BP FROM BALLINPICKS
Tuesday Night Football !! What a beautiful thing! We have Houston playing Marshall tonight @ 8PM! If you want my opinion, which obviously you do, this is a mismatch! As long as Houston does not "GIVE" the cover to Marshall, then this should be a cover with ease! The truth of the matter remains that Houston has a very poised and balanced offense that can score plenty of points! In order for Marshall to cover 7 points in this one, they would have to SCORE with them! Marshall is to say the least an extremely weak team at this point, and not getting any better of late! Houstons Defense is not a strong point, but neither is Marshalls offense. So those 2 are a wash, then we take Houstons Explosive Offense against Marshalls Defense and that is not a wash, not even close to being a wash. Houston should score plenty! Houston is averaging 39 pts per game, while Marshall is averaging a mere 19! In the last 3 games, Houston is averaging 43 pts to Marshalls 11! If we look at the QB Matchup, look what we have... Case Keenum has thrown close to 2700 yards and 23 TDs against 6 INTs, while Mark Cann has throwin for 1358 for 8 TDs and 8 INTs ... Houston has not been a good Roat ATS team this year, but with that being said, the ONLY thing going for Marshall tonight is home field advantage, and I do not think that is going to be enough. BP 3* Houston -7
Tuesday Night Football !! What a beautiful thing! We have Houston playing Marshall tonight @ 8PM! If you want my opinion, which obviously you do, this is a mismatch! As long as Houston does not "GIVE" the cover to Marshall, then this should be a cover with ease! The truth of the matter remains that Houston has a very poised and balanced offense that can score plenty of points! In order for Marshall to cover 7 points in this one, they would have to SCORE with them! Marshall is to say the least an extremely weak team at this point, and not getting any better of late! Houstons Defense is not a strong point, but neither is Marshalls offense. So those 2 are a wash, then we take Houstons Explosive Offense against Marshalls Defense and that is not a wash, not even close to being a wash. Houston should score plenty! Houston is averaging 39 pts per game, while Marshall is averaging a mere 19! In the last 3 games, Houston is averaging 43 pts to Marshalls 11! If we look at the QB Matchup, look what we have... Case Keenum has thrown close to 2700 yards and 23 TDs against 6 INTs, while Mark Cann has throwin for 1358 for 8 TDs and 8 INTs ... Houston has not been a good Roat ATS team this year, but with that being said, the ONLY thing going for Marshall tonight is home field advantage, and I do not think that is going to be enough. BP 3* Houston -7
Trace Adams PAY-AFTER-YOU-WIN - 500* - Buffalo Bulls Last week when I watched the Bobcats implode at Temple, I made a mental note to myself that there would be no way in the world I would back that piece of shit quarterback Boo Jackson again this season!
That guy was horrid in that game, and I have a feeling I can throw a tighter spiral stone cold with no warm ups than he can!!!
That having been said, I will back Turner Gill's Bulls as they invade Peden Stadium tonight. The Bulls have a chance to even their season mark to 4-4 with an outright tonight, and since we are getting just a few points, they pretty muich have to win this game outright for us. I think they will!
Buffalo is a perfect 3-0 against the spread this season in the underdog role, and are now 12-5 against the spread under Turner Gill when catching points on the road.
Last season, the Bulls snapped a 3 game series losing streak against Ohio with the 31-10 home rout of the Bobcats. Ohio does have a date with Bowling Green on deck, a situation that finds them on an 0-8-1 spread run the last 9 times the Falcons have been on-deck for the Bobcats!
Go with Buffalo.
500♦ - PAY-AFTER-YOU-WIN - Buffalo Bills
1000* - Houston Cougars, 500* - Portland Trail Blazers True, Houston was unable to get on top of the road impost last week at SMU, winning by 6 as the 13 1/2-point favorite, but there really is no way I can back a Marshall team that has now dropped their last 3 both straight up, and against the spread.
The Cougars have won their last 3 games, to move to 4-3 on the year, and it seems they are now fully comfortable under 1st year coach Kevin Sumlin after getting off to a 1-3 start.
Houston's offense has put up 41, 45, and 44 points in their last 3 games, and I don't think Marshall's attack which has been held to 21 points or less in 5 of their 7 games this season is going to be able to keep pace - even at home.
The Herd are just 1-3 against the spread this year as an underdog, and while it may be tempting to back Marshall, it is important to remember that the favorites last week in the weeknight games; Temple, West Virginia, Air Force, and Boise State went a combined 3-0-1 against the math.
I am laying the wood with Houston!
1000♦ - Houston Cougars
Why not grab the points with the Blazers on opening night?
Portland is excited to have Greg Oden make his first regular season start after he had to sit out all of last season, and reports are Oden is ready to go.
The Blazers have covered in ALL 7 of the last 7 series meetings, winning 4 of those 7 straight up with the Lakers dating back to 2006, and Portland did finish last year with a 21-20 spread mark on the road, while LA could do no better than 25-26 against the spread at the Staples Center last year.
Matchups look good for Portland to extend their winning numbers in the series.
I will take the points with the Blazers as they stay close on opening night in the City of Angels.
500♦ - Portland Trail Blazers
That guy was horrid in that game, and I have a feeling I can throw a tighter spiral stone cold with no warm ups than he can!!!
That having been said, I will back Turner Gill's Bulls as they invade Peden Stadium tonight. The Bulls have a chance to even their season mark to 4-4 with an outright tonight, and since we are getting just a few points, they pretty muich have to win this game outright for us. I think they will!
Buffalo is a perfect 3-0 against the spread this season in the underdog role, and are now 12-5 against the spread under Turner Gill when catching points on the road.
Last season, the Bulls snapped a 3 game series losing streak against Ohio with the 31-10 home rout of the Bobcats. Ohio does have a date with Bowling Green on deck, a situation that finds them on an 0-8-1 spread run the last 9 times the Falcons have been on-deck for the Bobcats!
Go with Buffalo.
500♦ - PAY-AFTER-YOU-WIN - Buffalo Bills
1000* - Houston Cougars, 500* - Portland Trail Blazers True, Houston was unable to get on top of the road impost last week at SMU, winning by 6 as the 13 1/2-point favorite, but there really is no way I can back a Marshall team that has now dropped their last 3 both straight up, and against the spread.
The Cougars have won their last 3 games, to move to 4-3 on the year, and it seems they are now fully comfortable under 1st year coach Kevin Sumlin after getting off to a 1-3 start.
Houston's offense has put up 41, 45, and 44 points in their last 3 games, and I don't think Marshall's attack which has been held to 21 points or less in 5 of their 7 games this season is going to be able to keep pace - even at home.
The Herd are just 1-3 against the spread this year as an underdog, and while it may be tempting to back Marshall, it is important to remember that the favorites last week in the weeknight games; Temple, West Virginia, Air Force, and Boise State went a combined 3-0-1 against the math.
I am laying the wood with Houston!
1000♦ - Houston Cougars
Why not grab the points with the Blazers on opening night?
Portland is excited to have Greg Oden make his first regular season start after he had to sit out all of last season, and reports are Oden is ready to go.
The Blazers have covered in ALL 7 of the last 7 series meetings, winning 4 of those 7 straight up with the Lakers dating back to 2006, and Portland did finish last year with a 21-20 spread mark on the road, while LA could do no better than 25-26 against the spread at the Staples Center last year.
Matchups look good for Portland to extend their winning numbers in the series.
I will take the points with the Blazers as they stay close on opening night in the City of Angels.
500♦ - Portland Trail Blazers
Playbook Marc Lawrence
Tuesday, October 28th
Buffalo over OHIO U by 3
Just call ‘em the ‘bad luck Bobbies’. For the third time this season, Ohio
tumbled to defeat despite leading after three quarters, losing 14-10 against
Temple. This one was a crusher: the Bobcats led 10-0 at the half and had
allowed Temple just 60 TOTAL YARDS entering the fi nal period. However,
all is not lost for Ohio; the ‘Cats still fi nd themselves in a four-way tie for
second place in the MAC East with Bowling Green, Buffalo and Miami
(Ohio), behind fi rst-place Akron (2-2) with a 1-2 record. Turner Gill’s Bulls
enter tonight’s game after edging Army in overtime and we normally don’t
go near OT winners taking to the highway. But with a week of rest under
their belts, we’ll ‘Lean On’ this 17 returning starter underdog playing off
back-to-back ATS losses. The Bobcats’ putrid 0-8-1 ATS mark off a SUATS loss
when playing with revenge and an identically horrible 0-8-1 ATS log before
battling Bowling Green seals the deal. Peden Stadium looks like a home
where Buffalo can roam.
Houston over MARSHALL by 6
Expect Marshall head coach Mark Snyder to make life miserable for his
defensive players during this week’s practices. The Blundering Herd’s ‘stop
unit’ blew numerous tackles on at least 10 plays that resulted in 200 yards,
nine fi rst downs and a touchdown in their 23-21 loss to woeful UAB. Now
Snyder has to prep his team to face the nation’s 3rd ranked offense in
Houston, a squad whose 544 YPG average is more than 200 YPG better than
the Herd’s (333 YPG). Still, Marshall can hang around if they manage to open
a few holes for excellent RB Darius Marshall: the team is 3-0 this season
when the sophomore rushes for 100 yards. And even though 1st year head
coach Kevin Sumlin has done an admirable job with the Cougars, we’re not
enamored laying points with a team that is 7-18-1 ATS in its last 26 tries as
road chalk (0-2 with Sumlin). Those numbers work just fi ne with Marshall’s
5-1 ATS record as conference home dogs versus .500 or greater opposition,
so we’ll cast a slight vote for the guys in green.
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Tuesday, October 28th
Buffalo over OHIO U by 3
Just call ‘em the ‘bad luck Bobbies’. For the third time this season, Ohio
tumbled to defeat despite leading after three quarters, losing 14-10 against
Temple. This one was a crusher: the Bobcats led 10-0 at the half and had
allowed Temple just 60 TOTAL YARDS entering the fi nal period. However,
all is not lost for Ohio; the ‘Cats still fi nd themselves in a four-way tie for
second place in the MAC East with Bowling Green, Buffalo and Miami
(Ohio), behind fi rst-place Akron (2-2) with a 1-2 record. Turner Gill’s Bulls
enter tonight’s game after edging Army in overtime and we normally don’t
go near OT winners taking to the highway. But with a week of rest under
their belts, we’ll ‘Lean On’ this 17 returning starter underdog playing off
back-to-back ATS losses. The Bobcats’ putrid 0-8-1 ATS mark off a SUATS loss
when playing with revenge and an identically horrible 0-8-1 ATS log before
battling Bowling Green seals the deal. Peden Stadium looks like a home
where Buffalo can roam.
Houston over MARSHALL by 6
Expect Marshall head coach Mark Snyder to make life miserable for his
defensive players during this week’s practices. The Blundering Herd’s ‘stop
unit’ blew numerous tackles on at least 10 plays that resulted in 200 yards,
nine fi rst downs and a touchdown in their 23-21 loss to woeful UAB. Now
Snyder has to prep his team to face the nation’s 3rd ranked offense in
Houston, a squad whose 544 YPG average is more than 200 YPG better than
the Herd’s (333 YPG). Still, Marshall can hang around if they manage to open
a few holes for excellent RB Darius Marshall: the team is 3-0 this season
when the sophomore rushes for 100 yards. And even though 1st year head
coach Kevin Sumlin has done an admirable job with the Cougars, we’re not
enamored laying points with a team that is 7-18-1 ATS in its last 26 tries as
road chalk (0-2 with Sumlin). Those numbers work just fi ne with Marshall’s
5-1 ATS record as conference home dogs versus .500 or greater opposition,
so we’ll cast a slight vote for the guys in green.
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Wunderdog
Game: Milwaukee at Chicago (8:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 194.5 -110
These teams will both be looking to rebound from dismal campaigns last season as the Bucks finished the 07-08 season with eight straight defeats, and the Bulls playoff team from a year ago won just 33 games. These teams both were UNDER teams last year, as they combined to play 93-70 to the UNDER or 57.1% UNDERS. The Bulls have always been an UNDER team early in the season, especially at home where they have played 96-61 to the UNDER, during the first half of the season since 1996. That is good for 61.1%. These teams both have a bad taste in their mouth from how last season finished, and that usually leads to defensive intensity early on, so I will go with the UNDER in the opener.
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Game: Milwaukee at Chicago (8:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 194.5 -110
These teams will both be looking to rebound from dismal campaigns last season as the Bucks finished the 07-08 season with eight straight defeats, and the Bulls playoff team from a year ago won just 33 games. These teams both were UNDER teams last year, as they combined to play 93-70 to the UNDER or 57.1% UNDERS. The Bulls have always been an UNDER team early in the season, especially at home where they have played 96-61 to the UNDER, during the first half of the season since 1996. That is good for 61.1%. These teams both have a bad taste in their mouth from how last season finished, and that usually leads to defensive intensity early on, so I will go with the UNDER in the opener.
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