BRIAN EDWARDS
Troy at Middle Tennessee State
Pick: Troy +3.5
Troy has won four in a row over Middle Tennessee and knows how critical this contest is in terms of the Sun Belt race and getting a bowl bid. When these teams have stepped up in class, Troy nearly won outright at unbeaten Oklahoma St. in a 41-38 loss. Meanwhile, Middle Tennessee lost outright at home to Minnesota. Granted, the Blue Raiders do get Dwight Dasher back tonight and he's an explosive QB. However, he's missed all season and has been mistake-prone, as evidenced by his 14 interceptions last year. Toss-up, give me the team catching more than a field goal that has dominated the head-to-head play recently.