.070; Montreal 11.115
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-160); Under

Game 55-56: Toronto at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 10.338; Ottawa 11.505
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-160); 6
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-160); Under

Game 57-58: San Jose at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.043; Nashville 12.148
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+130); Over

Game 59-60: Colorado at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.225; Calgary 11.757
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-200); Under
 
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DUNKEL
Indiana at New Jersey

The Nets look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games as a home underdog between 1 and 4 1/2 points. New Jersey is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Pacers favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+4). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 17
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 701-702: Golden State at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 112.859; Cleveland 125.197
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 12 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 15 1/2; 215
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+15 1/2); Under

Game 703-704: Indiana at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 116.181; New Jersey 114.542
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 4; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+4); Over

Game 705-706: Oklahoma City at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 115.090; Miami 126.613
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 11 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 5 1/2; 179 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-5 1/2); Over

Game 707-708: LA Clippers at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 113.564; New Orleans 114.989
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 3 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+3 1/2); Over

Game 709-710: Phoenix at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 122.588; Houston 124.576
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 2; 215 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2; 220 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+2); Under

Game 711-712: Toronto at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 115.819; Denver 129.145
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 13 1/2; 220
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 8; 218
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-8); Over

Game 713-714: Chicago at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 117.503; Sacramento 113.098
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 4 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 1; 198
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+1); Under

Game 715-716: Detroit at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 118.468; LA Lakers 125.807
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7 1/2; 202 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
 

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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

CLEVELAND CAVALIERS -15

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]We're going with a public favorite here, but for a number of different reasons I believe the Cavaliers will look to bury the under manned Warriors:

The Warriors just dealt their second leading scorer in Stephen Jackson and are also without a number of its starters; Kelenna Azubuike suffered a patella tendon injury in the first quarter of their 129-125 loss to the Bucks (a game where rookine Brandon Jennings poured in a double-nickle [55]) and could be done for the season.

Centers Andris Biedrins (right groin and abdominal inflammation) and Ronny Turiaf (sprained knee) are out, as is power forward Brandan Wright (shoulder), leaving Golden State with Mikki Moore and Anthony Randolph as its only healthy big bodies.

Too add insult to injury; Golden State always struggles on the road at the Quicken Loans arena; 3-13 ATS its last 16 in Cleveland.

On the other side of the court: Shaq is most likely sitting in this one; James was held to 21 points after averaging 34.3 in the previous three games, but he scored seven in the final 28.8 seconds as the Cavaliers beat the Jazz 107-103 for their fourth straight win on Saturday.

After an atypical rough start, the Cavaliers have rebounded and I believe they'll continue to build momentum; not only is Cleveland 4-2 ATS its last six overall, but its also 7-1 SU its last eight.

Bottom line: Too many factors working against the Warriors today and after Lebron and the starters put this one out of reach, look for Cleveland's bench to make a strong showing down the stretch as they'll all be expecting some game time today; look for CLEVELAND to move to 4-1 ATS its last five vs. good offensive teams that average 99 plus points per contest and for the Warriors to fall to 2-3 ATS this year as an underdog.

*7* CAVALIERS.
[/FONT]
 

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Marc Lawrence

NEW ORLEANS HORNETS -3.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Hornets look for their initial win under new head coach Jeff Bower tonight knowing they are 10-0 SU and ATS the last 10 games against the Clippers. With the Clippers 4-0 ATS in this series when playing off a loss of more than 20 points and Los Angeles in off a road win, we'll stay at home with the Hornets. We recommend a 3-unit play on New Orleans.[/FONT]
 

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Spartan

KANSAS -11.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]What a match up for this early on in the season. Memphis Tigers and Kansas Jayhawks square off on in St Louis and believe it or not I feel the Jayhawks laying 11.5 to Memphis is actually a value here. This #1 ranked Kansas squad of coach Bill Self is absolutely loaded and they are as deep as you can get. Kansas returns all five starters from last years 27-8 team that captured the Big 12 title and advanced to the sweet 16. Word out of Lawrence is that this could be the best ball club Self has put together in his tenure there. Memphis returns only a single starter from last years squad. Kansas just absolutely drubbed Hofstra in their opener 101-65 and from what I am told it could have been much worse. This is a veteran team that is obviously extrememly well coached and I do not suspect the national spotlight early on will faze this crew one bit. It is early in the season so please stick with your money managment. I've nailed 3 of the first 4 college basketball games thus far and frankly will be real surprised of we don't get one here as well. I look at Memphis under new head coach Josh Pasner as a work in progress that should evolve into a fine club but on the other side Kansas is expereinced and ready to gallop right out of the gate. I have to back the Jayhawks here and will lay the 11.5 points guys. Take Kansas.[/FONT]
 

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Lenny Del Genio

MIAMI HEAT -5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Off a near disaster against New Jersey, look for the Heat to take care of home court here against an Oklahoma City squad that has not won three straight road games since 2007. The Heat have done just fine on their home court so far this season, allowing just 91.3 PPG, and they have won 15 of 18 SU as chalk since last year's All-Star Break. Thanks to some injuries, we can take advantage of a small number here as we still Dwyane Wade and with Miami, that's all that matters. Take Miami. [/FONT]
 

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Tony George

PHOENIX SUNS +2.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Houston beat the Lakers their last game, but they out rebounded them 60-38 and LA shot around 33% from the floor. Phoenix lost to the Lakers. Common opponent comparision?? Not really. Doubt the Suns shoot 30% and get outrebounded here. The frontcourt of the Suns, who are hitting on all cylinders will be too much in transition for Houston. The Suns are on fire at 9-2 and both teams rested. I like the overall talent and DEPTH in this matchup that favors the Suns who OWN this series. The road team is 22-1 ATS and the Suns are 16-5 ATS the last 21 in this series.

Play 1 Unit on Phoenix.
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Win-or-lose 11/17

Look for more games today as many lines are not up yet.
Last post was 10:00 am EST

NCAA Football
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
*** NO games

National Football League
Rot# Team Spread/Type Line Wager
*** No Games

National Hockey League
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
54 MON ML -170 $9
56 OTT ML -141 $16
59 COLO +1.5 -190 $15
59 Col / Cal OV 5.5 +108 $6


National Basketball Association (Remember we are Buying 2 Points)
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
712 DEN -5.5 -155 $5
704 NJ +5.5 -155 $9
713 CHI +3 -155 $8


NCAA Basketball (We are buying 2 points on each game)
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
738 Mich St -9 -155 $8
 
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Hammer NHL Picks 11/16

Hammer's NHL Picks (11/16)
Huge Over/Under Plays Tonight (55 Dimes in action)
20 Dimes: Edmonton/Colubus Over 5.5
20 Dimes: Los Angeles/Florida Over 5.5
15 Dimes: Tampa Bay/Phoenix Under 5.5 -130
 
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John Ryan Sports
Handicapper: John Ryan Sports
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Golden State Warriors @ Cleveland Cavaliers - Tuesday November 17, 2009 7:05 pm
Pick: 2 units ATS: Cleveland Cavaliers -14.5 (-110)


Ryan is rolling along quite well in the NBA coming off a 7* Titan victory on the Bobcats Monday. He sports a 16-9 ATS mark for 64% ATS victories on the season. Join him for another 7* Titan play reinforced by an incredible system producing 85% victories since 1996. Win Big again tonight.
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Cleveland as they host the Warriors set to start at 7:00 EST. AiS shows a 75% probability that Cleveland will win this game by 15 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 30-9 ATS for 77% victories since 1996.
Play on home favorites of 10 or more points after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half facing an opponent after a loss by 6 points or less. Cleveland has a huge rebounding edge in this game. The AiS shows an 88% probability that Cleveland will have 10 or more rebounds in this game. Note that Cleveland is a solid 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they grab 10+ more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take the Cavs in a blowout.
 

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